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COVID ECONOMICS VETTED AND REAL-TIME PAPERS ISSUE 82 23 JUNE 2021 RESTAURANT CLOSURES Dmitry Sedov EMPLOYMENT AND GENDER UNDERREPORTED CHILD IN NIGERIA MALTREATMENT Marup Hossain and Md Amzad Hossain Alexa Prettyman THE IMPORTANCE OF ARTISTIC INCOME BEING EARNERS Alexander Cuntz and Matthias Sahli Max A. Mosley Covid Economics Vetted and Real-Time Papers Covid Economics, Vetted and Real-Time Papers, from CEPR, brings together formal investigations on the economic issues emanating from the Covid outbreak, based on explicit theory and/or empirical evidence, to improve the knowledge base. Founder: Beatrice Weder di Mauro, President of CEPR Editor: Charles Wyplosz, Graduate Institute Geneva and CEPR Contact: Submissions should be made at https://portal.cepr.org/call-papers- covid-economics by 23 June 2021. Other queries should be sent to [email protected]. Copyright for the papers appearing in this issue of Covid Economics: Vetted and Real-Time Papers is held by the individual authors. The Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) The Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) is a network of over 1,500 research economists based mostly in European universities. The Centre’s goal is twofold: to promote world-class research, and to get the policy-relevant results into the hands of key decision-makers. CEPR’s guiding principle is ‘Research excellence with policy relevance’. A registered charity since it was founded in 1983, CEPR is independent of all public and private interest groups. It takes no institutional stand on economic policy matters and its core funding comes from its Institutional Members and sales of publications. Because it draws on such a large network of researchers, its output reflects a broad spectrum of individual viewpoints as well as perspectives drawn from civil society. CEPR research may include views on policy, but the Trustees of the Centre do not give prior review to its publications. The opinions expressed in this report are those of the authors and not those of CEPR. Chair of the Board Sir Charlie Bean Founder and Honorary President Richard Portes President Beatrice Weder di Mauro Vice Presidents Maristella Botticini Ugo Panizza Philippe Martin Hélène Rey Chief Executive Officer Tessa Ogden Editorial Board Beatrice Weder di Mauro, CEPR Tom Kompas, University of Melbourne and Charles Wyplosz, Graduate Institute Geneva CEBRA and CEPR Miklós Koren, Central European University Viral V. Acharya, Stern School of Business, and CEPR NYU and CEPR Anton Korinek, University of Virginia and Guido Alfani, Bocconi University and CEPR CEPR Franklin Allen, Imperial College Business Michael Kuhn, International Institute for School and CEPR Applied Systems Analysis and Wittgenstein Michele Belot, Cornell University and CEPR Centre David Bloom, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Maarten Lindeboom, Vrije Universiteit Public Health Amsterdam Tito Boeri, Bocconi University and CEPR Philippe Martin, Sciences Po and CEPR Alison Booth, University of Essex and CEPR Warwick McKibbin, ANU College of Asia and Markus K Brunnermeier, Princeton the Pacific University and CEPR Kevin Hjortshøj O’Rourke, NYU Abu Dhabi Michael C Burda, Humboldt Universitaet zu and CEPR Berlin and CEPR Evi Pappa, European University Institute and Luis Cabral, New York University and CEPR CEPR Paola Conconi, ECARES, Universite Libre de Barbara Petrongolo, Queen Mary University, Bruxelles and CEPR London, LSE and CEPR Giancarlo Corsetti, University of Cambridge Richard Portes, London Business School and and CEPR CEPR Fiorella De Fiore, Bank for International Carol Propper, Imperial College London and Settlements and CEPR CEPR Mathias Dewatripont, ECARES, Universite Lucrezia Reichlin, London Business School Libre de Bruxelles and CEPR and CEPR Jonathan Dingel, University of Chicago Booth Ricardo Reis, London School of Economics School and CEPR and CEPR Barry Eichengreen, University of California, Hélène Rey, London Business School and Berkeley and CEPR CEPR Simon J Evenett, University of St Gallen and Dominic Rohner, University of Lausanne and CEPR CEPR Maryam Farboodi, MIT and CEPR Kjell G. Salvanes, Norwegian School of Antonio Fatás, INSEAD Singapore and CEPR Economics and CEPR Pierre-Yves Geoffard, Paris School of Paola Sapienza, Northwestern University and Economics and CEPR CEPR Francesco Giavazzi, Bocconi University and Moritz Schularick, University of Bonn and CEPR CEPR Christian Gollier, Toulouse School of Paul Seabright, Toulouse School of Economics and CEPR Economics and CEPR Timothy J. Hatton, University of Essex and Flavio Toxvaerd, University of Cambridge CEPR Christoph Trebesch, Christian-Albrechts- Ethan Ilzetzki, London School of Economics Universitaet zu Kiel and CEPR and CEPR Karen-Helene Ulltveit-Moe, University of Beata Javorcik, EBRD and CEPR Oslo and CEPR Simon Johnson, MIT and CEPR Jan C. van Ours, Erasmus University Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, University of Rotterdam and CEPR Maryland and CEPR Rik Frehen Thierry Verdier, Paris School of Economics and CEPR Ethics Covid Economics will feature high quality analyses of economic aspects of the health crisis. However, the pandemic also raises a number of complex ethical issues. Economists tend to think about trade-offs, in this case lives vs. costs, patient selection at a time of scarcity, and more. In the spirit of academic freedom, neither the Editors of Covid Economics nor CEPR take a stand on these issues and therefore do not bear any responsibility for views expressed in the articles. Submission to professional journals The following journals have indicated that they will accept submissions of papers featured in Covid Economics because they are working papers. Most expect revised versions. This list will be updated regularly. American Economic Journal, Applied Journal of Economic Growth Economics Journal of Economic Theory American Economic Journal, Journal of the European Economic Economic Policy Association* American Economic Journal, Journal of Finance Macroeconomics Journal of Financial Economics American Economic Journal, Journal of Health Economics Microeconomics Journal of International Economics American Economic Review Journal of Labor Economics* American Economic Review, Insights Journal of Monetary Economics American Journal of Health Journal of Public Economics Economics Journal of Public Finance and Public Canadian Journal of Economics Choice Econometrica* Journal of Political Economy Economic Journal Journal of Population Economics Economics Letters Quarterly Journal of Economics Economics of Disasters and Climate Review of Corporate Finance Studies* Change Review of Economics and Statistics International Economic Review Review of Economic Studies* Journal of Development Economics Review of Financial Studies Journal of Econometrics* (*) Must be a significantly revised and extended version of the paper featured in Covid Economics. Covid Economics Vetted and Real-Time Papers Issue 82, 23 June 2021 Contents Restaurant closures during the pandemic: A descriptive analysis 1 Dmitry Sedov Underreporting child maltreatment during the pandemic: Evidence from Colorado 10 Alexa Prettyman Covid-19 impact on artistic income 49 Alexander Cuntz and Matthias Sahli COVID-19, employment, and gender: Evidence from Nigeria 70 Marup Hossain and Md Amzad Hossain The importance of being earners: Modelling the implications of changes to welfare contributions on macroeconomic recovery 99 Max A. Mosley 1 Covid Economics Issue 82, 23 June 2021 Restaurant closures during the pandemic: A descriptive analysis1 Dmitry Sedov2 Date submitted: 11 June 2021; Date accepted: 19 June 2021 In this paper, I describe the restaurant business closure patterns in the year 2020. I use Yelp data collected first in late 2019 and then in early 2021 to study restaurant and location characteristics related to the exit decisions. I find that higher rated restaurants as well as restaurants located further away from central city areas were less likely to close during 2020. Covid Economics 82, 23 June 2021: 1-9 1 I thank Timur Abbiasov, Anna Algina, Gaston Illanes, Robert Porter and Mar Reguant for helpful comments and discussions. Special thanks to Jonathan Wolf and the SafeGraph team for access to data, clarifications and thoughtful remarks. 2 PhD Student, Department of Economics, Northwestern University. Copyright: Dmitry Sedov COVID ECONOMICS VETTED AND REAL-TIME PAPERS 2 1 Introduction During 2020, the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic in the US, restaurants suffered from reduced consumer traffic due to multiple factors: lockdowns, operations restrictions and social distancing. Which restaurants were more likely to exit the industry in this challenging time for the industry? In the present paper I provide descriptive evidence on this question in the context of major US urban areas using data from the review platform Yelp and the location data company SafeGraph. Specifically, I explore location- and restaurant-specific characteristics that explain variation in restaurant closure decisions. The data on urban restaurants used in this paper was gathered from Yelp in two rounds: in late 2019 and early 2021 and is thus well suited for research on business closures in 2020. The dataset includes information on key restaurant characteristics, as well as each restaurant’s open/closed status at the end of the observation period, which enables shedding light on the factors related to restaurant exit decisions. Using this dataset, I document the across-cities differences in restaurant exit rates, which range from 9.6% in El Paso to 21.5% in Honolulu.
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