Open Skies Aircraft and Sensors
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‘The treaty opens up the full territory of its member states, ‘from Vancouver to Vladivostok’, to co-operative aerial observation flights. It embodied the determination of its states parties to overcome decades of bloc-to-bloc confrontation and secrecy in military matters by enhancing transparency and openness. ’ VERTIC BRIEF • 8 • FEBRUARY 2009 BRIEF News from Open Skies A co-operative treaty maintaining military transparency Hartwig Spitzer Hartwig Spitzer is the Introduction1 New tensions have emerged in relations spokesperson for the Center between the United States and the When the Treaty on Open Skies was signed for Science and International Western alliance on the one hand and the at the Conference on Security and Co- Security (CENSIS) and an Russian Federation on the other. These associate member of the operation in Europe (CSCE) Summit in culminated, inter alia, in Russia’s suspen- Carl Friedrich von Weizsäcker Helsinki, Finland, on 24 March 1992, it was sion of implementation of the Treaty on Center for Science and Peace seen as one of the most far-reaching and Conventional Armed Forces in Europe Research at the University of intrusive confidence-building measures ever 2 (CFE) on 13 December 2007. Hamburg, Germany. He is agreed. The treaty opens up the full terri- The Open Skies Treaty, which was meant also a professor in the tory of its member states, ‘from Vancouver Department of Physics at to Vladivostok’, to co-operative aerial to support the transition process after the the University of Hamburg. observation flights. It embodied the deter- end of the Cold War, only came into effect He has participated in the mination of its states parties to overcome on 1 January 2002. Hence it is appropriate Open Skies Consultative to ask: how well does it work? And what Commission’s Informal decades of bloc-to-bloc confrontation and is its role in the changed circumstances? Working Group on Sensors secrecy in military matters by enhancing The author has observed the Treaty on since 2005. transparency and openness. Today, the treaty’s 34 states parties find Open Skies from its emergence. This paper themselves in a fundamentally transformed sketches out the main provisions of the security environment. Political changes and treaty and discusses the interest of the remarkable reductions in armed forces original and new states parties in the agree- since 1990 have made a large conventional ment. It focuses primarily, though, on events war in Europe now very unlikely. The dan- since 2005: the first Review Conference, ger of destabilization in many transition preparations for use of additional sensor states has been nearly eliminated by their categories, the flight allocation for 2008, integration into the European Union (EU) and the outcome of treaty implementa- and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization tion—that is, support for monitoring of (NATO). However, regional wars have been arms control treaties and military trans- 1. Updated and extended version of 3 Hartwig Spitzer, ‘Open Skies: Enter- fought and crisis-prone regions remain. parency in a co-operative setting. ing full implementation at low key’, Helsinki Monitor, no. 17, 2006, pp. 83–91, Martinus Nijhoff, Leiden/ Figure 1 Boston. C-130 Hercules, which are used on Open Skies observation missions 2. Peter Jones and Márton Krasznai, ‘Open Skies: Achievements and Prospects’, in John B. Poole and Richard Guthrie (eds), Verification Report 1992, VERTIC, London, 1992, pp. 47–56; Peter Jones, ‘Open Skies: A Review of Events at Ottawa and Budapest’, in John B. Poole (ed), Verification Report 1991, VERTIC, London and Apex Press, New York, 1991, pp. 73–82; Peter Jones, ‘Open Skies: Events in 1993, in John B. Poole and Richard Guthrie (eds), Verification 1993, VERTIC, London and Brassey`s, London, New York, 1993, pp. 145– 161; Sergey Koulik and Richard Kokoski, Conventional Arms Control – Perspectives on Verification, Oxford University Press (for the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute), Oxford, 1994; Michael Krepon and Amy E. Smith- son (eds), Open Skies, Arms Control, and Cooperative Security, St.Martin´s Press, New York, 1992. 3. The 2008 war in the Caucuses involved two states parties to the treaty (Georgia and the Russian Federation). Source: Federal Armed Forces Verification Centre, Germany. 2 News from Open Skies: A co-operative treaty maintaining military transparency Hartwig Spitzer Overview become more severe, perhaps even fatal “All states parties for the treaty. The treaty foresees co-operative observation One possibility to keep the Open Skies have the right flights at a ground resolution that allows approach relevant and vital is an extension of access to for identification of major weaponry. to crisis regions which are not yet covered Between 2002 and 2007, 430 such flights images from by the treaty and to engage in outreach were conducted over military sites not only 4 beyond the OSCE area. Another is to each flight— in Europe, but also in the vast territories operate different sensors beyond photo- of North America and Siberia, which are a remarkable graphic cameras with black-and-white inaccessible to inspections under the CFE film. With some luck, 2009 will see an achievement— Treaty and the 1999 Vienna Document on agreement on the use of digital aerial which puts Confidence- and Security-Building Measures. cameras with up to four colour channels The imagery has been used to support them on an as well as certification of the first thermal monitoring of arms control treaties, as infrared imaging device onboard the equal footing.” well as for achieving the treaty’s general Turkish Open Skies aircraft. objective of military openness and trans- parency. All states parties have the right of access to images from each flight—a remark- able achievement—which puts them on an equal footing. Since 2002, the treaty has attracted Provisions of the treaty eight new members from the Nordic It is worthwhile remembering the inten- region, the Baltic States and the former tions and purpose of the treaty, as stated Yugoslavia, bringing the number of states in the Preamble: ‘to improve openness parties to 34. At the first Review Confer- and transparency, to facilitate the monitor- ence in February 2005, the states parties ing of compliance with existing or future confirmed their intention to adhere to the arms control agreements and to strengthen agreement as signed and to keep it open the capacity for conflict prevention and to all states participating in the Organi- crisis management in the framework of the zation for Security Co-operation in Conference on Security and Co-operation Europe (OSCE). in Europe and in other relevant interna- It is noteworthy that the Russian Federa- tional institutions’.5 In this context, the states parties also saw the possible contri- tion and the US have not clashed over the 4. Unfortunately, due to the rivalry Treaty on Open Skies, but rather support bution that an aerial observation regime between Armenia and Azerbaijan it. They seem to have a genuine interest in of this kind could make to security and over Nagorno-Karabakh and the flaring up of conflicts on the terri- the imagery and in the demonstrative stability in other areas (outside of the tory of Georgia, there is little chance character of the agreement. In fact, among OSCE zone), as well as potential for its that Open Skies could be extended further in the South Caucasus, the three so-called pillars of European extension to other fields such as protec- although Georgia (unlike Armenia security—the CFE Treaty, the Open Skies tion of the environment. and Azerbaijan) is a party to the Treaty, and the Vienna Document—Open At the core of the treaty is the right to treaty. 5. The full text of the treaty as well Skies has proved the least contended, so far. observe any point on the territory of the as the Decisions of the Open Skies In spite of this generally positive picture, observed state party, including areas desig- Consultative Commission (OSCC) nated as hazardous air space. It is completely with respect to annual quota assign- clouds are gathering on the horizon. A ments and other implementation major concern is fundamental asymmetry, up to the observing state to select the sites issues can be found at www.dod. as NATO states have agreed not to inspect to be over-flown and photographed.6 The mil/acq/acic/treaties/os/index. htm. See also Rüdiger Hartmann each other. The Open Skies missions of legitimate interests of the observed state and Wolfgang Heydrich, Der Ver- these states are solely directed towards the party with regard to avoidance of espio- trag über den Offenen Himmel [The Treaty on Open Skies], Nomos, Russian Federation and the five remaining nage are taken into account by ensuring Baden-Baden, 2000. The authors non-aligned states (Bosnia-Herzegovina, that the ground resolution of the sensors illuminate the negotiation process Croatia, Georgia, Sweden and Ukraine). to be used, while allowing for the reliable and the intentions of the negotiators. 6. Different national agencies, Should these latter countries, in particular identification of major weapons systems, including the verification centres, Ukraine, join NATO, the imbalance would does not enable detailed analysis. take part in the selection process. News from Open Skies: A co-operative treaty maintaining military transparency Hartwig Spitzer 3 Box 1: Treaty provisions • A system of flight quotas has been negotiated, which reflects to some extent the geographic size and the military ‘weight’ of the states parties.7 Since 2006, for example, France, Germany, the United Kingdom and Ukraine have been 7. The passive quota of the initial entitled to carry out 12 observation flights per year (active quota) and have had to accept up to 12 over-flights (passive signatories that later ratified the quota), whereas Russia (along with Belarus) and the US each have had an active quota of 42 flights and a passive treaty was fixed in Annex A of the quota of 42 flights.8 treaty after consideration of the ‘wishes’ of the parties regarding • Flights are conducted by fixed-wing unarmed aircraft with inspectors from both sides onboard.