YouGov Blue Core December 2019 – Toplines – Data for Progress

Sample Online sample of 1,042 likely Democratic primary voters fielded 11/27/19-12/6/19 Margin of Error ±3.4%

List of Tables

1. Next year, there will be a presidential primary or caucus in your state to select nominees for president for the Democratic and Republican parties. Will you...... 2 2. And if you were to vote or participate, would you vote or participate in the...... 2 3. Some people are closely following the Democratic presidential primary, while others will wait until it gets closer to the election. Would you say you are currently following what’s going on in the Democratic presidential primary...... 2 4. Thinking about the 2020 Democratic presidential in your state, how enthusiastic would you say you are about voting, where zero means you’re not at all enthusiastic about voting and ten means you’re extremely enthusiastic about voting...... 2 5. Compared to previous elections, would you say that this year you are more enthusiastic, neither more nor less enthusiastic, or less enthusiastic about voting in the upcoming Democratic primary elections?...... 3 6. Thinking about the 2020 Democratic presidential in your state, which candidate or candidates are you considering voting for? Select all that apply...... 3 7. Thinking about the 2020 Democratic nomination for president, who will you NOT consider voting for in your state’s ?...... 4 8. If you had to choose today, which candidate would you vote for in the 2020 Democratic presidential in your state?...... 4 9. How a favorable or unfavorable do you regard the following candidates?...... 5 10. How a favorable or unfavorable do you regard the following public officials? ...... 5

1 YouGov Blue Core December 2019 – Toplines – Data for Progress

1. Next year, there will be a presidential primary or caucus in your state to select nominees for president for the Democratic and Republican parties. Will you...

Definitely vote or participate ...... 86% Probably vote or participate ...... 8% Maybe vote or participate ...... 4% Probably not vote or participate ...... 2% Definitely not vote or participate ...... 0%

2. And if you were to vote or participate, would you vote or participate in the...

Democratic primary or caucus ...... 100% Republican primary or caucus ...... 0% Notsure ...... 0%

3. Some people are closely following the Democratic presidential primary, while others will wait until it gets closer to the election. Would you say you are currently following what’s going on in the Democratic presidential primary...

Alot ...... 45% Somewhat ...... 32% Only now and then ...... 17% Hardly at all ...... 6% Don’tknow ...... 1%

4. Thinking about the 2020 Democratic presidential in your state, how enthusiastic would you say you are about voting, where zero means you’re not at all enthusiastic about voting and ten means you’re extremely enthusiastic about voting.

0 - Not at all enthusiastic ...... 1% 1 ...... 1% 2 ...... 2% 3 ...... 2% 4 ...... 2% 5 ...... 7% 6 ...... 7% 7 ...... 11%

2 YouGov Blue Core December 2019 – Toplines – Data for Progress

8 ...... 13% 9 ...... 12% 10 - Extremely enthusiastic ...... 44%

5. Compared to previous elections, would you say that this year you are more enthusiastic, neither more nor less enthusiastic, or less enthusiastic about voting in the upcoming Democratic primary elections?

More enthusiastic ...... 51% Neither more nor less enthusiastic ...... 39% Less enthusiastic ...... 10%

6. Thinking about the 2020 Democratic presidential in your state, which candidate or candidates are you consid- ering voting for? Select all that apply.

Michael Bennet ...... 3% ...... 48% Mike Bloomberg ...... 13% ...... 20% Steve Bullock ...... 2% ...... 30% Julián Castro ...... 9% John Delaney ...... 2% ...... 6% ...... 21% ...... 14% DevalPatrick ...... 3% ...... 41% ...... 1% TomSteyer ...... 8% ...... 51% ...... 2% ...... 14% None of these ...... 2%

3 YouGov Blue Core December 2019 – Toplines – Data for Progress

7. Thinking about the 2020 Democratic nomination for president, who will you NOT consider voting for in your state’s ?

Michael Bennet ...... 32% Joe Biden ...... 24% Mike Bloomberg ...... 40% Cory Booker ...... 19% Steve Bullock ...... 34% Pete Buttigieg ...... 18% Julián Castro ...... 26% John Delaney ...... 35% Tulsi Gabbard ...... 45% Kamala Harris ...... 29% Amy Klobuchar ...... 25% DevalPatrick ...... 33% Bernie Sanders ...... 25% Joe Sestak ...... 38% TomSteyer ...... 35% Elizabeth Warren ...... 16% Marianne Williamson ...... 45% Andrew Yang ...... 26%

8. If you had to choose today, which candidate would you vote for in the 2020 Democratic presidential in your state?

Michael Bennet ...... 1% Joe Biden ...... 26% Mike Bloomberg ...... 4% CoryBooker ...... 2% Steve Bullock ...... 0% Pete Buttigieg ...... 11% Julián Castro ...... 1% John Delaney ...... 0% Tulsi Gabbard ...... 3% Kamala Harris ...... 5% Amy Klobuchar ...... 2% DevalPatrick ...... 1% Bernie Sanders ...... 18% Joe Sestak ...... 0% TomSteyer ...... 1% Elizabeth Warren ...... 21% Marianne Williamson ...... 1%

4 YouGov Blue Core December 2019 – Toplines – Data for Progress

AndrewYang ...... 3% None of these ...... 1%

9. How a favorable or unfavorable do you regard the following candidates?

Neither Some- Very unfa- Have not Some- favorable what vorable heard of Very what nor unfa- unfavor- candidate favorable favorable vorable able Michael Bennet 25% 4% 11% 45% 9% 6% Joe Biden 2% 34% 26% 12% 14% 12% Mike Bloomberg 6% 9% 19% 28% 18% 20% Cory Booker 5% 17% 33% 27% 12% 6% Steve Bullock 27% 3% 11% 43% 9% 7% Pete Buttigieg 7% 25% 25% 25% 10% 8% Julián Castro 9% 9% 26% 39% 9% 7% John Delaney 25% 3% 8% 46% 11% 9% Tulsi Gabbard 12% 6% 10% 29% 16% 26% Kamala Harris 4% 18% 31% 21% 13% 12% Amy Klobuchar 11% 11% 24% 32% 14% 8% Deval Patrick 26% 4% 10% 42% 11% 7% Bernie Sanders 0% 35% 30% 12% 12% 10% Joe Sestak 33% 1% 6% 45% 9% 6% 16% 6% 18% 36% 13% 10% Elizabeth Warren 2% 42% 29% 11% 9% 7% Marianne Williamson 17% 3% 9% 34% 16% 20% Andrew Yang 8% 13% 26% 34% 12% 6%

10. How a favorable or unfavorable do you regard the following public officials?

Have not Neither Some- Very unfa- heard of Some- favorable what vorable this Very what nor unfa- unfavor- official favorable favorable vorable able Nancy Pelosi 1% 42% 25% 14% 8% 9% Chuck Schumer 7% 23% 28% 24% 11% 8% Mitch McConnell 5% 2% 4% 15% 8% 66% 3% 3% 6% 10% 10% 68% Kevin McCarthy 22% 3% 5% 26% 10% 34%

5 YouGov Blue Core December 2019 – Toplines – Data for Progress

Have not Neither Some- heard of Some- favorable what this Very what nor unfa- unfavor- Very unfa- official favorable favorable vorable able vorable Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7% 31% 24% 21% 9% 7% John Roberts 22% 3% 12% 38% 14% 11% Democrats in Congress 1% 34% 36% 15% 9% 5% Republicans in Congress 1% 2% 5% 10% 16% 66%

6 YouGov Blue Core December 2019 – Toplines – Data for Progress

This survey is based on 1,042 interviews conducted by YouGov on the internet of self-identified likely Democratic primary voters or caucus-goers. A sample of 2,750 interviews of self-identified registered voters was weighted according to gender, age, race/ethnicity, and education based on the American Community Study and the Cur- rent Population Survey Registration and Voting Supplement. Respondents were selected from YouGov to be representative of registered voters, and then the sample was subsetted to only include likely Democratic primary voters or caucus-goers. The weights range from 0.1 to 6.0 with a mean of 1 and a standard deviation of 0.5.

The margin of error (a 95% confidence interval) for a sample percentage p based upon the subsetted sample is approximately 3.4%. It is calculated using the formula s 1 + CV2 pˆ ± 100 × n where CV is the coefficient of variation of the sample weights and n is the sample size used to compute the proportion. This is a measure of sampling error (the average of all estimates obtained using the same sample selection and weighting procedures repeatedly). The sample estimate should differ from its expected value by less than margin of error in 95 percent of all samples. It does not reflect non-sampling errors, including potential selection bias in panel participation or in response to a particular survey.

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