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July 18, 2012 MEMORANDUM TO: INTERESTED PARTIES FR: DAVID
July 18, 2012 MEMORANDUM TO: INTERESTED PARTIES FR: DAVID FLAHERTY MAGELLAN STRATEGIES RE: ARIZONA US SENATE REPUBLICAN PRIMARY SURVEY TOPLINE RESULTS Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results of a 678N autodial survey of likely Republican primary voters, and independent voters that are likely to vote in the US Senate Republican Primary Election in the state of Arizona. The interviews were conducted July 16th and 17th, 2012. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.76% at the 95 percent confidence interval. The survey results are weighted based upon past Arizona Republican Primary voter turnout demographics. T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter? Republican .................................................................................. 86% Independent ............................................................................... 14% T2. As you may know, independent voters in Arizona can vote in the primary election for Congress. How likely are you to vote in the upcoming primary election for Congress? (Asked to Independents) Extremely Likely ...................................................................... 85% Very Likely ..................................................................................... 9% Somewhat Likely ......................................................................... 6% T3. And if the Congressional primary election was held today, would you choose to vote in the Democrat primary or the Republican primary? (Asked to Independents) -
Four Days in July That Rocked Indiana Pence’S Pursuit of Veep Nod, Holcomb’S Win at GOP Central Committee Were Bold Moves Toward November History by BRIAN A
V22, N15 Thursday, Nov. 17, 2016 Four days in July that rocked Indiana Pence’s pursuit of veep nod, Holcomb’s win at GOP Central Committee were bold moves toward November history By BRIAN A. HOWEY INDIANAPOLIS – When filing back through time to make sense of the Gov. Mike Pence and Lt. Gov. Eric Holcomb sensational Nov. 8 election that catapulted celebrate their Election Day victories that Gov. Mike Pence were forged by four momentus days in into global power July, including Trump’s visit to Indianapolis and capped Eric and Westfield. Holcomb’s unprec- edented rise in Indi- Republican presidential ticket with ana, it comes down Donald Trump. Except it was not fait to four days in July accompli. That wouldn’t happen until when the historic Friday, July 15. and fateful dramas unfolded. And on Monday July 25, after 22 Indiana Republi- On July 14, we witnessed cable breaking news can Central Committee members migrated back to Indiana reports of Gov. and Mrs. Pence disembarking on a charter from the Republican National Convention in Cleveland, the flight from Indianapolis to Teterboro, N.J., in what most thought was an obvious sign he was about to join the Continued on page 3 2016 winners and losers By MARK SOUDER FORT WAYNE – Every election results in individual and categorical winners and losers that impact the longer- term future of politics. Here are a few of my selections. Indiana winner: The Pence/Coats establishment. “The very worst choice you can It directed the quasi-slating of the victorious state ticket: Todd make is to opt out as a citizen, to Young for Senate, in part by give in to the cynicsm, the moving Eric Holcomb out and into position to become gover- despair and the anger. -
Insider's Guidetoazpolitics
olitics e to AZ P Insider’s Guid Political lists ARIZONA NEWS SERVICE ARIZONA CAPITOL TIMES • Arizona Capitol Reports FEATURING PROFILES of Arizona’s legislative & congressional districts, consultants & public policy advocates Statistical Trends The chicken Or the egg? WE’RE EXPERTS AT GETTING POLICY MAKERS TO SEE YOUR SIDE OF THE ISSUE. R&R Partners has a proven track record of using the combined power of lobbying, public relations and advertising experience to change both minds and policy. The political environment is dynamic and it takes a comprehensive approach to reach the right audience at the right time. With more than 50 years of combined experience, we’ve been helping our clients win, regardless of the political landscape. Find out what we can do for you. Call Jim Norton at 602-263-0086 or visit us at www.rrpartners.com. JIM NORTON JEFF GRAY KELSEY LUNDY STUART LUTHER 101 N. FIRST AVE., STE. 2900 Government & Deputy Director Deputy Director Government & Phoenix, AZ 85003 Public Affairs of Client Services of Client Public Affairs Director Development Associate CONTENTS Politics e to AZ ARIZONA NEWS SERVICE Insider’s Guid Political lists STAFF CONTACTS 04 ARIZONA NEWS SERVICE BEATING THE POLITICAL LEGISLATIVE Administration ODDS CONSULTANTS, DISTRICT Vice President & Publisher: ARIZONA CAPITOL TIMES • Arizona Capitol Reports Ginger L. Lamb Arizonans show PUBLIC POLICY PROFILES Business Manager: FEATURING PROFILES of Arizona’s legislative & congressional districts, consultants & public policy advocates they have ‘the juice’ ADVOCATES, -
Using Activists' Pairwise Comparisons to Measure Ideology
Is John McCain more conservative than Rand Paul? Using activists' pairwise comparisons to measure ideology ∗ Daniel J. Hopkins Associate Professor University of Pennsylvania [email protected] Hans Noely Associate Professor Georgetown University [email protected] April 3, 2017 Abstract Political scientists use sophisticated measures to extract the ideology of members of Congress, notably the widely used nominate scores. These measures have known limitations, including possibly obscuring ideological positions that are not captured by roll call votes on the limited agenda presented to legislators. Meanwhile scholars often treat the ideology that is measured by these scores as known or at least knowable by voters and other political actors. It is possible that (a) nominate fails to capture something important in ideological variation or (b) that even if it does measure ideology, sophisticated voters only observe something else. We bring an alternative source of data to this subject, asking samples of highly involved activists to compare pairs of senators to one another or to compare a senator to themselves. From these pairwise comparisons, we can aggregate to a measure of ideology that is comparable to nominate. We can also evaluate the apparent ideological knowledge of our respondents. We find significant differences between nominate scores and the perceived ideology of politically sophisticated activists. ∗DRAFT: PLEASE CONSULT THE AUTHORS BEFORE CITING. Prepared for presentation at the annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association in Chicago, April 6-9, 2017. We would like to thank Michele Swers, Jonathan Ladd, and seminar participants at Texas A&M University and Georgetown University for useful comments on earlier versions of this project. -
Ranking Member John Barrasso
Senate Committee Musical Chairs August 15, 2018 Key Retiring Committee Seniority over Sitting Chair/Ranking Member Viewed as Seat Republicans Will Most Likely Retain Viewed as Potentially At Risk Republican Seat Viewed as Republican Seat at Risk Viewed as Seat Democrats Will Most Likely Retain Viewed as Potentially At Risk Democratic Seat Viewed as Democratic Seat at Risk Notes • The Senate Republican leader is not term-limited; Senator Mitch McConnell (R-KY) will likely remain majority leader. The only member of Senate GOP leadership who is currently term-limited is Republican Whip John Cornyn (R-TX). • Republicans have term limits of six years as chairman and six years as ranking member. Republican members can only use seniority to bump sitting chairs/ranking members when the control of the Senate switches parties. • Committee leadership for the Senate Aging; Agriculture; Appropriations; Banking; Environment and Public Works (EPW); Health Education, Labor, and Pensions (HELP); Indian Affairs; Intelligence; Rules; and Veterans Affairs Committees are unlikely to change. Notes • Current Armed Services Committee (SASC) Chairman John McCain (R-AZ) continues to receive treatment for brain cancer in Arizona. Senator James Inhofe (R-OK) has served as acting chairman and is likely to continue to do so in Senator McCain’s absence. If Republicans lose control of the Senate, Senator McCain would lose his top spot on the committee because he already has six years as ranking member. • In the unlikely scenario that Senator Chuck Grassley (R-IA) does not take over the Finance Committee, Senator Mike Crapo (R-ID), who currently serves as Chairman of the Banking Committee, could take over the Finance Committee. -
Rep. John Kavanagh (Vice-Chair) Rep
House Committees Appropriations Education Rep. Regina Cobb (Chair) Rep. Michelle Udall (Chair) Rep. John Kavanagh (Vice-Chair) Rep. Bevely Pingerelli (Vice-Chair) Rep. César Chávez Rep. Daniel Hernandez Rep. Charlene Fernandez Rep. Joel John Rep. Randy Friese Rep. Quang Nguyen Rep. Jake Hoffman Rep. Jennifer Pawlik Rep. Steve Kaiser Rep. Frank Pratt Rep. Aaron Lieberman Rep. Bret Roberts Rep. Quang Nguyen Rep. Athena Salman Rep. Becky Nutt Rep. Judy Schweibert Rep. Joanne Osborne Rep. Judy Schwiebert Ethics Rep. Michelle Udall Rep. Becky Nutt (Chair) Rep. Frank Pratt (Vice-Chair) Commerce Rep. Domingo DeGrazia Rep. Jeff Weninger (Chair) Rep. Alma Hernandez Rep. Steve Kaiser (Vice-Chair) Rep. Jacqueline Parker Rep. Joseph Chaplik Rep. David Cook Government & Elections Rep. Diego Espinoza Rep. John Kavanagh (Chair) Rep. Charlene Fernandez Rep. Jake Hoffman (Vice-Chair) Rep. Robert Meza Rep. Judy Burges Rep. Becky Nutt Rep. Kelli Butler Rep. Pamela Powers Hannley Rep. Frank Carroll Rep. Justin Wilmeth Rep. John Fillmore Rep. Jennifer Jermaine Criminal Justice Reform Rep. Jennifer Pawlik Rep. Walt Blackman (Chair) Rep. Kevin Payne Rep. Shawnna Bolick (Vice-Chair) Rep. Athena Salman Rep. Reginald Bolding Rep. Stephanie Stahl Hamilton Rep. Alma Hernandez Rep. Raquel Terán Rep. Joel John Rep. Jeff Weninger Rep. Bret Roberts Rep. Diego Rodriguez Health & Human Services Rep. Raquel Terán Rep. Joanne Osborne (Chair) Rep. Ben Toma Rep. Regina Cobb (Vice-Chair) Rep. Kelli Butler Rep. Joseph Chaplik Rep. Randy Friese Rep. Alma Hernandez Rep. Jacqueline Parker Rep. Amish Shah Rep. Justin Wilmeth Judiciary Natural Resources, Energy & Water Rep. Frank Pratt (Chair) Rep. Gail Griffin (Chair) Rep. Jacqueline Parker (Vice-Chair) Rep. -
Our Candidates from Farm and Ranch Country
www.azfb.org AUGUST, 2018 Volume 71 No. 6 Official Publication of the Arizona Farm Bureau Conversation about Food Safety’s Farm-to-Fork Continuum: Paula Rivadeneira By Julie Murphree, Arizona Farm Bureau Outreach Director aula Rivadeneira, Ph.D. is a Food Safety and Wildlife Extension Specialist for Arizona Agriculture: Dr. Rivadeneira, they call you the “Poop Dr.” for a rea- the University of Arizona Cooperative Extension. She serves the entire south- son. Explain. Pwest region of the United States. She is responsible for research, education, and Dr. Rivadeneira: I am a Wildlife Biologist who entered the Food Safety world outreach regarding all aspects of food safety and wildlife, which are both encompassed five years ago as a postdoctoral researcher at U.C. Davis working under my mentor, under the umbrella of One Health. Her specific programs in- Dr. Michele Jay-Russell. Because my expertise is in wildlife, the clude providing assistance and recommendations related to food majority of my food-safety work with the University of Arizona safety and wildlife issues for 1) large commercial fresh produce Cooperative Extension focuses on the interaction between ani- growers, 2) small direct-market produce growers, and 3) school, mals and agriculture, particularly fresh produce. community, and backyard gardeners. Her primary projects fo- One important way that fresh produce becomes contami- cus on co-management of agriculture and wildlife by develop- nated with foodborne pathogens, like Salmonella and E. coli, is ing new environmentally friendly ways to deter various species through poop. Fecal material harbors all kinds of bacteria. So, in from fields. -
Voting Record of the Members of the Arizona Senate
Voting record of the members of the Arizona Senate ASBA 2012 Legislative Scorecard Voting Record Senator Legislative DistrictParty HB 2123 HB2150 HB2272 HB2503 HB2466 HB2815 An important activity in ASBA’s public Paula Aboud policy efforts includes tracking how 28 D Y N Y N Y N 50% legislators vote on our priority bills Sylvia Allen 5 R Y Y Y Y Y Y 100% and scoring them. ASBA’s priority Frank Antenori 30 R Y Y Y Y NV Y 83% bills are ones that are the most critical Nancy Barto 7 R Y Y Y Y Y Y 100% to advancing our legislative agenda or Andy Biggs viewed as a threat. When a priority 22 R Y Y Y Y Y Y 100% bill makes its way through the Judy Burges 4 R Y Y Y Y Y Y 100% lawmaking process and receives a Olivia Cajero Bedford 27 D Y N Y N Y N 50% floor vote in both the House and Rich Crandall 19 R Y Y Y Y NV Y 83% Senate, all members of the Arizona Adam Driggs Legislature have an equal opportunity 11 R Y Y Y Y Y Y 100% to vote on the bill. Steve Gallardo 13 D Y N Y N NV N 33% Ron Gould 3 R NV Y NV Y Y N 50% ASBA had thirteen priority bills during Linda Gray 10 R Y NV Y Y Y N 67% 2012 legislative session, six of which Gail Griffin Y Y Y received floor votes in both houses 25 R Y Y Y 100% and were used to score legislators. -
Letterhead #1 Agency
Janice K. Brewer Clarence H. Carter Governor Director Ms. Joan Clark Director, Arizona State Library, Archives and Public Records 1700 West Washington, Suite 200 Phoenix, Arizona 85007 Dear Ms. Clark: Pursuant to A.R.S. § 46-741, the Department of Economic Security (DES) is submitting the enclosed Neighbors Helping Neighbors (NHN) Fund Annual Report to the appropriate legislative committees, which includes summaries of total monies collected and distributed for SFY 2014. If you have any questions, please contact me at (602) 542-5757. Sincerely, Clarence H. Carter Director Enclosure cc: Members of the House Reform and Human Services Committee Members of the Senate Health and Human Services Committee 1717 W. Jefferson, S/C 010A, Phoenix, AZ 85007 P.O. Box 6123, Phoenix, AZ 85005 Telephone (602) 542-5678 Fax (602) 542-5339 www.azdes.gov Janice K. Brewer Clarence H. Carter Governor Director The Honorable Judy Burges Senate Health and Human Services Arizona State Senate 1700 West Washington Street Phoenix, Arizona 85007 Dear Senator Burges: Pursuant to A.R.S. § 46-741, the Department of Economic Security (DES) is submitting the enclosed Neighbors Helping Neighbors (NHN) Fund Annual Report to the appropriate legislative committees, which includes summaries of total monies collected and distributed for SFY 2014. If you have any questions, please contact me at (602) 542-5757. Sincerely, Clarence H. Carter Director Enclosure cc: Members of the House Reform and Human Services Committee Members of the Senate Health and Human Services Committee Joan Clark, Director, Arizona State Library, Archives and Public Records 1717 W. Jefferson, S/C 010A, Phoenix, AZ 85007 P.O. -
End of Session Report
2014 End of Session Report ARIZONA PEST PROFESSIONALS ORGANIZATION Prepared by: Capitol Consulting, LLC 818 N. 1st Street Phoenix, AZ 85004 www.azcapitolconsulting.com P a g e | 2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Dear AZPPO Members: Sine Die! On April 24, 2014, the 51st Arizona Legislature adjourned sine die at 1:46 AM after 101 days in session. By rule a session can last 100 days with provisions in place for extending it. As you recall, those provisions were put to the test last year with the uncomfortably long 151-day session. The 51st Legislature, 2nd Regular Session officially commenced January 13, 2014. A total of 1,205 bills were introduced by the legislature and of those, 276 have been signed by Governor Janice K. Brewer. The session began as usual with the governor announcing policy priorities for the year during the State of the State address. The governor’s priorities were perhaps met with a little more attentiveness from the legislature after a rocky end to the 2013 session. As you may recall part of the Governor’s ambitious 2013 agenda meant crossing political boundaries at the expense of the most conservative within the state’s GOP. In 2013, the governor muscled her way to pass the Medicaid expansion. After weeks of stalled budget negotiations, the Governor called a Special Legislative Session in an effort to bypass House and Senate leadership and call Medicaid to question. The move sparked rumors of a legislative coup and drove a wedge straight through the Republican caucus, dividing the moderate and conservative members. During her final State of the State address in January, Governor Brewer focused on two priorities including a complete overhaul of the state’s defunct child protective services and a proposal to create new incentives for manufactures to set up shop in Arizona. -
STATE of ARIZONA OFFICIAL CANVASS 2014 General Election
Report Date/Time: 12/01/2014 07:31 AM STATE OF ARIZONA OFFICIAL CANVASS Page Number 1 2014 General Election - November 4, 2014 Compiled and Issued by the Arizona Secretary of State Apache Cochise Coconino Gila Graham Greenlee La Paz Maricopa Mohave Navajo Pima Pinal Santa Cruz Yavapai Yuma TOTAL Total Eligible Registration 46,181 68,612 70,719 29,472 17,541 4,382 9,061 1,935,729 117,597 56,725 498,657 158,340 22,669 123,301 76,977 3,235,963 Total Ballots Cast 21,324 37,218 37,734 16,161 7,395 1,996 3,575 877,187 47,756 27,943 274,449 72,628 9,674 75,326 27,305 1,537,671 Total Voter Turnout Percent 46.17 54.24 53.36 54.84 42.16 45.55 39.45 45.32 40.61 49.26 55.04 45.87 42.68 61.09 35.47 47.52 PRECINCTS 45 49 71 39 22 8 11 724 73 61 248 102 24 45 44 1,566 U.S. REPRESENTATIVE IN CONGRESS - DISTRICT NO. 1 (DEM) Ann Kirkpatrick * 15,539 --- 23,035 3,165 2,367 925 --- 121 93 13,989 15,330 17,959 --- 4,868 --- 97,391 (REP) Andy Tobin 5,242 --- 13,561 2,357 4,748 960 --- 28 51 13,041 20,837 21,390 --- 5,508 --- 87,723 U.S. REPRESENTATIVE IN CONGRESS - DISTRICT NO. 2 (DEM) Ron Barber --- 14,682 --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 94,861 --- --- --- --- 109,543 (NONE) Sampson U. Ramirez (Write-In) --- 2 --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 54 --- --- --- --- 56 (REP) Sydney Dudikoff (Write-In) --- 5 --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 43 --- --- --- --- 48 (REP) Martha McSally * --- 21,732 --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 87,972 --- --- --- --- 109,704 U.S. -
2011 Legislative Summary
th 50 Legislature, First Regular Session Arizona Department of Transportation Legislative Summaries 2011 Contents Members of the 50th Legislature……………………………………………….3 SORTED BY Bill Number Transportation-Related Legislative Summaries - Passed…..…………….……….7 Transportation-Related Legislation - Vetoed………………………………………. 21 *Information for Legislative Summaries was gathered from Legislation On Line Arizona (LOLA), Legislative Research Staff Bill Summaries, and bill language. **Official copies of all 2011 Chapter Laws and complete files of action for public review (for both the Regular and Special Sessions) are available on-line at www.azleg.gov - 1 - Government Relations 206 South Seventeenth Avenue Phoenix, Arizona 85007-3213 Janice K. Brewer Kevin Biesty Governor Government June 7, 2011 Relations Director John S. Halikowski Director John Halikowski, Director Arizona Department of Transportation 206 South 17th Avenue, MD 100A Phoenix, AZ 85007 Dear Director Halikowski: Attached is the final summary of transportation-related legislation considered during the First Regular Session of the 50th Legislature. The First Regular Legislative Session ended on April 20, 2011 lasting 100 days. During the session, 1,496 bills, resolutions, and memorials were introduced, of which 393 were enacted and 29 were vetoed. This document and Final Summaries from previous years can be found online at http://www.azdot.gov/CCPartnerships/Government_Relations/reports.asp. Full legislative chapter text, fact sheets and other legislative information and links can be