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Appendix A: Socio-Economic Profile

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Appendix A: Socio-Economic Profile Healthy Ireland for Louth Plan 2018-2022 Appendix A: Socio-Economic Profile This Socio-Economic Profile is based upon the County Louth Local Economic and Community Plan 2016-20222. In 2016 Co. Louth was the sixteenth largest county (measured by population) in the State at 128,884 (CSO Census of Population). The county was the smallest of the 32 counties in area (827 sq. km). In 2016, the county had a population density of 156 persons per sq. km, compared to the state at 70 persons per sq. km. Co. Louth’s population growth during the period 2002-2006 (26.6%) was stronger than that of the State at 8.2%. In the intercensal period 2011-2016, the population of the county grew by 4.9% compared to the State at 3.8% (slowest rate of growth in twenty years). Quality road and rail networks that provide arterial connections to Dublin City, some 70 km distant, serve Co. Louth, placing it within commuting distance of the city. Belfast City is approximately 80 km distant. Map 2: Co. Louth Electoral Divides Source: CSO Census of Population 2016 Co. Louth Local Community Development Committee (LCDC) 2 Healthy Ireland for Louth Plan 2018-2022 Louth’s location, recognised in its regional move to partner counties along the eastern economic corridor coupled with its indicative youthful population, high commuter levels and reducing unemployment rates means that trends identified at regional level will be more like those of the former eastern rather than border region. Z1.2 Demographics Z1.2.1 Population Ireland experienced a population growth of 31.32% over the intercensal period 1996 to 2016; however, during the period 2011-2016 the population of the State grew by 3.78%. During the period 1996 to 2016 the population of Leinster increased at a comparative rate of 38.67%, whilst increasing by 5.17% between 2011 and 2016. During the intercensal period 2006-2016 the population of the State increased by 11%, whilst the Eastern and Midlands Regional Assembly area increased by 15% and Co, Louth increased by 15.8%. Map 3: Co. Louth Population Distribution by ED Source: CSO Census of Population 2016 3 Healthy Ireland for Louth Plan 2018-2022 In 2016 there were 63,633 (49.4%) males and 65,251 (50.6%) females resident in the county. Fig 7. Co. Louth Gender Balance 2016 51% 49% Females Males Table 9: Population Trend 1996-2016 Census State Leinster Co. Louth 1996 3,626,087 1,924,702 92,166 2002 3,917,203 2,105,579 101,821 2006 4,239,848 2,295,123 111,267 2011 4,588,252 2,504,814 122,897 2016 4,761,865 2,634,403 128,884 Source: CSO Census of Population 2016 The population growth that has been experienced in Co Louth can be largely attributed to external and internal migration (due to Louth’s proximity to Dublin and Belfast) as well as a natural increase in population. Fig. 8: Population Trend 1996-2016 Source: CSO Census of Population 2016 4 Healthy Ireland for Louth Plan 2018-2022 Table 10 – EDs With Population >4,000 2016 ED Name Total Population Population Change 2006 2011 2016 2006 2011 2016 Dundalk Rural (Pt.) 15,975 18,160 19,265 5.57 13.68 0.07 Fair Gate 9,792 9,806 10,424 -9.85 0.14 0.08 St. Peter’s (Pt.) 7,467 9,151 9,721 38.40 22.55 0.07 Haggardstown (Pt.) 5,862 6,390 6,932 19.82 9.01 0.10 St. Mary’s (Louth Pt.) 6,003 6,563 6,859 27.27 9.33 0.04 West Gate 5,887 6,042 6,305 -8.00 2.63 0.05 Dundalk Urban No.4 6,183 6,039 6,130 2.30 -2.33 0.03 Ardee Urban 4,301 4,554 4,919 20.68 5.88 0.09 Castletown (Pt.) 3,944 4,210 4,264 33.03 6.74 0.03 St. Laurence Gate 3,846 4,004 4,068 6.59 4.11 0.02 Source: Haase, T. and Pratschke, J. (2017): 2016 Pobal HP Deprivation Index In 2016 Dundalk Rural (Pt) was the seventh most populous ED in the State at 19,265 people. The most populous was Blanchardstown-Blakestown (Co. Fingal) at 38,894. The key population areas in Co. Louth are Dundalk, Drogheda, and Ardee. Ardee rural (2,952) and urban (4,917) combined had a population of 7,869 according to the CSO Census 2016. Census 2016 results show that Drogheda has maintained its position as the largest town in the State with 40,956 persons. Swords was in second place with 39,248 persons and Dundalk occupied third place with a population of 39,004. 5 Healthy Ireland for Louth Plan 2018-2022 Population Density Co. Louth was the smallest of twelve counties in the Province of Leinster measured by land area (827 km²). It was the sixth largest in terms of population based on Census 2016 data. It was the most densely populated county in Ireland outside of Dublin having a population density of 156 people per km², compared to the national figure of 70.0 people per km². Age Profile In Census 2016, Co. Louth returned 64.51% of the population (83,142) as being aged between 15-64 years (working population), which was slightly lower than the State at 65% (3,117,746). Further analysis of the age profile reveals that the proportion of people aged 75 years and older was lower in Co. Louth at 5.03% (6,483) than the State figure of 5.5% (264,059). Fig. 9: Population Pyramid 2016 Source: CSO Census of Population 2016 Age Dependency At national level age dependency, which is measured as the number of younger (0-14) and older (65+) people as a percentage of those of working age (15-64), increased from 49.3% in 2011 to 52.7% in 2016. The number in the 65 and over category increased by 102,174 – more than twice the 15-64 age category, which rose by 44,477 since 2011. 6 Healthy Ireland for Louth Plan 2018-2022 Table 11– Comparative Age Dependency 2016 Population Age Dependency Under 15 Over 65 Total Age Under 15: Over 64: Old Age Total Age Total Depend. Young Age Depend. % Depend. Pop. Depend. % % County 29,665 16,077 45,742 23.02 12.47 35.49 128.884 State 1,006,552 637,567 1,644,119 21.14 13.39 34.53 4,761,865 Source: CSO Census of Population 2016 In 2016 Co. Louth had a significantly larger cohort of young age-dependent population (23.02%) than was the case in the State (21.14%). The county had a lower percentage of old age dependent population (12.47%) than was the case in the State (13.39%). Map 4 – Age Dependency Rates by ED 2016 Source: Pobal HP Deprivation Index 2016 - Haase, T. and Pratschke, J. (2017) There is evidence of a typical urban-rural differential with age dependency rates exceeding 38% in nine EDs: Carlingford (41.20%), Jenkinstown (41.07%), Stabannan (39.63%), Ravensdale (39.62%), Barronstown (39.35%), Dromin (38.94%), Dysart (38.82%), Greenore, (38.34%), Mansfieldstown (38.27%) and Creggan Upper (38.01%). 7 Healthy Ireland for Louth Plan 2018-2022 Fig. 10: EDs With Age Dependency Rates >39% Source: Pobal HP Deprivation Index 2016 - Haase, T. and Pratschke, J. (2017) Education In 2016, 9.43% of the total population of Co. Louth reported no formal or primary education only. Table 12 – Educational Attainment in Co. Louth 2016 Population Aged 15 and Over Whose % Total Population Average Age Education has Ceased Education Ceased County 81,745 63.43 19.3 State 3,097,052 65.04 19.9 Source CSO StatBank / Profile 10 - Education and Skills and the Irish Language / EA033 There has been a continuous improvement in the level of education amongst adults over the past years throughout Ireland. In 1991, 36.7% of the adult population reported having only primary education. This dropped to half that level (18.9%) in 2006, and dropped significantly in 2011 to 13.8%. In 2016, 8.9% of the adult population of the State were recorded as having only primary education. The comparative figure for Co. Louth was 8.2%. 8 Healthy Ireland for Louth Plan 2018-2022 A1.3.1 Low Educational Attainment The figure below shows the EDs that had the proportion of their population exceeding 20% having attained only primary education. Figure 11 – EDs Primary Education Only >20 2016 Source: Pobal HP Deprivation Index 2016 - Haase, T. and Pratschke, J. (2017) Map 5 – Primary Education Only by ED 2016 Source: Pobal HP Deprivation Index 2016 - Haase, T. and Pratschke, J. (2017) 9 Healthy Ireland for Louth Plan 2018-2022 Z1.3.2 Third-Level Educational Attainment There is a growing recognition that the current model of higher education that sees very large numbers of young people proceed directly from school to third-level education might not best serve the countries future skills needs and might not be the best fit for student needs. Having said that, in 2016 all of the EDs in Co. Louth returned a proportion of their population with third level education exceeding 20. Those EDs that exceeded 35 are Haggardstown (46.72), Carlingford (41.40), Termonfeckin (38.72), Monasterboice (38.64), Dysart (37.83), Ravensdale (37.36) and Mullary (36.88) Those that exceeded 35 are noted in the figure below. Figure 12 – EDs Third-Level Attainment > 35 2016 Source: Pobal HP Deprivation Index 2016 - Haase, T.
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