A Data-Driven Metric of Incentive Compatibility
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Load more
										Recommended publications
									
								- 
												  Pricing Rule in a Clock AuctionDecision Analysis informs ® Vol. 7, No. 1, March 2010, pp. 40–57 issn 1545-8490 eissn 1545-8504 10 0701 0040 doi 10.1287/deca.1090.0161 © 2010 INFORMS Pricing Rule in a Clock Auction Peter Cramton, Pacharasut Sujarittanonta Department of Economics, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland 20742 {[email protected], [email protected]} e analyze a discrete clock auction with lowest-accepted-bid (LAB) pricing and provisional winners, as Wadopted by India for its 3G spectrum auction. In a perfect Bayesian equilibrium, the provisional winner shades her bid, whereas provisional losers do not. Such differential shading leads to inefficiency. An auction with highest-rejected-bid (HRB) pricing and exit bids is strategically simple, has no bid shading, and is fully efficient. In addition, it has higher revenues than the LAB auction, assuming profit-maximizing bidders. The bid shading in the LAB auction exposes a bidder to the possibility of losing the auction at a price below the bidder’s value. Thus, a fear of losing at profitable prices may cause bidders in the LAB auction to bid more aggressively than predicted, assuming profit-maximizing bidders. We extend the model by adding an anticipated loser’s regret to the payoff function. Revenue from the LAB auction yields higher expected revenue than the HRB auction when bidders’ fear of losing at profitable prices is sufficiently strong. This would provide one explanation why India, with an expressed objective of revenue maximization, adopted the LAB auction for its upcoming 3G spectrum auction, rather than the seemingly superior HRB auction. Key words: auctions; clock auctions; spectrum auctions; behavioral economics; market design History: Received on April 16, 2009.
- 
												  Collusion Constrained EquilibriumTheoretical Economics 13 (2018), 307–340 1555-7561/20180307 Collusion constrained equilibrium Rohan Dutta Department of Economics, McGill University David K. Levine Department of Economics, European University Institute and Department of Economics, Washington University in Saint Louis Salvatore Modica Department of Economics, Università di Palermo We study collusion within groups in noncooperative games. The primitives are the preferences of the players, their assignment to nonoverlapping groups, and the goals of the groups. Our notion of collusion is that a group coordinates the play of its members among different incentive compatible plans to best achieve its goals. Unfortunately, equilibria that meet this requirement need not exist. We instead introduce the weaker notion of collusion constrained equilibrium. This al- lows groups to put positive probability on alternatives that are suboptimal for the group in certain razor’s edge cases where the set of incentive compatible plans changes discontinuously. These collusion constrained equilibria exist and are a subset of the correlated equilibria of the underlying game. We examine four per- turbations of the underlying game. In each case,we show that equilibria in which groups choose the best alternative exist and that limits of these equilibria lead to collusion constrained equilibria. We also show that for a sufficiently broad class of perturbations, every collusion constrained equilibrium arises as such a limit. We give an application to a voter participation game that shows how collusion constraints may be socially costly. Keywords. Collusion, organization, group. JEL classification. C72, D70. 1. Introduction As the literature on collective action (for example, Olson 1965) emphasizes, groups often behave collusively while the preferences of individual group members limit the possi- Rohan Dutta: [email protected] David K.
- 
												  Integrating the Structural Auction Approach and Traditional Measures of Market PowerIntegrating the Structural Auction Approach and Traditional Measures of Market Power Emílio Tostão Department of Agricultural Economics Oklahoma State University 535 Ag. Hall, Stillwater, OK 74078-6026 Email: [email protected] Chanjin Chung Department of Agricultural Economics Oklahoma State University 322 Ag. Hall, Stillwater, OK 74078-6026 Email: [email protected] B. Wade Brorsen Department of Agricultural Economics Oklahoma State University 414 Ag. Hall, Stillwater, OK 74078-6026 Email: [email protected] Selected Paper prepared for presentation at the American Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting, Long Beach, California, July 23-26, 2006. Copyright by Emílio Tostão , Chanjin Chung, and B . Wade Brorsen . All rights reserved . Readers may make verbatim copies of this document for non commercial purposes by any means , provided that this copyright notice appears on all such copies . 1 Integrating the Structural Auction Approach and Traditional Measures of Market Power Abstract This study asks the question, what is the relationship between traditional models of market power and structural auction models? An encompassing model is derived that considers both price markdowns due to bid shading during an auction and price markdowns at the industry-level due to imperfect competition. Data from a cattle procurement experimental market is used to compare the appropriateness of the two alternative theories. Regression results show that while the number of firms is more important than the number of bidders on lot of cattle in explaining pricing behavior in the game, the number of bidders does contain some unique information and should be included in the model. Both the traditional NEIO and structural auction approaches overestimated the true markdowns possibly due to failure to account for the winners curse.
- 
												  Informational Size and Incentive CompatibilityEconometrica, Vol. 70, No. 6 (November, 2002), 2421–2453 INFORMATIONAL SIZE AND INCENTIVE COMPATIBILITY By Richard McLean and Andrew Postlewaite1 We examine a general equilibrium model with asymmetrically informed agents. The presence of asymmetric information generally presents a conflict between incentive com- patibility and Pareto efficiency. We present a notion of informational size and show that the conflict between incentive compatibility and efficiency can be made arbitrarily small if agents are of sufficiently small informational size. Keywords: Incentive compatibility, mechanism design, incomplete information. 1 introduction The incompatibility of Pareto efficiency and incentive compatibility is a central theme in economics and game theory. The issues associated with this incompatibility are particularly important in the design of resource allocation mechanisms in the presence of asymmetrically informed agents where the need to acquire information from agents in order to compute efficient outcomes and the incentives agents have to misrepresent that information for personal gain come into conflict. Despite a large literature that focuses on these issues, there has been little work aimed at understanding those situations in which informational asymmetries are quantitatively important. Virtually every transaction is characterized by some asymmetry of information: any investor who buys or sells a share of stock generally knows something rel- evant to the value of the share that is not known to the person on the other side of the transaction. In order to focus on more salient aspects of the problem, many models (rightly) ignore the incentive problems associated with informa- tional asymmetries in the belief that, for the problem at hand, agents are “infor- mationally small.” However, few researchers have investigated the circumstances under which an analysis that ignores these incentive problems will yield results similar to those obtained when these problems are fully accounted for.
- 
												  Demand Reduction and Inefficiency in Multi-Unit AuctionsThe Review of Economic Studies Advance Access published July 28, 2014 Review of Economic Studies (2014) 0, 1–35 doi:10.1093/restud/rdu023 © The Author 2014. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Review of Economic Studies Limited. Demand Reduction and Inefficiency in Multi-Unit Auctions Downloaded from LAWRENCE M. AUSUBEL University of Maryland http://restud.oxfordjournals.org/ PETER CRAMTON University of Maryland MAREK PYCIA UCLA MARZENA ROSTEK University of Wisconsin-Madison at University of Wisconsin-Madison Libraries on October 27, 2014 and MAREK WERETKA University of Wisconsin-Madison First version received July 2010; final version accepted April 2014 (Eds.) Auctions often involve the sale of many related goods: Treasury, spectrum, and electricity auctions are examples. In multi-unit auctions, bids for marginal units may affect payments for inframarginal units, giving rise to “demand reduction” and furthermore to incentives for shading bids differently across units. We establish that such differential bid shading results generically in ex post inefficient allocations in the uniform-price and pay-as-bid auctions. We also show that, in general, the efficiency and revenue rankings of the two formats are ambiguous. However, in settings with symmetric bidders, the pay-as-bid auction often outperforms. In particular, with diminishing marginal utility, symmetric information and linearity, it yields greater expected revenues. We explain the rankings through multi-unit effects, which have no counterparts in auctions with unit demands. We attribute the new incentives separately to multi-unit (but constant) marginal utility and to diminishing marginal utility. We also provide comparisons with the Vickrey auction. Key words: Multi-Unit Auctions, Demand Reduction, Treasury Auctions, Electricity Auctions JEL Codes: D44, D82, D47, L13, L94 1.
- 
												  CONFLICT and COOPERATION WITHIN an ORGANIZATION: a CASE STUDY of the METROPOLITAN WATER DISTRICT of SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA by DAVIDCONFLICT AND COOPERATION WITHIN AN ORGANIZATION: A CASE STUDY OF THE METROPOLITAN WATER DISTRICT OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA by DAVID JASON ZETLAND B.A. (University of California, Los Angeles) 1991 M.S. (University of California, Davis) 2003 DISSERTATION Submitted in partial satisfaction of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY in Agricultural and Resource Economics in the OFFICE OF GRADUATE STUDIES of the UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA DAVIS Committee in Charge 2008 Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1129046 Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1129046 Abstract Back in 1995, one member of a water co- did not change to reflect this scarcity, wa- operative announced it was going to buy wa- ter continued to be treated as a club good ter from an “outside” source. Other mem- when it should have been treated as a pri- bers of the cooperative did not like this idea, vate good. Because MET did not change its and a dispute broke out. After lawsuits, lob- policies for allocating water (take as much as bying and lopsided votes, peace of a sort was you need, at a fixed price, no matter where bought with 235 million dollars of taxpayer it is delivered), inefficiency increased. Argu- money and intense political pressure. Why ments over the policies increased inefficiency did this dispute happen? Was it exceptional even further. or typical? Is it possible that cooperative According to Hart and Moore (1996), members are not cooperative? These ques- cooperatives are efficient (relative to firms) tions are intrinsically interesting to students when members have reasonably homoge- of collective action, but they are more signif- nous preferences.
- 
												  Countering the Winner's Curse: Optimal Auction Design in a Common Value ModelTheoretical Economics 15 (2020), 1399–1434 1555-7561/20201399 Countering the winner’s curse: Optimal auction design in a common value model Dirk Bergemann Department of Economics, Yale University Benjamin Brooks Department of Economics, University of Chicago Stephen Morris Department of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology We characterize revenue maximizing mechanisms in a common value environ- ment where the value of the object is equal to the highest of the bidders’ indepen- dent signals. If the revenue maximizing solution is to sell the object with proba- bility 1, then an optimal mechanism is simply a posted price, namely, the highest price such that every type of every bidder is willing to buy the object. If the object is optimally sold with probability less than 1, then optimal mechanisms skew the allocation toward bidders with lower signals. The resulting allocation induces a “winner’s blessing,” whereby the expected value conditional on winning is higher than the unconditional expectation. By contrast, standard auctions that allocate to the bidder with the highest signal (e.g., the first-price, second-price, or English auctions) deliver lower revenue because of the winner’s curse generated by the allocation. Our qualitative results extend to more general common value envi- ronments with a strong winner’s curse. Keywords. Optimal auction, common values, maximum game, posted price, re- serve price, revenue equivalence. JEL classification. C72, D44, D82, D83. 1. Introduction Whenever there is interdependence in bidders’ willingness to pay for a good, each bid- der must carefully account for that interdependence in determining how they should bid. A classic motivating example concerns wildcatters competing for an oil tract in a Dirk Bergemann: [email protected] Benjamin Brooks: [email protected] Stephen Morris: [email protected] We acknowledge financial support through National Science Foundation Grants SES 1459899 and SES 2001208.
- 
												  On the Existence of Equilibrium in Bayesian Games Without ComplementaritiesON THE EXISTENCE OF EQUILIBRIUM IN BAYESIAN GAMES WITHOUT COMPLEMENTARITIES By Idione Meneghel and Rabee Tourky August 2019 Revised November 2019 COWLES FOUNDATION DISCUSSION PAPER NO. 2190R COWLES FOUNDATION FOR RESEARCH IN ECONOMICS YALE UNIVERSITY Box 208281 New Haven, Connecticut 06520-8281 http://cowles.yale.edu/ ON THE EXISTENCE OF EQUILIBRIUM IN BAYESIAN GAMES WITHOUT COMPLEMENTARITIES IDIONE MENEGHEL Australian National University RABEE TOURKY Australian National University Abstract. This paper presents new results on the existence of pure-strategy Bayesian equilibria in specified functional forms. These results broaden the scope of methods developed by Reny (2011) well beyond monotone pure strate- gies. Applications include natural models of first-price and all-pay auctions not covered by previous existence results. To illustrate the scope of our results, we provide an analysis of three auctions: (i) a first-price auction of objects that are heterogeneous and imperfect substitutes; (ii) a first-price auction in which bidders’ payoffs have a very general interdependence structure; and (iii) an all-pay auction with non-monotone equilibrium. Keywords: Bayesian games, monotone strategies, pure-strategy equilibrium, auctions. 1. Introduction Equilibrium behavior in general Bayesian games is not well understood. While there is an extensive literature on equilibrium existence, that literature imposes sub- stantive restrictions on the structure of the Bayesian game. In particular, previous existence results require some version of the following assumptions: (1) “weak quasi-supermodularity:” informally, the coordinates of a a player’s own action vector need to be complementary; and (2) “weak single-crossing:” informally, a player’s incremental returns of actions are nondecreasing in her types.
- 
												  Agency Business CyclesA Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Golosov, Michail Ju.; Menzio, Guido Article Agency business cycles Theoretical Economics Provided in Cooperation with: The Econometric Society Suggested Citation: Golosov, Michail Ju.; Menzio, Guido (2020) : Agency business cycles, Theoretical Economics, ISSN 1555-7561, Wiley, Hoboken, NJ, Vol. 15, Iss. 1, pp. 123-158, http://dx.doi.org/10.3982/TE3379 This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/217101 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ www.econstor.eu Theoretical Economics 15 (2020), 123–158 1555-7561/20200123 Agency business cycles Mikhail Golosov Department of Economics, University of Chicago and NBER Guido Menzio Department of Economics, New York University and NBER We develop a theory of endogenous and stochastic fluctuations in economic ac- tivity.
- 
												  Political Game Theory Nolan Mccarty Adam MeirowitzPolitical Game Theory Nolan McCarty Adam Meirowitz To Liz, Janis, Lachlan, and Delaney. Contents Acknowledgements vii Chapter 1. Introduction 1 1. Organization of the Book 2 Chapter 2. The Theory of Choice 5 1. Finite Sets of Actions and Outcomes 6 2. Continuous Outcome Spaces* 10 3. Utility Theory 17 4. Utility representations on Continuous Outcome Spaces* 18 5. Spatial Preferences 19 6. Exercises 21 Chapter 3. Choice Under Uncertainty 23 1. TheFiniteCase 23 2. Risk Preferences 32 3. Learning 37 4. Critiques of Expected Utility Theory 41 5. Time Preferences 46 6. Exercises 50 Chapter 4. Social Choice Theory 53 1. The Open Search 53 2. Preference Aggregation Rules 55 3. Collective Choice 61 4. Manipulation of Choice Functions 66 5. Exercises 69 Chapter 5. Games in the Normal Form 71 1. The Normal Form 73 2. Solutions to Normal Form Games 76 3. Application: The Hotelling Model of Political Competition 83 4. Existence of Nash Equilibria 86 5. Pure Strategy Nash Equilibria in Non-Finite Games* 93 6. Application: Interest Group Contributions 95 7. Application: International Externalities 96 iii iv CONTENTS 8. Computing Equilibria with Constrained Optimization* 97 9. Proving the Existence of Nash Equilibria** 98 10. Strategic Complementarity 102 11. Supermodularity and Monotone Comparative Statics* 103 12. Refining Nash Equilibria 108 13. Application: Private Provision of Public Goods 109 14. Exercises 113 Chapter 6. Bayesian Games in the Normal Form 115 1. Formal Definitions 117 2. Application: Trade restrictions 119 3. Application: Jury Voting 121 4. Application: Jury Voting with a Continuum of Signals* 123 5. Application: Public Goods and Incomplete Information 126 6.
- 
												  ABSTRACT ESSAYS on AUCTION DESIGN Haomin Yan Doctor of Philosophy, 2018 Dissertation Directed By: Professor Lawrence M. AusubelABSTRACT Title of dissertation: ESSAYS ON AUCTION DESIGN Haomin Yan Doctor of Philosophy, 2018 Dissertation directed by: Professor Lawrence M. Ausubel Department of Economics This dissertation studies the design of auction markets where bidders are un- certain of their own values at the time of bidding. A bidder's value may depend on other bidders' private information, on total quantity of items allocated in the auction, or on the auctioneer's private information. Chapter 1 provides a brief introduction to auction theory and summarizes the main contribution of each following chapter. Chapter 2 of this dissertation ex- tends the theoretical study of position auctions to an interdependent values model in which each bidder's value depends on its opponents' information as well as its own information. I characterize the equilibria of three standard position auctions under this information structure, including the Generalized Second Price (GSP) auctions, Vickrey-Clarke-Groves (VCG) auctions, and the Generalized English Auc- tions (GEA). I first show that both GSP and VCG auctions are neither efficient nor optimal under interdependent values. Then I propose a modification of these two auctions by allowing bidders to condition their bids on positions to implement ef- ficiency. I show that the modified auctions proposed in this chapter are not only efficient, but also maximize the search engine's revenue. While the uncertainty of each bidder about its own value comes from the presence of common component in bidders ex-post values in an interdependent values model, bidders can be uncertain about their values when their values depend on the entire allocation of the auction and when their values depend on the auctioneer's private information.
- 
												  Lectures in Contract Theory1Lectures in Contract Theory1 Steve Tadelis and Ilya Segal2 UC Berkeley and Stanford University Preliminary and Incomplete December 2005 1These notes were prepared for a second year graduate course in Contract theory at Stanford University (Econ 282/291) and UC Berkeley (Econ 206). They are preliminary and incomplete. Thanks also to Debbie Johnston for typing the first version and to Scott Hemphill for excellent research assistance. 2Copyright c 1998-2005 by Steven Tadelis and Ilya Segal. All rights reserved. No part of these° notes may be reproduced in any form by any electronuic or mechanical means without writen permission from the author. Contents IIntroduction 5 0.1Tradewithsmallnumbersofagents............... 6 0.2 Incentives ............................. 7 0.3BoundedRationality....................... 8 0.4Contracts,Mechanisms,Institutions............... 8 II Hidden Information 10 1 The Principal-Agent Model 12 1.1Setup................................ 12 1.1.1 Preferences........................ 12 1.1.2 Contracting........................ 13 1.2Single-CrossingandtheMonotonicityofChoice........ 13 1.3TheFullInformationBenchmark................ 16 1.4TheRevelationPrinciple..................... 18 1.5SolutionwithTwoTypes..................... 20 1.5.1 ManyDiscreteTypes................... 24 1.6SolutionwithaContinuumofTypes.............. 25 1.6.1 TheRelaxedProblem................... 28 1.6.2 Whattodoifmonotonicitybinds(technical)...... 31 1.7ApplicationsoftheModel.................... 32 1.7.1 SecondDegreePriceDiscrimination..........