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Beogradska Škola Meteorologije Sveska Druga Belgrade School of Meteorology Volume 2 Milan T. Stevančević Nedeljko Todorović Milan Radovanović Vladan Ducić Milan Milenković Beogradska škola meteorologije Sveska druga Belgrade School of Meteorology Volume 2. Beograd, 2009. Biblioteka : Naučna istraživanja Autori Milan T. Stevančević Nedeljko Todorović Milan Radovanović Vladan Ducić Milan Milenković Nataša Marjanović Beogradska škola meteorologije Sveska druga Belgrade School of Meteorology Volume 2. Izdavač Milan T. Stevančević Kompjuterska obrada Dejan M. Stevančević Štampa: “LOG” Beograd Direktor Raša Ivanović Prevod na engleski Jelena Radovanović CIP – Katalogizacija u publikaciji Narodna biblioteka Srbije, Beograd 551.5(082) Beogradska škola meteorologije. Sv.2 = Belgrade school of Meteorology.Vol.2/Milan Stevan čević, Nedeljko Todorović, Milan Radovanović, Vladan Ducić, Milan Milenković; ( prevod na engleski Jelena Radovanović). ’*Beograd : M.T.Stevančević, 2009 (Beograd : Log) -273 str, ; ilustr, ; 24cm. (Biblioteka Nauč na istraživanja) Radovi na srpskom i engl. Jeziku. Tiraž 150.Bibliografija uz pojedine radove.-Apstracts. ISBN 978-86-904985-4-3 1.Yp. stv. nasl. 2. Stevančević, Milan T.(autor) ( izdavač), 1937- Meteorologija – Zbornici COBISS. SR-ID 167331084 © 2006 All Rights Reserved No part of this book may be reproduced, stored in retrieval system, recording or atherwise, without written permission. Beogradska škola meteorologije 1 Садржај : Предговор ....................................................................................... 5 PREFACE ………………………………………………………... 9 1. Teorijske osnove heliocentrične meteorologije 1.1 Prostorna raspodela polja niskog i visokog atmosferskog pritiska kao put za istraživanje magnetnih vrata Spatial Distribution of the Fields with Low and High Atmospheric Pressure as the Way to the Research of the Geomagnetic Portals ..........................................13 Milan Stevančević 1.2. Nastajanje oblačnih kapi i vertikalana raspodela vlažnosti The Cloudy Drops Formation and Vertical Distribution of Humidity.............................................. 29 Milan Stevančević 1.3. Komplementarna polja atmosferskog pritiska . Complementary Fields of Atmospheric Pressure……..…………45 Milan Stevančević 2 Heliocentrična meteorologija 2. Heliocentrična istraživanja 2.1. Uticaj relativističkih elektrona na dnevni hod temperature i pritiska Influence of Relativistic Electrons on Daily Temperature Regime and Atmospheric Pressure.............................................................65 Milan Stevančević, Nedeljko Todorović 2.2. Analiza zahlađenja 14. septembra 2008. godine Analysis of Cold Spell from September 14th 2008 ..................105 Milan Stevančević 2.3. Korelacija između hemijskog sastava kiše i hemijskog sastava čestica Sunčevog vetra Correlation between the Chemical Structure of Rain and Solar Wind Particles..................................................................121 Milan T. Stevančević, Nedeljko Todorović 2.4. Uticaj interplanetarnog magnetnog polja na pojavu snežnih zima u Srbiji Influence of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field on Snow Precipitations in Serbia……………..………….……145 Milan T. Stevančević, Nedeljko Todorović 2.5 СУНЧЕВА АКТИВНОСТ И ПРОТИЦАЈИ ДУНАВА У СРБИЈИ DANUBE RIVER DISCHARGE IN SERBIA – A POSSIBLE SOLAR ACTIVITY CONNECTION .............................…………177 Владан Дуцић, Наташа Марјановић Beogradska škola meteorologije 3 3. Šumski požari 2.1. WILDFIRE IN DELIBLATSKA PESCARA (SERBIA) – CASE ANALYSIS ON JULY 24th 2007….…………………..……..191 Milan Radovanovicc , Joao Fernando Pereira Gomesab*, Vladan Ducicd, Milan Milenkovice, Milan Stevancevicf cGeographical Institute “Jovan Cvijic”, Serbian Academy of Sciences and Arts — SANU, Djure Jaksica 9, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia aChemical Engineering Department, IST — Instituto Superior Técnico, Torre Sul, Av. Rovisco Pais, 1, 1049-001 Lisboa, Portugal bChemical Engineering Department, ISEL — Instituto Superior de Engenharia de Lisboa, R. Conselheiro Emídio Navarro, 1, 1949-014 Lisboa, Portugal dGeographical Faculty, Studentski trg 3, 11000 Belgrade e Faculty of Forestry, Kneza Viseslava 1, 11030 Belgrade f Ex. Superior Counsellor, Federal Ministry of Telecommunications, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia 3. Objavljeni radovi 3.1. Iz oblasti šumskih požara…………………………..………...261 3.2 Iz oblasti meteorologije……………………………..……….. 265 4. Razno 4.1. Energije Nedeljko Todorović....................................................................269 4 Heliocentrična meteorologija Beogradsku školu meteorologije osnovali su 2006. godine: -Milan T. Stevančević, B. Sc. E. Eng. EX. Superior Councellor,Federal Ministy for Telecommunications Rodonačelnik heliocentrične elektromagnetne meteorologije -Nedeljko Todorović, Diplomirani meteorolog, Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia, Belgrade, Serbia, -Milan Radovanović Direktor Geografskog institute “Jovan Cvijić“ Srpska akademija i umetnosti SANU -Vladan Ducić Vanredni professor, Geografski fakultet, Beograd Doprinos Beogradskoj školi meteorologije dali: - Milan Milenković, Faculty of Forestry, Kneza Viseslava 1, Belgrade; - Mira Paskota, University of Belgrade, The Faculty of Transport and Traffic Engineering, Serbia; -Aleksandar Pešić, Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia, Belgrade, Serbia; -Tihomir Popović, Serbian Environmental Protection Agency .Belgrade, Serbia, - Dragan Đorđević, Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia, Belgrade, Serbia; - Joao Fernando Pereira Gomes, Chemical Engineering Department, IST — Instituto Superior Técnico, Torre Sul, Av. Rovisco Pais, 1, 1049- 001 Lisboa, Portugal Chemical Engineering Department, ISEL — Instituto Superior de Engenharia de Lisboa, R. Conselheiro Emídio Navarro, 1, 1949-014 Lisboa, Portugal - Наташа Марјановић, Дипломирани географ, Географски факултет, Београд Beogradska škola meteorologije 5 Predgovor Putovanje ka novim saznanjima se nastavlja. Posle objavljivanja prve sveske Beogradske škole meteorologije, istraživanja u oblasti heliocentrične elektromagnetne meteorologije donela su dovoljno materijala za objavljivanje druge sveske. Polazno stanovište za istraživanja procesa u atmosferi Zemlje predstavlja uzročno-posledična veza Sunčeve aktivnosti i vremena i klime na Zemlji. Sunčeva aktivnost, pod kojom se podrazumeva promenljivost brojnih procesa definisanih parametrima kao štu su magnetno polje, zračenje, pege, koronarne rupe, ekspolozije, a zatim i Sunčev vetar, određen naelektrisanim česticama, njihovom temperaturom, gustinom i brzinom, i interplanetarno magnetno polje, imaju direktnu posledicu u atmosferi Zemlje u vidu pokretanaja čestica vazduha i stvaranja osnovnih tipova cirkulacije vazduha u stratosferi i troposferi, oblačnosti, padavina i drugih meteoroloških fenomena. Istraživanja se baziraju na osnovnim teorijskim postavkama koje je Milan Stevančević izložio u knjizi „Teorijske osnove heliocentrične elektromagnetne meteorologije” i na saznanjima do kojih su došli istraživači u svetu koji su shvatili značaj Sunčeve varijabilnosti za razumevanje procesa u atmosferi Zemlje. Teorijska osnova istraživanja podudarna je sa opšteprihvaćenim naučnim shvatanjima da su u makrosvetu elektromagnetna i gravitaciona osnovne pokretačke sile, a da su ostale posledične. Ubrzano kretanje nekog referentnog sistema dovodi do toga da se tela kreću kao da na njih deluje neka tajanstvena sila. Ovakve prividne sile, koje je fizičar Leonard Mlodinov u svojoj knjizi „Euklidov prozor” nazvao izmišljene sile jer ne potiču iz fizičkih izvora, kao što je na primer naelektrisanje, mogu da se odstrane ako se čitava postavka sagleda iz drugog referentnog sistema koji bi bio u ravnomernom kretanju (takozvani inercioni sistem). Posmatrano sa stanovišta heliocentrične 6 Heliocentrična meteorologija elektromagnetne meteorologije, jedna od tih izmišljenih sila je, na primer, gradijentna sila pritiska, koja dakle nije izvorna sila. Do danas predstavljene ideje i hipoteze, kao i one date u ovoj svesci, predstavaljaju značajno drugačije viđenje nekih osnovnih postavki u meteorologiji, a neke menja iz korena, i daju doprinos boljem razumevanju i objašnjenju procesa u atmosferi. Ovaj doprinos razumevanju procesa na Zemlji skromni je prilog razjašnjenju velike nepoznanice: kakva to sila nagoni kosmos da se sve u njemu pokorava istim pravilima. U ovoj svesci, struktura sadržaja slična je onoj u prvoj; uglavnom su to radovi i članci u kojima se predstavlja i proširuje problematika na teorijskim osnovama, iznose nove hipoteze i sugerišu zaključci, a zatim nekoliko članaka koji su na naki način već predstavljeni stručnoj javnosti na konferencijama i u časopisima. Osnovna zamisao je da se na osnovu svega objavljenog u budućnosti nastave istraživanja, a iznete hipoteze potvrde ili odbace. U okviru teorijskih postavki iznosi se nekoliko novih hipoteza. Hipotezom o stvaranju oblačnih i kišnih kapi daje se iz korena novo viđenje. Oblačna kap nastaje hemijskom reakcijom (atomski proces) sjedinjavanja kiseonika i vodonika koji se nalaze u sastavu Sunčevog vetra. U sledećem koraku, kišna kap nastaje dejstvom elektromagnetne sile u procesu elektronske valencije između jonizovanih atoma raznih hemijskih elemenata u sasatavu Sunčevog vetra električnih opterećenja i polarizovanih molekula u sastavu mikroskopskih oblačnih kapi prethodno nastalih sjedinjavanjem vodonika i kiseonika iz Sunčevog vetra i polarizovanih molekula vodene pare nastale isparavenjem oblačnih kapi, a uvećava se gravitacionom elektronskom koagulacijom. Bliska prethodnoj je i hipoteza o hemijskom sastavu kiše. Kiša nije voda, već hemijski rastvor sa određenom PH vrednošću. Dejstvom snažnih magnetnih polja
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