RESEARCH AND ANALYSIS The Changing of

Christopher Kennedy, John Cuddihy, and Joshua Engel-Yan

Keywords Summary global cities industrial Data from urban metabolism studies from eight metropoli- materials flow analysis (MFA) tan regions across five continents, conducted in various years sustainable cities since 1965, are assembled in consistent units and compared. urban environment Together with studies of water, materials, , and nutrient urban metabolism flows from additional cities, the comparison provides insights into the changing metabolism of cities. Most cities studied ex- hibit increasing per capita metabolism with respect to water, e-supplement available on the JIE Web site wastewater, energy, and materials, although one showed increasing efficiency for energy and water over the 1990s. Changes in solid waste streams and air pollutant emissions are mixed. The review also identifies metabolic processes that threaten the of cities. These include altered ground water levels, exhaustion of local materials, accumu- lation of toxic materials, summer heat islands, and irregular ac- cumulation of nutrients. Beyond concerns over the sheer mag- nitudes of resource flows into cities, an understanding of these accumulation or storage processes in the urban metabolism is critical. Growth, which is inherently part of metabolism, causes changes in water stored in urban aquifers, materials in the building stock, heat stored in the urban canopy layer, and po- tentially useful nutrients in urban waste dumps. Practical reasons exist for understanding urban metabolism. The vitality of cities depends on spatial relationships with surrounding hinterlands and global resource webs. Increas- ing metabolism implies greater loss of farmland, forests, and Address correspondence to: species diversity; plus more traffic and more . Urban Prof. Christopher Kennedy policy makers should consider to what extent their nearest re- Department of Civil Engineering University of Toronto sources are close to exhaustion and, if necessary, appropriate 35 St. George Street strategies to slow exploitation. It is apparent from this review Toronto, Ontario M5S 1A4, Canada that metabolism data have been established for only a few cities worldwide, and interpretation issues exist due to lack of common conventions. Further urban metabolism studies are © 2007 by the Massachusetts Institute of required. Technology and Yale University

Volume 11, Number 2 www.mitpressjournals.org/jie Journal of 43 RESEARCH AND ANALYSIS

Introduction strates how understanding of accumulation pro- cesses in the urban metabolism is essential to the Cities grow in complex ways due to their of cities. sheer size, social structures, economic , Sustainable development can be understood and geopolitical settings, and the evolution of as development without increases in the through- technology (Hall 1998). Responding to waves of put of materials and energy beyond the bio- new technology, cities have grown outward from sphere’s capacity for regeneration and waste as- small dense cores, first as linear transit cities and similation (Goodland and Daly 1996). Given this then as sprawling automobile cities. Changes in definition, a sustainable city implies an urban re- industry have also been important; obsolete fac- gion for which the inflows of materials and en- tories have often closed down, leaving behind ergy and the disposal of wastes do not exceed the contaminated soil and groundwater. asso- capacity of its hinterlands. As discussed in this ciated with rebuilding on such brownfield sites article, this definition presents difficulties in the have encouraged developers to pursue greenfield context of cities dependent on global markets; sites on the edges of cities. Ever-growing urban nevertheless, it provides a relative bar against populations also fuel the expansion of cities. Yet which progress may be measured. In quantify- even cities showing no change or decreasing pop- ing material and energy fluxes, urban metabolism ulations, such as some older industrial cities, are studies are valuable for assessing the direction of still growing outward. a city’s development. Forty years ago, in the wake of rapid urban The objectives of this article are twofold. expansion, Abel Wolman published a pioneer- The first objective is to review previously pub- ing article on the metabolism of cities. Wolman lished metabolism studies to elucidate what we (1965) developed the urban metabolism concept know about how urban metabolism is changing. in response to deteriorating air and water quality A previous review article on energy and mate- in American cities—issues still recognized today rial flows to cities has been presented by Decker as threatening sustainable urban development. and colleagues (2000), but it made only minor Wolman analyzed the metabolism of a hypothet- reference to the metabolism concept; it did not ical American city, quantifying the overall fluxes include reference to many of the studies con- of energy, water, materials, and wastes into and sidered here; and it did not specifically ask how out of an urban region of 1 million people. urban metabolism is changing. The number of The metabolism of an has been de- metabolism studies is not sufficient to apply any fined by ecologists as the production (via pho- form of statistical analysis, and therefore, some tosynthesis) and consumption (by respiration) of might argue, to identify any generalizable trends. organic matter; it is typically expressed in terms Nevertheless, the balance of evidence generally of energy (Odum 1971). Although a few studies points to increasing urban metabolism. have focused on quantifying the embodied energy The second objective is to identify critical pro- in cities (Zucchetto 1975; Huang 1998), other cesses in the urban metabolism that threaten the urban metabolism studies have more broadly in- sustainable development of cities. It has been ar- cluded fluxes of nutrients and materials and the gued that high levels of urban resource consump- urban hydrologic cycle (Baccini and Brunner tion and waste production are not issues about 1991). In this broader context, urban metabolism sustaining cities per se, but reflect concerns over might be defined as the sum total of the technical and the role of cities in global sustainable develop- socioeconomic processes that occur in cities, resulting ment (Satterthwaite 1997). Although partially in growth, production of energy, and elimination of agreeing, we aim to show that there are also pro- waste. cesses within the urban metabolism that threaten Since Wolman’s work, a handful of urban urban sustainability itself. In particular we high- metabolism studies have been conducted in urban light storage processes—water in urban aquifers, regions around the globe. By reviewing these heat stored in urban canopy layers, toxic mate- studies, this article describes how the urban rials in the building stock, and nutrients within metabolism of cities is changing. It also demon- urban waste dumps—all of which require careful

44 Journal of Industrial Ecology RESEARCH AND ANALYSIS long-term management. Understanding the though most inputs to Toronto’s metabolism were changes to such storage terms in some cities may constant or increasing, some per capita outputs, be as important as reducing the sheer magnitudes notably residential solid waste, had decreased of inputs and outputs. between 1987 and 1999. Metabolism studies of The cities studied are metropolitan regions, other cities include those for Tokyo (Hanya and that is, similar to standard metropolitan statisti- Ambe 1976), Vienna (Hendriks et al. 2000), cal areas (SMSAs) in the United States, which Greater London (Chartered Institute of Wastes often encompass several politically defined cities, Management 2002), Cape Town (Gasson 2002), that is, cities under the jurisdiction of a local mu- and part of the Swiss Lowlands (Baccini 1997). nicipal government. These metropolitan regions Some studies have quantified urban metabolism can generally be regarded as commutersheds,al- less comprehensively than others. Bohle (1994) though the basis for definition may differ between considers the urban metabolism perspective on countries. urban food systems in developing countries. A The metabolism of cities will be analyzed in few studies of nutrient flows in urban systems have terms of four fundamental flows or cycles—those been undertaken (Nilson 1995; Bjorklund¨ et al. of water, materials, energy, and nutrients. Dif- 1999, Baker et al. 2001), whereas others have ferences in the cycles may be expected between specifically investigated metals or plastics in the cities due to age, stage of development (i.e., avail- urban metabolism. Collectively these metabolism able technologies), and cultural factors. Other studies provide a quantitative appraisal of the dif- differences, particularly in energy flows, may be ferent ways that cities are changing worldwide. associated with climate or with urban population Related to the urban metabolism concept is density (table 1). Each of the two objectives will the application of the tech- be addressed sequentially within a discussion of nique to cities (Wackernagel and Rees 1995). the four cycles. The ecological footprint of a city is the amount of biologically productive area required to provide its natural resources and to assimilate its wastes. Previous Metabolism Studies Published studies include those for Vancouver Insights into the changing metabolism of (Wackernagel and Rees 1995), Santiago de cities can be gained from a few studies from Chile (Wackernagel 1998), Cardiff (Collins around the world, conducted over several et al. 2006), and cities of the Baltic region of decades. These studies are typically of greater Europe (Folke et al. 1997). The equivalent areas metropolitan areas, including rural or agricultural of for sustaining cities are typically fringes around urban centers. One of the earli- one or two orders of magnitude greater than the est and most comprehensive studies was that of areas of the cities themselves. Brussels, Belgium by the ecologists Duvigneaud and Denaeyer-De Smet (1977), which included Water quantification of urban biomass and even organic discharges from cats and dogs (figure 1)! In study- In terms of sheer mass, water is by far ing the city of Hong Kong, Newcombe and col- the largest component of urban metabolism. leagues (1978) were able to determine inflows Wolman’s calculations for the 1960s for a one- and outflows of construction materials and fin- million-person U.S. city estimated the input of ished goods. An update of the Hong Kong study water at 625,000 tonnes1 per day compared to by Warren-Rhodes and Koenig (2001) showed just 9,500 tonnes of fuel and 2,000 tonnes of food. that per capita food, water, and materials con- Most of this inflow is discharged as wastewater, sumption had increased by 20%, 40%, and 149%, with the remainder being lost by activities such respectively—from 1971 to 1997. Upward trends as the watering of lawns. Data from the cities in per capita resource inputs and waste outputs in table 1 show that wastewater represents be- were also reported in a study of Sydney, Australia tween 75% and 100% of the mass of water inflow (Newman 1999). Studying a North American (figure 2a). The six studies since 1990 typically city, Sahely and colleagues (2003) found that al- have higher per capita water inputs than the four

Kennedy, Cuddihy, and Engel-Yan, The Changing Metabolism of Cities 45 RESEARCH AND ANALYSIS = 32 C) ◦ + 1.8 − 9/5) ∗ C] ◦ Av. temperature ( 3.28 feet (ft). (Celsius temperature [ ≈ E E E SE E 0S 22.3E 13 6 20.8 13.5 NNN 76 17N 16.4 88N 24.3N 4.2 28.0 105 6.9 170 17.0 19.9 14 18.5 16.7 1.8 4.9 W W ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ 18 16 139 (geographic coordinates) Altitude (m) Summer Winter ) 2 247 acres. One meter (m, SI) ≈ 0.386 square miles ≈ Population Urbanized Location 1990 3.657 2,000 151 1999 5.071 2,920 79 100 hectares (ha) = ,SI) 2 F]. ◦ Wastes Management 2002 Denaeyer-De Smet 1977Warren-Rhodes and Koenig 2001 1997 7.0 58,000White 2003 114 2000 4 0 capita. One square kilometer (km Characteristics of cities (metropolitan areas) where urban metabolism studies have been conducted = cap CityU.S. typical Wolman 1965Brussels Duvigneaud and Reference 1965 Year 1970s 1.0 (million) 1.075 density (cap/km — 6,640 50 — — — — Vienna Hendriks and colleagues 2000Cape Town 1990s Gasson 2002 1.5 3,710 2000 3.0 48 3,900 34 TokyoHong Kong Hanya and Ambe Newcombe 1976 andSydney colleagues 1978Toronto 1971 Newman 1999 Sahely 1970 3.940 and colleagues 2003London 11.513 1987 Chartered Institute of 6,632 1970 4.038 2.79 2000 22 35 7.4 6,730 43 33 51 Fahrenheit temperature [ Ta b l e 1 Note:

46 Journal of Industrial Ecology RESEARCH AND ANALYSIS

Figure 1 The urban metabolism of Brussels, Belgium in the early 1970s. Source: Duvigneaud and Denaeyer-De Smet 1977. from the early 1970s, although Tokyo in 1970 and ing water table falls with increased extraction, London and Cape Town in 2000 are significant so deeper wells are drilled. Overexploitation of exceptions. In the case of Toronto, per capita ground water often occurs. Moreover, as a result water use slightly declined over the 1990s, due of urban activities, often including continued dis- largely to a reduction in industrial consumption. charge of wastewater to the ground, the shallow Nevertheless, none of the cities has quite reached ground water in the city center becomes polluted. the level of water use of the average U.S. city Subsidence may begin to occur, depending on reported by Wolman. soil characteristics. The paving of land surfaces The impacts of water on the sustainability of and the growth of drainage systems also begin to cities have further dimensions, beyond the cru- have a discernible impact on the ground water cial need for inhabitants to have a safe, reliable (figure 3b). As the city expands further water supply. For those that rely on ground wa- and matures, a turnaround can sometimes occur. ter, the long-term relationship between cities and With widespread contamination of the aquifer their ground water environments is illustrative. below the city, or a movement of heavy, water- As cities evolve from small settlements they typi- extracting industry away from city centers, pump- cally go through several stages of development ing of the urban aquifer ceases. The city now re- in which the relationship with an underlying lies on periurban well fields or expensive water aquifer changes (Foster et al. 1998). In the early imports from distant sources. With the cessation settlement stage, water supply is obtained from of pumping, the water table below the city begins shallow urban wells and boreholes, and waste- to rise. Because of changes in the surface recharge, water and drainage waters are discharged to the the water table may rise above that under virgin ground or to a watercourse (figure 3a). As the conditions, potentially causing flooding or dam- settlement grows into a small city the underly- age to (figure 3c). In this evolving

Kennedy, Cuddihy, and Engel-Yan, The Changing Metabolism of Cities 47 RESEARCH AND ANALYSIS

250

200

150 Water Supply 100 Wastewater t/cap/yr 50

0 Tokyo (1970) London (2000) London Toronto (1987) Toronto (1999) Sydney (1970) Sydney (1990) Vienna (1990s) Brussels (1970s) Hong KongHong (1971) Hong KongHong (1997) Cape Town (2000) Town Cape av. US. city (1965) (a)

5 4.5 4 3.5 3 Residential 2.5 2 Total t/cap/yr 1.5 1 0.5 0 Tokyo (1970) London (2000) London Toronto (1987) Toronto (1999) Sydney (1970) Sydney (1990) Vienna (1990s) Brussels (1970s) Hong KongHong (1971) Cape Town (2000) Town Cape Hong KongHong (1997) av. US. city (1965)

(b)

Figure 2 Metabolism parameters from selected cities. (a) Fresh water inputs and wastewater releases. (b) Solid waste disposal. (c) Energy inputs. (d) Contaminant emissions. Missing bars indicate data unavailable. Date refers to the date of measurement; t refers to tonnes. For sources see table 1. The data behind this figure are available in an electronic supplement (e-supplement) on the JIE Web site. One tonne (t) = 103 kilograms (kg, SI) ≈ 1.102 short tons. One gigajoule (GJ) = 109 joules (J, SI) ≈ 2.39 × 105 kilocalories 5 (kcal) ≈ 9.48 × 10 British Thermal Units (BTU). SO2 = sulfur dioxide; NOx = nitrogen oxides; VOC = volatile organic compounds. process cities can go from exploiting ground water coastal cities, overpumping has caused salt water resources to potentially being flooded by them. intrusion, threatening ground water supplies; ex- Problems of overexploiting ground water amples include Gothenburg, Perth, Manila, and have occurred in many cities. One example is Jakarta (Volker and Henry 1988). Decades of Beijing, China, where the water table dropped by lowering of water tables in Mexico City have 45 m between 1950 and 1990 (Chang 1998). In caused land subsidence of 7.5 m in the center of

48 Journal of Industrial Ecology RESEARCH AND ANALYSIS

160 140 120 100 Primary 80 60 Direct

GJ/cap/yr 40 20 0 1965) Tokyo (1970) London (2000) London Toronto (1987) Toronto (1999) Sydney (1970) Sydney (1990) Brussels (1970s) Hong KongHong (1971) Hong KongHong (1997) Town (2000) Cape av. U.S. city ( city U.S. av. (c)

0.07 0.06 0.05 SO2 0.04 NOx 0.03 VOC t/cap/yr 0.02 Particulates 0.01 0 London (1995) London Toronto (1995) Sydney (1970) Sydney (1990) Brussels (1970s) Hong KongHong (1997) Town (2000) Cape Hong KongHong (1971) av. US. city (1965) (d)

Figure 2 Continued

the city, altering surface drainage and damaging change in surface features and local climate over infrastructure (Ortega-Guerrero et al. 1993). the past decades. Concerns over the potential impact of rising Rising water tables have also been recorded for watertablesappliestoatleastoneofthestudy several cities in the Middle East: Riyadh, Jeddah, cities. Because industrial withdrawals decreased Damman, Kuwait, Al-Ajman, Beirut, Cairo, and in London during the 1960s, the water table in an Karachi (Abu-Rizaiza 1999). In many cases the underlying chalk aquifer has been rising at a rate cause is subterranean discharge of wastewater of 1 to 2.5 m per year under central London (Cox flows, where there is no surface water outlet. Such 1994; Castro and Swyngendow 2000). Moreover, rising of ground water levels threatens urban in- leakage from London’s water distribution systems, frastructure, including basements, foundations, estimated to make up 28% of the total water tunnels, and other subsurface pipes and cables. supply, may be adding to this rise in the water Resulting cracks in columns, beams, and walls table. Where the water table will reach equilib- were reported in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. In many rium is an open question, especially given the respects the physical integrity of cities depends

Kennedy, Cuddihy, and Engel-Yan, The Changing Metabolism of Cities 49 RESEARCH AND ANALYSIS

Water Table

(a) Early settlement

Water Table

(b) Town grows into a city

Imports of Water from Distant Surface or Ground Water Sources Water Supply from Water Supply from Peri-urban Wellfields Peri-urban Wellfields

(c) Mature city

Figure 3 Evolution of water supply and wastewater disposal for a typical city underlain by a shallow aquifer. The arrows indicate water flows; the line with dots indicates the water table. Source: Adapted from Figure 1.2 of Foster et al. 1998. on achieving equilibrium in the ground water other European cities (Hammer et al. 2003). In component of the urban metabolism. 1997, Hong Kong’s daily material inputs included 363 tonnes of glass; 3,390 tonnes of plastics; 9,822 tonnes of cement; 2,095 tonnes of wood; Materials 7,240 tonnes of iron and steel; and 2,768 tonnes Material inputs to cities are generally less of paper. Relative to 1971, inputs of plastics had well quantified than water inputs, despite their risen by 400%; iron and steel increased by close significance to urban infrastructure. Detailed to 300%; cement and paper inputs were both up analyses, however, have been conducted for by 275%; and wood inputs had more than dou- Hong Kong and Vienna. Material flow analyses bled. In comparison, the population only rose by have also been conducted for Hamburg and a few 78%. The historical trend in the construction

50 Journal of Industrial Ecology RESEARCH AND ANALYSIS material input to Vienna is also upward. In most cumulative hole in the vicinity of Vienna due to decades prior to the 1970s, the per capita use of excavation of materials since 1880 is estimated construction materials was 0.1 m3/yr (the 1930s to be over 200 million m3, and growing rapidly being a significant exception at 1.4 m3/cap/yr).2 (Brunner and Rechberger 2004). The volumes of input in the 1970s, 1980s, and A dimension of material flows that impacts 1990s, however, were 2.4, 3.3, and 4.3 m3/cap/yr, the sustainability of a city is the distance over respectively (Brunner and Rechberger 2004). which materials are transported. As cities grow Upward per capita trends, for the period 1992 and transportation infrastructure develops, raw and 2001, were also estimated for direct material materials seemingly travel increasingly long dis- input and domestic material consumption for the tances into cities. During the first half of the City of Hamburg (Hammer et al. 2003).. This ev- twentieth century, mineral aggregates used by idence suggests that cities are becoming increas- the construction industry in Toronto came from ingly material-intensive. quarries within a few kilometers of the city. By Measures of solid waste outputs are available 1970, the aggregates were traveling an average of for most of the cities in table 1, although these 160 km from various counties around the Toronto data need careful interpretation. Where cities region (figure 4), the former sources having been have introduced significant schemes, exhausted or consumed within the urban area. the disposal of residential household waste may Douglas and colleagues (2002) describe similar be declining in per capita terms. For example, effects during the growth of Manchester, Eng- in Toronto, per capita residential waste declined land, since the industrial revolution. In some re- by 27% between 1987 and 1999. If other waste spects the city is like a plant stretching its roots streams such as the commercial and industrial out further and further until its resource needs are included, however, the overall trend may are met—a concept that parallels the ecological well be upward; three of the cities studied in the footprint. One aspect of this growth is that cities 1990s have total waste outputs greater than 1.5 require greater expenditure of transportation en- t/cap/yr, whereas all cities studied in the 1970s, ergy as materials travel from increasing distances. except Tokyo, had outputs below 1 t/cap/yr (fig- ure 2b). Some caution has to be taken in in- Energy terpreting material outputs. Construction waste is often the largest solid waste component (e.g., The quantification of urban energy fluxes as 57% for Tokyo), but because much of it is con- a component of urban metabolism has varied sidered inert and can be recycled or used as fill, in depth and breadth between studies. One of it may not appear in calculations of total waste the most comprehensive was that of Brussels, for outputs. which both natural and anthropogenic energy In Vienna, where some of the most extensive sources were quantified. Most other studies have material flow studies have been conducted, the focused directly on anthropogenic sources, ne- production of “holes” from mining of aggregates glecting net all-wave radiation and heat transfer by far exceeds the city’s output of waste mate- due to evapotranspiration, local advection, soil rials. Construction materials, of course, go into conduction, and mass water transfer. The impor- the building stock and typically remain within tance of urban heat islands, discussed below, how- the urban fabric for many decades. In Vienna ever, indicates the significance of incorporating the stock of materials in the buildings and in- anthropogenic sources into the natural surface frastructure is estimated to be 350 t/cap. This energy balance of cities. stock is clearly growing: the input of construction Comparisons of the anthropogenic energy in- materials and consumer products is on the order puts for the cities of table 1 need to distin- of 12 to 18 t/cap/yr, whereas solid waste is only guish between the direct energy consumed and 3 t/cap/yr. Taking a slightly different perspective, the primary energy consumption, which includes it is evident that the production of holes due energy losses in the production of electricity to the excavation of construction materials by far (figure 2c). With its cold winters, and fairly warm exceeds the rate at which they are backfilled. The summers, Toronto has the highest per capita

Kennedy, Cuddihy, and Engel-Yan, The Changing Metabolism of Cities 51 RESEARCH AND ANALYSIS

Figure 4 The distribution of mineral aggregate sources for Metropolitan Toronto in 1972. Metropolitan Toronto, in the center of the figure, is the destination of all flow shown. Source: Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources. energy use of the cities. London and Sydney use portation accounts for a significant proportion significantly more energy per capita than Hong of urban anthropogenic energy. Among the most Kong, potentially due to its warm winters and significant and highly debated findings are those higher urban density. A further interesting con- of Newman and Kenworthy (1991), which illus- trast is that between London in 2000 and Brussels trate per capita transportation energy consump- in the early 1970s. Both cities lie at approxi- tion decreasing as population density increases mately the same latitude and have similar cli- (figure 5). All of the cities from table 1 except mates and almost identical population densities, Cape Town were included in the study, which yet per capita consumption in modern-day Lon- used data from the 1980s. Hong Kong is the don is an order of magnitude higher. Upward prime example of a dense city with low trans- trends in energy consumption since the 1970s portation energy; the European trio Brussels, Lon- are also evident for Sydney and Hong Kong. don, and Vienna are less energy-intensive than A minor reduction has been experienced in the newer cities of Sydney and Toronto. Al- Toronto since 1987, perhaps due to changing in- though the premise that urban form influences dustrial demands and increasing efficiency. With transportation energy has been criticized, most the exception of Toronto, none of the other cities notably by Gordon and Richardson (1989), stud- have reached the energy consumption levels of ies have demonstrated that although population Wolman’s average U.S. city. density may not in itself contribute to explaining The relationship between transportation en- transportation demand, distance from the cen- ergy demand and urban form has been widely tral business district and other employment cen- studied, but with various conclusions. Trans- ters does (Miller and Ibrahim 1998). As such,

52 Journal of Industrial Ecology RESEARCH AND ANALYSIS

Figure 5 Variation in annual transportation energy consumption and population density among several global cities during the 1980s. ’000 MJ = one thousand megajoules = one gigajoule (GJ) = 109 joules (J, SI) ≈ 2.39 × 105 kilocalories (kcal) ≈ 9.48 × 105 British Thermal Units (BTU). One hectare (ha) = 0.01 square kilometers (km2,SI)≈ 0.00386 square miles ≈ 2.47 acres. Source: Newman and Kenworthy 1991. Reprinted with permission. the hypothesis linking transportation demand, puts in elevating temperatures. All of the en- energy consumption, and urban spatial structure ergy that is pumped into cities will eventually is valid. The higher per capita energy consump- turn into heat. Estimated anthropogenic con- tion reflected in the urban metabolism of North tributions range from 16 W/m2 for St. Louis to American cities may thus be explained at least in 159 W/m2 for Manhattan (Taha 1997).3 Santa- part by their expansive urban form. mouris (2001) summarizes a collection of studies, A further aspect of the urban energy bal- some of which present contradictory findings, or ance influencing sustainability is the urban heat at least highlight the importance of city-specific island. Most mid- and high-latitude cities ex- features. hibit high urban air temperatures relative to Increases in temperature directly impact sum- their rural surroundings, particularly during the mer cooling loads, thus introducing a potentially evening (Taha 1997). On a calm clear night af- cyclic effect on energy demand. For U.S. cities ter a sunny windless day, elevated temperatures with populations greater than 100,000, peak elec- at the canopy layer can be as much as 10◦C dif- tricity loads increase by about 1% for every ferent in large cities. This urban heat island has degree Celsius increase in temperature (Santa- been identified as a consistent phenomenon by mouris 2001). For high ambient temperatures, urban climatologists (Landsberg 1981; Oke et al. utility loads in Los Angeles have demonstrated a 1991; Oke 1995). Much of the heat island ef- net rate of increase of 167 megawatts (MW)4 per fect is due to the built form distorting the natural ◦C. In Toronto, a 1◦C increase on summer days energy balance—rooftops and paved surfaces ab- corresponds to roughly a 1.6% increase in peak sorb heat and reduce evaporation, whereas street electricity demand. Hot summer days are critical canyons and other microscale effects can act as in Toronto in that they cause the highest electric- heat traps. An interesting issue, however, is the ity demand throughout the year. Such demands relative importance of anthropogenic energy in- are often met through increased coal-generated

Kennedy, Cuddihy, and Engel-Yan, The Changing Metabolism of Cities 53 RESEARCH AND ANALYSIS power, elevating emissions of greenhouse gases for example, using photovoltaics, solar water and other air pollutants. Thus to the extent that heating, or energy recovery from wastewater. anthropogenic energy contributes to the summer- time heat island, there is a small Nutrients loop raising both temperature and contaminant emissions. Understanding the flow of nutrients through As air contaminants are largely associated the urban system is vital to successful nutri- with energy production or utilization, it is perhaps ent management strategies and urban sustainabil- appropriate to analyze them with the energy cy- ity. Consequences of improper management in- cle. Unlike air quality, which can be directly mea- clude eutrophication of water bodies, release of sured, contaminant emissions can be difficult to heavy metals onto agricultural lands, acid rain, quantify due to their wide range of sources within and groundwater pollution (Nilson 1995; Baker an urban region. With the exception of some un- et al. 2001). The Hong Kong metabolism study published values for London in 1995, per capita (Warren-Rhodes and Koenig 2001) included an sulfur dioxide (SO2) and nitrogen oxides (NOx ) analysis of key nutrients: nitrogen and phospho- emissions in the group of cities (appearing in rus. A nitrogen balance for the Central Arizona– figure 2d) are all lower than for Wolman’s U.S. Phoenix (CAP) ecosystem (Baker et al. 2001), a city. The data from Hong Kong and Sydney phosphorus budget for the Swedish municipality show that although SO2 emissions are decreasing, of Gavle¨ (Nilson 1995), and a study of Bangkok NOx has increased since the 1970s. Emissions (Faerge et al. 2001) also provide insight into the of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) are fairly flow of nutrients through urban systems. similar for Toronto in 1997, Sydney in 1990, The studies reveal the extent to which natural Brussels in the early 1970s, and the average U.S. nutrient flows are altered in human-dominated city in 1965; the highest values seen were those ecosystems. In the CAP and Gavle¨ regions, ap- for Sydney in 1970, whereas Hong Kong has had proximately 90% of nitrogen and phosphorus in- consistently low emissions of VOCs. Particulate puts are human-mediated. Whereas the major- emissions reported in the past two decades are ity of phosphorus fluxes are related to human significantly lower than the 0.05 t/cap for the av- food production, import, and consumption (agri- erage 1965 U.S. city. cultural production and food import), nitrogen As urban air quality is a concern, it may be fluxes in urban systems are becoming increas- more appropriate to express emission intensities ingly linked to combustion processes (Bjorklund¨ in kg per unit area, rather than kg per capita, as in et al. 1999, Baker et al. 2001). In the CAP region figure 2d. (The data behind figure 2 are included (which includes agricultural land and desert in 5 in an e-supplement for interested readers. )Note addition to urban Phoenix), fixation from NOx that cities can also be subject to external sources emissions from combustion is the single largest of . nitrogen input, greater than nitrogen inputs from Greenhouse gases are a further form of air pol- commercial fertilizers applied to both crops and lutant of concern for global sustainability. Car- landscapes! In Hong Kong, 42% of the nitrogen bon dioxide (CO2) emissions from the group of output is NOx from combustion, which is equiv- cities correspond quite closely with energy in- alent to nitrogen outputs from wastewater. Thus, puts. Emissions from Toronto are estimated to reductions in nitrogen inputs and outputs might be around 14 t/cap/yr, followed by Sydney at be most readily achieved by reducing NOx emis- close to 9 t/cap/yr. Yet there is still quite a sions (Baker et al. 2001). high level of uncertainty in urban greenhouse gas In addition to managing nutrient inputs and emissions; for example, CO2 emissions reported outputs of the urban system, nutrient storage for London in the late 1990s range from 5.5 to must also be considered. Nutrients may remain 8.5 t/cap/yr. Overall, the emissions of contami- in the urban system through accumulation in soil nants remain quite closely tied to anthropogenic or groundwater by inadvertent losses or direct energy emissions; but this link could weaken as disposal or through nutrient recycling, such as cities learn to exploit sources, the use of food waste for agricultural fertilizer.

54 Journal of Industrial Ecology RESEARCH AND ANALYSIS

Accumulation often results in negative environ- been significantly weakened by modern changes mental consequences, such as groundwater pol- in transportation technology and access to global lution. All study areas exhibit high levels of nu- markets. As cities grow and trient storage. Approximately 60% of all nitro- becomes more centralized, the costs of transport- gen and phosphorus inputs to Hong Kong, 60% ing sewage sludge to local agricultural lands be- of phosphorus inputs to the Gavle¨ municipality, come more prohibitive. Moreover, pharmaceuti- 20% of nitrogen inputs to the CAP region, and cals and other toxics present in wastewater may 51% of phosphorus (but only 3% of nitrogen) in make sludge recycling hazardous to health with- Bangkok do not leave the system. Although a out expensive treatment. These challenges may small amount of these nutrients are recycled, the make other sewage resource recovery alterna- majority are accumulated in municipal and indus- tives, such as energy and water reclamation, more trial waste sites, agricultural soils, and groundwa- attractive for implementation. ter pools (Nilson 1995; Baker et al. 2001; Warren- Theextenttowhichacityshouldbedepen- Rhodes and Koenig 2001). dent on its hinterlands to maintain a sustainable The relatively low levels of nutrient recycling food supply is a difficult question. Many cities practiced in these study areas highlight the lack obtain their food from continental or global net- of synergy that exists between urban centers and works of suppliers. For example, 81% of London’s their hinterlands. Girardet (1992) suggests that 6.9 million tonnes of annual food is imported for cities to be sustainable from a nutrient per- from outside the United Kingdom (Chartered spective, they must practice fertility exchange, in Institute of Wastes Management 2002). Clearly, which the nutrients in urban sewage are returned cities have grown away from dependence on the to local farmland. This relationship between the surrounding landscape. The relationship of mu- city and its hinterlands requires adequate sewage tual dependence between the city and its hin- treatment and an appropriate means of sewage terlands described by von Thunen’s¨ (1966 [origi- transportation, as well as a good supply of local nally published 1826]) “isolated state” no longer agriculture. The process of urban–rural nutrient holds. Peet (1969) shows how the average dis- recycling was prevalent in the United States dur- tance of British agricultural imports increased ing the nineteenth century, until the develop- from 1,820 miles (from London) in 1831–1835 ment of the modern fertilizer industry (Wines to 5,880 miles by 1909–1913; he argues that a 1985). Similar processes existed more recently in continental-scale von Thunen-type¨ agricultural China, where 14 of the country’s 15 largest cities system has operated since the nineteenth cen- were largely self-sufficient in food, supplying a tury. Being part of a continental food network majority of their food requirements from agri- may have economic advantages—and the net- cultural suburbs, which were kept fertile using work as a whole may be more resilient than a sin- treated human waste (Girardet 1992); such prac- gle city. But the sustainability of entire continen- tices have since changed. In contrast, Hong Kong tal food webs is itself in question. In the United produces only 5% of its food needs locally, and States for example, agriculture is heavily reliant human food wastes, which used to be recycled as on fossil fuels; 7.3 units of energy are consumed bone meal fertilizers, are now disposed of in land- to produce one unit of food energy; depletion fills (Warren-Rhodes and Koenig 2001). Given of topsoil exceeds regeneration; and groundwater that the Hong Kong model is more representa- withdrawals exceed recharge in major agricultural tive of most modern cities than the former Chi- regions (Heller and Keolian 2003). Further re- nese case, what can be done to improve urban search is needed to determine whether more lo- sustainability from a nutrient perspective? cally grown food production, either within urban It is not clear that the fertility exchange be- areas or periurban surroundings, offers a more sus- tween a city and its hinterlands described by tainable agricultural system. Girardet (1992) is an appropriate goal for the Even though cities have grown away from de- modern city. Traditionally, there was a symbi- pendence on the surrounding landscape, they otic relationship between cities and their sur- cannot function in isolation from their natu- rounding rural areas, but this relationship has ral environment. The most effective nutrient

Kennedy, Cuddihy, and Engel-Yan, The Changing Metabolism of Cities 55 RESEARCH AND ANALYSIS management strategies are those that are specif- stage of development, could be a further factor in ically tailored to individual ecosystems (Baker the type of urban metabolism. et al. 2001). The creation of such strategies re- Beyond concerns over the sheer magnitudes quires an understanding of nutrient input, ac- of resource flows into cities, there are more subtle cumulation, and output, which can be acquired imbalances and feedbacks that threaten sustain- from detailed nutrient balances within an urban able urban development. Access to large quan- metabolism study. tities of fresh water is clearly vital to sustain- ing a city, but the difference between the input from and output to surface waters may be as im- Conclusions portant as the sheer volume of supply. Where a With data from metabolism studies in eight city imports large volumes of water, but releases cities, spread over five continents and several water into underlying aquifers, whether through decades, observation of strong trends would not leaking water pipes, septic tanks, or other means, be expected from this review. Moreover, there changing water tables may threaten the integrity are concerns over the commensurability of data of urban infrastructure. Whether it is water in from different cities, especially for waste streams. an urban aquifer, construction materials used as Nevertheless, with three different cities hav- fill, heat stored in rooftops and pavements, or nu- ing been analyzed at different times, and other trients accumulated in soils or waste sites, these supporting evidence, some sense of how the accumulation processes should be understood so metabolism of cities is changing can be gleaned. that resources can be used appropriately. Further Many of the data suggest that the metabolism of examination of how resources are used and stored cities is increasing: water and wastewater flows within a city may yield some surprises. For ex- were typically greater for studies in the 1990s ample, Brunner and Rechberger (2001) suggest than those in the early 1970s; Hamburg, Hong that “Modern cities are material hot spots con- Kong, and Vienna have become more materials- taining more hazardous materials than most haz- intensive; and energy inputs to Hong Kong and ardous landfills....”Moreover,growth,whichis Sydney have increased. However, some signs inherently part of a city’s metabolism, implies a point to increasing efficiency, for example, per change in storage. Thus, in addition to quantify- capita energy and water inputs leveling off in ing inputs and outputs, future studies should aim Toronto over the 1990s. Other changes are to characterize the storage processes in the urban mixed; for example, cities that have implemented metabolism. large-scale recycling have seen reductions in res- Beyond scientific interest in the of city idential waste disposal in absolute terms, but growth, there are practical reasons for studying other waste streams—such as commercial and urban metabolism. The implications of increasing industrial—may well be on the increase. Simi- metabolism, at least with current predominant larly, emissions of SO2 and particulates may have technologies, are greater loss of farmland, forests, decreased in several cities, whereas other air pol- and species diversity, plus more traffic and more lutantssuchasNOx have increased. Changes pollution. In short, cities will have even larger in urban metabolism are quite varied between ecological footprints. cities. The vitality of cities depends on spatial re- Future studies might attempt to identify dif- lationships with surrounding hinterlands and ferent classes of urban metabolism. These are global resource webs. As cities have grown and perhaps apparent from the transportation energy transportation technologies have changed, re- data, where old European, dense Asian, and New sources have traveled greater distances to reach World cities are distinctive. Climate likely has cities. For heavier materials, which are more ex- an impact on the type of metabolism; cities with pensive to transport, the exhaustion of the near- interior continental climates would be expected est, most accessible resources may at some point to expend more energy on winter heating and become a constraint on the growth of cities. summer cooling. The cost of energy may also in- For many goods, including food, modern cities fluence consumption. The age of a city, or its no longer rely on their hinterlands; rather, they

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