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"Lake Sacramento" — Can It Happen Again?

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"LAKE SACRAMENTO" - Can It Happen Again? ~__ K srrREl'~T IN T'HE '62 FLOO Leon Hunsaker with Claude Curran "LAKE SACRAMENTO" - Can It Happen Again? Printed by COpy QUIK & ACADEMY PRINTING GRANTS PASS, OREGON Copyright© November 2005 Foreward We are two old men with something to say and not much time left to say it. We have tackled a project that is twice the magnitude of our combined weights (which is considerable)! You may be disappointed that we don't have a standard bibliography -- for this we apologize. However, we do have references to back up what we say and have included a num­ ber of supplements to keep our story flowing. If you'd care to spend 3,4,5, $6 --- (who knows how much) a gallon for gas and drive to Southern Oregon, we'll be happy to show you our backup material. Don't wait too long. Our eyesight is still OK but our hearing is fading fast! Biographical Sketch: Leon Hunsaker (11/1/05) 1. Born in Deweyville, Utah May 6, 1923 2. Graduated from Bear River High School in Garland, Utah in 1941 3. Married Margaret Worlton of Lehi, Utah in Logan, Utah June 10, 1947 4. Four Children (Claudia, Martin, Elizabeth and Arthur), 17 Grandchildren and 4 Great Grandchildren 5. WWII: Bomber Pilot and combat crew training -- flew both B-17s & B-29s 6. B.S. Degree "Aeronautics" --- St. Louis University 7. M.S. Degree "Meteorology" --- M.I.T. 8. Chief Meteorologist --- Pacific Gas & Electric Co. (San Francisco) 9. Associate Professor --- California State University (Sonoma) 10. T.v. Meteorologist --- KPIX Ch.#5 (San Francisco), KTVL Ch.#10 & KOBI Ch.#5 in Medford, Oregon 11. Founded Jet Stream Weather in 1979 (supplied weather forecasts to a network of radio stations in Oregon, Northern Calif. & Wyoming) 12. Still have a 7: 15 A.M. Weathercast (Mon. thru Fri.) on KDOV-FM radio in Medford, Oregon Claude W. Curran Ph.D. I was born in Oakdale, California on October 6, 1938, where I lived the first six years of my life. In 1944 my family moved from there to Sonora, California. In the Fall of 1948 we moved to Paradise, California where I graduated from Paradise Elementary School in 1953. In October 1953 we moved to Corning, where I graduated from Corning Union High School in 1956. My wife Gib (Gwendolyn) and I were married in Durham, California in 1962. We have three marvelous daughters (two of whom are married), and seven beautiful grandchildren. I earned a BS in Social Science from California State University, Chico, in Chico, California in 1961: and MS (1963) and Ph.D. (1973) in Geography from the University of Oklahoma, Norman, Oklahoma. I taught one semester at Sacramento State University, Sacramento, California in 1964; one year at California State University, Chico (1968 - 1969); and, a total of 36 years at Southern Oregon University in Ashland, Oregon. To: OUf families -- especially OUf wives Gwendolyn and Margaret AND Mr. Don Bradshaw pointing out the December 1955 high wa er mark. The 2" x 4" nailed to the tree is at the 110.6' mark on the gauge at Fordyce. (10-6-59) Thank you Brad - You made it possible! ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Claude Many people were very helpful in aiding us find the information we needed. In all instances people exceeded our expectations and for that we are extremely grateful. However, these folks are in no way responsible for any errors in fact or judgment; those are ours alone. Our heartfelt thanks are offered to the following people: Jim Goodridge, State Climatologist (Retired); Maurice Roos, Chief Hydrologist, California Department of Water Resources (Retired); Thomas C. Haltom, GIS AnalystlPublic Information Officer, USGS; Rick Weaver, HydrologistiOSC, Tahoe National Forest; Randal Osterhuber, Central Sierra Snow Laboratory, UC Berkeley; "Martha", Nevada County Library, Grass Valley, California; Nicole Claffy, Librarian, California State Library, Sacramento, California and to Mark McLaughlin, Weather HistorianlWriterlPublisher. To my wife Gwen, for so graciously giving up the dining room table and the space I needed for a makeshift cartography laboratory. Leon The Roskelley Brothers (my grandsons) Jared, Jacob and Jordan. 1. Jared for his website design and installation on the Internet. His computer skills were also uti­ lized to extract streamflow data found on the Internet. 2. Jordan for his initial assistance in developing the graphs. 3. Jacob for a "bang up job" in completing all of the computer generated graphs and other visuals needed for this report. Jeanette Dickson gave us a major boost. Her unique organizational skills were greatly appreciated. Both Claude and I were impressed with how quickly she analyzed what needed to be done. Her timely com­ ments and observations brought all of the loose ends together. Not an easy task when you are dealing with two old men! Mark Hastings for expert computer advice. John Torrens and his retired PG&E Company friends for their willingness to help locate vital information. Redge Heth for calling our attention to press releases dealing with levee maintenance problems and poten--: tial flooding in the Sacramento Valley. To my family for their support and encouragement. We especially want to thank my daughter Claudia for making the facilities and personnel of Copy Quik and Academy Printing available for this project. Final1y to Ann Whipple of the Book Club of California for giving us permission to use the photo of K Street in Sacramento during the flood of 1862. This picture from the book "A Camera In The Gold Rush, Part II Sacramento Flood Pictures And Text" by Robert Vance. CONTENTS PREFACE..................................................................................................................................................... ...........Page 1 INTRODUCTION.................................................................................................................................................... 5 CHAPTER I - A Brief History of Early Floods............................................................................................ 11 CHAPTER II - The Search for Information..................................................................................................... 19 CHAPTER III - Yuba Watershed Now Profiles Prior to 1861-62 Flood Events.............................................. 23 DIAGRAM A - Stream Basin Model.............................................................................................................. 25 CHAPTER IV - Main Factors Contributing to Runoff..................................................................................... 27 CHAPTER V - Information Used in Estimating Stream Flows 1861-62......................................................... 31 CHAPTER VI - Flood Classification Model with Estimated Return Periods................................................... 37 CHAPTER VII - High Water Events Yuba Watershed & Vicinity 1863-1903.................................................. 45 TABLE VII-A - Analyses of Significant High Water Events 1863-1903 ....................................................... 47 CHAPTER VIII - YES!....................................................................................................................................... 49 SUPPLEMENT 1 - Newspaper Accounts of High Water 1861-62......................................................................... 55 SUPPLEMENT 1A- Information Used to Estimate Snow Cover on the Yuba Watershed December 5, 1861........ 61 SUPPLEMENT 1B- Information Used to Estimate Snow Cover on the Yuba Watershed January 7, 1862............. 67 SUPPLEMENT 1C- Information Used to Estimate Snow Cover on the Yuba Watershed January 18,1862............ 71 SUPPLEMENT 2 - Evidence of Record Flood Along Russian River, Early January 1862.................................... 75 SUPPLEMENT 3 - Heavy Snow at Low Elevations, January 5 & 6, 1862............................................................. 81 SUPPLEMENT 4 - Below Freezing Temperatures Prior to Snow Storm of January 5 & 6, 1862........................... 85 DIAGRAM B - Sacramento River Oscillation Chart 1849-1862 .................................................................... 89 SUPPLEMENT 5A- Does the Flood of December 1867 Qualify as a Chapter VI Scenario #4 Flood Event?.......... 91 SUPPLEMENT 5B- Does the Flood of January 1875 Qualify as a Chapter VI Scenario #4 Flood Event?............... 95 SUPPLEMENT 5C- Does the Flood of February 1881 Qualify as a Chapter VI Scenario #4 Flood Event?............. 99 SUPPLEMENT 5D- Does the Flood of January 1896 Qualify as a Chapter VI Scenario #4 Flood Event?............... 103 SUPPLEMENT 6 - Estimated Return Periods for Scenario Floods.......................................................................... 105 APPENDIX PLATES Plate I - Northern California Plate II - Northern Sierra Nevada Plate III - Central California Plate IV - Yuba River Basin SNOW PROFILES Profile 1 - December 5, 1861 Profile 2 - January 7, 1862 Profile 3 - January 18, 1862 Profile 4 - March 15, 1907 Profile 5 - January 11, 1909 Profile 6 - December 19, 1955 Profile 7 - December 19, 1964 Profile 8 - February 15, 1986 Profile 9 - December-January 1996-97 FIGURES Figure 1 - Grass Valley Daily Precipitation, December-January 1861-62 Figure 2 - Sacramento Daily Precipitation Figure 3 - Sacramento Daily Mean Temperatures Figure 4 - Yuba Watershed - Relationship Between Grass Valley and Lake Spaulding Precipitation Figure 5 - Three Day Precipitation “Burst” Figure 6 - Yuba Watershed - Percent Covered by Snow 40 inches or Less in Depth Figure 7 - Yuba Watershed - Percent of
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