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Overberg District Municipality 2017

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Overberg District Municipality 2017 Overberg District Municipality 2017 OVERBERG DISTRICT: AT A GLANCE 1. DEMOGRAPHICS 1 2. EDUCATION 3 3. HEALTH 7 4. POVERTY 12 5. BASIC SERVICE DELIVERY 15 6. SAFETY AND SECURITY 19 7. THE ECONOMY 24 8. INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT 29 SOURCES 35 Overberg District: At a Glance Population Estimates, 2018; Actual households, 2016 284 272 91 835 2016 2016 Gini Coefficient 0.60 Matric Pass Rate 92.7% Human Development Index 0.70 2016 19 71.5% 0.1 7.8% Percentage change between 2016 and 2017 in number of reported cases per 100 000 7.0% 5.5% 10.1% 9.0% 5.2% Percentage of households with access to basic services, 2016 97.9% 87.1% 94.6% 95.7% 81.8% 2016 2016 Drought 65 Unemployment Rate Financial Sustainability (Grant dependency) 83 13.5% Stagnating Economic Growth Contribution to GDP, 2015 Finance, insurance, real estate Wholesale and retail trade, Manufacturing and business services catering and accommodation 20.2% 19.3% 13.3% 1 DEMOGRAPHICS This first chapter of the SEP focusses on the people living in the Overberg District. A demographic perspective of a municipality allows to observe not only simple changes in population growth, but also to look at other various developments that influence the social life of every citizen. Demographics allow to emphasise aspects of society such as gender, race, migration and life expectancy. Decisions made by politicians as well as by the administration affect in almost every case at least one aspect of demographics. Therefore, a good understanding of this area is crucial for the government’s work. The overview of key demographic factors given in this chapter comprises of estimates of population size, the distribution of the population across age cohorts and furthermore the dependency ratio, which is of high importance for understanding economic activity in the area as well as for planning welfare systems. With this short overview, the SEP tries to help municipalities in their budgeting process by delivering precise data as a solid foundation for future decisions. 1 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Overberg District Municipality POPULATION 4 500 000 4 000 000 3 500 000 3 000 000 2 500 000 2 000 000 1 500 000 1 000 000 500 000 0 Cape Central Karoo City of Cape Overberg West Coast Winelands Eden District District Town District District District 2018 864 028 75 688 4 055 580 619 224 284 272 433 445 2019 874 413 76 354 4 094 582 625 186 287 752 439 036 2020 884 565 77 020 4 131 722 631 005 291 150 444 497 2021 894 441 77 685 4 167 003 636 682 294 466 449 847 2022 904 058 78 350 4 200 484 642 220 297 701 455 051 2023 913 391 79 014 4 232 276 647 627 300 860 460 132 Source: Western Cape Department of Social Development, 2017 The total population of the Overberg District is estimated to grow from 284 272 in 2018 to 300 860 in 2023. This equates to 5.8 per cent growth across the period; or an average annual rate of 0.96 per cent. The average annual growth for Overberg District is on par to that of the Province. AGE COHORTS Children: Working Age: Aged: Dependency Year 0 - 14 Years 15 - 65 Years 65 + Ratio 2011 62 129 174 521 21 528 47.9 2018 67 677 198 339 27 257 47.9 2023 69 397 200 604 30 860 50.0 Source: Statistics South Africa Census 2011, Western Cape Department of Social Development, 2017 The above table depicts the population composition regarding age cohorts. The total population is broken down into three different groups: Age 0 - 14: children; Age 15 - 65: working age population; Age 65+: seniors. In the Overberg District, the dependency ratio is expected to increase from 47.9 in 2018, to 50.0 per cent in 2023. This ratio expresses the dependency of people who are part of the workforce (age 15 - 65) and those, who are depending on them (children and seniors). A higher dependency ratio means a higher pressure on social systems and the delivery of basic services. 2 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Overberg District Municipality 2 EDUCATION Education and training improves access to employment opportunities and helps to sustain and accelerate overall development. It expands the range of options available from which a person can choose to create opportunities for a fulfilling life. Through indirect positive effects on health and life expectancy, the level of education of a population also influences its welfare. Data source: Western Cape Education Department, 2017 3 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Overberg District Municipality LEARNER ENROLMENT 700 000 600 000 500 000 400 000 300 000 200 000 100 000 0 Cape City of Cape West Coast Overberg Central Karoo Winelands Eden District Town District District District District 2014 613 393 57 501 139 088 39 542 101 165 14 151 2015 628 048 58 909 141 263 40 501 102 412 14 182 2016 639 251 60 348 142 130 40 841 103 011 14 333 Learner enrolment in the Overberg District increased at an average annual rate of 1.6 per cent between 2014 and 2016. After the West Coast District (2.4 per cent) this is the second fastest growth rate in the Province when compared with other Districts and the City. LEARNER-TEACHER RATIO Learner-teacher ratios within the various local municipalities of the Overberg District increased exponentially since 2014. The ratio is the worst in Cape Agulhas where the number of children per teacher increased from 28.8:1 in 2014 to 44.7:1 in 2014. Similarly, the rate in Theewaterskloof increased from 30.3:1 in 2014 to 44.7:1 in 2016. The smallest increase was noted in Swellendam from 29.3:1 in 2014 to 33.5:1 in 2016. Increased learner-teacher ratios are a major concern as it is commonly assumed that children receive less personalised attention in larger class environments and that high learner-teacher ratios are detrimental to improved educational outcomes. GRADE 12 DROP-OUT RATES The drop-out rates for learners within Overberg District in Grade 10 in 2014 and in Grade 12 in 2016 is the highest at Overstrand (40.6 per cent) and Swellendam (37.2 per cent) compared to Theewaterskloof (31.7 per cent) and Cape Agulhas (27.1 per cent). The overall rate for the Province for this period was 32.9 per cent. These high levels of drop-outs are influenced by a wide array of economic factors including unemployment, poverty, indigent households, high levels of households with no income or rely on less than R515 a month and teenage pregnancies. 4 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Overberg District Municipality EDUCATIONAL FACILITIES The availability of adequate education facilities such as schools, FET colleges and schools equipped with libraries and media centres could affect academic outcomes positively. 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Number of Schools with Libraries Total Number of Schools 2014 57 129 2015 58 129 2016 61 125 The total number of schools in the Overberg District fell from 129 in 2014 and 2015, to 125 in 2016. However, the number of schools with libraries increased over this period, from 57 in 2014, 58 in 2015 to 61 in 2016. Given the tough economic climate, it is expected that parents are increasingly unable to pay school fees. This figure below displays the proportion of no-fee schools within the Overberg District. 90,0% 80,0% 70,0% 60,0% 50,0% 40,0% 30,0% 20,0% 10,0% 0,0% Cape City of Cape West Coast Overberg Central Karoo Winelands Eden District Town District District District District 2014 46,2% 72,1% 77,2% 78,6% 77,4% 79,3% 2015 46,2% 72,1% 77,2% 78,6% 76,9% 79,3% 2016 46,3% 70,4% 76,3% 79,8% 75,3% 79,3% The proportion of no-fee schools increased marginally from 78.6 per cent in 2014 and 2015, to 79.8 per cent in 2016. This was the highest proportion compared with other Districts in the Western Cape; the City however had a significantly lower proportion of no-fee schools (46.3 per cent). 5 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Overberg District Municipality EDUCATION OUTCOMES Education remains one of the key avenues through which the state is involved in the economy. In preparing individuals for future engagements in the broader labour market, policy decisions and choices in the sphere of education play a critical role in determining the extent to which future economic and poverty reduction plans can be realised. This section considers the matric pass rate within the Overberg District. 100,00% 98,00% 96,00% 94,00% 92,00% 90,00% 88,00% 86,00% 84,00% 82,00% 80,00% Overstrand Swellendam Theewaterskloof Cape Agulhas 2014 86,40% 88,20% 88,80% 87,80% 2015 88,20% 94,90% 88,00% 94,00% 2016 90,90% 92,70% 92,40% 97,30% Source: Western Cape Department of Education, 2017 The matric pass rates of the municipalities within the Overberg District was relatively high, around the 90 per cent mark. Cape Agulhas has the highest pass rate in 2016, while Overstrand was the lowest at 90.9 per cent. All the other municipalities pass rates improved from 2015 to 2016, except for Swellendam’s matric pass rate which dropped from 94.9 per cent to 92.7 per cent. The Overberg District pass rate for 2016 was 92.7 per cent.
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