Welcome To The 70th HPC User Forum Meeting September 4-6, 2018 Thank You To Our Sponsors!

• Tuesday Dinner - Dell EMC & • Wednesday Breakfast - HPE & NVIDIA • Wednesday Lunch – AMD • Wednesday PM Refreshments - Altair • Wednesday Dinner - HPE & Intel • Thursday Breakfast - Panasas • Thursday AM Refreshments - Rescale • Thursday Lunch - IBM • Thursday PM Refreshments - HPE & NVIDIA Important Dates For Your Calendar

HPC USER FORUM MEETINGS: ▪ October 1 to 2, Stuttgart, Germany ▪ April 22 to 24, 2019, Santa Fe, New Mexico ▪ September 9 to 11, 2019, Chicago Illinois, Argonne National Laboratory

And Join us for the Hyperion SC18 Briefing: • Tuesday, November 13, The Adolphus Hotel Introduction: Logistics

We have a very tight agenda (as usual) ▪ Please help us keep on time!

Review handouts ▪ Note: We will post most of the presentations on the web site Dinner event CHAIRMAN’S WELCOME HPC User Forum Mission

To Improve The Health Of The High Performance Computing Industry Through Open Discussions, Information- sharing And Initiatives Involving HPC Users In Industry, Government And Academia Along With HPC Vendors And Other Interested Parties The HPC User Forum: 69 Meetings Worldwide Since 2000

Amsterdam, Netherlands (SARA) Manchester, UK (Manchester University) Annecy, France Melbourne, Australia Bangalore, India (Indian Institute of Munich, Germany (LRZ) Technology) New Delhi, India (Indian Institute of Beijing, China (Chinese Academy of Science) Sciences) Paris, France (GENCI) Bologna, Italy (CINECA) Seoul, Korea (National Institute of Bristol, UK Supercomputing & Networking) Bruyères-le-Châtel, France (Teratec) Stuttgart, Germany (HLRS) Canberra, Australia Warsaw, Poland (University of Warsaw) Geneva, Switzerland (CERN) Yokohama, Japan (Earth Simulator Kobe, Japan (RIKEN) Center) Lausanne, Switzerland (EPFL) Zurich, Switzerland (ETH Zurich) London, UK (Imperial College) (many locations) Introduction HPC User Forum Steering Committee HPC Market Update CHECK OUT OUR WEB SITE: www.hpcuserforum.com Visit Our Website: www.HyperionResearch.com Twitter: HPC_Hyperion@HPC_Hyperion

Hyperion Research Holdings, LLC: ▪ Owns 100% of the IDC HPC assets ▪ Tracking the HPC market since 1986 ▪ Headquarters: 365 Ave., St. Paul, MN 55102 The Hyperion Research Team

Earl Joseph Research studies & strategic consulting Steve Conway Strategic consulting, HPC UF, , AI Bob Sorensen Strategic research, government studies, QC Alex Norton Special studies, new data analysis, surveys Lloyd Coen Mike Thorp Global sales management Kurt Gantrish Global sales management

Jean Sorensen Business manager Kirsten Chapman Data collection and surveys Nishi Katsuya Japan research and studies Hyperion Research HPC Activities

• Track all HPC servers sold each quarter • 4 HPC User Forum meetings each year • Publish 85 plus research reports each year • Visit all major sites & write reports • Assist in collaborations between buyers/users and vendors • Assist governments in HPC plans, strategies and direction • Assist buyers/users in planning and procurements • Maintain 5 year forecasts in many areas/topics • Developing a worldwide ROI measurement system • HPDA program (includes ML/DL/AI) • HPC Cloud usage tracking • Quarterly tracking of GPUs/accelerators • Cyber Security • Quantum Computing Top Trends in HPC

He first half of 2018 is looking strong – Exceeded $6 billion (US$) in revenues! ▪ 2017 was also a strong year The top systems has slowed for over 4 years ▪ But the profusion of Exascale announcements is generating a lot of buzz ▪ Governments are investing heavily in exascale systems Big data combined with HPC is creating new solutions ▪ Adding many new users/buyers to the HPC space ▪ AL/ML/DL & HPDA are the hot new areas The Worldwide HPC Server Market: $12.3 Billion in 2017

▪ Record revenues HPC Servers $12.3B

Supercomputers (Over $500K) $4.6B Workgroup (under $100K) $1.9B

Divisional Departmental ($250K - $500K) ($250K - $100K) $2.3B $3.5B 2017 HPC Market By Vertical ($ Millions) HPC Market By Vendor Shares ($K) HPC Market By Regions ($K) New HPC Market Forecasts ($ K) New Forecast: The Broader HPC Market ($ K) WW M/L, D/L, & AI Forecasts EXASCALE UPDATE Exascale Race/Technologies Projected Exascale Dates and Suppliers

U.S. EU Sustained ES*: 2022-2023 PEAK ES: 2023-2024 Peak ES: 2021 Pre-ES: 2021-2022 Vendors: U.S. Vendors: Likely European Processors: U.S. (some ARM?) Processors: Likely ARM or RICS-V Initiatives: NSCI/ECP Initiatives: EuroHPC Cost: $600M per system, plus Cost: Over $350M per system, plus heavy R&D investments heavy R&D investments

China Japan Sustained ES*: 2021-2022 Sustained ES*: ~2022 Peak ES: 2020 Peak ES: Likely as a AI/ML/DL system Vendors: Chinese (multiple sites) Vendors: Japanese Processors: Chinese (plus U.S.?) Processors: Japanese th Cost: $800M-$1B, this includes both 1 13 5-Year Plan system and the R&D costs Cost: $350-$500M per system, plus heavy R&D They will also do many smaller size systems

* 1 exaflops on a 64-bit real application Exascale Race/Technologies Projected Exascale Investment Levels (In Addition to System Purchases)

U.S. EU $1 to $2 billion a year in R&D About 5-6 billion euros in total – and growing Investments by both Investments in multiple exascale governments & vendors and pre-exascale systems Plans are to purchases Investments by country multiple exascale systems governments and from the EU each year Large EU CPU funding

China Japan Over $1billion a year in R&D Planned investment of over Investments by both $1billion* (over 5 years) for governments & vendors both the R&D and purchase of 1 exascale system Plans are to purchases multiple exascale systems each year To be followed by a number of smaller systems ~$100M to Already investing in 3 pre- $150M each exascale systems starting in late 2018 Creating a new processor and a new software environment * Note that this includes both the system and R&D Announced China Pre-Exascale Plans

Sunway Exascale Name Prototype TianHe-2A Sugon Prototype Tianhe-3

Sunway Exascale Sugon Exascale NUDT Exascale Overview Prototype TianHe2 upgrade Prototype Prototype

Prime Developer /Industry Partner NRCPC NUDT/Inspur Sugon /AMD NUDT

National National National Super Location Supercomputing Supercomputing TBD Computer Tianjin Center in Jinan Center in Tianjin Center

Planned/Estimated Delivery Date 2018 1H 2018, 1H 2018, 1H 3Q 2018

Planned/Estimated Performance Pflops 2 94.97 5.12 100-300

Linpack/Peak Performance Ratio 75% (est.) 60% (est.) 60-70% (est.) 60-70% (est.)

Linpack Performance 1.5 PF 56.98 3.072-3.58 60-210 GF/Watt TBD 5.27 10.24 TBD Linpack GF/Watt TBD 3.16 6.14-7.16 TBD

Source: Hyperion Research, 2018

Note: some of these could slip into 2019 Chinese Pre-Exascale Efforts

China is preparing to launch the first of three pre-exascale systems that will be based on three different architectures: ▪ The first of those will be the Tianhe-2A system, a hybrid supercomputer that will use a mix of Intel Xeon processors and the Chinese made Matrix-2000 DSP accelerators and is expected to go online this year – The original Tianhe-1A system, ran on a combination of CPUs and GPUs, using runs both Xeon chips and Intel “Knights Corner” co-processors ▪ Tianhe-2A (also known as Milkyway-2A) will come with 17,792 nodes – each with two Xeon “Ivy Bridge” CPUs and two Matrix-2000 accelerators – and will deliver a performance of 94.97 petaflops

From: https://www.nextplatform.com/2018/02/14/look-whats-store-chinas-tianhe-2a- supercomputer/ Expected Chinese Exascale Plans

Computer Name Sugon Exascale Sunway 2020 NUDT 2020

Sugon Exascale (if Sunway Exascale (if TianHe-3 Prototype Overview selected) selected) Follow-on

Prime Developer /Industry Partner Sugon/AMD NRCPC NUDT City of Qingdao, the largest port in Location Shandong (?) TBD Organization Sugon Sunway NUDT

Planned Delivery Date/ Estimated 2020, 4Q 2020-2021

Planned/Estimated Performance Pflops 1046 1000 1000

Linpack/Peak Performance Ratio 60-70% (est.) 60-70% (est.) 70-80% (est.) Linpack Performance 627-732 600-700 700-800 GF/Watt 34.13 30 (est.) 20-30

Linpack GF/Watt 20.90 20-23 (est.) 23.3-32.0

Source: Hyperion Research, 2018 Summary of Chinese Exascale Efforts

Broad-scale development from a number of suppliers: ▪ NUDT ▪ Sunway ▪ Sugon Noticeable – and continued absence of major Chinese HPC suppliers: ▪ Lenovo, and Inspur Indigenous HW dependence deepens A EU-wide Exascale Development Plan

In January 2018, the European Commission (EC) announced a financial framework for investing €1 billion in European over the next two years ▪ Under this framework, known as the EuroHPC Joint Undertaking, the European Union (EU) would contribute around €486 million ▪ The remainder would be supplied by EU member states and associated countries (and others)

This is a schedule adjustment: one to two years later, from earlier plans, in order to develop the new EU processor (and the system for it) A EU-wide Exascale Development Plan

14 EU member states have already committed to contributing to the EUR €1B funding, virtually assuring the goal will be met Sources of indigenous technology include the ETP4HPC initiative and CEA-RIKEN collaboration around ARMv8 The EU has divided vendors into three classes for purposes of awarding EU-funded projects: ▪ European HPC vendors (based in Europe, doing R&D in Europe) ▪ International European vendors (based outside of Europe, doing R&D in Europe) ▪ Non-European vendors (based outside of Europe, not doing R&D in Europe) Key Motivators For the EU Project

Provide European industry and in particular SME with a better access to supercomputers to develop innovative products Indigenously produce world-class HPCs Allow European scientists and industry to process their data in the EU, reducing problems related to privacy, data protection, commercial trade secrets, and ownership of data in particular for sensitive applications.

The Goal Secure the EU's independent access to top HPC technology In Summary

HPC is still expected to be a growth market ▪ Growing recognition of HPC’s strategic value ▪ HPDA, including ML/DL, cognitive and AI ▪ HPC in the Cloud will lift the sector writ large Vendor share positions shifted greatly in 2015, 2016 & 2017 and may continue to shift ▪ E.g., HPE acquisition of SGI & Lenovo buying IBM's x86 server business The HPDA, AI, ML & DL markets will expand opportunities for vendors Questions?

Please email: [email protected]

Or check out: www.HyperionResearch.com www.hpcuserforum.com Agenda: Wednesday Morning

78:15am Meeting Welcome and Announcements: Paul Muzio, Rupak Biswas, Earl Joseph and Steve Conway 8:30am HPC Market Update and Exascale Programs Around the World, Earl Joseph 8:45am Session: Leadership Computing Initiatives • EuroHPC and the European HPC Strategy, Leonardo Flores, European Commission • Exascale Computing Project Update, Doug Kothe, Oak Ridge National Laboratory • NSF Activities Related to Leadership-Class Computing, Irene Qualters 10:15am Break 10:45am Session: Leadership Computing Initiatives (continued) • ExaAM: Transforming Additive Manufacturing through Exascale Simulation, John Turner, Oak Ridge National Laboratory • The European Processor Initiative, Jean-Marc Denis 11:45am Dell EMC Vendor Update 12:00pm Networking Lunch Please Return By 1:00PM Agenda: Wednesday Afternoon

1:00pm Session: Leadership Computing Initiatives (continued) • NASA's Spaceborne Computer Program, Mark Fernandez, HPE • Suitability of Commercial Clouds for NASA's HPC Applications, Bob Hood 2:00pm HPE Vendor Update 2:15pm Gaining a Competitive Edge with HPC Cloud Computing, William Edsall, Dow Chemical Company 2:45pm Networking Break 3:15pm HPC Innovations: Short Presentations, Moderated by Earl Joseph • Altair, AMD, IBM, Penguin, Panasas, Rescale, Tachyum, and Univa 4:30pm Object Detection in Mobile Urban Complex Environments, Ruth Cheng, ERDC 5:00pm Networking Time 6:30pm Special Dinner Event at the Henry Ford Museum Welcome To The Second Day Of The HPC User Forum Meeting Thank You To Our Sponsors!

• Tuesday Dinner - Dell EMC & Intel • Wednesday Breakfast - HPE & NVIDIA • Wednesday Lunch – AMD • Wednesday PM Refreshments - Altair • Wednesday Dinner - HPE & Intel • Thursday Breakfast - Panasas • Thursday AM Refreshments - Rescale • Thursday Lunch - IBM • Thursday PM Refreshments - HPE & NVIDIA Agenda: Thursday Morning

8:30am Session: Automated Driving Systems, Automotive , Sensor Networks • Bridging the Automated Vehicle Gap: Consumer Trust, Technology and Liability, Kristin Kolodge, J.D. Power and Associates and Tina Georgieva, Miller Canfield • Computer Vision for Autonomous Vehicles, Xiaoming Liu and Garrick Brazil, Michigan State University (45 minutes) • Navigation/Localization Performance of Autonomous Vehicles," Dorota Grejner-Brzezinska, Ohio State College of Engineering 10:15am Scalable AI Solutions and HPC Systems: Examples from the Wild, Bob Zak, Intel 10:30am Networking Break 11:00am Session: Automated Driving Systems, Automotive Engineering, Sensor Networks (continued) • AI for Autonomous Driving Will Revolutionize the Transportation Industry, Bill Veenhuis and Norm Marks, NVIDIA • Nek5000 Engine Simulation with Exascale Scaling, Muhsin Ameen, Argonne National Laboratory 12:00pm Networking Lunch Please Return By 1:00PM Agenda: Thursday Afternoon

1:00pm Session: Automated Driving Systems, Automotive Engineering, Sensor Networks (continued) • Use of HPC for AI Applications at Ford Motor Company, Bryan Goodman • Data Science meets CFD: FieldView Analytics in Engineering, Steve Legensky, Intelligent Light 2:00pm Vendor Technology Update 2:15pm Market Trends in the HPC Arena, Dave Kepczynski, General Electric 2:45pm Networking Break 3:15pm Manufacturing Science and Engineering at Argonne, Santanu Chaudhuri 3:45pm Leadership Computing at Argonne National Laboratory, the Future Home of A21, the First US Exascale System, David Martin 4:15pm Use of HPC to Drive Development of Advanced, More Fuel- Efficient Engines, Ron Grover, General Motors 4:45pm Meeting Wrap-Up, Paul Muzio, Rupak Biswas, Earl Joseph and Steve Conway Important Dates For Your Calendar

HPC USER FORUM MEETINGS: ▪ October 1 to 2, Stuttgart, Germany ▪ April 22 to 24, 2019, Santa Fe, New Mexico ▪ September 9 to 11, 2019, Chicago Illinois, Argonne National Laboratory

And Join us for the Hyperion SC18 Briefing: • Tuesday, November 13, The Adolphus Hotel Thank You To Our Sponsors!

• Tuesday Dinner - Dell EMC & Intel • Wednesday Breakfast - HPE & NVIDIA • Wednesday Lunch – AMD • Wednesday PM Refreshments - Altair • Wednesday Dinner - HPE & Intel • Thursday Breakfast - Panasas • Thursday AM Refreshments - Rescale • Thursday Lunch - IBM • Thursday PM Refreshments - HPE & NVIDIA Thank You For Attending The HPC User Forum Meeting! Questions?

Please email: [email protected]

Or check out: www.HyperionResearch.com www.hpcuserforum.com