WWW.IBISWORLD.COM Generic Pharmaceutical Manufacturing in the US May 2019 1
Chemical reaction: Generic operators are expected to explore new product lines, boosting industry demand
This report was provided to Autobahn Consultants (2134210691) by IBISWorld on 27 October 2019 in accordance with their license agreement with IBISWorld
IBISWorld Industry Report 32541b Generic Pharmaceutical Manufacturing in the US May 2019 Dan Spitzer
2 About this Industry 17 International Trade 34 Technology and Systems 2 Industry Definition 20 Business Locations 35 Revenue Volatility 2 Main Activities 36 Regulation and Policy 2 Similar Industries 22 Competitive Landscape 37 Industry Assistance 3 Additional Resources 22 Market Share Concentration 22 Key Success Factors 39 Key Statistics 4 Industry at a Glance 23 Cost Structure Benchmarks 39 Industry Data 25 Basis of Competition 39 Annual Change 5 Industry Performance 26 Barriers to Entry 39 Key Ratios 5 Executive Summary 27 Industry Globalization 40 Industry Financial Ratios 5 Key External Drivers 7 Current Performance 28 Major Companies 41 Jargon & Glossary 9 Industry Outlook 28 Sandoz Ltd. 11 Industry Life Cycle 29 Mylan Inc. 30 Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. 13 Products and Markets 32 Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd 13 Supply Chain 32 Greenstone LLC 13 Products and Services 15 Demand Determinants 33 Operating Conditions 16 Major Markets 33 Capital Intensity www.ibisworld.com | 1-800-330-3772 | [email protected] WWW.IBISWORLD.COM Generic Pharmaceutical Manufacturing in the US May 2019 2 About this Industry
Industry Definition Generic pharmaceutical and medicine protection, and industry operators are manufacturers develop prescription and not significantly engaged in the research over-the-counter drug products that are and development of new drugs. The used to prevent or treat illnesses in industry does not include manufacturers humans or animals. Generic drugs are of nutritional supplements or cosmetic produced and distributed without patent beauty products.
Main Activities The primary activities of this industry are Developing and producing generic drugs Marketing and distributing generic drugs Gaining regulatory approval for generic drugs
The major products and services in this industry are Antibacterials Cardiovascular disease Diabetes Mental health and central nervous system Pain Other
Similar Industries 32541a Brand Name Pharmaceutical Manufacturing in the US This industry develops drugs that are protected by patent. Companies invest significantly in research and development.
32562 Cosmetic & Beauty Products Manufacturing in the US This industry develops perfumes, shaving preparations, hair preparations, face creams, lotions (including sunscreens) and other cosmetic preparations.
42421 Drug, Cosmetic & Toiletry Wholesaling in the US These wholesalers sell medical and pharmaceutical products to hospitals and private medical practices, supermarkets, mass merchandisers and pharmacies.
44611 Pharmacies & Drug Stores in the US Pharmacies and drug stores retail medicines and drugs to consumers.
54171 Scientific Research & Development in the US Companies in this industry conduct research and development in the physical, engineering or life sciences.
NN001 Biotechnology in the US Biotechnology applies science and technology to living organisms to alter living or nonliving materials for the purpose of knowledge and to produce biotechnology products and services.
Provided to: Autobahn Consultants (2134210691) | 27 October 2019 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM Generic Pharmaceutical Manufacturing in the US May 2019 3
About this Industry
Additional Resources For additional information on this industry www.ama-assn.org American Medical Association www.apha.org American Public Health Association www.accessiblemeds.org Association for Accessible Medicines www.iqvia.com IQVIA www.nih.gov National Institutes of Health www.webmd.com WebMD
IBISWorld writes over 1000 US industry reports, which are updated up to four times a year. To see all reports, go to www.ibisworld.com
Provided to: Autobahn Consultants (2134210691) | 27 October 2019 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM Generic Pharmaceutical Manufacturing in the US May 2019 4 Industry at a Glance Generic Pharmaceutical Manufacturing in 2019
Key Statistics Revenue Annual Growth 14–19 Annual Growth 19–24 Snapshot $64.5bn 1.4% 2.3% Profit Exports Businesses $7.8bn $13.6bn 1,135
Revenue vs. employment growth Federal funding for medicare and medicaid Market Share Sandoz Ltd. 15 15 5.8% 10 10 Mylan Inc. 5 5.0% 5 0
Teva % change % change 0 Pharmaceutical -5 Industries Ltd. -5 -10 3.3% Year 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 Year 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 Revenue Employment SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM p. 28 Products and services segmentation (2019) 5.6% Antibacterials Key External Drivers 7.3% Federal funding for Diabetes Medicare and Medicaid Number of people with 36.1% 10.0% Cardiovascular disease private health insurance Pain Research and development expenditure Trade-weighted index Median age of population 14.7% Mental health and central nervous system
p. 5 26.3% Other SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Industry Structure Life Cycle Stage Mature Regulation Level Heavy Revenue Volatility Medium Technology Change High Capital Intensity Medium Barriers to Entry High Industry Assistance Medium Industry Globalization High Concentration Level Low Competition Level High
FOR ADDITIONAL STATISTICS AND TIME SERIES SEE THE APPENDIX ON PAGE 39
Provided to: Autobahn Consultants (2134210691) | 27 October 2019 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM Generic Pharmaceutical Manufacturing in the US May 2019 5 Industry Performance Executive Summary | Key External Drivers | Current Performance Industry Outlook | Life Cycle Stage
Executive Summary The Generic Pharmaceutical for new product development enticed Manufacturing industry is expanding at a new entrants to the industry over the past steady pace, with revenue expected to five years. Some of this growth represents increase at an annualized rate of 1.4% to brand name pharmaceutical companies $64.5 billion over the five years to 2019, entering the generics industry in an including a 3.0% rise in 2019 alone. attempt to maintain market share as Increasing access to health insurance, their key blockbuster products lose rising total health expenditure and efforts patent protection. to control prescription medication costs Over the five years to 2024, generic benefited generic manufacturers. The manufacturers are expected to lobby for increasing use of generic and biosimilar policies that encourage cost savings and products has already resulted in trillions access to affordable medicines. of dollars in savings for employers, health Furthermore, as a growing number of plans, patients and the government, patents are set to expire over the coming years, generic manufacturers are expected to have robust product High profitability and increased opportunities pipelines. As of 2013, there were more for new product development enticed new than 900 biologics targeting an estimated 100 diseases under development in the entrants to the industry over the past five years United States, according to the Biosimilar Council. IBISWorld expects these trends according to the Association for to continue over the next five years, with Accessible Medicines. Increasing price revenue slated to grow an annualized scrutiny of branded prescriptions has 2.3% to reach $72.3 billion over the five enabled generic manufacturers to take years to 2024. During the outlook period, advantage of pricing pressures and generic operators are expected to explore improve patient access to medicine. new product lines, including biosimilars, While operators in this industry and expand into new and emerging typically have slimmer profit margins markets where consumers can only afford compared with companies in the Brand generics. Domestically, the increasingly Name Pharmaceutical Manufacturers insured population will likely further industry (IBISWorld report 32541a), benefit the industry through expanded average profit margins for the industry insurance coverage for prescription are relatively high and have remained drugs, an improved generic drug stable over the five years to 2019. High approval process and an established profitability and increased opportunities approval pathway for biosimilars.
Key External Drivers Federal funding for Medicare representing a potential opportunity for and Medicaid the industry. When Medicare and Medicaid receive more funding from the US government, Number of people with more consumers gain prescription drug private health insurance coverage, making them better able to Prescription drug coverage through afford the industry’s products and private health insurance reduces the increasing industry demand. Federal out-of-pocket costs of pharmaceuticals funding for Medicare and Medicaid is and can increase demand. However, as expected to increase in 2019, more consumers qualify for private
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Industry Performance
Key External Drivers health insurance, these organizations against the currencies of its major trading continued gain greater negotiating power on drug partners. An increase in the TWI prices, which can hurt industry profit. indicates that the dollar is appreciating Private health insurance coverage is relative to those currencies, making expected to increase in 2019. industry exports relatively more expensive in foreign markets, causing Research and development expenditure international demand for US-made Government and private policies that products to decline. The TWI is expected encourage research and development to increase in 2019, posing a potential (R&D) of new medicines ultimately threat to the industry. benefit generic drug manufacturers because R&D is necessary for generic Median age of population drug development. Moreover, R&D According to the Agency for Healthcare efforts that create new brand name drugs Research and Quality, more than eventually drive downstream demand for 90.0% of seniors and 58.0% of generics as patents expire. In 2019, total nonelderly adults rely on regular R&D expenditure is expected to increase. prescription medication. As the population ages, more people demand Trade-weighted index industry products. The median age of The trade-weighted index (TWI) the population is expected to increase measures the strength of the US dollar slightly in 2019.
Federal funding for Medicare and Medicaid Number of people with private health insurance 15 4
10 3
5 2
0 1 % change % change
-5 0
-10 -1 Year 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 Year 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Provided to: Autobahn Consultants (2134210691) | 27 October 2019 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM Generic Pharmaceutical Manufacturing in the US May 2019 7
Industry Performance
The Generic Pharmaceutical Current Manufacturing industry has expanded Industry revenue steadily over the five years to 2019. Performance 12 According to data from IQVIA, generic drug spending in the United States 9
increased $7.9 billion in 2015, partly 6 driven by the launch of generic celecoxib and valsartan in 2014. Since then, generic 3
operators have benefited from the patent % change 0 expiration of several blockbuster drugs, including Pfizer Inc.’s Viagra and Lyrica, -3 among many others. Over the five years -6 to 2019, industry revenue is expected to Year 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 increase an annualized 1.4% to $64.5 billion, including 3.0% growth in 2019, as SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM generic manufacturers continue to benefit from branded drugs losing their interest and taxes, for an industry patent exclusivity, as well as help from operator is expected to reach 12.1% of the US Food and Drug Administration revenue in 2019, down slightly from (FDA). However, the average profit 12.7% in 2014, as increased competition margin, measured as earnings before continues to drive down profit margins.
Brand name and According to the FDA, generic drugs are channeled resources into generics generic any pharmaceutical preparation that is development, namely biosimilar product identical to a brand name drug in dosage development (drugs developed from organic form, safety, strength, route of origins such as antibodies). Moreover, administration, quality, performance Novartis, which owns major player Sandoz characteristics and intended use. Until Ltd., allocated 19.0% of its total revenue in recently, manufacturers of generic and 2018 toward R&D, although this figure branded drugs operated in two different includes both brand name and generic worlds, driven by separate research and pharmaceutical R&D expenses. development (R&D) efforts. Generic Brand name manufacturers are companies tend to invest relatively little entering the Generic Pharmaceutical in R&D compared with branded Manufacturing industry for two main companies because generic drug makers reasons. Firstly, many branded only needing to demonstrate that their companies lost major patents over the product is bioequivalent to brand name past five years and were forced to decide drugs. However, since Novartis between keeping volumes of expired International AG (Novartis), a major patent drugs and divesting them. player in the Brand Name Additionally, some of these companies Pharmaceutical Manufacturing industry manufacture generic forms of their own (IBISWorld report 32541a), entered the brand name drugs at a lower price to generics market a decade ago, the R&D maintain market share. Secondly, spending gap between the branded and emerging markets have increasingly generic industries has become become a reliable source of increasingly narrow as many brand name pharmaceutical company revenue and companies, such as Pfizer Inc., have generics provide an affordable entry into
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Industry Performance
Brand name and these markets. As brand name solely on their brand name operations. generic continued manufacturers have expanded into the For example, in 2016, Allergan PLC’s industry in recent years, several global generics business, Actavis, industry companies have taken the divested and sold its generics segment opposite path. Some pharmaceutical to Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. manufacturers have divested their (Teva) for $33.4 billion in cash and generic operations altogether to focus 100.0 million shares of Teva stock.
New opportunities Over the past five years, growing demand for generic pharmaceuticals and Emerging markets offer the affordable prescriptions encouraged new industry another kind of operators to enter the industry. As a result, during the current period, the new opportunity number of industry enterprises is expected to increase an annualized 2.5% manufacturers have capitalized on to 1,135 companies, many of which are negative press involving rising drug increasingly focused on producing prices, particularly insulin which is generic biologic drugs, known as heavily used in diabetic patients. biosimilars. While traditional Emerging markets offer the industry pharmaceuticals are developed and another kind of new opportunity. Most produced through chemical processes, industry operators are pursuing new biosimilars are produced with substances consumer bases in markets in eastern made from living organisms or processes Europe, Asia and Latin America, where that generally involve recombinant DNA consumers typically cannot afford technologies. The degree of technical skill expensive brand name drugs and tend to required to engineer and produce pay out-of-pocket for their medicines. In biosimilars has driven many industry some emerging markets, where the fear of companies to hire highly paid and counterfeit or low-quality drugs runs high, educated bioengineers; consequently, consumers are willing to pay a premium for employment is expected to rise at an generics from well-known makers such as annualized rate of 1.7% to 71,281 Teva and Mylan Inc. As a result, exports employees during the current period. are estimated to continue being a large Though the path to manufacturing source of revenue at $13.6 billion in 2019 biosimilars has been difficult and despite decreasing slightly at an annualized expensive, many players have entered rate of 0.4% during the five-year period to this market because biosimilars can 2019. Comparatively, imports have also command higher prices than traditional increased as more pharmaceutical small-molecule chemical drugs, manufacturers set up production providing an opportunity for companies operations abroad; over the five years to to boost their profit margins. On a more 2019, imports are expected to grow at an traditional front, some generic annualized rate of 5.1% to $32.9 billion.
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Industry Performance
The Generic Pharmaceutical internal competition is expected to pose Industry Manufacturing industry is forecast to a challenge for operators. The total Outlook continue growing over the five years to number of industry enterprises is 2024, with revenue expected to increase projected to rise as expected patent an annualized 2.3% to reach $72.3 expirations expand generic product billion. Although the rapidly aging pipelines and entice new operators to population, increasing prevalence of enter the industry. Still, many major chronic illness and growing pressure biologic products are scheduled to lose from insurance companies to cut patent protection over the next five healthcare costs will likely benefit the years, providing an opportunity for industry, intensifying external and operators to produce biosimilars.
Consumer preference for generic drugs Research and development will likely continue to increase over the Revenue is projected to grow five years to 2024, particularly due to as patent expirations provide some significant patent expirations that additional opportunities for have occurred recently. Popular drugs, including Abilify (used to treat generic product manufacturers schizophrenia and bipolar disorders), Copaxone (multiple sclerosis) and in some therapeutic areas due to Crestor (blood pressure, cholesterol and shareholder pressure to increase heart disease), lost patent protection in dividends and competitive pressures 2015 and 2016; accordingly, industry from generics. For example, many revenue is expected to grow as these pharmaceutical giants have placed their patent expirations provide additional antibiotic and antiviral assets under opportunities for generic product review. In addition, many brand name manufacturers. More recently, the operators have shifted R&D expenditures expiration of patent protection for to rare diseases or specialty drugs that blockbuster drugs such as Viagra and carry Orphan Drug Exclusivity and Lyrica has also presented opportunities longer patent protection than standard for generic manufacturers. pharmaceuticals. While slowing drug Major brand name pharmaceutical development in blockbuster drugs may manufacturers, such as Pfizer Inc., Merck reduce the number of new generic and Company Inc. and AstraZeneca PLC, options in the long run, in the short to are expected to continue to reduce medium term, generic manufacturers are research and development (R&D) expected to benefit from a wave of expenditures during the outlook period blockbuster patent expirations.
Biosimilars In addition, the increasing prevalence of are generally more commercially biologic products in brand name R&D successful and are expected to account pipelines is expected to provide for a larger share of industry products opportunities for industry operators, over the next five years. According to which then create biosimilars of biologics EvaluatePharma, the global sales that have been approved by the US Food contribution from biologic drugs is and Drug Administration. These drugs forecast to jump from 23.0% in 2014 to
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Industry Performance
Biosimilars continued 27.0% in 2020. As a result, the versions. Many major biologic drugs, biosimilars market is expected to further including Lantus, Novolog, Rituxan and expand over the next five years. This Remicade, are scheduled to lose patent market will likely attract specialists and protection over the next few years. large pharmaceutical companies with Consequently, biosimilars will be a expertise in biologic products seeking to long-term investment as the market develop slightly differentiated generic continues to expand.
Industry landscape Emerging markets, such as India and Brazil, represent an important source of Emerging markets future business for the industry. represent an important According to IQVIA, emerging markets source of future business are anticipated to experience double-digit growth over the next five years. The for the industry affordability of medicines is one of the many barriers preventing people from to stagnate at an annualized rate of 2.0% accessing healthcare in these countries; to $36.4 billion. therefore, generics generally perform Over the five years to 2024, IBISWorld better than brand name drugs. As a expects the number of industry result, more brand name manufacturers enterprises to increase an annualized are anticipated to acquire generic drug 2.4% to 1,281 companies. This trend can companies to gain better access to be attributed to companies such as brand emerging economies over the coming name manufacturers that produce years. In terms of international trade, biosimilars entering the industry due to exports are forecast to increase at an its high profit margins. Enterprises will annualized rate of 2.5% to $15.4 billion likely continue to grow as pharmaceutical over the five years to 2024. Any changes manufacturing derives a greater in the value of the US dollar are expected proportion of total revenue from generic to be offset by more industry operators drugs rather than brand name drugs. offering specialized drugs, such as Employment is anticipated to grow as biosimilars. During the same period, the well, rising at an annualized rate of 2.2% number of industry imports is anticipated to 79,324 workers during the same period.
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Industry Performance Life Cycle Stage Industry value added is growing at a pace comparable to GDP growth The number of industry participants is expected to steadily increase The development of new generics is increasing the industry’s share of the overall pharmaceuticals market
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Industry Performance
Industry Life Cycle Over the 10 years to 2024, industry demand for generics to grow, driving value added, which measures the increased industry sales and further Generic Pharmaceutical Manufacturing bolstering the value that the industry This industry industry’s contribution to the economy, adds to the overall US economy. In this is Mature is anticipated to increase at an way, industry expertise combined with annualized rate of 1.3%. During the patent expiration for brand name drugs same period, US GDP is projected to rise is not only enabling the creation of new at an annualized rate of 2.2%. This industry product offerings but is also steadily growing contribution relative to creating a broader market for industry the national economy is a signifier that products. As the market expands, the the industry is in the mature phase of its development of new products and new growth cycle. product lines (such as biosimilars) will Still, industry companies are rapidly provide opportunities for new companies growing in size and gaining the expertise to enter this industry. As a result, to introduce new products at a IBISWorld expects the total number of progressively faster rate. As more patents industry enterprises to grow an based on brand name pharmaceuticals annualized 2.5% to 1,281 companies over and medicines expire, IBISWorld expects the 10 years to 2024.
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Supply Chain KEY BUYING INDUSTRIES 42421 Drug, Cosmetic & Toiletry Wholesaling in the US Wholesalers distribute pharmaceuticals and medicines produced by the industry to retailers and healthcare providers. 44511 Supermarkets & Grocery Stores in the US Supermarkets and grocery stores account for a small percentage of final retail sales of certain industry products. 44611 Pharmacies & Drug Stores in the US Pharmacies and drug stores are key retailers of industry products. 62211 Hospitals in the US Hospitals are significant end users of medicines and pharmaceuticals.
KEY SELLING INDUSTRIES 32561 Soap & Cleaning Compound Manufacturing in the US Surfactants produced by the Soap and Cleaning Compound Manufacturing industry are used in the manufacture of pharmaceuticals. 32599 Chemical Product Manufacturing in the US Organic and nonorganic compounds, including various solvents, are used in the manufacture of various industry products. 33451a Navigational Instrument Manufacturing in the US Laboratory analytical instruments are used in the development, testing and analysis of industry products. 33451b Medical Device Manufacturing in the US Laboratory analytical instruments are used in the development, testing and analysis of industry products. 33911a Medical Instrument & Supply Manufacturing in the US Medical devices and instruments are used in the development and testing of pharmaceuticals and medicines. NN001 Biotechnology in the US Advances in biotechnology are transforming drug discovery and development. Bioinformatics, a branch of biotechnology using information technologies to work with biological data like DNA, is a particularly dynamic new area of work.
Products and Services Cardiovascular disease prevent clots (anticoagulants). In 2019, cardiovascular disease (CVD) Depending on the specific condition a associated medication is expected to patient has, a doctor may prescribe any make up the largest share of total revenue combination of these drugs to manage for the Generic Pharmaceutical risk associated with CVD. Many of these Manufacturing industry at 36.1%. medications must be taken regularly, as According to the Centers for Disease enabling cholesterol to rise without Control and Prevention (CDC), in 2017, taking an anticoagulant greatly increases heart disease is the leading cause of death the risk of a blockage in the heart in the United States (latest data resulting in a heart attack. Additionally, available). Medication associated with according to IQVIA, savings from generic CVD comprise of the drugs that either usage of medications in this segment are lower blood pressure (antihypertensive), estimated to total $71.0 billion in 2017 reduce cholesterol (lipid regulators) and (latest data available). Over the next five
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Products & Markets
Products and Services Products and services segmentation (2019) continued 5.6% Antibacterials 7.3% Diabetes 10.0% Pain 36.1% 14.7% Cardiovascular disease Mental health and central nervous system
26.3% Other Total $64.5bn SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
years, demand for CVD drugs is expected Pain to rise as the population of 65 and older Pain medications is expected to account increases, which make up the largest for 10.0% of total revenue in 2019. While patient population for this medication. the burgeoning population has supported demand for pain medications, growing Mental health and central wariness of the potential misuse of pain nervous system medications will likely limit patient This segment accounts for 14.7% of total accessibility over the next five years. industry revenue in 2019. Demand for According to the National Institute on mental health pharmaceuticals has been Drug Abuse, of the 8.8 million people robust over the past five years, particularly that abused a prescription medication, due to several antidepressants losing 5.1 million people abused painkillers. patent exclusivity in recent years, including Pain medication in particular opioids, are Pristiq. According to the National Institute expected to decline as a share of revenue of Mental Health, mental health over the next five years as recent news is encompasses any mental, behavioral or causing drug manufacturers and doctors emotional disorder. Moreover, more than to find new ways to treat pain. 18.0% of all US adults have a mental illness. While the prevalence of mental Antibacterials illness has been high in the United States, In 2019, antibacterials are expected to social stigma related to receiving treatment make up 5.6% of industry revenue. has constrained demand. Antibiotics include doctor prescription Additionally, nervous system disorders pills, over the counter topical creams include vascular disorders (e.g. stroke), and hospital administered intravenous infections (e.g. meningitis), structural drugs. Antibiotics have become a large disorders (e.g. brain or spinal cord topic of debate globally as the misuse tumors), functional disorders (e.g. and consequentially rise of resistant epilepsy) and degeneration (e.g. “superbugs”, or bacteria and other Parkinson’s disease and multiple microorganisms increasingly become sclerosis). These diseases make up a tolerant to stronger medications. smaller share of this segment as they are Over-prescription of antibiotics in cases less common in the United States. where they are not needed are a large
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Products & Markets
Products and Services source of rising resistance. However, been robust and expected to rise over continued this segment is expected to increase as the next five years. these drugs still save countless lives from deadly infections. Other This other category accounts for the Diabetes remaining 26.2% of industry revenue and Drugs associated with the management includes drugs in therapy areas such as of diabetes generated 7.3% of total anti-ulcer, dermatology, ophthalmology, revenue in 2019. Diabetes affects nearly vaccines, respiratory, gastrointestinal 10.0% of individuals in the United diseases and others. Drugs in this States, according to data from the segment are not used as regularly as American Diabetes Association; other segments as the diseases the treat therefore, demand for antidiabetics has are generally transient.
Demand Socioeconomic and demographic factors, Similarly, the level of insurance affects Determinants including levels of disease and chronic purchases; for example, insured illness rates, government health policies, consumers choose more expensive drugs pharmaceutical prices, doctors’ than those without insurance. In this prescribing patterns and consumer regard, as insurance coverage increases, utilization rates determine demand for consumers may be less encouraged to generic pharmaceuticals. Factors that purchase generic drugs. contribute to generic drug use, opposed Patent expiration for brand name to brand name pharmaceuticals, include drugs also drives demand for generics. the amount that consumers have to pay Patent expirations have an immediate out-of-pocket for healthcare, the prices of effect because brand name drugs tend to brand name drugs, population quickly lose market share once generic demographics and the rate of patent versions are on the market. However, expirations. For example, IBISWorld generic entry is often delayed because of expects the portion of the population that litigation and administrative issues, such is older than 65 years old to increase over as citizen petitions. According to the the five years, which may drive demand Generic Pharmaceutical Association’s for the Generic Pharmaceutical (GPhA) 2017 Generic Drug Savings in the Manufacturing industry’s products US Report, generic drugs result in because older people generally require significant cost savings for the healthcare more healthcare and have particular system compared with brand name drug access to generics through Medicare. use, though savings vary by the generic Insurance plays a significant role in drug’s therapeutic class. For example, determining demand for generic generic mental health drugs saved the prescription drugs. By implementing healthcare system $44.0 billion in 2016 drug cost sharing plans and other forms followed by hypertension ($29.0 of coverage, insurers enable individuals billion); cholesterol ($28.0 billion); within their network to access more antiulcerants ($22.0 billion); nervous pharmaceuticals, boosting prescription system disorders ($16.0 billion) and drug utilization rates. For example, pain ($13.0 billion dollars), among revenue rises when insured individuals other generic pharmaceuticals. In total, fill prescriptions that they would have GPhA estimates that generics have forgone if they lacked insurance. saved the US healthcare system almost
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Products & Markets
Demand $2 trillion over the last decade (latest years, boosting potential growth Determinants data available). opportunities for biosimilars. This continued As brand name drug patent expirations represents an opportunity for the have occurred during the five-year biosimilar industry to generate revenue period, this trend has bolstered demand because biologics will experience a patent for generics. Additionally, biologics will cliff similar to brand name lose patent protection over the coming pharmaceuticals over the next five years.
Major Markets Major market segmentation (2019) 7.6% Out-of-pocket expenses 14.7% Medicaid 50.2% Third-party payers
27.5% Medicare
Total $64.5bn SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
According to the latest available data being a lower cost option compared with from IQVIA, 30.7% of total brand name pharmaceuticals. According pharmaceutical sales are derived from to data from the Generic Drug Savings in chain/mass merchandisers, followed by the US Report by the Generic mail service pharmacies (23.4%), clinics Pharmaceutical Association (GPhA), (14.0%), independent pharmacies generic drugs have the potential to save (11.1%), hospitals (7.6%), food stores the healthcare system a substantial (6.6%), long-term care providers (3.7%), amount, with cost savings specifically HMO (1.2%) home healthcare providers occurring within certain therapeutic (0.9%) and others (%). However, this classes, such as mental health, breakdown reflects the dispensing hypertension, cholesterol and pain drugs. locations of both brand name and generic Over the next five years, this market pharmaceutical prescriptions. segment is expected to grow.
Third-party payers Medicare In 2019, third-party payers make up the Medicare reimbursements are estimated largest share of revenue for the Generic to account for an estimated 27.5% of total Pharmaceutical Manufacturing industry, revenue. According to a 2017 report from with 50.2% of total revenue. Many the GPhA, Medicare saved $82.7 billion third-party payers have increasingly in costs from beneficiaries’ using generic implemented initiatives to increase drugs in 2014, with this figure being $1,952 generic drug utilization rates, due to it per capita on average. As the number of
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Products & Markets
Major Markets Medicare beneficiaries grows in line with over the past five years. However, continued the burgeoning elderly population, cost- according to data from the Henry J. cutting initiatives will become increasingly Kaiser Family Foundation, prescription imperative to providing coverage. As a drugs only comprise about 5.0% of total result, federal and state-level initiatives to Medicaid spending, meaning that bolster generic drug utilization rates will cost-cutting initiatives (such as likely occur over the next five years, bolstering generic utilization rates and spurring demand for this market lowering demand for brand name segment. Overall, according to data from drugs) was not particularly imperative Express Scripts’ Drug Trend Report, to cut costs over the past five years. Medicare beneficiaries are likely to use However, this is expected to change drugs in the following therapeutic over the next five years, thus increasing classes, including oncology, multiple demand for generic pharmaceuticals sclerosis and hepatitis C. from this market segment.
Medicaid Out-of-pocket expenses Medicaid reimbursements account for Out-of-pocket expenditures generate 14.7% of total revenue. Medicaid generic 7.6% of total revenue. Over the past five drug use is expected to save $568 per years, generic drug prices, on average, beneficiary on average, according to data have risen, causing consumers to incur from GPhA. As healthcare reform has higher out-of-pocket costs. However, expanded the number of individuals government initiatives to lower generic that are eligible for Medicaid drug pricing over the next five years may reimbursements, such as childless help lower generic drug prices, thus adults, this has spurred Medicaid lowering patients’ out-of-pocket costs beneficiaries’ share of industry revenue and increasing demand.
International Trade Imports The Federal Food, Drug and Cosmetic Industry trade balance Act prohibits the interstate shipment of Level & Trend 20 unapproved new drugs. Therefore, the Exports in the importation of new drugs that lack US 10 industry are High Food and Drug Administration (FDA) 0 and Steady approval, whether for personal use or otherwise, violates this act. The FDA also -10 Imports in the restricts the re-importation of drugs $ billion -20 industry are High produced by US manufacturers and sold and Increasing elsewhere. In response to increasing -30 prescription drug costs, more US patients -40 are importing less-expensive Year 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 pharmaceutical products from other Exports Imports Balance countries. Large-scale prescription drug SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM importation is currently illegal, but the FDA permits individuals to bring in the United States, and key active 90-day supplies of drugs for personal ingredients are required to be produced use. Additionally, generic medications within FDA-approved international sites. are often not completely manufactured in Importation from approved sites outside
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Products & Markets
International Trade of the United States may include of 5.1% to $32.9 billion over the five years continued importation of only the active ingredient, to 2019, bolstered by the increase in the with the final product manufactured in trade weighted index, making imports the United States, or the importation of relatively more affordable. The escalation the total final product from a site outside of imported drugs has contributed to a of the United States that is from an continuing debate among federal approved or unapproved source. legislators regarding the full legalization Unapproved sources have no FDA of importation. oversight; therefore, importation of that generic product is illegal. Exports An over-the-counter (OTC) drug is a Historically, the US government and product marketed for use by the consumer brand name pharmaceutical companies without a prescription. An OTC drug can opposed efforts by the United Nations, be imported into the United States under the World Health Organization and the an approved new drug application, an World Trade Organization (WTO) to approved abbreviated new drug permit the export of generic drugs to application or in compliance with an OTC poor nations for global health monograph. Currently, there are still emergencies, such as AIDS and several categories of OTC drug products tuberculosis. This is a politically sensitive that are not subject to final regulations. topic because as a consequence of Imports for the Generic restricted exports, lifesaving AIDS drugs, Pharmaceutical Manufacturing industry which can cost as much as $15,000 per are expected to account for 39.3% of year in the United States, remained out of domestic demand in 2019. Imports are reach for most patients in the developing expected to increase at an annualized rate world. However, in August 2003, the
Exports To ... Imports From ... 5.9% India 10.9% 7.4% Switzerland Italy 7.6% Canada 7.6% 11.4% Belgium Germany 43.7% Other 7.6% Netherlands
69.8% Other 28.1% Ireland
Year: 2018 Total $13.6bn Total $32.9bn SIZE OF CHARTS DOES NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL DATA SOURCE: USITC
Provided to: Autobahn Consultants (2134210691) | 27 October 2019 WWW.IBISWORLD.COM Generic Pharmaceutical Manufacturing in the US May 2019 19
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International Trade WTO agreed to relax patent restrictions making them less likely to be resold in continued to permit low-cost producers to export the United States. Over the five years generic versions of brand name to 2019, industry exports are expected medicines to impoverished nations. to decrease an annualized 0.4% to Only poor countries that cannot $13.6 billion, generating 21.1% of manufacture these medicines themselves industry revenue. This decline in are permitted to import the generic exports is most likely a response to the drugs. The agreement also stipulates increase in the trade weighted index, that special packaging or differently resulting in a comparatively more colored tablets are to be used for expensive product being shipped generics intended for poor countries, outside the United States.
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Business Locations 2019