JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS Mock Draft Primary Needs 1 Trevor Lawrence QB Clemson QB OT TE CB 25 Trevon Moehrig S TCU Secondary Needs 33 Tommy Togiai DT Ohio State EDGE S WR RB 45 Rondale Moore WR Purdue 65 Tommy Tremble TE Notre Dame
Who calls the shots? HC Urban Meyer and GM Trent Baalke
HC: Urban Meyer OC: Darrell Bevell DC: Joe Cullen -- With Ravens in 2020: Favored mix of Cover 1 and Cover 3
Thoughts on potential targets Lawrence is the obvious and safest choice for the Jaguars. He has all the tools you look for in a pocket passer, in addition to above average Trevor Lawrence mobility. It would be fairly surprising if he doesn't go No. 1. Fields ceiling is equal to Lawrence's, but he's slightly less proven as a passer. In any other year, he's a candidate to go No. 1, but probably Justin Fields won't challenge Lawrence for this spot. They're obviously doing their homework on Trey Lance and Zach Wilson, but it's' tough to imagine either getting serious consideration Other QB above Lawrence. In 9 years as Dir. of Player Personnel and GM in SF, Baalke never drafted a CB in the 1st or 2nd round. But they clearly need some upgrades Cornerback in the secondary, so maybe that trend changes with the second pick.
Key Notes - Running backs averaged 1.5 yards before contact per attempt, ranked 29th in league (via Sports Info Solutions) - Generated pressure on 18.5% of opponents dropbacks, ranked 28th - Defense ranked 26th in explosive pass rate allowed (9.4% of throws for 20+ yards) - Allowed 8.4 yards per attempt when in man coverage, ranked 32nd (via Sports Info Solutions) - Allowed 9.0 yards per taget to receivers lined up wide, ranked 28th (via Sports Info Solutions) NEW YORK JETS Mock Draft Primary Needs 2 Zach Wilson QB BYU QB WR CB TE EDGE 23 Micah Parsons LB Penn State Secondary Needs 34 Eric Stokes CB Georgia RB LB IOL 66 D'Wayne Eskridge WR Western Michigan 86 Quincy Roche EDGE Miami FL
Who calls the shots? GM Joe Douglas and Dir. Player Personnel Chad Alexander
HC: Robert Salah -- 49ers DC in 2020: Favored Cover 4, with mix of Cover 1 and Cover 3 OC: Mike LaFleur DC: Jeff Ulbrich -- With Falcons in 2020: Favored mix of Cover 1 and Cover 3
Thoughts on potential targets GM Joe Douglas was with the Eagles when they drafted Wentz, and there's definitely some similarities between Wentz and Fields (at least Wilson/Fields much more so than Wentz/Wilson). But they could certainly fall in love with Wilson's accuracy. If they decide to give Darnold another look, upgrading the offensive line makes sense. Sewell or Slater would pair nicely with Mekhi Becton, Sewell/Slater giving them young bookend tackles. George Fant's contract is easy get out of, so he's not in the way at all. After adding Denzel Mims (pure deep threat) last year, they need either a more well-rounded receiver or a strong option in the slot. This Wide Receiver could be Chase or Smith at No. 2, although unlikely. It could also be someone like Rashod Bateman or Amon-Ra St. Brown at No. 23.
Key Notes - Sam Darnold ranked 32nd (out of 35) in on-target rate (via PFRef) - Allowed pressure on 27.6% of QB dropbacks, ranked 30th - Generated pressure on 21.0% of opponents dropbacks, ranked 25th MIAMI DOLPHINS Mock Draft Primary Needs 6 Penei Sewell OT Oregon WR IOL OT RB 18 Azeez Ojulari EDGE Georgia Secondary Needs 36 Najee Harris RB Alabama EDGE LB S 50 Chazz Surratt LB North Carolina 81 Hunter Long TE Boston College
Who calls the shots? GM Chris Grier and Assistant GM Marvin Allen
HC: Brian Flores OC: DC: Josh Boyer -- Favors mix of Cover 1 and Cover 3
Thoughts on potential targets Improving an adequate but not great offensive line should be the priority to help Tagovailoa develop. Penei Sewell and Rashawn Slater are Offensive Line options at No. 3. This front office is probably smart enough to not reach for a running back in the first round, but it's definitely a need and will likely be Running Back addressed on Day 2. Travis Etienne and Najee Harris are strong possibilities. DeVante Parker should return (although they can escape his contract if they want), but otherwise an overhaul is needed. Parker is probably Wide Receiver better suited as a second option, so Ja'Marr Chase and DeVonta Smith are possible targets, especially if they trade down.
Key Notes - Ranked 27th in explosive pass rate (6.7% of throws for 20+ yards) - Tua Tagovailoa ranked 30th (out of 35) in on-target rate (via PFRef) - Defense ranked 28th in explosive pass rate allowed (9.7% of throws for 20+ yards) - Allowed 8.2 yards per attempt when in man coverage, ranked 30th (via Sports Info Solutions) - Allowed 8.9 yards per taget to receivers lined up wide, ranked 27th (via Sports Info Solutions) ATLANTA FALCONS Mock Draft Primary Needs 4 Kyle Pitts TE Florida EDGE LB CB 35 Joseph Ossai EDGE Texas Secondary Needs 68 Dillon Radunz OT North Dakota State QB RB S TE WR
Who calls the shots? GM Terry Fontenot and Dir. of Player Personnel Steve Sabo
HC: Arthur Smith OC: Dave Ragone DC: Dean Pees -- Last coached with Titans in 2019: Favored mix of Cover 1 and Cover 3
Thoughts on potential targets Matt Ryan doesn't appear to be washed and should have success in Arthur Smith's play action heavy offense, but the Falcons have to Quarterbacks consider Fields/Wilson/Lance while they're drafting in the top five. Takk McKinley was a bust, Dante Fowler was a disappointment this year and edge rusher is their top need. Unfortunately, there isn't a lot to Kwity Paye choose from at the top of the draft. Kwity Paye is probably the only possible target at No. 4. They've invested in a lot in the position, including AJ Terrell in the first round last year, but the 2020 production of Terrell, Oliver and Patrick Surtain II Dennard was disappointing. Surtain looks like an elite prospect and Caleb Farley may generate some interest as well.
Key Notes - Picked up 5+ yards on 30.5% on rush attempts, ranked 31st in league (excluding att inside 10-yard line) - Defense ranked 29th in explosive pass rate allowed (10.1% of throws for 20+ yards) CINCINNATI BENGALS Mock Draft Primary Needs 5 Ja'Marr Chase WR LSU WR OT EDGE 38 Wyatt Davis IOL Ohio State Secondary Needs 69 James Hudson OT Cincinnati CB TE LB IOL
Who calls the shots? Director of Player Personnel Duke Tobin
HC: Zac Taylor OC: Brian Callahan DC: Lou Anarumo -- Favors Cover 1 with a mix of Cover 3 and Cover 4
Thoughts on potential targets Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd are probably locked into starting jobs, but they need another weapon in the A.J. Green role. Chase fits much Ja'Marr Chase better into that role than DeVonta Smith, but Smith will certainly be considered. Pairing either Penei Sewell or Rashawn Slater with Jonah Williams to protect Burrow with young bookend tackles will be tempting. Either Sewell/Slater Sewell or Slater would be an obvious upgrade over Bobby Hart at RT. It's hard to justify drafting a TE this high, especially for a rebuliding team. But Pitts is a rare talent, so with Higgins and Boyd already in place, Kyle Pitts maybe they view Pitts as a more valuable addition than the top WRs.
Key Notes - Ranked 32nd in explosive pass rate (5.6% of throws for 20+ yards) - Running backs averaged 1.7 yards before contact per attempt, ranked 26th in league (via Sports Info Solutions) - Generated pressure on 18.3% of opponents dropbacks, ranked 29th - Run Defense: Allowed 5.7 yards per attempt outside the tackles, ranked 31st (via Sports Info Solutions) - Defense ranked 30th in explosive pass rate allowed (10.2% of throws for 20+ yards) PHILADELHIA EAGLES Mock Draft Primary Needs 12 DeVonta Smith WR Alabama CB WR LB S 37 Pat Freiermuth TE Penn State Secondary Needs 70 Robert Rochell CB Central Arkansas OT IOL EDGE 84 Baron Browning LB Ohio State
Who calls the shots? GM Howie Roseman
HC: Nick Sirianni OC: Shane Steichen DC: Jonathan Gannon - Colts DB Coach in 2020: Favored Cover 3 and Cover 2, played 5th lowest rate of man coverage
Thoughts on potential targets If they're building around Hurts, he'll need some help. Chase seems like a better fit than DeVonta Smith based on last year's selection of the Ja'Marr Chase undersized Jaelen Reagor. Jason Peters might return, but that's obviously a very short term solution. Lane Johnson returns, but he'll be 31 and the injuries are piling Sewell/Slater up. Either Sewell or Slater would be a justified selection. This is the most glaring need on defense and must be addressed in FA or early in the draft. Patrick Surtain and Caleb Farley are both Cornerback possibilities at No. 6. If the Eagles go a "best available player" route, Micah Parsons and Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah should be on their radar. Each linebacker Linebacker spot could use an upgrade, so both players will be fits.
Key Notes - Ranked 28th in explosive pass rate (6.5% of throws for 20+ yards) - Allowed pressure on 26.8% of QB dropbacks, ranked 28th - Dallas Goedert led team with 7 rec of 20+ yards (lowest number by a team leader) - Allowed 45.1% completion pct on throws 20+ yards downfield, ranked 26th (via Sports Info Solutions) - Allowed 8.2 yards per attempt when in man coverage, ranked 29th (via Sports Info Solutions) - Allowed 9.8 yards per taget to receivers lined up wide, ranked 31st (via Sports Info Solutions) DETROIT LIONS Mock Draft Primary Needs 7 Patrick Surtain II CB Alabama WR EDGE CB DT 41 Jamin Davis LB Kentucky Secondary Needs 72 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR USC QB LB OL S 101 Kellen Mond QB Texas A&M
Who calls the shots? GM Brad Holmes and HC Dan Campbell
HC: Dan Campbell OC: Anthony Lynn DC: Aaron Glenn -- Saints DB coach in 2020: Favored Cover 1, played highest rate in man coverage in league
Thoughts on potential targets They have Goff for two years (before his contract is easy to cut), so they don't need to force a QB selection. However, they also shouldn't Quarterbacks pass over someone they love just because Goff is there. If they decide to build around Goff in the short term, giving him another elite weapon will be tempting. He's proven to be capable when Wide Receiver surrounded with weapons, so DeVonta Smith and Ja'Marr Chase make sense.
Key Notes - Picked up 5+ yards on 33.5% on rush attempts, ranked 27th in league (excluding att inside 10-yard line) - 6.4% drop rate, ranked 31st (via PFRef) - Generated pressure on 16.9% of opponents dropbacks, ranked 32nd - Defense ranked 32nd in explosive pass rate allowed (11.4% of throws for 20+ yards) - Allowed 48.4% completion pct on throws 20+ yards downfield, ranked 30th (via Sports Info Solutions) - Allowed 8.4 yards per attempt when in man coverage, ranked 31st (via Sports Info Solutions) - Allowed 10.0 yards per target to slot receivers, ranked 32nd (via Sports Info Solutions) CAROLINA PANTHERS Mock Draft Primary Needs 8 Trey Lance QB North Dakota State QB OT LB CB TE 39 Alex Leatherwood OL Alabama Secondary Needs 73 Talanoa Hufanga S USC IOL DT EDGE
Who calls the shots? HC Matt Rhule
HC: Matt Rhule OC: Joe Brady DC: Phil Snow -- Favors Cover 3 (league's highest rate) and used league's lowest rate of man coverage
Thoughts on potential targets Bridgewater gives the Panthers an excuse not to draft a QB if they don't love their options. But they'll obviously take a long look at Wilson, Quarterbacks Fields, Lance and maybe even Jones. Curtis Samuel is likely to depart, opening up a need for a No. 2 option behind D.J. Moore. Chase and Smith are very different, but since Chase/Smith Moore is so versatile, either can fit in Carolina. This was arguably the worst unit on the team, and Shaq Thompson proved he's not capable of picking up the Luke Kuechly slack. Maybe Linebacker Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah or Micah Parsons could be the answer.
Key Notes - Running backs averaged 1.5 yards before contact per attempt, ranked 32nd in league (via Sports Info Solutions) - Generated pressure on 21.0% of opponents dropbacks, ranked 23rd - Run Defense: Allowed 4.9 yards per attempt outside the tackles, ranked 21st (via Sports Info Solutions) - Run Defense: Allowed 4.5 yards per attempt between the tackles, ranked 29th (via Sports Info Solutions) DENVER BRONCOS Mock Draft Primary Needs 9 Mac Jones QB Alabama QB EDGE CB LB 40 Zaven Collins LB Tulsa Secondary Needs 71 Jay Tufele DT USC DT OT WR
Who calls the shots? GM George Patton
HC: Vic Fangio OC: Pat Shurmur DC: Ed Donatell -- Favors mix of Cover 3 and Cover 4, but also plays high rate of Cover 1
Thoughts on potential targets Elways loves tall quarterbacks, so Trey Lance is obviously on his radar. Fields and Wilson are roughly the same height, but Fields is Quarterbacks significantly bigger and more physical as a runner, which might give him an edge in Elway's eye. Micah Parsons would be a good fit at outside linebacker who can contribute as a pass-rusher, while Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah would give Linebacker them a significant upgrade as a coverage linebacker. With Von Miller likely not returning, this is a significant need. Malik Reed did an adequate job filling in for Miller in 2020, but unless the team Pass-Rusher expects him to develop further, he's not the ideal complement to Bradley Chubb.
Key Notes - Drew Lock ranked 35th (out of 35) in on-target rate (via PFRef) - Allowed pressure on 26.1% of QB dropbacks, ranked 24th - 5.8% drop rate, ranked 28th (via PFRef) - Run Defense: Allowed 5.4 yards per attempt outside the tackles, ranked 30th (via Sports Info Solutions) - Run Defense: Allowed 4.0 yards per attempt between the tackles, ranked 20th (via Sports Info Solutions) - Defense ranked 27th in explosive pass rate allowed (9.7% of throws for 20+ yards) DALLAS COWBOYS Mock Draft Primary Needs 10 Rashawn Slater OT Northwestern OT CB S EDGE 44 Daviyon Nixon DL Iowa Secondary Needs 75 Dayo Adeyingbo EDGE Vanderbilt DT TE IOL LB 99 Shakur Brown CB Michigan State
Who calls the shots? Owner Jerry Jones, Dir. of Player Personnel Stephen Jones, HC Mike McCarthy and VP of Player Personnel Will McClay
HC: Mike McCarthy OC: Kellen Moore DC: Dan Quinn -- Falcons HC in 2020: Favored mix of Cover 1 and Cover 3
Thoughts on potential targets A once dominant offensive line has fallen apart. Given all the injuries, it's tough to know who they trust to regain their form, but clearly Offensive Line some youth is needed. Patrick Surtain and Caleb Farley are obvious options. Chidobe Awuzie probably needs to be replaced and Surtain or Farley could start Cornerback immediately.
Key Notes - Running backs averaged 1.5 yards before contact per attempt, ranked 31st in league (via Sports Info Solutions) - Allowed pressure on 21.6% of QB dropbacks, ranked 18th - Run defense: Allowed 5+ yards on 41.8% of opponents attempts, ranked 29th in league (excluding att inside 10-yard line) - Generated pressure on 22.7% of opponents dropbacks, ranked 18th - Run Defense: Allowed 5.3 yards per attempt outside the tackles, ranked 29th (via Sports Info Solutions) - Run Defense: Allowed 4.4 yards per attempt between the tackles, ranked 28th (via Sports Info Solutions) - Defense ranked 25th in explosive pass rate allowed (9.4% of throws for 20+ yards) - Allowed 8.4 yards per taget to receivers lined up wide, ranked 22nd (via Sports Info Solutions) NEW YORK GIANTS Mock Draft Primary Needs 11 Kwity Paye EDGE Michigan EDGE WR CB OT IOL 42 Asante Samuel Jr. CB Florida State Secondary Needs 76 Pete Werner LB Ohio State QB LB S
Who calls the shots? GM Dave Gettleman
HC: Joe Judge OC: Jason Garrett DC: Patrick Graham -- Heavily favors Cover 3, rarely uses man coverage
Thoughts on potential targets They've invested in the o-line, but the production isn't there, especially in the run game. Upgrades at RT and C are probably the most Offensive Line obvious areas to upgrade this offseason. Someline like Christian Darrisaw is an option at No. 11. If either of the two elite receivers on the board, the Giants need to consider giving Daniel Jones another top weapon to help his Chase/Smith development. Pass-rusher is the Giants most glaring need but there's a lack of elite talent in this class. Kwity Paye might be the one pass-rusher who could Kwity Paye be on their radar at No. 11. Evan Engram is in the final year of his contract and it's debatable whether he's earned an extentions. In the short term, Pitts' experience Kyle Pitts lining up at WR (both slot and outside) will make it easy to utilize both players in the offense.
Key Notes - Ranked 30th in explosive pass rate (6.4% of throws for 20+ yards) - Allowed pressure on 29.2% of QB dropbacks, ranked 32nd - Darius Slayton/Sterling Shepard tied for team with 10 rec of 20+ yards (tied for 3rd fewest by team leader) - 5.6% drop rate, ranked 27th (via PFRef) - Allowed 47.7% completion pct on throws 20+ yards downfield, ranked 28th (via Sports Info Solutions) SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS Mock Draft Primary Needs 3 Justin Fields QB Ohio State CB IOL S 43 Tyson Campbell CB Georgia Secondary Needs 102 Josh Myers IOL Ohio State DT QB EDGE WR RB
Who calls the shots? GM John Lynch
HC: Kyle Shanahan OC: Mike McDaniel DC: DeMeco Ryans -- 49ers LB coach in 2020: Favored Cover 4 with relatively low rate of man coverage
Thoughts on potential targets Jason Verrett, their only consistently reliable corner, is a free agent. If he isn't re-signed, there's chaos in their secondary. Patrick Surtain, Cornerback Caleb Farley, Jaycee Horn are probably the most likely targets. They need upgrades on the interior offensive line, and Alijah Vera-Tucker is probably best suited to step in and start immediately at RG. Alijah Vera-Tucker They could also trade down and target others like Wyatt Davis. Jimmy Garoppolo is fine, but it's become clear isn't an elite quarterback. Given the strength of the rest of the 49ers roster, they'll likely offer Trade this pick up in trades for a better veteran. That scenario feels far more likely than using the pick on a QB.
Key Notes - 15 completions on throws 20+ yards downfield, ranked 29th (leader: Brandon Aiyuk, 5 rec) - Allowed pressure on 26.5% of QB dropbacks, ranked 27th - 6.1% drop rate, ranked 30th (via PFRef) - Generated pressure on 22.7% of opponents dropbacks, ranked 19th LOS ANGELES CHARGERS Mock Draft Primary Needs 13 Christian Darrisaw OT Virginia Tech OT IOL TE WR 47 Creed Humphrey IOL Oklahoma Secondary Needs 77 Elijah Molden CB Washington CB LB RB DL 97 Brevin Jordan TE Miami FL
Who calls the shots? GM Tom Telesco
HC: Brandon Staley -- Rams DC in 2020: Favored mix of Cover 3 and Cover 4 with very low rate of man coverage OC: Joe Lombardi DC: Renaldo Hill -- Broncos DB coach in 2020: Favored Cover 1 with a mix of Cover 3 and Cover 4
Thoughts on potential targets With Hunter Henry hitting free agency, this feels like the most obvious landing spot for Kyle Pitts. It would be a nice blend of value and need Kyle Pitts and provide Herbert with another strong weapon. Penei Sewell and Rashawn Slater are probably off the board by now, but they're on the Chargers radar if available. Darrisaw stands out as Christian Darrisaw an obvious third option if they're desperate to address left tackle. The WR corps is fine, but it would be nice to see a better No. 2 option than Mike Williams. Chase and Smith are obvious targets. Terrace Wide Receiver Marshall or Rashod Bateman could also make sense.
Key Notes - Picked up 5+ yards on 33.5% on rush attempts, ranked 28th in league (excluding att inside 10-yard line) - Allowed pressure on 26.9% of QB dropbacks, ranked 29th - Run defense: Allowed 5+ yards on 40.2% of opponents attempts, ranked 28th in league (excluding att inside 10-yard line) - Run Defense: Allowed 4.6 yards per attempt between the tackles, ranked 30th (via Sports Info Solutions) MINNESOTA VIKINGS Mock Draft Primary Needs 14 Jaelan Phillips EDGE Miami FL OL S EDGE 78 Spencer Brown OT Northern Iowa Secondary Needs 90 James Wiggins S Cincinnati DL CB
Who calls the shots? GM Rick Spielman
HC: Mike Zimmer OC: DC: Andre Patterson/Adam Zimmer -- Plays balanced mix of different zone schemes, relatively little man coverage
Thoughts on potential targets RT probably isn't an immediate need, but Riley Reiff is likely in his final season in Minnesota. There's also a need at guard, so Darrisaw (or OT/OG maybe Alijah Vera-Tucker) could start their career at guard, before sliding to RT. The secondary is a mess, but it was completely overhauled last offseason. They probably want to stick with their young cornerbacks for Surtain/Farley another year, but Surtain/Farley may offer an upgrade they can't pass up if they fall. There's a definite need for a pass-rusher, but they're probably not going to reach to fill it. That likely makes Kwity Paye the only player Kwity Paye they're consider at No. 14.
Key Notes - Allowed pressure on 27.8% of QB dropbacks, ranked 31st - Run defense: Allowed 5+ yards on 41.9% of opponents attempts, ranked 30th in league (excluding att inside 10-yard line) - Generated pressure on 18.2% of opponents dropbacks, ranked 30th - Defense ranked 31st in explosive pass rate allowed (11.2% of throws for 20+ yards) - Allowed 50% completion pct on throws 20+ yards downfield, ranked 31st (via Sports Info Solutions) - Allowed 9.0 yards per taget to receivers lined up wide, ranked 30th (via Sports Info Solutions) - Allowed league-worst 8.8 yards per target to tight ends - Harrison Smith: 32 yards old, free agent after 2021 - Riley Reiff: 32 years old, free agent after 2021 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS Mock Draft Primary Needs 15 Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah LB Notre Dame QB TE WR EDGE DL 46 Richie Grant S UCF Secondary Needs 96 Davis Mills QB Stanford LB CB IOL RB
Who calls the shots? HC Bill Belichick
HC: Bill Belichick OC: Josh McDaniels DC: none (Steve Belichick calls plays) -- Favors mix of Cover 1 and Cover 3
Thoughts on potential targets The top three QBs are likely off the board by now. If they want a younger version of Cam Newton, Lance is their guy. If they want to groom a Trey Lance/Mac Jones QB more in the pocket-passer, Brady-mold, it's Jones. If they add a veteran QB, Kyle Pitts probably jumps to the top of their board. He'll immediately be the most dangerous weapon in their Kyle Pitts offense. If Pitts is gone, the Patriots could add another weapon at receiver. The need someone who can stretch the field, which probably describes Wide Receiver most of the likely targets such as Toney or Bateman. Four starters and multiple backs are FAs, so an overhaul is possible. Kwity Paye and Jaelan Phillips are edge rushers who should on their Front Seven radar. Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah would be a good fit at LB.
Key Notes - Cam Newton ranked 29th (out of 35) in on-target rate (via PFRef) - Allowed pressure on 26.0% of QB dropbacks, ranked 23rd - Run defense: Allowed 5+ yards on 40.1% of opponents attempts, ranked 26th in league (excluding att inside 10-yard line) - Run Defense: Allowed 5.2 yards per attempt outside the tackles, ranked 28th (via Sports Info Solutions) - Defense ranked 24th in explosive pass rate allowed (9.3% of throws for 20+ yards) - Allowed 9.5 yards per target to slot receivers, ranked 31st (via Sports Info Solutions) - Stephon Gilmore: Free agent after 2021 ARIZONA CARDINALS Mock Draft Primary Needs 16 Jaylen Waddle WR Alabama CB WR EDGE TE LB 49 Travis Etienne RB Clemson Secondary Needs RB DL IOL
Who calls the shots? GM Steve Keim
HC: Kliff Kingsbury OC: none (Kingsbury calls plays) DC: Vance Joseph -- Favors Cover 1 with some Cover 3, plays among highest rates of man coverage
Thoughts on potential targets This is one of the league explosive passing offenses in the league—not what anyone expected from Kingsbury. Any of the top WRs can fit, as WR/TE would Kyle Pitts in a WR/TE hybrid role. They're set to part ways with Patrick Peterson, so a new No. 1 corner will be needed. Surtain/Farley are likely off the board, but Jaycee Horn, Cornerback Eric Stokes, Greg Newsome and a few others are in the conversation.
Key Notes - Ranked 23rd in explosive pass rate (7.3% of throws for 20+ yards) - Run defense: Allowed 5+ yards on 39.7% of opponents attempts, ranked 24th in league (excluding att inside 10-yard line) - Run Defense: Allowed 4.9 yards per attempt outside the tackles, ranked 19th (via Sports Info Solutions) - Chandler Jones: Free agent after 2021 LAS VEGAS RAIDERS Mock Draft Primary Needs 17 Teven Jenkins OT Oklahoma State EDGE LB S DL 48 Nick Bolton LB Missouri Secondary Needs 79 Jevon Holland S Oregon OL CB WR 80 Quin Meinerz IOL Wisc-Whitewater
Who calls the shots? HC Jon Gruden and GM Mike Mayock
HC: Jon Gruden OC: Greg Olson DC: Gus Bradley -- Chargers DC in 2020: Heavily favored Cover 3 with some Cover 4, low rate of man coverage
Thoughts on potential targets The Raiders have a severe lack of threatening pass-rushers. If Kwity Paye falls, he's an obvious target. Otherwise, Ossai, Rousseau, Phillips, Pass-Rusher Oweh all deserves long looks. Cory Littleton was a huge disappointment, so they may already been looking for more help. Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah or Micah Parsons Linebacker would be ideal fits, if they were to fall.
Key Notes - Run defense: Allowed 5+ yards on 40.1% of opponents attempts, ranked 25th in league (excluding att inside 10-yard line) - Generated 3.5% sack rate, ranked 29th - Run Defense: Allowed 4.3 yards per attempt between the tackles, ranked 27th (via Sports Info Solutions) - Allowed 8.1 yards per attempt when in man coverage, ranked 28th (via Sports Info Solutions) - Allowed 9.9 yards per taget to receivers lined up wide, ranked 32nd (via Sports Info Solutions) WASHINGTON Mock Draft Primary Needs 19 Rashod Bateman WR Minnesota QB OT WR CB 51 Liam Eichenberg OT Notre Dame Secondary Needs 74 Jabril Cox LB LSU LB S RB IOL 82 Andre Cisco S Syracuse
Who calls the shots? HC Ron Rivera (GM Martin Mayhew reports to Rivera)
HC: Ron Rivera OC: Scott Turner DC: Jack Del Rio -- Favors Cover 3 with some Cover 4, plays low rate of man coverage
Thoughts on potential targets Washington is best suited to gamble on Lance with Alex Smith as their 2021 starter, taking all the pressure of Lance to play too early. Mac Trey Lance Jones or a trade up for someone else are also options. With Alex Smith potentially returning, Washington could use this opportunity to upgrade to the o-line (Vera-Tucker, Darrisaw, Cosmi are Offensive Line good options) and then draft a QB next year.
Key Notes - Ranked 31st in explosive pass rate (6.1% of throws for 20+ yards) CHICAGO BEARS Mock Draft Primary Needs 20 Jaycee Horn CB South Carolina QB WR OT IOL 52 Jalen Mayfield OT Michigan Secondary Needs 83 Kyle Trask QB Florida CB DL EDGE TE RB
Who calls the shots? GM Ryan Pace
HC: Matt Nagy OC: Bill Lazor DC: Sean Desai -- Bears S coach in 2020: Favored Cover 3 and Cover 4, low rate of man coverage
Thoughts on potential targets If they can't add a veteran QB, Mac Jones makes sense because he's NFL-ready and can be an effective game manager as a rookie (while Mac Jones they work to develop him into more than that). On Day 2, Trask is also an option for similar reasons. If they add a veteran QB, fixing the o-line needs to be the priority. Cosmi, Darrisaw, Eichenberg are potential upgrades at RT. They also need Offensive Line help at center, but that's probably a Day 2 area.
Key Notes - Ranked 29th in explosive pass rate (6.5% of throws for 20+ yards) - Picked up 5+ yards on 33.7% on rush attempts, ranked 26th in league (excluding att inside 10-yard line) - Running backs averaged 1.6 yards before contact per attempt, ranked 30th in league (via Sports Info Solutions) - Generated pressure on 21.8% of opponents dropbacks, ranked 21st - Allowed 8.5 yards per taget to receivers lined up wide, ranked 24th (via Sports Info Solutions) - 4th lowest blitz rate in league (21.4% INDIANAPOLIS COLTS Mock Draft Primary Needs 21 Samuel Cosmi OT Texas OT WR CB 54 Gregory Rousseau EDGE Miami FL Secondary Needs EDGE TE S
Who calls the shots? GM Chris Ballard
HC: Frank Reich OC: Marcus Brady DC: Matt Eberflus -- Favors Cover 3 and Cover 2, played 5th lowest rate of man coverage
Thoughts on potential targets The were not the same offense without Anthony Castonzo last year, and now he's retired. Darrisaw or Cosmi are probably the best bets to Left Tackle be able to start immediately of the potential targets in this range. T.Y. Hilton is not a No. 1 option anymore. They need someone in his mold who can stretch the field. Toney, Bateman or Waddle all appear to Wide Receiver be good fits to pair with Michael Pittman Jr.
Key Notes - Carson Wentz ranked 33rd (out of 35) in on-target rate (via PFRef) - Picked up 5+ yards on 33.4% on rush attempts, ranked 29th in league (excluding att inside 10-yard line) - Defense ranked 21st in explosive pass rate allowed (8.8% of throws for 20+ yards) - Allowed 52% completion pct on throws 20+ yards downfield, ranked 32nd (via Sports Info Solutions) - Allowed 8.4 yards per target to slot receivers, ranked 22nd (via Sports Info Solutions) - Second lowest blitz rate in league (17.1%) TENNESSEE TITANS Mock Draft Primary Needs 22 Greg Newsome II CB Northwestern EDGE OT IOL 53 Carlos Basham Jr. EDGE Wake Forest Secondary Needs 85 Cameron McGrone LB Michigan DT WR CB TE 100 Amari Rodgers WR Clemson
Who calls the shots? GM Jon Robinson and VP of Player Personnel Ryan Cowden
HC: Mike Vrable OC: Todd Downing DC: Shane Bowen -- Titans LB coach in 2020: Favors mix of Cover 3 and Cover 1
Thoughts on potential targets This was one of the worst pass-rush units in the NFL, even after adding Jadeveon Clowney. It's a deep class of late-1st-round talent at the Pass-Rusher position. Ossai, Rousseau, Phillips look like the best options. They missed Jack Conklin this year and the Isaiah Wilson experience has been an adventure. They may already be looking for a new RT. Right Tackle Darrisaw, Jenkins and Leatherwood look like the ideal fits for their power run game.
Key Notes - 14 completions on throws 20+ yards downfield, ranked 31st (leader: Corey Davis, 6 rec) - Generated pressure on 17.3% of opponents dropbacks, ranked 31st - Generated 2.9% sack rate, ranked 32nd - Allowed 48.4% completion pct on throws 20+ yards downfield, ranked 29th (via Sports Info Solutions) - Allowed 8.3 yards per target to tight ends, ranked 30th PITTSBURGH STEELERS Mock Draft Primary Needs 24 Landon Dickerson IOL Alabama IOL OT RB 55 Javonte Williams RB North Carolina Secondary Needs 87 Chris Rumph II EDGE Duke QB DL TE LB
Who calls the shots? GM Kevin Colbert
HC: Mike Tomlin OC: Matt Canada DC: Keith Butler -- Favors mix of Cover 1 and Cover 3
Thoughts on potential targets Only one offensive lineman is under contract past the 2021 season, so all options are on the table. The most pressing need is a starting RT. Offensive Line Darrisaw, Eichenberg, Cosmi, Jenkins all look like fits. Roethlisberger might last another year or two, but since Trey Lance probably isn't ready to be a rookie starter, the Steelers look like a Trey Lance potential landing spot. Depending on how much they like him, a trade up is a possibility.
Key Notes - Ranked 25th in explosive pass rate (7.2% of throws for 20+ yards) - Picked up 5+ yards on 30.3% on rush attempts, ranked 32nd in league (excluding att inside 10-yard line) - Running backs averaged 1.7 yards before contact per attempt, ranked 27th in league (via Sports Info Solutions) - 6.6% drop rate, ranked 32nd (via PFRef) - Run Defense: Allowed 4.9 yards per attempt outside the tackles, ranked 23rd (via Sports Info Solutions) - David DeCastro: 31 years old, free agent after 2021 CLEVELAND BROWNS Mock Draft Primary Needs 26 Caleb Farley CB Virginia Tech LB EDGE WR 59 Payton Turner EDGE Houston Secondary Needs 89 Milton Williams DT Louisiana Tech CB DT S 91 Austin Watkins WR UAB
Who calls the shots? GM Andrew Berry (or whoever gets in Jimmy Haslam’s ear last)
HC: Kevin Stefanski OC: Alex Van Pelt DC: Joe Woods -- Heavily favors Cover 3 and Cover 4, played 4th lowest rate of man coverage
Thoughts on potential targets They need an athlete at LB—someone to drop in coverage (and chase Lamar Jackson around twice per year.) Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah is Linebacker the perfect target. Zaven Collins probably isn't athletic enough for their needs. If the right linebacker isn't available, pass-rusher is the next biggest need. Even if they re-sign Olivier Vernon, depth is needed. There's plenty Pass-Rusher of options (Phillips, Ossai, Rousseau, etc) in the late first-round range. Rashard Higgins is a FA, but even if he returns he's not the ideal No. 3 option. This offense could really take off with someone like Jaylen Wide Receiver Waddle or Kadarius Toney added.
Key Notes - Run defense: Allowed 5+ yards on 43.0% of opponents attempts, ranked 31st in league (excluding att inside 10-yard line) - Generated pressure on 21.0% of opponents dropbacks, ranked 24th - Allowed 8.0 yards per attempt when in man coverage, ranked 27th (via Sports Info Solutions) - Third lowest blitz rate in league (21.3%) BALTIMORE RAVENS Mock Draft Primary Needs 27 Jayson Oweh EDGE Penn State WR EDGE IOL 58 Kadarius Toney WR Florida Secondary Needs 104 Ar'Darius Washington DB TCU S DL CB TE
Who calls the shots? GM Eric DeCosta
HC: John Harbaugh OC: Greg Roman DC: Don Martindale -- Favors mix of Cover 3 and Cover 1
Thoughts on potential targets They've got plenty of speed, but they need a bigger WR who ideally is a more precise route runner who wins with more than speed. Amon- Big WR Ra St. Brown, Rashod Bateman, Terrace Marshall Jr. are possibilities. Pernell McPhee, Matt Judon and Tyus Bowser are all unrestricted free agents. Depending on who returns, this could become their top Pass-Rusher priority in the first round. Orlando Brown wants out and if the Ravens give in, it creates a massive hole at RT. Brown is an elite run blocker, and it would be a tough Right Tackle hole to fill. Teven Jenkins would be the most obvious fit as a replacement.
Key Notes - NFL-worst 30 completions on throws 15+ yards downfield (leader: Marquise Brown, 13 rec) - Run Defense: Allowed 4.1 yards per attempt between the tackles, ranked 23rd (via Sports Info Solutions) NEW ORLEANS SAINTS Mock Draft Primary Needs 28 Terrace Marshall Jr. WR LSU QB WR CB 60 Kelvin Joseph CB Kentucky Secondary Needs 98 Joe Tryon EDGE Washington EDGE DL S TE 105 Marlon Tuipulotu DT USC
Who calls the shots? HC Sean Payton
HC: Sean Payton OC: Pete Carmichael Jr. DC: Dennis Allen -- Favors Cover 1, played highest rate in man coverage in league
Thoughts on potential targets This is likely to be addressed in free agency, but Mac Jones is a possibility if they can't find another solution. Kyle Trask could be an option, Quarterback though he's more likely to fall to Day 2. The entire crew returns, but they could use an upgrade to pair with Thomas and Sanders. Someone with elite speed like Jaylen Waddle Wide Receiver could be a fun weapon for them. Marshon Lattimore has regressed in consecutive years and enters his final contract year. Due to their man coverage tendency, Aaron Cornerback Robinson looks like the best fit for immediate production.
Key Notes - NFL-low 13 completions on throws 20+ yards downfield (led by Emmanuel Sanders, 5 rec) - 5.3% drop rate, ranked 24th (via PFRef) GREEN BAY PACKERS Mock Draft Primary Needs 29 Elijah Moore WR Ole Miss CB WR LB OT 62 Ifeatu Melifonwu CB Syracuse Secondary Needs 92 Alaric Jackson OT Iowa IOL DL
Who calls the shots? President Mark Murphy, HC Matt LaFleur, GM Brian Gutekunst
HC: Matt LaFleur OC: Nathaniel Hackettt DC: Joe Barry -- Rams LB coach in 2020: Favored mix of Cover 3 and Cover 4 with very low rate of man coverage
Thoughts on potential targets Cornerback Kevin King is a weak link in an otherwise strong secondary. Eric Stokes, Jaycee Horn, Aaron Robinson look like the best fits
They need someone to complement Davante Adams. Since Adams can do a bit of everything, they can probably add any type of WR. Jaylen Wide Receiver Waddle, Rashod Bateman, Amon-Ra St. Brown are possible targets in the late 1st round.
Key Notes - 5.4% drop rate, ranked 25th (via PFRef) - Generated pressure on 20.9% of opponents dropbacks, ranked 26th - Run Defense: Allowed 4.9 yards per attempt between the tackles, ranked 32nd (via Sports Info Solutions) - Davante Smith: Free agent after 2021 BUFFALO BILLS Mock Draft Primary Needs 30 Alijah Vera-Tucker OL USC OL LB CB 61 Aaron Robinson CB UCF Secondary Needs 93 Patrick Jones II EDGE Pittsburgh EDGE DT TE S
Who calls the shots? GM Brandon Beane
HC: Sean McDermott OC: Brian Daboll DC: Leslie Frazier
Thoughts on potential targets Only two starters remain under contract. Daryl Williams could be re-signed to keep their OTs intact, but the interior line need work. Wyatt Offensive Line Davis or Alijah Vera-Tucker would be great fits. Tre'Davious White can't do it alone. Levi Wallace is fine, but when your goal is to get past the Chiefs, they need to keep searching for an Cornerback upgrade. Eric Stokes, Jaycee Horn, Greg Newsome are all good late 1st-round targets.
Key Notes - Running backs averaged 1.7 yards before contact per attempt, ranked 27th in league (via Sports Info Solutions) - Run defense: Allowed 5+ yards on 43.7% of opponents attempts, ranked 32nd in league (excluding att inside 10-yard line) - Generated pressure on 21.0% of opponents dropbacks, ranked 22nd - Run Defense: Allowed 4.8 yards per attempt between the tackles, ranked 31st (via Sports Info Solutions) - Allowed 47.2% completion pct on throws 20+ yards downfield, ranked 27th (via Sports Info Solutions) KANSAS CITY CHIEFS Mock Draft Primary Needs 31 Levi Onwuzurike DL Washington WR LB IOL 63 Dyami Brown WR North Carolina Secondary Needs 94 Jackson Carman OT Clemson DL CB
Who calls the shots? HC Andy Reid and GM Brett Veach
HC: Andy Reid OC: Eric Bieniemy DC: Steve Spagnuolo -- Plays a mix of all coverages, with a relatively high rate of man
Thoughts on potential targets Both guard spots could be upgraded and there's a good bet one of those players is added in the 1st-round. Wyatt Davis and Alijah Vera- Guard Tucker would both start immediately. It's amazing what Mahomes has done with a patchwork WR corps. This offense could reach another level with a better complement to Wide Receiver Tyreek Hill. Amon-Ra St. Brown, Rashod Bateman are ideal targets. Looking ahead to 2022, they're going to have tough decision to make on the offensive line. They could get a jump start on solving those Offensive Tackle problems by adding a future starter now. They've repeatedly ignore this position, so maybe it's just not an position they believe is worth the investment. But a good off-ball linebacker Linebacker would definitely improve the defense. Nick Bolton might be the best realistic option in Round 1.
Key Notes - Run defense: Allowed 5+ yards on 40.1% of opponents attempts, ranked 27th in league (excluding att inside 10-yard line) - Defense ranked 22nd in explosive pass rate allowed (9.0% of throws for 20+ yards) - Allowed 8.0 yards per target to tight ends, ranked 25th - Tyrann Mathieu: Free agent after 2021 - Eric Fisher: Free agent after 2021 - Mitchell Schwartz: 31 years old, free agent after 2021 TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS Mock Draft Primary Needs 32 Christian Barmore DT Alabama DL EDGE RB 64 Trey Smith IOL Tennessee Secondary Needs 95 Ronnie Perkins EDGE Oklahoma IOL OT QB
Who calls the shots? GM Jason Licht
HC: Bruce Arians OC: Byron Leftwich DC: Todd Bowles -- Favors Cover 3 with some Cover 4, relatively low rate of man coverage
Thoughts on potential targets Pass-Rusher Even if they re-sign Shaq Barrett, adding some youth/depth should be an offseason priority.
The Jones/Fournette duo was fine, but since they're all-in on chasing a ring again in 2021, it would make sense to add an elite RB prospect Running Back (Najee Harris or Travis Etienne) Ndamukong Suh is a free agent. It would make sense to re-sign him, but he's 34, so it's going to be a short-term contract. Adding depth and Defensive Tackle his eventual replacement would be a wise plan.
Key Notes - Picked up 5+ yards on 32.4% on rush attempts, ranked 30th in league (excluding att inside 10-yard line) - Donovan Smith: Free agent after 2021 SEATTLE SEAHAWKS Mock Draft Primary Needs 56 Jordan Smith EDGE UAB EDGE OT IOL CB Secondary Needs RB WR CB
Who calls the shots? HC Pete Carroll with input from GM John Schneider
HC: Pete Carroll OC: Shane Waldron DC: Ken Norton -- Heavily favors Cover 3 with lowest rate of man coverage in league
Thoughts on potential targets Pass-Rusher Without a first-round pick, this is probably the position where they can most easily add an instant-impact player on Day 2.
Offensive Line It's always a need and they never adequately address it. But as Wilson gets older, it's going to be more important to improve his protection.
Key Notes - Running backs averaged 1.8 yards before contact per attempt, ranked 21st in league (via Sports Info Solutions) - Allowed pressure on 26.2% of QB dropbacks, ranked 25th - Allowed 7.7 yards per attempt when in man coverage, ranked 25th (via Sports Info Solutions) - Allowed 8.1 yards per target to slot receivers, ranked 19th (via Sports Info Solutions) - Carlos Dunlap: Free agent after 2021 - Duane Brown: 35 years old, free agent after 2021 LOS ANGELES RAMS Mock Draft Primary Needs 57 Brady Christensen OT BYU OL EDGE LB 88 Shaun Wade CB Ohio State Secondary Needs 103 Rashad Weaver EDGE Pittsburgh IOL CB
Who calls the shots? GM Les Snead
HC: Sean McVay OC: Kevin O'Connell DC: Raheem Morris -- Falcons DC in 2020: Played mix of Cover 1 and Cover 3; Rams played very low rate of man in 2020
Thoughts on potential targets They could potentially upgrade RG. A long-term replacement for Andrew Whitworth at LT should also be on their radar. And all-around Offensive Line depth on the line is also a concern. Aaron Donald covers up a lot of flaws, but this pass-rush unit would significantly more dangerous if they had a weapon on the edge. There Pass-Rusher should be some good Day 2 options available.
Key Notes - Picked up 5+ yards on 34.6% on rush attempts, ranked 23rd in league (excluding att inside 10-yard line) HOUSTON TEXANS Mock Draft Primary Needs 67 Paulson Adebo CB Stanford A new owner Secondary Needs RB WR TE OL DL LB CB S
Who calls the shots? इ VP of Football Opps Jack Easterby and/or GM Nick Caserio?
HC: David Culley OC: Tim Kelly DC: Lovie Smith -- Illinois HC in 2020:
Thoughts on potential targets This is a full tear-down and rebuild situation and it appears to lack anything resembling leadership at the top. Without any first or second- Everything round picks, there's no way to guess what they might address. Good luck, Texans fans.
Key Notes - Allowed pressure on 26.3% of QB dropbacks, ranked 26th - Generated pressure on 20.5% of opponents dropbacks, ranked 27th - Run Defense: Allowed 5.9 yards per attempt outside the tackles, ranked 32nd (via Sports Info Solutions) - Allowed 9.1 yards per target to slot receivers, ranked 29th (via Sports Info Solutions) - J.J. Watt: Free agent after 2021