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Melbourne Social Equity Institute Melbourne: What Next? A discussion on creating a better future for Melbourne Research Monograph No. 1, October 2014 The views and opinions contained within MSSI publications are solely those of the author/s and do not reflect those held by MSSI, the University of Melbourne or any other relevant party. While MSSI endeav- ours to provide reliable analysis and believes the material it presents is accurate, it will not be liable for any claim by any party acting on the information in this paper. © Copyright protects this material. Production Editor Claire Denby, [email protected] Images All images, except where otherwise stated, are courtesy of Alexander Sheko, University of Melbourne Citing this paper Please cite this paper as Whitzman, C., Gleeson, B. & Sheko, A. (2014). Melbourne: What Next?, Research Monograph No. 1, Melbourne Sustainable Society Institute, The University of Melbourne. ISBN: 978 0 7340 4944 5 MELBOURNE: WHAT NEXT? A Discussion on Creating a Better Future for Melbourne Carolyn Whitzman, Brendan Gleeson, Alexander Sheko (eds.) Table of Contents List of Figures ........................................................................................................................................................... iii List of Tables ............................................................................................................................................................ iii Foreword .................................................................................................................................................................. iv Contributors............................................................................................................................................................. vi Introduction from Editors ........................................................................................................................................ 1 Chapter 1: Vision ........................................................................................................................ 3 A Vision for Metropolitan Melbourne ..................................................................................................................... 4 Professor Carolyn Whitzman and Professor Chris Ryan Melbourne’s Foundations: Opportunity for All and Caring for the Vulnerable ................................................. 21 Major Brendan Nottle Partnerships and a Shared Vision for a Better Melbourne .................................................................................. 24 Cr Micaela Drieberg Melbourne: Smart, Connected, Self-Sufficient ...................................................................................................... 27 Rob McGauran Smart Growth for a Smart City ............................................................................................................................. 30 The Hon Robert Doyle Chapter 2: Jobs and Housing ..................................................................................................... 33 Making Ends Meet ................................................................................................................................................... 34 Dr Kate Shaw and Bryn Davies Disadvantage in the Sprawling City ....................................................................................................................... 47 Tony Nicholson Nimble Metropolitan Governance for a Dynamic Metropolis ............................................................................ 49 Dr Marcus Spiller Neither Up Nor Out: Precinct-Scale Infill for Middle Suburbia .......................................................................... 52 Professor Shane Murray Quality In My Back Yard: Lessons from North America ..................................................................................... 56 Professor Carolyn Whitzman Chapter 3: Climate and Design ................................................................................................. 59 Cool Melbourne: Towards a Sustainable and Resilient Zero Carbon City in a Hotter World ....................... 60 Professor John Wiseman, Professor David Karoly and Alexander Sheko Sustainable Development: From Global to Local ................................................................................................. 74 Professor Dave Griggs Integrative Design to Regenerate Melbourne ....................................................................................................... 77 Caroline Pidcock i People Power for a Renewable Energy Future ..................................................................................................... 80 Kirsty Albion Green Strategies for a Sustainable Melbourne ..................................................................................................... 83 Professor Rob Adams Chapter 4: Transport ................................................................................................................ 86 Building Confidence in the Future of Melbourne’s Public Transport Systems ................................................... 87 Dr John Stone and Dr Jan Scheurer Public Transport: Accessible to All? ................................................................................................................... 103 Janine Young Improving Public Transport for Greater Productivity and Quality of Life ...................................................... 106 Chris Lowe Dealing with the Infrastructure Backlog in Melbourne’s Outer Suburbs ........................................................ 109 Griff Davies Modern, Radical, Community Campaigning for World Class Public Transport ............................................. 112 Danae Bosler Chapter 5: Implementation ..................................................................................................... 115 Implementation: Getting Our Act Together...................................................................................................... 116 Dr Crystal Legacy, Professor Brendan Gleeson and Professor Jago Dodson Making, Delivering and Protecting a Plan for Melbourne ................................................................................. 132 Kate Roffey How can Local Governance be Fit for Purpose? ............................................................................................... 135 Dr Andrew Hollows Integrated, Deliberative Planning: Beyond Sleepwalking Towards Catastrophe ............................................. 138 Professor Brendan Gleeson Post-It Notes and Citizens’ Juries: Sharing Decisions About Our Future ....................................................... 141 Andrew Holden ii List of Figures Figure 1: Moderator of the Creating a Better Future for Melbourne seminar series. Michael Short ...................... 2 Figure 2: Audience at final seminar in Creating a Better Future for Melbourne series, July 2014 ............................ 2 Figure 3: Employment levels in the CBD and the City of Melbourne from 1981-2011 (SGS, 2012) ...................... 40 Figure 4: Melbourne's projected expansion by 2051 if growth accommodated solely in city centre and fringes 52 Figure 5: A "Manhattanised" future Melbourne ..................................................................................................................... 53 Figure 6: Key climate change risks for Victoria over the 21st century (Steffen & Hughes, 2013) ........................... 64 Figure 7: Network resilience map for the Status Quo (2012) public transport network in the Doncaster corridor with urban growth projection scenarios for 2031 (Do-Nothing scenario) .................................................. 93 Figure 8: Public transport efficiency change in the Doncaster corridor as a result of frequency improvements along existing rail lines in the vicinity ....................................................................................................................................... 93 Figure 9: Network resilience map for the public transport network in the Doncaster corridor with frequency improvements along existing rail lines (Build-No-Infrastructure scenario) ................................................................... 94 Figure 10: Public transport efficiency changes in the Doncaster corridor from the isolated insertion of a Doncaster rail branch compared to the existing network with improved rail frequencies ...................................... 95 Figure 11: Network resilience map for the public transport network in the Doncaster corridor with frequency improvements on existing rail lines and an isolated Doncaster rail branch .................................................................. 96 Figure 12: Public transport efficiency changes in the Doncaster corridor as a result of the insertion of a Doncaster rail branch accompanied by a package of surface network adaptations, compared to the existing network with improved rail frequencies and an isolated Doncaster rail branch ......................................................... 97 Figure 13: Network resilience map for the public transport network in the Doncaster corridor with frequency improvements along existing rail lines, a Doncaster rail branch and surface network adaptations ........................ 98 List of Tables Table 1: Major Shared Themes From Eight Organisations' Plan Melbourne Submissions 2012-13 ......................... 12 Table 2: Observed and projected climate changes for Melbourne from
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