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Analyzing Soviet Defense Programs, 1951-1990 (U)
http://www. csi .cia/studics/vol42no3/art7 .him I (b)[31 Unclassified [b)l1J Determining the Cost and the Burden Analyzing Soviet Defense Programs, 1951-1990 (U) From the early days of the Cold War, the economic potential of the Soviet Union was a prime intelligence question. In 1951, Max Millikan, the first director of the Office of Research and Reports (ORR) in CIA, identified five objectives for foreign economic intelligence in support of US national security: • Estimating the magnitude of potential military threats to the United States and its allies by calculating the level of military operations a potential enemy's economy could sustain . • Estimating the character and location of future military threats by examining how the potential enemy is allocating its resources. • Assisting in judging the intentions of a potential enemy by monitoring changes in its economic policies. • Helping policymakers to reduce possible military threats by telling them how economic measures could impair a potential enemy's economic capabilities. • Assisting in the estimation of probable development of the relative strength of the East and West blocs in the near term, assuming hostilities are avoided._!_ When Millikan formulated these objectives, the Korean war was on, and the possibility of conflict with the USSR was real. At the same time, knowledge of the Soviet economy was sketchy. As Millikan put it, his office in the first half of 1951 "was engaged in taking an inventory of its ignorance concerning the economy of the Soviet Bloc."1 Soviet economic statistics were of little help. Publication of detailed statistics had ceased for all practical purposes after World War II. -
Soviet Counterinsurgency
Calhoun: The NPS Institutional Archive Theses and Dissertations Thesis Collection 1990-06 Soviet counterinsurgency Johnson, David Ray Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School http://hdl.handle.net/10945/37523 NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL Monterey, California THESIS SOVIET COUNTERZNSE'GENCY by David Ray Johnson June 1990 Thesis Advisor: ~ikhailTsypkin Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited UNCLASSIFIED CURlTY CLASSIFICATION OF ThlS *AGE REPORT-. DOCUMENTATION PAGE 3. REPORT SECURITY CLASSIF8CATION I 1 b RESTRICTIVE MARKINGS UN a SECURITY cLAmuoRITY 3 DlsTRlBuTloN /AVAILABILITY OF REPORT Approved for public release; D DECLASSIFICATIONI DOWNGRADING SCHEDLYE distribution is unlinited I PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NUMBEVS) 5 MONITORING ORGANIZATION REPORT NUMBER6) I a NAME OF PERFORMING ORGANIZATION 6b OFF!CE SYMBOL 7a NAME OF MONITORING ORGANIZATION (Ifapplicable) onterey, California 93943-5000 I Monterey, California 93943-5000 I PROCUREMENT INSTRUMENT IDENTIFICATION NUMBER a. NAME OF FUNDING 1 SPONSORING 8b OFFICE SYMBOL 9. ORGANIZATION (If apphcable) 1 r ADDRESS (C8ty. State, and ZIP Code) 10 SOURCE OF FUNDING NUMBERS PROGRAM TASK NO ACCESSION NO 1 TITLE (Include Securlry Classrf~afronJ SOVIET COUNTERINSURGENCY 2. PERSONAL AUTHOR(5) (Year, Month, DayJ 15 PAGE COUNT 135 6 SUPPLEMENTARYNOTA-IOI rhe views exuressed in this thesis are those of the author and do not reflect the officidl rdentrf~by blwk number) FIELD ( GROUP I SUB-GROUP Soviet Counterinsurgency; Anti-Soviet Insurgency I I I I I 19 ABSTRACT (Confmue on reverse rf necessary and ~dennfyby block number) The aim of this paper is to determine the presence or absence of a Soviet doctrine of counterinsurgency and to identify the historical patterns of Soviet counterinsurgency. The thesis examines the place of counterinsurgency in Soviet military thought and compares the Swiet counterinsurgent campaigns in Soviet Central Asia, the Ukraine, Lithuania, and Afghanistan. -
Swimming and Diving DIVISION I MEN’S
Swimming and Diving DIVISION I MEN’S Highlights Michigan wins fi rst championship since 1995, 12th overall: — When Michigan’s Bruno Ortiz pulled himself out of the water after swimming the anchor leg in the 400- yard freestyle relay at the 2013 Division I Men’s Swimming and Diving Championships, the singing started. “Hail to the Victors” echoed around the Indiana University Natatorium at IUPUI March 30, beginning with two Michigan spectator sections on one side of the building and carrying over to the Michigan bench area on the pool deck. The Wolverines did not win the 400 free relay; they fi nished second. But it didn’t matter. Michigan had wrapped up its fi rst national team title since 1995 long before that fi nal relay event. It was the 12th national title for Michigan, and meant it was no longer tied with Ohio State for the overall lead in Division I men’s titles. “This morning, we just kind of let our passion drive us. And that was it,” said Connor Jaeger, who began Michigan’s title drive on the fi nal night of the three-day meet with a victory in the 1,650-yard freestyle. He also won the 500 free in the meet’s fi rst individual race. Michigan’s victory halted a two-year title run by California, which fi nished second. “We started four years ago working on this,” said Michigan’s fi fth-year coach Mike Bottom. “You do it one day at a time; you do it one student-athlete at a time. -
THE LAND WARFARE PAPERS Perestroika and Soviet Military
THE LAND WARFARE PAPERS No.5 OCTOBER 1990 Perestroika and Soviet Military Personnel By Robert B. Davis A National Security Affairs Paper Published on Occasion by THE INSTITUTE OF LAND WARFARE ASSOCIATION OF THE UNITED STATES ARMY Arlington, Virginia PERESTROIKA AND SOVIET MILITARY PERSONNEL by Robert B. Davis THE INSTITUTE OF LAND WARFARE ASSOCIATION OF THE UNITED STATES ARMY AN AUSA INSTITUTE OF LAND WARFARE PAPER In 1988 the Association of the United States Army (AUSA) established within its existing organization a new entity known as the Institute of Land Warfare. Its purpose is to extend the educational work of AUSA by sponsoring scholarly publications, to include books, monographs and essays on key defense issues, as well as workshops and symposia. A work selected for publication as a Land Warfare Paper represents research by the author which, in the opinion of the editorial board, will contribute to a better understanding of a particular defense or national security issue. Publication as an AUSA Institute of Land Warfare Paper does not indicate that the Association of the United States Army agrees with everything in the paper, but does suggest that AUSA believes the paper will stimulate the thinking of AUSA members and others concerned about important defense issues. LAND WARFARE PAPER NO. S, OCTOBER 1990 Perestroika and Soviet Military Personnel by Robert B. Davis Mr. Robert B. Davis is a research psychologist with the U.S. Army Foreign Science and Technology Center in Charlottesville, Virginia. Mr. Davis received his undergraduate degree from Arkansas College and his advanced degree from Troy State University, Alabama. -
At Cold War's End: Complexity, Causes, and Counterfactuals
THE LONDON SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS AND POLITICAL SCIENCE At Cold War’s End: Complexity, Causes, and Counterfactuals Benjamin Mueller A thesis submitted to the Department of International Relations of the London School of Economics and Political Science for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy. London, 1 October 2015 DECLARATION I certify that the thesis I present for examination for the MPhil/PhD degree of the London School of Economics and Political Science is solely my own work, except where I have clearly indicated that it is the work of others (in which case the extent of any work carried out by any other person is clearly identified in it). The copyright of this thesis rests with the author. Quotation from it is permitted, provided that full acknowledgement is made. This thesis may not be reproduced without my prior written consent. I warrant that this authorisation does not, to the best of my belief, infringe the rights of any third party. I declare that my thesis consists of 99,864 words. 2 ABSTRACT What caused the Cold War to end? In the following I examine the puzzle of the fast and peaceful conclusion of the bipolar superpower standoff, and point out the problems this creates for the study of International Relations (IR). I discuss prevailing explanations and point out their gaps, and offer the framework of complexity theory as a suitable complement to overcome the blind spots in IR’s reductionist methodologies. I argue that uncertainty and unpredictability are rooted in an international system that is best viewed as non-linear. -
Swimming and Diving DIVISION I MEN’S
Swimming and Diving DIVISION I MEN’S Highlights California cruises to fi rst title in 31 years; Team clinches title by winning 400-yard freestyle relay: The California men’s swimming team, powered by titles by senior Nathan Adrian and a victory in the 400-yard freestyle relay during the fi nal day of the meet, earned its third national championship by winning the 2011 NCAA Men’s Swim- ming and Diving Championships March 24-26 at Minnesota. The Golden Bears, led by fourth-year coach David Durden, won their fi rst NCAA team title in men’s swimming since capturing back-to-back titles under Nort Thornton in 1979-80. In a dramatic conclusion to its national title run, Cal’s 400 free relay team of senior Graeme Moore, senior Josh Daniels, sophomore Tom Shields and Adrian won the meet’s fi nal event with a time of 2:47.39 to give the Bears a 493 to 470½ point victory over Texas in the team standings. Stanford placed third in the meet with 403 points. Texas won two events, but couldn’t fully overcome a 63½ -point defi cit at the start of the fi nal day to win the team title. Earlier on the fi nal day, Adrian won his second title of the NCAA meet by capturing the 100-yard freestyle for the third straight year, recording a time of 41.10. He is the third Cal athlete to win the national title in the 100 free three years in a row, joining Olympic gold medalists Matt Biondi (1985-87) and Anthony Ervin (2000-02). -
Qusso1595849033rkckn.Pdf
Kyiv 2017 In blessed memory of Volodymyr Bezkorovainy, Bohdan Hawrylyshyn, Oleksandr Todiychuk* For those who have systemic thinking The Doomsday Clock is now at 2 minutes 30 seconds to midnight. * This book is devoted to three prominent Ukrainians, each of whom was an experienced professional in their field and were known in Ukraine, Europe and around the world. Volodymyr Bezkorovainy (Ukrainian: Володимир Безкоровайний), August 16, 1944 – January 23, 2017, Admiral (Ret.), PhD degree (Military Sciences), former Commander of the Ukrainian Navy, Deputy Minister of Defence of Ukraine (October 1993 – October 1996). Bohdan Hawrylyshyn (Богдан Гаврилишин), October 19, 1926 – October 24, 2016, Canadian, Swiss and Ukrainian economist, thinker, benefactor and advisor to the governments and large companies worldwide. He was a full member of the Club of Rome, a founder of the European Management Forum in Davos (now World Economic Forum). Oleksandr Todiychuk (Олександр Тодійчук), June 22, 1953 – March 3, 2016, Ukrainian energy industry manager, former CEO of JSC «Institute of Oil Transportation», former CEO of the National oil transmission system operator «UkrTransNafta», Coordinator of the EU – Ukraine energy relationship, Deputy Chairman of the Board of NJSC «NaftoGaz of Ukraine», founder and president of Kyiv International Energy Club. Wars-ХХІ: Russia’s Polyhybression. Based on the researches of the Centre for Global Studies “Strategy XXI” in the framework of Antares project The author of the idea and Project Director: Mykhailo Gonchar. Project expert team: Andrii Chubyk, Sergii Dyachenko, Oksana Ishchuk, Pavlo Lakiichuk, Oleg Hychka, Sergii Mukhrynsky. Antares* – research project of the non-military components of new generation wars, the wars of the 21st century, implemented by the Center for Global Studies “Strategy XXI”. -
C00175072 Page: 1 of 135 UNCLASSIFIED
C00175072 Page: 1 of 135 UNCLASSIFIED Document 71 CLAS UNCLASSIFIED CLAS UNCLASSIFIED AFSN TB1607133591C FROM FBIS LONDON UK SUBJ TAKEALL-- Comlist: Moscow Consolidated 15 Jul 91 Full Text Superzone of Hessage 1 GLOBAL 2 1 gorbachev 12 jul moscow press conference to soviet and foreign journalists on forthcoming london G-7 meeting. (c/r home 121215, item 3 on 12 jul list) (1.5 min: swahili 121800; brief: enginter 0800 0900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 frenchinter 1800 spanish 2100 czech/slovak 1800 polish 1600) 3 2 vitaliy gurov presents highlights from news conference addressed by president gorbachev on forthcoming G-7 summit. (rpt enginter 121510, item 4 on 12 jul list) (5 min: swabili 121800) 4 3 vitaliy gurov on forthcoming G-7 meeting in london. (rpt enginter 141210, item 8 on 14 jul list) (engna 142300 amharic 141600 swabili 141800 jap 141400 beng 1200 hind 1300; anon: spanish 142100) 5 4 canadian radio quotes yevgeniy primakov saying gorbachev will face "social explosion" if he returns from london empty-handed. (brief: rtv 2000) 6 5 primakov stmt at london news conference on ussr economic cooperation with west. (brief: greek 2000) 7 6 zorin video report showing world leaders arriving at lancaster house, voiceover recaps G-7 summit traditional goals, video shows ignatenko supervizing preparations for gorbachev's press conference, head of press center interviewed. (4.5 min: tv 1800) 8 7 account of vitaly ignatenko's 15 jul london press conference, re forthcoming meeting between gorbachev and G-7 leaders, stressing historical significance. (700 text sent: tassr 1319 tasse 1646) 9 8 andrey ptashnikov telephone report pegged to opening of G-7 summit in london, noting that though talks are' officially economic, political issues will be important and may, indeed, predominate, stressing relations with ussr will be among most important topics on agenda, giving factual information on background to talks and program of gorbachev's visit. -
Download the Publication
COLD WAR INTERNATIONAL HISTORY PROJECT WORKING PAPER #51 Inside the Soviet Invasion of Afghanistan and the Seizure of Kabul, December 1979 By Aleksandr Antonovich Lyakhovskiy Translations by Gary Goldberg and Artemy Kalinovsky January 2007 THE COLD WAR INTERNATIONAL HISTORY PROJECT WORKING PAPER SERIES Christian F. Ostermann, Series Editor This paper is one of a series of Working Papers published by the Cold War International History Project of the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars in Washington, D.C. Established in 1991 by a grant from the John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation, the Cold War International History Project (CWIHP) disseminates new information and perspectives on the history of the Cold War as it emerges from previously inaccessible sources on “the other side” of the post-World War II superpower rivalry. The project supports the full and prompt release of historical materials by governments on all sides of the Cold War, and seeks to accelerate the process of integrating new sources, materials and perspectives from the former “Communist bloc” with the historiography of the Cold War which has been written over the past few decades largely by Western scholars reliant on Western archival sources. It also seeks to transcend barriers of language, geography, and regional specialization to create new links among scholars interested in Cold War history. Among the activities undertaken by the project to promote this aim are a periodic BULLETIN to disseminate new findings, views, and activities pertaining to Cold War history; a fellowship program for young historians from the former Communist bloc to conduct archival research and study Cold War history in the United States; international scholarly meetings, conferences, and seminars; and publications. -
Soviet Military Power 1987 Reviews New Developments in the USSRS Armed Forces Over the Past Year and Places These in the Context of Current Doctrine and Strategy
SOVIET MILITARY POWER First Edition September 1981 Second Edition March 1983 Third Edition April 1984 Fourth Edition April 1985 Fifth Edition March 1986 Sixth Edition March 1987 For sale by Superintendent of Documents, US Government Printing Office, Washington DC 20402 See inside back cover for ordering information. The United States Government has not recognized the incorporation of Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania into the Soviet Union. Other boundary representations on the maps are not necessarily authoritative. The illustrations of Soviet defense facilities and weapon systems included in this publication are derived from various US sources; while not precise in every detail, they are as authentic as possible. Satellite photographs of Soviet facilities were obtained commercially from the SPOT Image Corporation and EOSAT Inc. CONTENTS Chapter I 7 Soviet Policies and Global Ambitions Chapter II 23 Forces for Nuclear Attack Chapter III 45 Strategic Defense and Space Operations Chapter IV 63 Forces for Theater Operations Chapter V 95 Readiness, Mobility, and Sustainability Chapter VI 105 Research, Development, and Production Chapter VII 125 Political-Military and Regional Policies Chapter VIII 145 The US Response PREFACE ... the threat from Soviet forces, conventional and strategic, from the Soviet drive for domination, from the increase in espionage and state terror remains great. This is reality. Closing our eyes will not make reality disappear. Ronald Reagan In the military strategy and resulting weapons program flowing from its doctrine, the USSR has long followed the Leninist maxim that quantity has a quality of its own. To appreciate the commitment that the USSR makes to its armed forces, it is useful to start with a look at the weapon systems the Soviets are procuring for those forces and to place those figures alongside similar US procurement. -
USA Swimming 2015-2016 National Team – Men: 50 Free Nathan Adrian 21.37S World Championships California Aquatics Dave Durd
USA Swimming 2015-2016 National Team – Men: Athletes with the top 6 fastest times, in Olympic Events only, from January 1, 2015 through, and including, August 10, 2015: times from Prelims, Semi-Finals and Finals (A, B and C) only will be used and relay lead offs, time trials, intermediate splits, and swim-offs will not be included. Times must be from USA Swimming or FINA sanctioned meets, including the BHP Billiton Aquatic Super Series 2015 in Perth, Australia. Times from “approved meets” or “observed swims” will not be considered. 50 free Nathan Adrian 21.37s World Championships California Aquatics Dave Durden Caeleb Dressel 21.53 Phillips 66 Nationals Bolles School Sharks/Florida Gregg Troy/Jason Calanog Josh Schneider 21.86 Pan American Games New York Athletic Club/Cincinnati Mandy DiSalle Cullen Jones 21.87 Phillips 66 Nationals SwimMAC Carolina David Marsh Anthony Ervin 22.02s World Championships California Aquatics Dave Durden Michael Chadwick 22.03 Phillips 66 Nationals SwimMAC Carolina /Missouri David Marsh/Greg Rhodenbaugh 100 Free Nathan Adrian 48.31 World Championships California Aquatics Dave Durden Caeleb Dressel 48.78 Phillips 66 Nationals Bolles School Sharks/Florida Gregg Troy/Jason Calanog Michael Chadwick 48.87 GA Long Course Sectionals SwimMAC Carolina /Missouri David Marsh/Greg Rhodenbaugh Jack Conger 49.02 World University Games Nation’s Capital/Texas Eddie Reese Will Copeland 49.09 Phillips 66 Nationals Rockbridge Storm Swim Team Craig Charley Jimmy Feigen 49.12p World Championships New York Athletic Club/Texas Eddie -
Soviet Counterinsurgency
Calhoun: The NPS Institutional Archive DSpace Repository Theses and Dissertations 1. Thesis and Dissertation Collection, all items 1990-06 Soviet counterinsurgency Johnson, David Ray Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School http://hdl.handle.net/10945/37523 Downloaded from NPS Archive: Calhoun NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL Monterey, California THESIS SOVIET COUNTERZNSE'GENCY by David Ray Johnson June 1990 Thesis Advisor: ~ikhailTsypkin Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited UNCLASSIFIED CURlTY CLASSIFICATION OF ThlS *AGE REPORT-. DOCUMENTATION PAGE 3. REPORT SECURITY CLASSIF8CATION I 1 b RESTRICTIVE MARKINGS UN a SECURITY cLAmuoRITY 3 DlsTRlBuTloN /AVAILABILITY OF REPORT Approved for public release; D DECLASSIFICATIONI DOWNGRADING SCHEDLYE distribution is unlinited I PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NUMBEVS) 5 MONITORING ORGANIZATION REPORT NUMBER6) I a NAME OF PERFORMING ORGANIZATION 6b OFF!CE SYMBOL 7a NAME OF MONITORING ORGANIZATION (Ifapplicable) onterey, California 93943-5000 I Monterey, California 93943-5000 I PROCUREMENT INSTRUMENT IDENTIFICATION NUMBER a. NAME OF FUNDING 1 SPONSORING 8b OFFICE SYMBOL 9. ORGANIZATION (If apphcable) 1 r ADDRESS (C8ty. State, and ZIP Code) 10 SOURCE OF FUNDING NUMBERS PROGRAM TASK NO ACCESSION NO 1 TITLE (Include Securlry Classrf~afronJ SOVIET COUNTERINSURGENCY 2. PERSONAL AUTHOR(5) (Year, Month, DayJ 15 PAGE COUNT 135 6 SUPPLEMENTARYNOTA-IOI rhe views exuressed in this thesis are those of the author and do not reflect the officidl rdentrf~by blwk number) FIELD ( GROUP I SUB-GROUP Soviet Counterinsurgency; Anti-Soviet Insurgency I I I I I 19 ABSTRACT (Confmue on reverse rf necessary and ~dennfyby block number) The aim of this paper is to determine the presence or absence of a Soviet doctrine of counterinsurgency and to identify the historical patterns of Soviet counterinsurgency.