Executive Committee Meeting of April 12, 2013
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The Slowdown in Productivity Growth and Policies That Can Restore It
FRAMING PAPER | JUNE 2020 The Slowdown in Productivity Growth and Policies That Can Restore It Emily Moss, Ryan Nunn, and Jay Shambaugh i The Hamilton Project • Brookings ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The authors are grateful to Lauren Bauer, Barry Bosworth, David Dreyer, Joy Fox, and Kriston McIntosh for insightful comments. We would also like to thank Jimmy O’Donnell, Vincent Pancini, and Jana Parsons for excellent research assistance as well as Alexandra Contreras for superb layout design. The views expressed in this document are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect those of the Federal Open Market Committee or anyone else in the Federal Reserve System. MISSION STATEMENT The Hamilton Project seeks to advance America’s promise of opportunity, prosperity, and growth. The Project’s economic strategy reflects a judgment that long-term prosperity is best achieved by fostering economic growth and broad participation in that growth, by enhancing individual economic security, and by embracing a role for effective government in making needed public investments. We believe that today’s increasingly competitive global economy requires public policy ideas commensurate with the challenges of the 21st century. Our strategy calls for combining increased public investments in key growth-enhancing areas, a secure social safety net, and fiscal discipline. In that framework, the Project puts forward innovative proposals from leading economic thinkers — based on credible evidence and experience, not ideology or doctrine — to introduce new and effective policy options into the national debate. The Project is named after Alexander Hamilton, the nation’s first treasury secretary, who laid the foundation for the modern American economy. -
Econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) (Ed.) Periodical Part NBER Reporter Online, Volume 2011 NBER Reporter Online Provided in Cooperation with: National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), Cambridge, Mass. Suggested Citation: National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) (Ed.) (2011) : NBER Reporter Online, Volume 2011, NBER Reporter Online, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), Cambridge, MA This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/61994 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), -
The Influence of Randomized Controlled Trials on Development Economics Research and on Development Policy
The Influence of Randomized Controlled Trials on Development Economics Research and on Development Policy Paper prepared for “The State of Economics, The State of the World” Conference proceedings volume Abhijit Vinayak Banerjee Esther Duflo Michael Kremer12 September 11, 2016 Many (though by no means all) of the questions that development economists and policymakers ask themselves are causal in nature: What would be the impact of adding computers in classrooms? What is the price elasticity of demand for preventive health products? Would increasing interest rates lead to an increase in default rates? Decades ago, the statistician Fisher proposed a method to answer such causal questions: Randomized Controlled Trials (RCT) (Fisher, 1925). In an RCT, the assignment of different units to different treatment groups is chosen randomly. This insures that no unobservable characteristics of the units is reflected in the assignment, and hence that any difference between treatment and control units reflects the impact of the treatment. While the idea is simple, the implementation in the field can be more involved, and it took some time before randomization was considered to be a practical tool for answering questions in social science research in general, and in development economics more specifically. 1 Abhijit Banerjee and Esther Duflo are in the department of economics at MIT and co-director of J-PAL Michael Kremer is in the department of economics at Harvard and serves as part-time Scientific Director of Development Innovation Ventures at USAID, which has also funded research by both Banerjee and Duflo. The views expressed in this document reflect the personal opinions of the author and are entirely the author’s own. -
Emi Nakamura Recipient of the 2014 Elaine Bennett Research Prize
Emi Nakamura Recipient of the 2014 Elaine Bennett Research Prize EMI NAKAMURA, Associate Professor of Business and Economics at Columbia University, is the recipient of the 2014 Elaine Bennett Research Prize. Established in 1998 by the American Economic Association’s (AEA) Committee on the Status of Women in the Economics Profession (CSWEP), the Elaine Bennett Research Prize recognizes and honors outstanding research in any field of economics by a woman not more than seven years beyond her Ph.D. Professor Nakamura will formally accept the Bennett Prize at the CSWEP Business Meeting and Luncheon held during the 2015 AEA Meeting in Boston, MA. The event is scheduled for 12:30-2:15PM on January 3, 2015 at the Sheraton Boston. Emi Nakamura’s distinctive approach tackles important research questions with serious and painstaking data work. Her groundbreaking paper “Five Facts about Prices: A Reevaluation of Menu Cost Models” (Steinsson, Jón and Emi Nakamura. 2008. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 123:4, 1415-1464) is based on extensive analysis of individual price data. She finds that, once temporary sales are properly taken into account, prices exhibit a high degree of rigidity consistent with Keynesian theories of business cycles and that prior evidence overstated the degree of price flexibility in the economy. Dr. Nakamura’s work on fiscal stimulus combines a novel cross-section approach to identifying parameters with a careful interpretation of business cycle theory to shed new light on crucial questions in macroeconomics. Her findings imply that government spending can provide a powerful stimulus to the economy at times when monetary policy is unresponsive, e.g. -
Understanding Development and Poverty Alleviation
14 OCTOBER 2019 Scientific Background on the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 2019 UNDERSTANDING DEVELOPMENT AND POVERTY ALLEVIATION The Committee for the Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel THE ROYAL SWEDISH ACADEMY OF SCIENCES, founded in 1739, is an independent organisation whose overall objective is to promote the sciences and strengthen their influence in society. The Academy takes special responsibility for the natural sciences and mathematics, but endeavours to promote the exchange of ideas between various disciplines. BOX 50005 (LILLA FRESCATIVÄGEN 4 A), SE-104 05 STOCKHOLM, SWEDEN TEL +46 8 673 95 00, [email protected] WWW.KVA.SE Scientific Background on the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 2019 Understanding Development and Poverty Alleviation The Committee for the Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel October 14, 2019 Despite massive progress in the past few decades, global poverty — in all its different dimensions — remains a broad and entrenched problem. For example, today, more than 700 million people subsist on extremely low incomes. Every year, five million children under five die of diseases that often could have been prevented or treated by a handful of proven interventions. Today, a large majority of children in low- and middle-income countries attend primary school, but many of them leave school lacking proficiency in reading, writing and mathematics. How to effectively reduce global poverty remains one of humankind’s most pressing questions. It is also one of the biggest questions facing the discipline of economics since its very inception. -
Syllabus for ECON 8501 Fall 2012 Course Requirements Course
Fatih Guvenen University of Minnesota Syllabus for ECON 8501 Fall 2012 This course covers topics at the nexus of macro and labor economics. The main goals of this course are to expose students to research questions at the current frontier, discuss a variety of open questions in this area that can lead to research papers (or possibly to a dissertation), and equip with the tools necessary to tackle these questions. Course Requirements To get credit for this course you will need to (i) make in-class presentations of papers that I will assign (typically one lecture in advance), (ii) write a referee report on one of the papers indicated with a (#) sign, and (iii) write an original research proposal. The deadline for choosing a paper for referee report is October 8th, class time. If you haven’t chosen a paper by then I will assign you one in class that day. The due date for the referee report is October 22nd, class time. The homework assignments will develop various empirical and computational skills and will allow you to familiarize with commonly used data sets and software packages. The research proposal should outline a clear research question and describe how you intend to answer the question posed (which data set you would use, a description of the model, the algorithm for solving it, etc). The proposal will be judged based on the originality of the idea (or the importance of the contribution), the feasibility of the exercise and how specific and detailed the proposal is. An ideal proposal would be one where somebody else could take it and follow the steps you describe to answer the question. -
Ec 1530 Reading List Becker Chapters 1 and 2 J. Angrist and A
Ec 1530 Reading List Becker Chapters 1 and 2 J. Angrist and A. Krueger "Instrumental variables and the search for identification: From supply and demand to natural experiments" J of Economic Perspectives 15(4):69‐85 2001 Banerjee and Duflo, 2011, Chapters 1 and 2 Pitt, Mark, "Food Preferences and Nutrition in Rural Bangladesh," Review of Economics and Statistics, February 1983, 105‐114. [JSTOR] Jensen, Robert and Nolan Miller (2008). “Giffen Behavior and Subsistence Consumption,” American Economic Review, 98(4), p. 1553 − 1577. [jstor] M. Ravallion, "The performance of rice markets in Bangladesh during the 1974 famine", Oxford Economic Journal 95 (377): 15‐29 A.D. Foster, "Prices, Credit Constraints, and Child Growth in Rural Bangladesh", Economic. Journal, 105(430): 551‐570, May 1995 JM Cunha, G DeGiorgi, S Jayachandran, NBER 17456The Price Effects of Cash Versus In‐Kind Transfers Banerjee and Duflo, Chapter 3 'Bliss, Christopher and N.H. Stern, "Productivity, Wages and Nutrition, Part I Journal of Development Economics, 1978, 331‐398. [E‐journal] J. Strauss, "Does better nutrion raise farm productivity", JPE, 94(2) 297‐320. Foster, Andrew D. and Mark R. Rosenzweig, "A Test for Moral Hazard in the Labor Market: Contractual Arrangements, Effort and Health," Review of Economic and Statistics, May 1994, 213‐227. [JSTOR] Banerjee and Duflo Chapter 4 Andrew Foster and Mark Rosenzweig, "Technical change and human capital returns and investments: Evidence from the Green Revoloution", American Economic Review 86(4): 931‐53 [jstor] Esther Duflo "Schooling and labor market consequences of school construction in Indonesia: Evidence from an unusual policy experement", American Economic Review 91(4):795‐813 [jstor] Jensen, Robert (2010). -
Rohini Pande
ROHINI PANDE 27 Hillhouse Avenue 203.432.3637(w) PO Box 208269 [email protected] New Haven, CT 06520-8269 https://campuspress.yale.edu/rpande EDUCATION 1999 Ph.D., Economics, London School of Economics 1995 M.Sc. in Economics, London School of Economics (Distinction) 1994 MA in Philosophy, Politics and Economics, Oxford University 1992 BA (Hons.) in Economics, St. Stephens College, Delhi University PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE ACADEMIC POSITIONS 2019 – Henry J. Heinz II Professor of Economics, Yale University 2018 – 2019 Rafik Hariri Professor of International Political Economy, Harvard Kennedy School, Harvard University 2006 – 2017 Mohammed Kamal Professor of Public Policy, Harvard Kennedy School, Harvard University 2005 – 2006 Associate Professor of Economics, Yale University 2003 – 2005 Assistant Professor of Economics, Yale University 1999 – 2003 Assistant Professor of Economics, Columbia University VISITING POSITIONS April 2018 Ta-Chung Liu Distinguished Visitor at Becker Friedman Institute, UChicago Spring 2017 Visiting Professor of Economics, University of Pompeu Fabra and Stanford Fall 2010 Visiting Professor of Economics, London School of Economics Spring 2006 Visiting Associate Professor of Economics, University of California, Berkeley Fall 2005 Visiting Associate Professor of Economics, Columbia University 2002 – 2003 Visiting Assistant Professor of Economics, MIT CURRENT PROFESSIONAL ACTIVITIES AND SERVICES 2019 – Director, Economic Growth Center Yale University 2019 – Co-editor, American Economic Review: Insights 2014 – IZA -
Minutes of the Meeting of the Executive Committee Chicago, IL April 17, 2014
American Economic Review: Papers & Proceedings 2015, 105(5): 683–688 http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/aer.15000009 Minutes of the Meeting of the Executive Committee Chicago, IL April 17, 2014 The first meeting of the 2014 Executive Charles I. Jones, Rachel Kranton, and Fiona Committee was called to order at 10:00 am on Scott Morton. The Nominating Committee and April 17, 2014 in the Heathrow A-B Room of the Executive Committee, acting together as the Hyatt Regency O’Hare Hotel, Chicago, IL. an electoral college, then VOTED to nominate Members present were: David Card, Dora Costa, Robert Shiller as President-elect, and VOTED Esther Duflo by phone , Steven Durlauf, Amy to recognize Robert Barro, Gregory Chow, Finkelstein, Pinelopi( Goldberg,) Claudia Goldin, Robert J. Gordon, and Richard Zeckhauser as Guido Imbens, Anil Kashyap, Jonathan Levin, Distinguished Fellows of the Association. The N. Gregory Mankiw, Rosa Matzkin, William President requested that the Secretary-Treasurer Nordhaus, Andrew Postlewaite, Peter Rousseau, revise the guidelines provided to the committee Matthew Shapiro, Christopher Sims, and Richard to reflect current practices more closely. Thaler. Alan Auerbach, Judith Chevalier, Henry Report of the Committee on Honors and Farber, and Jonathan Skinner participated in part Awards Auerbach . Auerbach explained that of the meeting and Andrew Abel, Susan Athey, nominations( for the) — Clark Medal were solic- and David Laibson participated by phone as ited from economics department heads of major members of the Honors and Awards Committee. research universities. The Honors and Awards Orley Ashenfelter participated in part of the Committee Auerbach chair , Abel, Athey, meeting as chair of the Nominating Committee. -
14.461: Part I: Technological Change
14.461: Part I: Technological Change Daron Acemoglu September 13, 2011 This course will cover selected topics in theoretical and empirical analysis of technological change. The course will draw both on Acemoglu, Introduction to Modern Economic Growth, Princeton University Press, 2008, and research articles. There will be three problem sets, which will count towards 30% of your …nal grade for this part of the course. The remaining 70% will be from a one half hour …nal examination at the end of the course (time to be determined). Topics Review of Basic Models of Endogenous Technological Progress (two lectures) Main reading: Acemoglu, Daron (2008) Introduction to Modern Economic Growth, Chap- ters 13 and 14. Jones, Charles I (1995) “Timeseries Tests of Endogenous Growth Models” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110. Other references: Aghion, Philippe and Peter Howitt (1992) “A Model of Growth Through Creative Destruction”Econometrica, 60, 323-351 Aghion, Philippe and Peter Howitt (2008) The Economics of Growth, MIT, Cambridge. Backus, David, Patrick J. Kehoe and Timothy J. Kehoe (1992) “In Search of Scale E¤ects in Trade and Growth.” Journal of Economic Theory, 58, pp. 377-409. Grossman, Gene and Elhanan Helpman (1991) “Quality Ladders in the The- ory of Growth”Review of Economic Studies, 58, 43-61. Moser, Petra (2005) “How Do Patent Laws In‡uence Innovation? Evidence from Nineteenth-Century World Fairs” American Economic Review 95, 1214- 1236. Romer, Paul (1987) “Growth Based on Increasing Returns due to Special- ization”American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 77, 56-62 1 Romer, Paul M. (1990) “Endogenous Technological Change,” Journal of Political Economy 98, S71-S102. -
IO Reading List
Economics 257 – MGTECON 630 Fall 2020 Professor José Ignacio Cuesta [email protected] Professor Liran Einav [email protected] Professor Paulo Somaini [email protected] Industrial Organization I: Reading List I. Imperfect Competition: Background Bresnahan, Tim “Empirical Studies with Market Power,” Handbook of Industrial Organization, vol. II, chap. 17. Einav, Liran and Jonathan Levin. “Empirical Industrial Organization: A Progress Report,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 24(2), 145-162 (2010). Tirole, Jean. The Theory of Industrial Organization, Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1988. A. Test of Market Power Ashenfelter, O., and D. Sullivan, “Nonparametric Tests of Market Structure: An Application to the Cigarette Industry,” Journal of Industrial Economics 35, 483-498, (1989). Baker, J., and T. Bresnahan, “Estimating the residual demand curve facing a single firm,” International Journal of Industrial Organization 6(3), 283-300, (1988). Corts, K., “Conduct Parameters and the Measurement of Market Power,” Journal of Econometrics 88, 227-225, (1999). Genesove, D. and W. Mullin, “Testing Static Oligopoly Models: Conduct and Cost in the Sugar Industry, 1890-1914,” Rand Journal of Economics 29(2), 355-377, (1989). Stigler, G. “A Theory of Oligopoly,” The Journal of Political Economy, 72(1), 44-61, (1964) Sumner, D., “Measurement of Monopoly Behavior: An Application to the Cigarette Industry,” Journal of Political Economy 89, 1010-1019, (1981). Wolfram, C., “Measurement of Monopoly Behavior: An Application to the Cigarette Industry,” American Economic Review 89($), 805-826, (1999). B. Differentiated Products Anderson, S. P., A. de Palma, and J. F. Thisse, Discrete Choice Theory of Product Differentiation, Chapters 1-5, Cambridge: MIT Press, (1992). Caplin, A., and B. -
Structural Methods for Labor Economics Fall 2008 Course
Department of Economics, UC Berkeley Economics 250c: Structural Methods for Labor Economics Fall 2008 Course Outline and Reading List The goal of the course is to provide a selective overview of more “structural” methods in labor economics and empirical micro, including single period models and dynamic choice problems. Students are assumed to be familiar with basic econometrics and consumer demand theory, and with “reduced form” methods such as regression, instrumental variables, etc. Three recommended text books are: J. Angist and S. Pischke, Mostly Harmless Econometrics. Princeton Press, forthcoming 2008. I have managed to get an advanced copy of this text -- paper copies will be available to class members. This is highly recommended for people who want to catch up on classic reduced form methods. K. Train, Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation. Cambridge U. Press, 2003. J. Adda and R. Cooper, Dynamic Programming: Theory and Applications. MIT Press, 2003. These three are all relatively easy reading. I also recommend the “What’s New in Econometrics?” (WNiE) lectures by G. Imbens and J. Wooldridge (especially lectures 6, 11, 9, and 7, in that order) which are available at the NBER website. Preliminary Outline (Incomplete and subject to additions/changes). 1. Introductory Lecture: Structural vs. Alternative Approaches Background reading: Daniel McFadden. “Economics Choices.” AER, June 2001. Edward E. Leamer. “Let's Take the Con Out of Econometrics.” AER March 1983. 2. Simple Static Choice Models Michael Ransom. “An Empirical Model of Discrete and Continuous Choice in Family Labor Supply.” Review of Economics and Statistics 69 (3) (1987): 465-472. (See also: Michael Ransom.