Financial Evaluation of Entrepreneurial Strategic Choice Yasuharu Imai

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Financial Evaluation of Entrepreneurial Strategic Choice Yasuharu Imai Financial evaluation of entrepreneurial strategic choice Yasuharu Imai To cite this version: Yasuharu Imai. Financial evaluation of entrepreneurial strategic choice. Business administration. Normandie Université, 2019. English. NNT : 2019NORMC022. tel-02400106 HAL Id: tel-02400106 https://tel.archives-ouvertes.fr/tel-02400106 Submitted on 9 Dec 2019 HAL is a multi-disciplinary open access L’archive ouverte pluridisciplinaire HAL, est archive for the deposit and dissemination of sci- destinée au dépôt et à la diffusion de documents entific research documents, whether they are pub- scientifiques de niveau recherche, publiés ou non, lished or not. The documents may come from émanant des établissements d’enseignement et de teaching and research institutions in France or recherche français ou étrangers, des laboratoires abroad, or from public or private research centers. publics ou privés. THÈSE Pour obtenir le diplôme de doctorat Spécialité SCIENCES DE GESTION Préparée au sein de l'Université de Caen Normandie Financial evaluatiοn οf entrepreneurial strategic chοice Présentée et soutenue par Yasuharu IMAI Thèse soutenue publiquement le 15/10/2019 devant le jury composé de M. CATHERINE CRAPSKY Professeur, Université d'Angers Rapporteur du jury M. JEAN LAURENT VIVIANI Professeur, Université Rennes 1 Rapporteur du jury M. RIVO RANDRIANARIVONY Professeur, Université Rouen Normandie Président du jury Mme FANNY SIMON-LEE Professeur, Université Rouen Normandie Directeur de thèse Mme ANNE-LAURE LE NADANT Professeur, Université Rennes 2 Co-directeur de thèse Thèse dirigée par FANNY SIMON-LEE et ANNE-LAURE LE NADANT, Normandie Innovation, Marché, Entreprise, Consommation Doctoral Dissertation The financial evaluation of entrepreneurial strategic choices Yasuharu IMAI NIMEC, IAE Caen (Université de Caen Normandie) 15th October, 2019 Membres du jury: Madame Catherine CRAPSKY, professeur, Université d'Angers, rapporteur Monsieur Jean-Laurent VIVIANI, professeur, Université de Rennes 1, rapporteur Monsieur Rivo RANDRIANARIVONY, professeur, Université de Rouen Normandie, suffragant Madame Fanny SIMON-LEE, professeur, Université de Rouen Normandie, directrice de thèse Madame Anne-Laure LE NADANT, professeur, Université de Rennes 2, co-directrice de thèse 1 Index Acknowledgements p.8 Part One: Introduction and perspectives of this dissertation . Outline p.9 1. Motivation and objective p.9 2. Structure of this dissertation p.13 . The perspectives of this dissertation p.14 1. What is entrepreneurial finance? p.14 1. Entrepreneurship and entrepreneurial finance p.15 2. Entrepreneurial finance as a subset of corporate finance p.16 3. What is entrepreneurial finance? p.17 4. What are the main contributions of research in entrepreneurial finance? p.17 2. Characteristics of entrepreneurial finance: Stages p.22 1. What is the venture life cycle? p.22 2. Stages derived from the venture life cycle p.25 3. How should entrepreneurial firms be characterised? p.27 3. Characteristics of entrepreneurial finance: Risk p.28 1. “Unsuccessful” trajectories in the venture life cycle p.28 2. The concept of risk versus uncertainty p.30 3. Risk in the context of entrepreneurial finance p.33 4. Characteristics of entrepreneurial finance: Information asymmetry p.34 1. Origin of the information asymmetry problem in market finance p.35 2. The problem of information asymmetry in entrepreneurial finance p.35 5. Contract negotiation: A Central issue in this dissertation p.37 1. Closing up the negotiation aspect p.38 2. Contract negotiation in entrepreneurial finance p.39 2 3. Principal-agent problem in contract negotiation p.40 . Main research question of this dissertation p.43 1. Interlinkage between the four key fundamental concepts p.43 2. Setting the grand research question (central problem) of this dissertation p.46 . The main method of this dissertation: Real Options Analysis p.49 1. What is the Real Options Analysis (ROA)? p.49 2. The styles and extension of the real options p.53 3. Why is the ROA useful for entrepreneurial finance? p.56 4. Expansion of the ROA: Incorporation of game theory p.58 1. What is game theory? p.59 2. Application of game theory into contractual negotiation p.61 3. Incorporation of game theory into the ROA p.62 . References p.65 Part Two: Applications . Real Option Valuation in Licensing Contract with Bio-Pharma venture 1. Introduction p.70 2. Literature overview and Model Construction p.72 1. The basic model of Lo Nigro et al. p.72 2. Extension of the basic model p.76 1. Background situation p.76 2. Theoretical assumption: Financial structure of licensing p.78 3. Theoretical assumption: Compensation depending on risk p.79 4. Dynamic assumption with risk perception p.80 3. Numerical simulations p.82 1. Outline of simulations p.82 2. Parameters setting p.83 3. Results p.86 4. Conclusion p.92 3 5. References p.94 . Equity investment decision-making cost under the existence of convertible note holder in the second financing round 1. Introduction p.98 2. Usage of convertible note as a financing method p.101 1. What is convertible note? p.101 2. Why is convertible note used for start-up financing? p.102 3. Basic scheme of procurement with equity and convertible note p.103 4. Dilution problem for equity investors in the presence of convertible note p.106 5. Conversion into equity: real option structure p.109 3. New equity investors’ concern: Adverse selection p.111 1. New equity investors’ concern p.111 2. Adverse selection problem in equity financing contract p.114 4. Modelling the cost for equity investment decision making p.116 1. Modelling of adverse selection effect: Two-type model p.116 2. Incorporation of real option structure into modelling of the index of p.121 entrepreneur type 5. Numerical simulations p.124 1. Simulation result of the effect of discount rate for convertible note p.125 holder 2. Simulation result of the cost of equity investment decision-making p.127 6. Conclusion p.130 7. References p.131 . The IPO valuation premium "Puzzle" for an entrepreneur’s exit choice 1. Introduction p.134 2. Review of the exit strategy choice model by Bayar and Chemmanur p.137 4 3. Explaining the “private benefits of control”: A game-theoretic real options p.140 approach 1. How should the “private benefits of control” be interpreted? p.140 2. Real options analysis (ROA) p.143 3. Incorporating game theory: A game-theoretic real options approach p.144 4. Two-period binomial tree model: Preparation of a game-theoretic real p.144 options model 5. The “private benefits of control” as two Nash Equilibria: A game- p.146 theoretic real options model 6. The condition that forms the “private benefits of control” p.150 7. Choice of exit option: IPO or acquisition p.151 4. Explaining the “IPO valuation premium puzzle” p.153 1. The minimum value of the private benefits of control p.153 2. Is the “IPO valuation premium puzzle” really a “puzzle”? p.154 5. Numerical simulations p.156 I A 1. Simulation of the equation (3) with changing α Ent - α Ent p.156 2. Simulation of the equation (3) with changing I1/I0 p.158 6. Conclusion p.160 7. References p.162 Part Three: Concluding remarks 1. Concluding summary of Part One p.165 2. Three articles in Part Two p.169 3. Contributions and discussions p.173 1. Academic contributions p.174 2. Managerial contributions p.176 4. Target users of the models in this dissertation p.178 5. Other several avenues for future research p.181 6. References p.183 5 Part Four: Le résumé en français Première partie : Introduction et contexte de la recherche . Le contexte de la thèse p.186 1. Objectif et motivations p.186 2. La structuration de la thèse p.187 . Les concepts fondamentaux de la thèse p.188 1. Qu’est-ce que la finance entrepreneuriale ? p.188 2. Les caractéristiques de la finance entrepreneuriale : les étapes p.189 3. Les caractéristiques de la finance entrepreneuriale : le risque p.190 4. Une facette de la finance entrepreneuriale : l'asymétrie d'information p.190 5. La négociation du contrat p.190 . La problématique de la recherche p.191 . L’approche par les options réelles (AOR) p.193 1. Définition p.193 2. L’extension de l’AOR : l’incorporation de la théorie des jeux p.194 Deuxième partie : L’applications L’application . L’évaluation d'une option réelle dans un contrat de licence avec une entreprise biopharmaceutique 1. La modélisation du contrat de licence p.195 2. Les simulations numériques p.197 L’application . Le coût de la décision d'investissement en fonds propres en présence d’un détenteur d’obligations convertibles lors du deuxième tour de financement 1. Le financement par obligations convertibles p.198 6 2. La préoccupation pour les nouveaux investisseurs en capitaux propres : la p.200 sélection adverse 3. La modélisation du coût de la prise de décision en matière d'investissement en p.200 capitaux propres 1. La modélisation de l'effet de sélection adverse p.200 2. L’intégration de la structure d’option réelle à la modélisation de l'indice p.201 de type d’entrepreneur 4. Les simulations numériques p.202 L’application . Le « puzzle » de la prime d’évaluation de l’introduction en bourse pour le choix de sortie de l’entrepreneur 1. L’analyse et la modélisation du choix de stratégie de sortie p.204 1. Le modèle de choix proposé par Bayar and Chemmanur p.204 2. L’analyse par l’AOR p.204 3. L’approche conjointe de la théorie des jeux et de la théorie des options p.205 réelles 2. L’explication du « puzzle » de la prime d’évaluation de l’introduction en bourse p.206 3. Les simulations numériques p.206 Troisième partie : Conclusion Conclusion p.207 Academic presentations Academic presentations p.209 7 Acknowledgements Firstly, I would like to express my sincere gratitude to my supervisors, Professor Fanny SIMON-LEE and Professor Anne-Laure LE NADANT, for the continuous support of my Ph.D.
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