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User-Defined Prediction

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User-Defined Prediction User-defined Prediction The predicted results in the country, given the National and Regional levels of support which you entered, are as follows. National and Regional Prediction: CON short 69 of majority Party 2005 Votes 2005 Seats Pred Votes Gains Losses Pred Seats CON 33.23% 208 33.00% 63 14 257 LAB 36.20% 346 28.00% 0 93 253 LIB 22.65% 67 30.00% 41 0 108 NAT 2.22% 8 2.22% 3 0 11 MIN 0.86% 3 0.86% 0 0 3 The prediction was made with the following information about Regional support. The table shows the support levels entered and the difference in swing implied by those levels compared with that inferred from the national support figures (marked 'SD' for swing-difference). Con Lab Lib Nat Weight Con Lab Lib Nat Area % % % % % SD% SD% SD% SD% Scotland 14.0 36.0 25.0 21.0 8.8 -2.4 5.4 -5.6 3.3 The North 20.0 39.0 35.0 5.1 -3.4 -1.6 3.7 North West 29.0 35.0 30.0 8.5 2.5 -3.2 0.6 Yorks/Humber 28.0 32.0 32.0 9.5 -3.9 -0.8 3.8 Wales 26.0 33.0 26.0 8.0 5.3 4.1 -0.8 -0.4 -4.6 West Midlands 38.0 28.0 27.0 10.0 2.6 -2.2 0.1 East Midlands 36.0 29.0 29.0 6.2 0.8 -2.8 1.8 Anglia 43.0 20.0 30.0 12.5 -1.3 -1.2 0.9 South West 37.0 16.0 42.0 10.8 -2.4 2.1 1.8 London 36.0 31.0 28.0 11.0 3.5 1.0 -1.9 South East 46.0 17.0 31.0 12.4 0.4 1.6 -2.5 Average 33.8 27.2 30.6 100.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 List of predicted seat changes Seat County/Area Predicted Change MP as at 2005 gain Aberconwy Clwyd CON LAB : Betty Williams from gain Aberdeen South Grampian LIB LAB : Anne Begg from gain : Unknown (changed Arfon Gwynedd NAT LAB from seat) Basildon South and East gain Essex CON LAB : Angela Smith Thurrock from gain Battersea Wandsworth CON LAB : Martin Linton from gain Bedford Bedfordshire CON LAB : Patrick Hall from gain Birmingham Edgbaston Birmingham CON LAB : Gisela Stuart from gain Birmingham Hall Green Birmingham LIB LAB : Roger Godsiff from gain Blackpool North and Cleveleys Lancashire CON LAB : Joan Humble from gain Blaydon Newcastle area LIB LAB : David Anderson from gain Bolton North East Western Manchester CON LAB : David Crausby from gain Bolton West Western Manchester CON LAB : Ruth Kelly from gain Bournemouth West Dorset LIB CON : Sir John Butterfill from gain Bradford East West Yorkshire LIB LAB : Terry Rooney from gain Bradford West West Yorkshire LIB LAB : Marsha Singh from gain Brentford and Isleworth Hounslow CON LAB : Ann Keen from gain Brighton Kemptown East Sussex CON LAB : Desmond Turner from gain Bristol North West Bristol area LIB LAB : Doug Naysmith from gain : Unknown (new Broadland Norfolk LIB CON from seat) gain Broxtowe Nottinghamshire CON LAB : Nick Palmer from gain Burnley Lancashire LIB LAB : Kitty Ussher from gain Burton Staffordshire CON LAB : Janet Dean from gain Bury North Western Manchester CON LAB : David Chaytor from gain : Christine Calder Valley West Yorkshire CON LAB from McCafferty gain Cardiff North South Glamorgan CON LAB : Julie Morgan from Carmarthen West and gain Dyfed CON LAB : Nick Ainger Pembrokeshire South from gain Chelmsford Essex LIB CON : Simon Burns from gain Chester, City of Cheshire CON LAB : Christine Russell from gain Colne Valley West Yorkshire LIB LAB : Kali Mountford from gain Corby Northamptonshire CON LAB : Phil Hope from gain Crawley West Sussex CON LAB : Laura Moffatt from Croydon Central Croydon CON gain LAB : Unknown (changed from seat) gain Dartford Kent CON LAB : Howard Stoate from gain Derby North Derbyshire LIB LAB : Bob Laxton from gain Derbyshire South Derbyshire CON LAB : Mark Todd from gain Dorset North Dorset LIB CON : Robert Walter from gain Dorset South Dorset CON LAB : Jim Knight from gain Dorset West Dorset LIB CON : Oliver Letwin from gain Dudley North West Midlands CON LAB : Ian Austin from gain Dudley South West Midlands CON LAB : Ian Pearson from gain : Roberta Blackman- Durham, City of Durham LIB LAB from Woods gain Ealing Central and Acton Ealing LIB LAB : Andrew Slaughter from gain Eastbourne East Sussex LIB CON : Nigel Waterson from gain Edinburgh North and Leith Edinburgh area LIB LAB : Mark Lazarowicz from gain Edinburgh South Edinburgh area LIB LAB : Nigel Griffiths from gain Eltham Greenwich CON LAB : Clive Efford from gain : Unknown (new Filton and Bradley Stoke Bristol area LIB CON from seat) gain Gedling Nottinghamshire CON LAB : Vernon Coaker from gain Great Yarmouth Norfolk CON LAB : Tony Wright from gain Halesowen and Rowley Regis West Midlands CON LAB : Sylvia Heal from gain Haltemprice and Howden Humberside LIB CON : David Davis from gain Harborough Leicestershire LIB CON : Edward Garnier from gain Harlow Essex CON LAB : Bill Rammell from gain Harrow East Harrow CON LAB : Tony McNulty from gain Hartlepool Cleveland LIB LAB : Iain Wright from gain Hastings and Rye East Sussex CON LAB : Michael Foster from gain Hendon Barnet CON LAB : Andrew Dismore from gain High Peak Derbyshire CON LAB : Tom Levitt from gain Hove East Sussex CON LAB : Celia Barlow from gain Hyndburn Lancashire CON LAB : Greg Pope from gain Islington South and Finsbury Islington LIB LAB : Emily Thornberry from gain Lancashire West Lancashire CON LAB : Rosie Cooper from gain Leicester South Leicestershire LIB LAB : Peter Soulsby from gain Leicestershire North West Leicestershire CON LAB : David Taylor from gain Liverpool Wavertree Merseyside LIB LAB : Jane Kennedy from gain Loughborough Leicestershire CON LAB : Andy Reed from gain : Sir Gerald Manchester Gorton Central Manchester LIB LAB from Kaufman gain : Unknown (new Meon Valley Hampshire LIB CON from seat) gain : Unknown (changed Milton Keynes North Buckinghamshire CON LAB from seat) gain Milton Keynes South Buckinghamshire CON LAB : Phyllis Starkey from gain Morecambe and Lunesdale Lancashire CON LAB : Geraldine Smith from gain Newcastle upon Tyne East Newcastle area LIB LAB : Nick Brown from gain Newcastle upon Tyne North Newcastle area LIB LAB : Doug Henderson from gain Northampton North Northamptonshire LIB LAB : Sally Keeble from gain : Unknown (changed Northampton South Northamptonshire CON LAB from seat) gain Norwich South Norfolk LIB LAB : Charles Clarke from gain Ochil and South Perthshire Tayside NAT LAB : Gordon Banks from gain Oldham East and Saddleworth Eastern Manchester LIB LAB : Phil Woolas from gain Oxford East Oxfordshire LIB LAB : Andrew Smith from gain Pendle Lancashire CON LAB : Gordon Prentice from gain Poplar and Limehouse Tower Hamlets CON LAB : Jim Fitzpatrick from gain : Sarah McCarthy- Portsmouth North Hampshire CON LAB from Fry Hereford and gain Redditch CON LAB : Jacqui Smith Worcestershire from gain Ribble South Lancashire CON LAB : David Borrow from Rossendale and Darwen Lancashire CON gain LAB : Janet Anderson from gain : Claire Curtis- Sefton Central Merseyside CON LAB from Thomas gain Sheffield Central South Yorkshire LIB LAB : Richard Caborn from gain Somerset North Bristol area LIB CON : Liam Fox from gain Somerset North East Bristol area CON LAB : Dan Norris from gain Stafford Staffordshire CON LAB : David Kidney from gain Stourbridge West Midlands CON LAB : Lynda Waltho from gain Stroud Gloucestershire CON LAB : David Drew from gain Swansea West West Glamorgan LIB LAB : Alan Williams from gain Swindon South Wiltshire CON LAB : Anna Snelgrove from gain Tamworth Staffordshire CON LAB : Brian Jenkins from gain Totnes Devon LIB CON : Anthony Steen from gain Vale of Glamorgan South Glamorgan CON LAB : John Smith from gain Warrington South Cheshire CON LAB : Helen Southworth from gain Watford Hertfordshire LIB LAB : Claire Ward from gain Weaver Vale Cheshire CON LAB : Mike Hall from gain : David Heathcoat- Wells Somerset LIB CON from Amory gain Westminster North City of Westminster CON LAB : Karen Buck from gain Weston-Super-Mare Bristol area LIB CON : John Penrose from gain Wirral South Merseyside CON LAB : Ben Chapman from gain Wolverhampton South West West Midlands CON LAB : Robert Marris from Hereford and gain Worcester CON LAB : Michael Foster Worcestershire from gain Ynys Mon Gwynedd NAT LAB : Albert Owen from .
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