Latest Tracking Poll Results Press Release March 10, 2020 Contact Information
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Date of survey: 27/2-3/3/2020 Survey method: Random telephone survey conducted by real interviewers Target population: Cantonese-speaking Hong Kong residents aged 18+ Sample size: 1,015 (including 512 landline and 503 mobile samples) Effective response rate: 67.1% Sampling error: Sampling error of percentages not more than +/-4%, that of net values not more than +/-7% and that of ratings not more than +/-2.5 at 95% conf. level Weighting method: Rim-weighted according to figures provided by the Census and Statistics Department. The gender-age distribution of the Hong Kong population came from “Mid-year population for 2018”, while the educational attainment (highest level attended) distribution and economic activity status distribution came from “Women and Men in Hong Kong - Key Statistics (2018 Edition)”. Survey Topic
3 Popularity of Chief Executive Popularity of Principal Officials Survey Result - Popularity of Chief Executive
4 Popularity of Chief Executive
17-19/2/2020 27/2-3/3/2020 Change Record
Rating 18.2 22.6 ▲4.4 * Record high since Oct. 2019
Vote of 9% 13% ▲4% * Record high since Feb. 2020 CE confidence Carrie Lam Vote of 83% 80% ▼3% Record low since Oct. 2019 no confidence Net approval -74% -66% ▲7% * Record high since Jan. 2020 rate
The latest survey shows that the popularity rating of CE Carrie Lam now stands at 22.6 marks. 53% participants give her 0 rating. Her popularity figures have stopped falling and significantly rebounded from the historical lows registered two weeks ago.
* Significant change Survey Result - Popularity of Chief Executive
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特首林鄭月娥評分 (按次計算) Rating for Chief Executive Carrie Lam (Per Poll) (7/2017 – 3/2020) 100% 100
90% 90
80% 80
70% 70 63.6 60% 60
50% 50 Rating 100 Percentage 51-99
40% 40 評分 50 百分比 30% 30 22.6 1-49 20% 20 0 10% 10 評分 Rating
0% 0
3-6/7/2017 2-7/8/2017 1-6/9/2017 6-9/5/2019 3-6/6/2019 2-8/7/2019 1-6/8/2019 2-4/9/2019
10/10/2018
3-4/10/2017 1-6/11/2018 3-6/12/2018 7-11/1/2019 8-11/4/2019
15-18/1/2018 20-22/2/2018 15-20/3/2018 16-19/4/2018 21-25/5/2018 14-21/6/2018 18-23/7/2018 20-22/8/2018 18-20/9/2018 16-21/1/2020 17-19/2/2020
29/1-8/2/2019 28/2-5/3/2019
16-19/10/2017 14-16/11/2017 18-19/12/2017 17-23/10/2019 15-21/11/2019 13-18/12/2019 30/9-3/10/2019 調查日期 Date of Survey Survey Result - Popularity of Chief Executive
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Rating of CE Carrie Lam (Recent ten regular surveys) Date of survey: 17/10/2019 - 3/3/2020 (N=10,161)
Age 18 - 29 30 - 49 50 + Overall
0 rating 77% 60% 46% 56%
1-49 rating 19% 21% 18% 19%
50 rating 3% 9% 15% 11%
51-99 rating 1% 8% 15% 11%
100 rating <1% 2% 4% 3%
Mean 5.8 16.8 27.3 20.2 Survey Result - Popularity of Chief Executive
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Rating of CE Carrie Lam (Recent ten regular surveys) Date of survey: 17/10/2019 - 3/3/2020 (N=10,161)
Primary or Tertiary or Education level Secondary Overall below above
0 rating 38% 55% 66% 56%
1-49 rating 17% 19% 21% 19%
50 rating 18% 13% 5% 11%
51-99 rating 18% 10% 6% 11%
100 rating 6% 2% 1% 3%
Mean 33.5 20.5 12.2 20.2 Survey Topic
11 Popularity of Chief Executive Popularity of Principal Officials Survey Result - Popularity of Principal Officials
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Secretaries of Departments
3-6/2/2020 26/2/2020 27/2-3/3/2020 Change Record
Chief Secretary Rating 22.9 -- 26.1 ▲3.2 * Record high since Nov. 2019 for Administration Net approval Matthew Cheung -47% -- -42% ▲4% Record high since Jan. 2020 rate
Financial Rating 26.6 43.5 32.3 ▼11.2 * Record low since Aug. 2019 Secretary Net approval Paul Chan -36% -14% -28% ▼15% * Record low since Jun. 2019 rate
Secretary for Rating 15.9 -- 16.7 ▲0.8 Record high since Sept. 2019 Justice Net approval Teresa Cheng -61% -- -64% ▼2% Record low since Jan. 2020 rate
* Significant change Survey Result - Popularity of Principal Officials
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Popularity of Financial Secretary and Satisfaction rate of Budget/Rating
60% 80
40% 70
46% 20% 60 Financial Secretary Paul Chan 27% 28% Dismissal 22%
19% 54.1 Financial Secretary Paul Chan 100)
- Reappiontment
0% 50 (0 Budget Dissatisfaction rate
-27% 43.5 評分 Budget Satisfaction rate Percentage -20% -41% 40.2 40 Budget Rating -50% -50% -55% 32.3 -40% 30 26.6
-60% 20
3-6/2/2020 26/2/2020 26/2/2020 27-29/2/2020 27/2-3/3/2020
Date of survey Survey Result - Popularity of Principal Officials
14 各司長評分 - 綜合圖表 (按次計算) Ratings of Secretaries of Departments Combined (per poll) (2/2017 – 3/2020) Chief Secretary for Administration Financial Secretary Secretary for Justice Cheung Kin-chung Chan Mo-po Cheng Yeuk-wah 70
60 50.4 50
Rating 40 34.1 評分 32.3 30 34.0 26.1
20 16.7
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28/2/2018 26/2/2020
6-9/2/2017 3-6/7/2017 1-6/9/2017 3-4/1/2018 2-4/4/2018 4-7/6/2018 6-9/8/2018 6-9/5/2019 2-8/7/2019 2-4/9/2019 3-8/1/2020
6-10/3/2017 8-11/5/2017 6-9/11/2017 2-4/10/2018 3-6/12/2018 1-8/11/2019 28/2-5/3/2019 調查日期 Date of Survey 29/1-8/2/2019 Survey Result - Popularity of Principal Officials
15 Directors of Bureaux - Net approval rate 3-6/2/2020 27/2-3/3/2020 Change Record Secretary for the Environment Wong Kam-sing -3% -9% ▼5% Record low since Nov. 2019 Secretary for Financial Services and the Treasury -9% -9% -- All-time record low since Jul. 2017 James Henry Lau Jr Secretary for Commerce and Economic Development -18% -10% ▲8% Record high since Nov. 2019 Edward Yau Secretary for Development Michael Wong -15% -11% ▲5% Record high since Sept. 2019 Secretary for Labour and Welfare Law Chi Kwong -16% -17% ▼1% Record low since Jan. 2020 Secretary for Innovation and Technology -18% -19% ▼1% Record low since Jan. 2020 Nicholas Yang Secretary for the Civil Service Joshua Law -20% -23% ▼3% Record low since Jan. 2020 Secretary for Transport and Housing Frank Chan -29% -25% ▲5% Record high since Sept. 2019 Secretary for Food and Health Sophia Chan -35% -28% ▲7% Record high since Jan. 2020 Secretary for Education Kevin Yeung -43% -34% ▲8% Record high since Sept. 2019 Secretary for Constitutional and Mainland Affairs -29% -35% ▼6% Record low since Oct. 2019 Patrick Nip Secretary for Home Affairs Lau Kong Wah -46% -42% ▲4% Record high since Sept. 2019 Secretary for Security John Lee -50% -54% ▼4% Record low since Oct. 2019 Survey Result - Popularity of Principal Officials
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3-6/2/2020 27/2-3/3/2020 20%
10%
0% -3% -10% -9% -9% -9% -10% -11% -20% -15% -16% -18% -17% -18% -20% -19% -23%
Percentage -30% -25% -29% -28% -29% -40% -35% -34% -35% -43% -42% -50% -46% -50%
-54%
YangWei
LawChi
James Henry Lau Jr JamesHenryLau
CMAB SecretaryCMAB
SB SB Secretary
CEDB Secretary CEDB Secretary CSB Secretary FHB
-60% WongKam
LauKong
THB SecretaryTHB Secretary EDB
DEVB SecretaryDEVB HABSecretary
LWBSecretary
EPD EPD Secretary
Sophia Sophia Chan
KevinYeung
Michael Wong
Joshua Joshua Law
Frank Chan Frank
John John Lee
Edward Yau
ITBSecretary
FSTBSecretary
Patrick Patrick Yip
-
kwong
-
-
hsiung
wah
- sing
Directors of Bureaux