A New Malaria Vector in Africa: Predicting the Expansion Range of Anopheles Stephensi and Identifying the Urban Populations at Risk
A new malaria vector in Africa: Predicting the expansion range of Anopheles stephensi and identifying the urban populations at risk M. E. Sinkaa,1, S. Pirononb, N. C. Masseyc, J. Longbottomd, J. Hemingwayd,1, C. L. Moyesc,2, and K. J. Willisa,b,2 aDepartment of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom, OX1 3SZ; bBiodiversity Informatics and Spatial Analysis Department, Royal Botanic Gardens Kew, Richmond, Surrey, United Kingdom, TW9 3DS; cBig Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom, OX3 7LF; and dDepartment of Vector Biology, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, United Kingdom, L3 5QA Edited by Nils Chr. Stenseth, University of Oslo, Norway, and approved July 27, 2020 (received for review March 26, 2020) In 2012, an unusual outbreak of urban malaria was reported from vector species in the published literature and found an equal Djibouti City in the Horn of Africa and increasingly severe out- number of studies (5:5) reported An. arabiensis in polluted, turbid breaks have been reported annually ever since. Subsequent inves- water as were found in clear, clean habitats, with a similar result tigations discovered the presence of an Asian mosquito species; for An. gambiae (4:4). Nonetheless, urban Plasmodium falciparum Anopheles stephensi, a species known to thrive in urban environ- transmission rates are repeatedly reported as significantly lower ments. Since that first report, An. stephensi has been identified in than those in peri-urban or rural areas (7, 10). Hay et al. (10) Ethiopia and Sudan, and this worrying development has prompted conducted a meta-analysis in cities from 22 African countries and the World Health Organization (WHO) to publish a vector alert reported a mean urban annual P.
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