Jeb Would Easily Win FL Pres. Primary, Unclear Race Otherwise

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE April 4, 2011

INTERVIEWS: DEAN DEBNAM 888-621-6988 / 919-880-4888 (serious media inquiries only please, other questions can be directed to Tom Jensen)

QUESTIONS ABOUT THE POLL: TOM JENSEN 919-744-6312

Jeb would easily win FL pres. primary, unclear race otherwise

Raleigh, N.C. – Florida is trying to move its primary up and increase its influence in the GOP presidential primary process, but right now, the state’s Republican voters are not too decisive about which candidate they favor—unless their former governor Jeb Bush changes his mind. In PPP’s usual eight-candidate field, 18% favor each Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, and Newt Gingrich, with Sarah Palin not far behind, at 15%, Michele Bachmann at 7%, Ron Paul and Tim Pawlenty at 6% apiece, and Haley Barbour at 3%.

In the event various candidates do not jump into the fray, the picture changes little. Without Huckabee, Gingrich jumps to 24%, Romney to 23%, Palin to 14%, and Paul to 9%. Everyone else runs in place. Without Palin, Huckabee leads at 24%, with Gingrich and Romney at 22% each, and Bachmann at 9%. With neither Palin nor Huckabee, Gingrich tops Romney, 30-28, with Bachmann at 11%, Pawlenty at 10%, and Paul at 9%.

Romney invariably leads with moderates and at least ties for the lead with the 38% who are “somewhat conservative,” but lags severely with the 40% plurality who label themselves “very conservative.” These voters favor either Huckabee or Gingrich.

If Bush were to make a bid, however, it would produce the only commanding lead for any candidate—30% over Gingrich, Huckabee, and Romney’s 14%, Palin’s 9%, Bachmann’s 5%, and Paul’s and Pawlenty’s 4%. If Rudy Giuliani were to make another bid and put down roots in Florida, he would essentially tie for the lead, with Romney, Huckabee, and Gingrich at 17%, Giuliani at 16%, Palin at 11%, Pawlenty and Bachmann at 6%, and Paul at 4%.

In the Senate race, voters want Connie Mack IV to be their nominee against Bill Nelson, but he announced while the poll was in the field that he would not be a candidate. Behind his 23%, it is essentially a test of name recognition, led by Mike Haridolpolos (12%), George LeMieux (10%), Joe Scarborough (7%), Adam Hasner (5%), Jennifer Carroll (4%), Jeff Miller (2%), and Jimmy Wales (1%), none of whom is known to more than a third of voters. The nomination is wide open, which explains the host of candidates who are taking serious looks at the race.

PPP surveyed 427 usual Florida Republican primary voters from March 24th to 27th. The survey’s margin of error is +/-4.7%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

Public Policy Polling Phone: 888 621-6988 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Raleigh, NC 27604 Email: [email protected] Florida Survey Results

Q1 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Newt Gingrich? of Mike Haridopolos? Favorable...... 58% Favorable...... 16% Unfavorable ...... 26% Unfavorable ...... 16% Not sure ...... 16% Not sure ...... 67% Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mike Huckabee? of Adam Hasner? Favorable...... 71% Favorable...... 5% Unfavorable ...... 17% Unfavorable ...... 10% Not sure ...... 12% Not sure ...... 84% Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Q9 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin? of George LeMieux? Favorable...... 62% Favorable...... 15% Unfavorable ...... 30% Unfavorable ...... 11% Not sure ...... 9% Not sure ...... 74% Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Q10 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney? of Connie Mack IV? Favorable...... 61% Favorable...... 31% Unfavorable ...... 24% Unfavorable ...... 16% Not sure ...... 15% Not sure ...... 53% Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Q11 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jeb Bush? of Joe Scarborough? Favorable...... 68% Favorable...... 14% Unfavorable ...... 22% Unfavorable ...... 16% Not sure ...... 10% Not sure ...... 70% Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Q12 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rudy Giuliani? of Jimmy Wales? Favorable...... 51% Favorable...... 3% Unfavorable ...... 34% Unfavorable ...... 8% Not sure ...... 15% Not sure ...... 89%

March 24-27, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 427 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Q13 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Q18 Let’s say that Mike Huckabee didn’t run for of Michele Bachmann? President next year and the candidates were 44% just Michele Bachmann, Haley Barbour, Newt Favorable...... Gingrich, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Unfavorable ...... 9% and Mitt Romney. Who would you vote for? Not sure ...... 47% Michele Bachmann ...... 7% Q14 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Haley Barbour...... 3% of Haley Barbour? Newt Gingrich ...... 24% Favorable...... 35% Sarah Palin ...... 19% Unfavorable ...... 7% Ron Paul...... 9% Not sure ...... 58% Tim Pawlenty ...... 6% Q15 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ron Paul? Mitt Romney...... 23% Favorable...... 53% Someone else/Undecided...... 9% Unfavorable ...... 16% Q19 Now let’s say that Mike Huckabee did run for President next year but that Sarah Palin did not Not sure ...... 31% and the candidates were Michele Bachmann, Q16 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Haley Barbour, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, of Tim Pawlenty? Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney. Who would you vote for? Favorable...... 40% Michele Bachmann ...... 9% Unfavorable ...... 8% Haley Barbour...... 2% Not sure ...... 52% Q17 If the Republican candidates for President next Newt Gingrich ...... 22% year were Michele Bachmann, Haley Barbour, Mike Huckabee ...... 24% Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney who Ron Paul...... 6% would you vote for? Tim Pawlenty ...... 6% 7% Michele Bachmann ...... Mitt Romney...... 22% 3% Haley Barbour...... Someone else/Undecided...... 9% Newt Gingrich ...... 18% Mike Huckabee ...... 18% Sarah Palin ...... 15% Ron Paul...... 6% Tim Pawlenty ...... 6% Mitt Romney...... 18% Someone else/Undecided...... 8%

March 24-27, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 427 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Q20 Now let’s say that neither Mike Huckabee nor Q22 Here’s one last scenario: what if Jeb Bush ran Sarah Palin ran for President next year and the for President and the candidates were Michele candidates were Michele Bachmann, Haley Bachmann, Jeb Bush, Newt Gingrich, Mike Barbour, Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Tim Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney. Who would you Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney. Who would you vote for? vote for? Michele Bachmann ...... 11% Michele Bachmann ...... 5% Haley Barbour...... 2% Jeb Bush...... 30% Newt Gingrich ...... 30% Newt Gingrich ...... 14% Ron Paul...... 9% Mike Huckabee ...... 14% Tim Pawlenty ...... 10% Sarah Palin ...... 9% Mitt Romney...... 28% Ron Paul...... 4% Someone else/Undecided...... 11% Tim Pawlenty ...... 4% Q21 What if Rudy Giuliani ran for President and the Mitt Romney...... 14% candidates were Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Someone else/Undecided...... 6% Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Q23 Given the choices of Jennifer Carroll, Mike Romney. Who would you vote for? Haridopolos, Adam Hasner, George LeMieux, Connie Mack IV, Jeff Miller, Joe Scarborough, Michele Bachmann ...... 6% and Jimmy Wales who would you most like to Newt Gingrich ...... 17% see as the Republican candidate for Senate next year? Rudy Giuliani ...... 16% Jennifer Carroll ...... 4% Mike Huckabee ...... 17% Mike Haridopolos ...... 12% Sarah Palin ...... 11% Adam Hasner...... 5% Ron Paul...... 4% George LeMieux ...... 10% Tim Pawlenty ...... 6% Connie Mack IV ...... 23% Mitt Romney...... 17% Jeff Miller ...... 2% Someone else/Undecided...... 6% Joe Scarborough ...... 7% Jimmy Wales ...... 1% Someone else/Undecided...... 35%

March 24-27, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 427 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Q24 If the choices were just Mike Haridopolos, Q25 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, Adam Hasner, George LeMieux, and Connie somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat Mack IV who would you vote for? conservative, or very conservative? Mike Haridopolos ...... 13% Very liberal...... 1% Adam Hasner...... 4% Somewhat liberal ...... 3% George LeMieux ...... 14% Moderate...... 17% Connie Mack IV ...... 28% Somewhat conservative...... 38% Someone else/Undecided...... 41% Very conservative ...... 40% Q26 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2. Woman ...... 48% Man...... 52%

March 24-27, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 427 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs

Favorability Favorable 58% 100% 43% 31% 56% 73% Favorable 71% 79% 39% 53% 71% 81% Unfavor able 26% - 32% 44% 27% 17% Unfavorable 17% - 35% 30% 16% 12% Not s ur e 16% - 25% 25% 17% 10% Not s ur e 12% 21% 26% 17% 14% 6%

Ideology Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Palin Favorability Romney Favorability Favorable 62% 52% 52% 38% 64% 71% Favorable 61% 48% 73% 59% 64% 59% Unfavorable 30% 48% 35% 53% 26% 22% Unfavorable 24% 52% 7% 27% 20% 27% Not s ur e 9% - 13% 9% 10% 7% Not s ur e 15% - 20% 14% 16% 14%

March 24-27, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 427 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs

Ideology Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Bus h Favor ability Giuliani Favorability Favorable 68% 100% 61% 58% 76% 65% Favorable 51% 74% 32% 51% 50% 54% Unfavor able 22% - 19% 25% 20% 23% Unfavorable 34% 26% 34% 33% 36% 32% Not s ur e 10% - 20% 17% 4% 12% Not s ur e 15% - 34% 16% 14% 13%

Favorability Favorable 5% 26% - 5% 6% 5% Favorable 16% 26% 15% 4% 20% 18% Unfavorable 10% - 21% 17% 13% 4% Unfavorable 16% 26% 12% 25% 19% 10% Not s ur e 84% 74% 79% 78% 82% 91% Not s ur e 67% 48% 72% 71% 61% 72%

March 24-27, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 427 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs

Ideology Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative LeMieux Favorability Mack Favorability Favorable 15% - - 9% 17% 16% Favorable 31% 26% 23% 28% 35% 31% Unfavorable 11% 26% 14% 17% 13% 6% Unfavorable 16% 52% 20% 18% 16% 13% Not s ur e 74% 74% 86% 74% 70% 77% Not s ur e 53% 21% 57% 54% 49% 56%

Favorability Favorable 3% - - 1% 2% 4% Favorable 14% - 8% 14% 17% 12% Unfavorable 8% 26% 14% 13% 11% 2% Unfavorable 16% 52% 14% 16% 16% 16% Not s ur e 89% 74% 86% 86% 86% 93% Not s ur e 70% 48% 79% 71% 67% 72%

March 24-27, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 427 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs

Favorability Favorable 35% 26% 23% 15% 35% 46% Favorable 44% 26% 23% 20% 44% 57% Unfavorable 7% 26% 6% 16% 9% 1% Unfavorable 9% 26% 12% 16% 9% 5% Not s ur e 58% 48% 71% 70% 56% 53% Not s ur e 47% 48% 65% 65% 47% 38%

Ideology Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Paul Favorability Pawlenty Favorability Favorable 53% 79% 43% 37% 53% 60% Favorable 40% 26% 8% 24% 39% 51% Unfavorable 16% - 12% 28% 18% 9% Unfavorable 8% 26% 21% 16% 8% 4% Not s ur e 31% 21% 45% 35% 29% 31% Not s ur e 52% 48% 71% 60% 53% 46%

March 24-27, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 427 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs

Prim ary Primary w /o Huck Michele Bachmann 7% - - 4% 6% 11% Michele Bachmann 7% - - 3% 6% 10% Hale y Bar bour 3% - 6% 1% 2% 4% Hale y Bar bour 3% - 6% 1% 3% 3% Newt Gingrich 18% - 28% 9% 18% 22% Newt Gingrich 24% - 28% 12% 19% 34% Mike Huckabee 18% 26% 12% 17% 16% 22% Sarah Palin 19% - 20% 19% 20% 19% Sarah Palin 15% 26% 8% 19% 16% 14% Ron Paul 9% 26% - 11% 11% 6% Ron Paul 6% - - 10% 7% 4% Tim Pawlenty 6% 26% 8% 7% 6% 6% Tim Pawlenty 6% - 8% 5% 7% 6% Mitt Romney 23% 48% 26% 34% 26% 14% Mitt Romney 18% 21% 26% 23% 21% 12% Someone 9% - 12% 13% 8% 8% else/Undecided Someone 8% 26% 12% 11% 7% 6% else/Undecided

Primary w /o Palin Primary w /o Huck or Palin Michele Bachmann 9% - - 5% 9% 10% Michele Bachmann 11% - - 6% 10% 14% Hale y Bar bour 2% - 6% 1% 3% 2% Hale y Bar bour 2% - 6% 1% 1% 4% Newt Gingrich 22% - 28% 16% 21% 26% Newt Gingrich 30% - 28% 19% 28% 36% Mike Huckabee 24% 26% 6% 21% 20% 30% Ron Paul 9% 26% - 9% 10% 7% Ron Paul 6% - - 6% 9% 4% Tim Pawlenty 10% 26% 8% 8% 9% 11% Tim Pawlenty 6% 26% 8% 4% 6% 7% Mitt Romney 28% 48% 34% 41% 31% 20% Mitt Romney 22% 48% 34% 33% 21% 16% Someone 11% - 25% 15% 10% 9% Someone 9% - 19% 14% 10% 5% else/Undecided else/Undecided

March 24-27, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 427 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs

Primary w / Giuliani Primary w / Bush Michele Bachmann 6% - - 4% 6% 7% Michele Bachmann 5% - - 4% 3% 8% Newt Gingrich 17% - 34% 11% 12% 23% Jeb Bush 30% 26% 25% 26% 35% 28% Rudy Giuliani 16% 74% 12% 21% 20% 10% Newt Gingrich 14% - 15% 7% 13% 18% Mike Huckabee 17% - 6% 11% 16% 21% Mike Huckabee 14% - 6% 13% 11% 19% Sarah Palin 11% 26% 8% 13% 10% 12% Sarah Palin 9% - 8% 13% 8% 8% Ron Paul 4% - - 6% 5% 4% Ron Paul 4% 26% - 3% 4% 4% Tim Pawlenty 6% - - 7% 5% 6% Tim Pawlenty 4% 26% - 3% 4% 4% Mitt Romney 17% - 21% 18% 20% 14% Mitt Romney 14% 21% 28% 20% 15% 9% Someone 6% - 19% 9% 6% 3% Someone 6% - 19% 11% 7% 2% else/Undecided else/Undecided

Primary Full Primary Narrow Jennifer Carroll 4% - - 3% 5% 5% Mike Haridopolos 13% 33% 12% 8% 13% 16% Mike Haridopolos 12% - 25% 2% 14% 14% Adam Hasner 4% - 12% 4% 5% 4% Adam Hasner 5% - - 9% 5% 4% George LeMieux 14% - - 15% 16% 12% George LeMieux 10% - - 11% 11% 9% Connie Mack IV 28% 67% 29% 23% 33% 24% Connie Mack IV 23% 52% 29% 22% 22% 23% Someone 41% - 46% 49% 34% 44% else/Undecided Jeff Miller 2% 26% - - 2% 3% Joe Scarborough 7% - - 4% 6% 9% Jimmy Wales 1% - 6% 1% 1% 1% Someone 35% 21% 40% 48% 33% 31% else/Undecided

March 24-27, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 427 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs

Ge nder Ge nder

Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Gingrich Favorability Huckabee

Favorability Favorable 58% 57% 59% Favorable 71% 74% 68% Unfavorable 26% 24% 28% Unfavorable 17% 12% 22% Not s ur e 16% 19% 13% Not s ur e 12% 14% 10%

Ge nder Ge nder

Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Palin Favorability Romney Favorability Favorable 62% 61% 62% Favorable 61% 58% 64% Unfavorable 30% 30% 30% Unfavorable 24% 21% 27% Not s ur e 9% 9% 8% Not s ur e 15% 21% 9%

March 24-27, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 427 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs

Ge nder Ge nder

Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Bush Favorability Giuliani Favorability Favorable 68% 70% 67% Favorable 51% 52% 51% Unfavorable 22% 18% 26% Unfavorable 34% 29% 39% Not s ur e 10% 13% 8% Not s ur e 15% 19% 11%

Ge nder Ge nder

Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Haridopolos Hasner Favorability

Favorability Favorable 5% 4% 7% Favorable 16% 13% 19% Unfavorable 10% 6% 14% Unfavorable 16% 12% 20% Not s ur e 84% 89% 80% Not s ur e 67% 74% 61%

March 24-27, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 427 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs

Ge nder Ge nder

Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man LeMieux Favorability Mack Favorability Favorable 15% 17% 13% Favorable 31% 24% 38% Unfavorable 11% 7% 15% Unfavorable 16% 12% 20% Not s ur e 74% 76% 72% Not s ur e 53% 64% 43%

Ge nder Ge nder

Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Scarborough Wales Favorability

Favorability Favorable 3% 2% 4% Favorable 14% 12% 16% Unfavorable 8% 5% 11% Unfavorable 16% 9% 23% Not s ur e 89% 93% 86% Not s ur e 70% 78% 62%

March 24-27, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 427 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs

Ge nder Ge nder

Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Bachmann Barbour Favorability

Favorability Favorable 35% 28% 42% Favorable 44% 38% 50% Unfavorable 7% 4% 11% Unfavorable 9% 7% 11% Not s ur e 58% 69% 48% Not s ur e 47% 55% 40%

Ge nder Ge nder

Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Paul Favorability Pawlenty Favorability Favorable 53% 47% 58% Favorable 40% 37% 42% Unfavorable 16% 15% 16% Unfavorable 8% 4% 12% Not s ur e 31% 37% 26% Not s ur e 52% 58% 47%

March 24-27, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 427 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs

Ge nder Ge nder

Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man 2012 GOP Pres 2012 GOP Pres

Prim ary Primary w /o Huck Michele Bachmann 7% 4% 10% Michele Bachmann 7% 5% 9% Hale y Bar bour 3% 3% 3% Hale y Bar bour 3% 2% 3% Ne w t Gingr ich 18% 15% 21% Ne w t Gingr ich 24% 21% 27% Mike Huckabee 18% 22% 16% Sarah Palin 19% 21% 18% Sarah Palin 15% 13% 17% Ron Paul 9% 7% 11% Ron Paul 6% 4% 8% Tim Pawlenty 6% 7% 6% Tim Pawlenty 6% 8% 5% Mitt Romney 23% 25% 21% Mitt Romney 18% 21% 16% Som eone 9% 12% 6% else/Undecided Som eone 8% 10% 6% else/Undecided

Ge nder Ge nder

Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man 2012 GOP Pres 2012 GOP Pres

Primary w /o Palin Primary w /o Huck or Palin Michele Bachmann 9% 6% 11% Michele Bachmann 11% 9% 12% Hale y Bar bour 2% 2% 3% Hale y Bar bour 2% 2% 3% Ne w t Gingr ich 22% 20% 24% Ne w t Gingr ich 30% 26% 33% Mike Huckabee 24% 27% 21% Ron Paul 9% 7% 10% Ron Paul 6% 4% 8% Tim Pawlenty 10% 11% 8% Tim Pawlenty 6% 7% 6% Mitt Romney 28% 28% 29% Mitt Romney 22% 23% 21% Som eone 11% 16% 6% Som eone 9% 11% 7% else/Undecided else/Undecided

March 24-27, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 427 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs

Ge nder Ge nder

Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man 2012 GOP Pres 2012 GOP Pres

Primary w / Giuliani Primary w / Bush Michele Bachmann 6% 5% 7% Michele Bachmann 5% 4% 6% Ne w t Gingr ich 17% 16% 18% Jeb Bush 30% 33% 28% Rudy Giuliani 16% 15% 18% Ne w t Gingr ich 14% 11% 17% Mike Huckabee 17% 19% 15% Mike Huckabee 14% 16% 13% Sarah Palin 11% 9% 13% Sarah Palin 9% 8% 10% Ron Paul 4% 2% 7% Ron Paul 4% 2% 6% Tim Pawlenty 6% 7% 5% Tim Pawlenty 4% 4% 4% Mitt Romney 17% 19% 16% Mitt Romney 14% 15% 13% Som eone 6% 9% 3% Som eone 6% 7% 5% else/Undecided else/Undecided

Ge nder Ge nder

Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man 2012 GOP Sen 2012 GOP Sen

Primary Full Primary Narrow Jennifer Carroll 4% 4% 5% Mike Haridopolos 13% 12% 14% Mike Haridopolos 12% 12% 13% Adam Hasner 4% 5% 4% Adam Hasner 5% 4% 6% George LeMieux 14% 13% 14% George LeMieux 10% 11% 9% Connie Mack IV 28% 22% 33% Connie Mack IV 23% 16% 30% Som eone 41% 47% 35% else/Undecided Jeff Miller 2% 3% 2% Joe Scarborough 7% 6% 7% Jimmy Wales 1% 1% 2% Som eone 35% 42% 28% else/Undecided

March 24-27, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 427 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988