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OAPF Transport Strategy

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OAPF Transport Strategy XX 2020 DRAFT OAPF Transport Strategy Contents 1 Introduction 2 Transport provision and patterns of use* 3 Summary of transport challenges and opportunities 4 An integrated transport strategy 5 Infrastructure investment and implementation Appendix A Transport challenges and opportunities B Transport implementation and delivery plan i New homes and new jobs ii A good public transport experience iii Healthy streets and healthy people iv Freight area action plan v Planning policy, travel demand management and behavioural change + Dependencies C Glossary D Data and modelling assumptions * For all assumptions and technical references please refer to Appendix C and D. Draft - August 2020 1 Introduction London’s population is forecast to continue The current London Plan identifies the need to realising growth in the corridor has historically growing and there is significant pressure to deliver 49,000 new dwellings each year over the been limited by poor transport connections. deliver more homes and jobs, together with period 2011 to 2036. Over the last ten years Delivering the scale of growth identified depends a need to provide a high quality of life for all however, an average of 25,000 homes a year on improvements in transport connections and Londoners. have been delivered. The result of this shortfall capacity, and a reduction in barriers to movement has been rapidly increasing housing costs and across the area. diminishing affordability. Given the housing shortage, the draft new London Plan sets out a The majority of potential growth identified need to increase the rate of housing delivery in within the Thames Estuary Corridor can be future to address the backlog of under-supply. accommodated within eight Opportunity Areas (OAs) that lie to the north and south of the River London needs to bring forward new sites for Thames, as set out in the draft new London Plan residential development as well as increase and illustrated in Figure 1. Thamesmead & Abbey densities on existing sites where this is achievable. Wood sits between Woolwich to the west and The availability of public transport is critical Bexley Riverside to the east. Across the Thames, to delivering housing in areas with strong Thamesmead & Abbey Wood is bordered by Royal development potential. Docks & Beckton Riverside to the north-west and London Riverside to the north. The Thames Estuary Corridor has long been identified as having substantial potential for housing and employment growth. The level of growth that could be accommodated is estimated to be approximately 250,000 new homes and 200,000 new jobs by 2041. However, progress in 1 T&AW Transport Strategy Draft - December 2019 Thames Estuary Corridor Opportunity Area growth targets 1 4 7 2 5 8 3 6 Figure 1. Draft new London Plan growth areas - Thames Estuary Corridor (source: GLA) T&AW Transport Strategy 2 Draft - August 2020 The draft new London Plan estimates that in life of all Londoners, reduce inequalities and make At 811 hectares, Thamesmead & Abbey the Royal Docks and Beckton Riverside OA, to the city a better place to live, work and visit. Wood OA is one of the largest growth areas the north-west of Thamesmead & Abbey Wood Key themes of Good Growth include planning identified in the draft new London Plan, (T&AW), there is potential to deliver 30,000 for the right number of homes and using with indicative growth potential of 8,000 new homes and 41,500 new jobs and in Bexley London’s growth as an opportunity to deliver new homes and 4,000 new jobs by 2041. Riverside OA, to the east, there is potential for higher levels of affordable housing and 6,000 new homes and 19,000 new jobs. These mixed-use developments, in order to spread However, by adopting the principles of OAs are closely linked with Thamesmead & London’s economic success and create stronger Good Growth and significantly improving Abbey Wood due to the potential for possible communities. Good Growth identifies the public transport connectivity, notably new transport interventions to serve and support importance of planning new developments in a more homes and jobs could be unlocked in growth in all three areas. way that reduces car dependency and encourages Thamesmead & Abbey Wood, beyond the active travel in order to improve Londoners’ level envisaged in the draft new London Transport for London (TfL) has been working in health; increase access to opportunities by Plan. With a new package of transport partnership with the Greater London Authority providing better public transport; and make the measures in place, the OA has capacity (GLA), Royal Borough of Greenwich and London city a better place to live. to support around 15,500 new homes and Borough of Bexley to plan the transport 8,000 new jobs. improvements required to support the potential Transport is fundamental to achieving Good levels of growth in T&AW. Together we have Growth in the T&AW OA. Providing high quality considered how new developments can be public transport connections and safe and integrated with existing communities, as well as attractive walking and cycling routes will enable with the wider boroughs in the Thames Estuary people to choose active and healthy ways to Corridor. travel, while supporting the delivery of high- density development. To support the growth The Mayor’s Transport Strategy and draft new ambition set out in the T&AW Opportunity Area London Plan set out a vision for Good Growth in Planning Framework (OAPF), a holistic transport London, a concept that proposes that plans for strategy is required to address the needs of both growth should improve the health and quality of existing and new communities. 3 T&AW Transport Strategy Draft - December 2019 Figure 2 shows how this transport strategy forms part of a suite of documents that together make up the OAPF for the area, which in turn will inform local policy. National Planning Policy Framework The transport strategy explores the current transport challenges facing the OA and assesses the ability of the existing transport network to support the level of growth proposed. It identifies Thamesmead and London Plan OAPF Transport Strategy the transport infrastructure that is needed in the Abbey Wood OAPF short, medium and long term to enable growth to happen, while also addressing the needs of existing communities. Local Plans Neighbourhood Plans Figure 2. Planning policy framework diagram (source: GLA) T&AW Transport Strategy 4 Draft - August 2020 Supporting growth in T&AW Intermediate Several scenarios have been considered in Reference Case High growth the T&AW OAPF, based on different levels of stage transport investment. These scenarios have been developed and tested as agreed by TfL, GLA, Royal Borough of Greenwich and London Borough of Bexley. 5,000 homes 8,000 homes 15,500 homes 4,000 jobs 5,500 jobs 8,000 jobs In this Strategy, produced by TfL, we consider which transport interventions best support an intermediate stage of growth and which best support a high level of growth in the OA. The Elizabeth Line Elizabeth Line Elizabeth Line reference case, the two preferred transport interventions and the associated levels of development that they would unlock are illustrated in Figure 3. Bus network Bus network Bus network improvements improvements improvements Bus transit Bus transit Docklands Light Railway Figure 3. Preferred transport infrastructure to support growth 5 T&AW Transport Strategy Draft - December 2019 Transport modelling By modelling travel demand under intermediate Baseline (2015) the transport network in its The development of this Strategy has been and high growth scenarios, it is possible to test the existing form with 2015 levels of population and informed by strategic transport modelling, which ability of new public transport services to cater for employment. has allowed us to forecast the impact of different increased demand and to identify the services that growth scenarios on the transport network, and would achieve the greatest shift away from private Reference Case (2041) the existing transport to test the ability of potential new transport vehicle trips. Despite part of the OA being in outer network with the addition of the Elizabeth line interventions to serve demand in a way that London, a target of 80 per cent of journeys to be and supporting local bus service enhancements, supports and promotes Good Growth. made by public transport, walking and cycling is new developments that are soon to be or already considered achievable to in the OA if supported in the planning process, and background growth This has been modelled: by the right level of investment. in population and employment (unplanned growth). Intermediate growth (2041) Reference Case plus an additional 3,000 housing units and 1,500 jobs, and transport interventions to support an intermediate level of growth. High growth (2041) Reference Case plus an additional 10,500 housing units and 4,000 jobs, and transport interventions to support a high level of growth. London Overground extension (2041) Reference Case plus an additional 4,000 housing units and 2,000 jobs, and transport interventions to support a higher level of growth. T&AW Transport Strategy 6 Draft - August 2020 2 Transport provision and patterns of use Historic transport infrastructure development Central functioned as a local town centre, dropped from the masterplan, due to the high Thamesmead is the principal town within T&AW providing retail and other services. Later phases cost of the schemes. Later proposals came OA. It has a unique history as London’s only post- of residential development were located in North forward in the 1970s to extend the Jubilee line to war New Town, designed in the 1960s to help Thamesmead and West Thamesmead, which saw Thamesmead town centre, but these plans were address London’s housing shortage.
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