Welcome to the latest edition of Private Equity Spotlight, the Private Equity Spotlight monthly newsletter from Preqin providing insights into private equity May 2015 performance, investors, deals and fundraising. Private Equity Spotlight combines information from our online products Performance Analyst, Feature Article Investor Intelligence, Fund Manager Profi les, Funds in Market, Secondary Sovereign Wealth Funds and Their Investments in Private Equity Market Monitor, Buyout Deals Analyst and Venture Deals Analyst. In conjunction with the publication of Preqin’s seventh Sovereign Wealth Fund Review, this month’s Spotlight turns to the community of sovereign wealth fund investors and looks at May 2015 their level of activity within the private equity space. Volume 11 - Issue 4 Page 3 FEATURED PUBLICATION: Lead Article The 2015 Preqin Sovereign Wealth Fund Review Buyout Holding Periods
The average time taken to exit private equity-backed buyout investments has increased
The 2015 year-on-year since 2008. We conduct an in-depth analysis of buyout holding periods. Preqin Sovereign Wealth Fund Review
Page 7
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Feature Article Sovereign Wealth Funds and Their Investments in Private Equity Download Data
Sovereign Wealth Funds and Their Investments in Private Equity
In conjunction with the publication of Preqin’s seventh Sovereign Wealth Fund Review, this month’s Spotlight turns to the community of sovereign wealth fund investors and looks at their level of activity within the private equity space.
Fig. 1: Aggregate Sovereign Wealth Fund Assets under Fig. 2: Proportion of Sovereign Wealth Funds Investing in Management ($tn), 2008 - 2015 Each Asset Class, 2013 vs. 2014
7 100% 90% 86% 86% 6.31 82% 81% 6 80% 5.38 70% 5 Other Commodity 59% 60% 4.62 60% 54% 57% 2013 51% 4 3.95 Non-Commodity 50% 47% 3.59 40% 2014 3.22 33% 3 3.07 Hydrocarbon 31% 30% 24% Total Assets under 20%
Management ($tn) 2 Management 10% N/A Aggregate SWF Assets under 1 0% Proportion of Sovereign Wealth Funds Proportion of Sovereign Wealth
0 Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds Mar-15 Private Debt* Private Equity Fixed Income Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Public Equities Source: 2015 Preqin Sovereign Wealth Fund Review Source: 2015 Preqin Sovereign Wealth Fund Review *Please note: Preqin has only been collecting private debt information on sovereign wealth funds since 2014.
Sovereign wealth funds, despite being small in number and secretive Despite Fall in Oil Prices, Most Sovereign Wealth Funds Grow in nature, continue to capture attention as a result of their ever over 2014 growing assets under management and corresponding infl uence on global fi nancial markets. Today, the total assets of sovereign wealth Twenty-nine percent of sovereign wealth funds have seen their funds top $6.31tn (Fig. 1), more than double the capital these entities assets fall in size since 2013; of those that have lost assets over this represented in 2008, the year Preqin launched its fi rst Sovereign time, half derived their capital from hydrocarbons. Falling oil prices Wealth Fund Review. over the second half of 2014 have led to signifi cant withdrawals from some sovereign wealth funds by governments highly funded by such Since the previous Preqin Sovereign Wealth Fund Review, launched assets in order to provide stabilization or prevent recession, and also in October 2013, these institutions have grown by over $900bn to fi ll funding gaps. despite commodity and oil prices, the source of funding for many of the largest sovereign wealth funds, falling over 2014. Instead, For example, the combined assets of Russia’s National Wealth the growth in assets of sovereign wealth funds has been driven by Fund (NWF) and Reserve Fund have declined by over $20bn since continued funding from governments and reserves as well as from 2013. The effect of falling oil prices, as well as the impact of events investment returns generated by these investors in their continued such as the Ukraine confl ict, have caused the Russian economy to hunt for long-term yield in a low interest rate environment. shrink, leading to growing defi cits in the country and the withdrawal of international funding for projects either as a result of uncertainty In previous years, growth in the sector has been partially driven by in the region or as a result of international sanctions. Russia has the creation of new sovereign wealth funds; however, in 2014 just withdrawn capital from its sovereign wealth funds to cover defi cits a single new sovereign wealth fund was formed. Ireland Strategic and to stimulate the economy through capitalizing banks in order Investment Fund (ISIF) was created in 2014 with the mandate to to provide funding for infrastructure investments and lending. Other invest its resources in areas that will support economic activity and governments, such as that of Ghana and its Stabilization Fund, have employment in Ireland. However, future sovereign wealth funds indicated they will also be raiding sovereign wealth funds in order to continue to be planned. The Government of Hong Kong has been cover shortfalls in oil revenue. recommended by a working group within the region to allocate up to a third of its annual budget surpluses into a proposed ‘Hong Kong However, despite the negative impact of oil prices on some Future Fund’, in order to meet the growing expenses resulting from sovereign wealth funds’ assets, since October 2013, 59% of an ageing population. sovereign wealth funds tracked by Preqin have accumulated more assets under management. One of these sovereign wealth funds is Norway’s Government Pension Fund Global (GPFG), which grew
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3 Private Equity Spotlight / May 2015 © 2015 Preqin Ltd. / www.preqin.com Feature Article Sovereign Wealth Funds and Their Investments in Private Equity Download Data
Fig. 3: Five Largest Sovereign Wealth Funds Investing in Private Equity by Total Assets under Management
Fund Name Location Total Assets ($mn) Abu Dhabi Investment Authority MENA 773,000 China Investment Corporation Asia 650,000 State Administration of Foreign Exchange Asia 567,900 Kuwait Investment Authority MENA 548,000 Hong Kong Monetary Authority Asia 414,661
Source: 2015 Preqin Sovereign Wealth Fund Review by almost $43bn over this period. However, this is a relatively small the $31bn Texas Permanent School Fund State Board of Education increase in its total assets compared to the previous year, when it (SBOE), which has its private equity investments managed in four added nearly $180bn in assets under management. The fund was limited partnerships, each with an external investment manager. established to safeguard Norway’s assets from oil production for future generations, rather than to provide short-term stabilization for A number of sovereign wealth funds choose to invest in private Norway’s economy. Therefore, even though infl ows have slowed, companies directly and therefore avoid fees charged by fund and falling oil prices may continue to impact short-term distributions managers. Direct investment in companies allows for greater to the fund, it currently looks set to remain a long-term investor in operational control over portfolio companies, which is especially its pursuit to meet the Norwegian Government’s objectives. As the attractive if the sovereign wealth fund has broader social and fund’s vast assets under management make it an infl uential market economic goals in a particular area. RAK Investment Authority, participant on a global scale, many will be paying close attention to for example, has a preference for direct investment in domestic the fortunes of the sovereign wealth fund and the impact of oil prices companies and has previously entered into joint ventures in order on this most infl uential investor. to form partnerships that are of benefi t to the local economy of Ras Al Khaimah. Alternative Investments Conversely, there are a notable proportion of sovereign wealth funds The nature of sovereign wealth funds, with their longer term that are not as compatible to the private equity asset class; 42% investment horizons and, in general, lack of short-term liabilities, of sovereign wealth funds are known not to include private equity allows them to take not only signifi cant stakes in the funds and as part of their investment strategy. Funds with their own liquidity securities in which they invest, but also to maintain investments for concerns and anticipation of economic stress often favour more longer periods of time. Sovereign wealth funds’ capital allocations liquid assets such as public equities and fi xed income instruments, both directly to securities or assets, as well as to funds, can be as exemplifi ed in the investment strategy of Fundo Soberano do characterized as among the “stickiest” of all institutional investors’ Brasil (FSB). allocations as they seek returns over long periods and have less need to disinvest in times of crisis or turmoil. Sovereign Wealth Funds Investing in Private Equity by Total Assets under Management Traditional investments, such as equities and fi xed income securities, are widely used by sovereign wealth funds and are a relatively stable The fi ve largest sovereign wealth funds that invest in private equity part of the portfolios of these investors (Fig. 2). Alternative assets have combined assets under management of almost $3tn; three of have emerged as an increasingly important portion of the portfolios these are based in Asia and two in the MENA region. The largest of many sovereign wealth fund investors over recent years, as these sovereign wealth fund that invests in the asset class is Abu Dhabi investors seek to diversify their portfolios and acquire assets that Investment Authority (ADIA), which manages total assets of $773bn can generate yield and help them meet their long-term objectives. Fig. 4: Proportion of Sovereign Wealth Funds Investing in Suitability to Private Equity Private Equity by Total Assets under Management
100% Preqin’s analysis shows that almost half (47%) of all sovereign wealth 100% funds invested in private equity in 2014. The long-term investment 90% 88% 80% approach and vast pools of capital available to sovereign wealth 72% funds often make them suitable investors in the private equity asset 70% class. The highly illiquid and relatively risky nature of private equity, 60% 57% though unmanageable for many other institutions, is far less of a 50% 40% concern for sovereign wealth funds, which do not need to consider 32% short-term obligations. Private Equity 30% 20% 13% 10%
Different sovereign wealth funds approach their investments in Proportion of SWF Investors in different ways. Emirates Investment Authority (EIA), for example, 0% invests in private equity through direct and fund investments; the
sovereign wealth fund considers investments in vehicles that focus $1bn More $1-9.9bn $10-49bn $50-99bn Less than on a diverse range of industries across the MENA region, but it will $250bn or $100-249bn also consider investing globally. Other sovereign wealth funds access Total Assets under Management the asset class via separate account mandates. This is the case with Source: 2015 Preqin Sovereign Wealth Fund Review
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4 Private Equity Spotlight / May 2015 © 2015 Preqin Ltd. / www.preqin.com Feature Article Sovereign Wealth Funds and Their Investments in Private Equity Download Data
and has a target allocation to private equity of approximately 8.0%. The ability to deploy large amounts of capital and the lack of The largest Asia-based sovereign wealth fund investing in private liabilities when compared with other institutional investors makes equity is China Investment Corporation (CIC), which has total assets sovereign wealth funds well suited to the private equity asset under management of $650bn. In general, the larger the sovereign class. The established economies of North America and Europe wealth fund, the more likely it is to be a private equity investor. Fig. offer the greatest choice of fund managers and strategies, and a 4 shows that of sovereign wealth funds with total assets under higher deal fl ow than regions where private equity is still relatively management of less than $1bn, only 13% invest in private equity. immature. However, there has been a shift towards a global focus There are, however, exceptions; most notably, GPFG (whose for investment in the asset class, with increasing proportions of $818bn makes it the largest sovereign wealth fund in the world sovereign wealth funds targeting investments further afi eld than the by total assets) is not permitted to invest in private equity due to traditional markets. The larger sovereign wealth funds are attracted restrictions imposed by the Government of Norway. Its investments to the long-term returns these markets can provide, and seize the are directed towards public markets and real estate. opportunity to diversify risk away from their primary national revenue source. Many of the larger funds do, however, have the resources Outlook to source their own deals. With this we see a continued appetite for direct investments, allowing funds to reduce the cost of fees and Despite a reduction in the price of a barrel of oil, sovereign wealth carry. As sovereign wealth funds grow, data would suggest that they funds’ assets continue to grow in aggregate. Investments made will likely commit more capital to the private equity asset class. by sovereign wealth funds account for an increasing proportion of aggregate private equity capital raised, with 14% of institutional capital raised by private equity funds coming from sovereign wealth funds. This is a signifi cant increase compared with the levels witnessed in 2013 and 2014.
The 2015 Preqin Sovereign Wealth Fund Review
This article is an extract from the recently released Preqin 2015 Sovereign Wealth Fund Review, The 2015 our largest and most comprehensive review of sovereign wealth funds and their investment activity yet, Preqin Sovereign Wealth Fund Review featuring detailed profi les for 73 sovereign wealth funds worldwide.
The 2015 Preqin Sovereign Wealth Fund Review is a vital tool for all professionals seeking investment or looking to work with this infl uential investor class, and provides a comprehensive source of information
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This year’s Review contains information on the following areas:
• Private Equity • Public Equities • Fixed Income • Hedge Funds • Real Estate • Infrastructure • Private Debt
Produced in association with PwC, this year’s edition has been fully updated, with more content than ever before. The Review contains exclusive information gained via direct contact with sovereign wealth funds and their advisors, plus valuable intelligence from fi lings, fi nancial statements and hundreds of other data sources.
For more information, to download sample pages or to order your copy, please visit:
www.preqin.com/swf
5 Private Equity Spotlight / May 2015 © 2015 Preqin Ltd. / www.preqin.com
Lead Article Buyout Holding Periods Download Data
Buyout Holding Periods
The average time taken to exit private equity-backed buyout investments has increased year-on-year since 2008. Anna Strumillo and Ciantelle Lawrence conduct an in-depth analysis of buyout holding periods.
Private equity investments are traditionally long-term investments Fig. 1: Proportion of Number of Active and Realized Private with typical holding periods ranging between three and fi ve years. Equity-Backed Buyout Deals* Globally by Investment Year, Within this defi ned time period, the fund manager focuses on 2006 - 2015 YTD (As at 23 April 2015) increasing the value of the portfolio company in order to sell it at a 100% 1% 0% profi t and distribute the proceeds to investors. This in turn determines 7% 3% 15% how quickly and how much the investors can recycle back into the 90% 23% 33% 30% asset class through new fund commitments. Therefore, the holding 80% 39% period of portfolio companies can have a signifi cant effect on private 52% 70% equity fi rms’ ability to raise future funds as well as on the whole Realized private equity cycle in general. 60% 50% 99% 100% 93% 97% Active 85% Data from Preqin’s Buyout Deals Analyst shows that the average 40% 77% holding period has increased substantially in recent years. The shift is 67% 70%
Proportion of Total 30% 61% unsurprising given the tough economic conditions faced in the post- 48% crisis era, leading to buyout fund managers fi nding it increasingly 20% diffi cult to make a profi table exit from their investments. 10% 0% However, despite this overarching longer term trend, the exit 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 environment appears to be fervent with the number and total value of YTD Investment Year private equity-backed exits in 2014 reaching their highest levels on record. In fact, Preqin’s latest 2015 YTD exit data shows a reduction Source: Preqin Buyout Deals Analyst in the average holding period which may indicate a signifi cant *Figures exclude add-on investments. milepost has been reached. Average Holding Period Deals Yet to Be Exited As illustrated in Fig. 2, the average holding period for portfolio Based on the traditional practice of private equity fi rms holding their companies for private equity buyout fund managers has increased investments for three to fi ve years, it was expected that the majority signifi cantly over recent years, from 4.1 years in 2008 to 5.9 years of portfolio companies purchased during the buyout boom of 2006- in 2014. This increase further alludes to the diffi culties found in 2007 would have been exited by now. However, as Fig. 1 shows, exiting companies acquired at high valuations during the buyout 48% of companies acquired in 2006 are yet to be fully realized, while boom. While not a full year fi gure, Preqin’s latest data shows that the the corresponding proportion for those investments made in 2007 average holding period for portfolio companies exited in 2015 YTD currently stands at 61%. This is in comparison to 57% and 67%, has dropped to 5.5 years. This goes to underline the favourable exit respectively, a year ago. conditions which on the one hand have created a sellers’ market,
Fig. 2: Global Average Holding Period by Year of Exit, 2006 - Fig. 3: Breakdown of Holding Periods by Year of Exit, 2006 - 2015 YTD (As at 23 April 2015) 2015 YTD (As at 23 April 2015)
7 100% 3% 3% 3% 5% 6% 6% 6% 8% 7% 4% 90% 12% 14% 12% 8% 5.9 12% 13% 14% 6 5.8 25% 5.5 5.5 80% 22% 5.3 29% 5.1 24% 5 70% 32% 27% 33% 10 Years or More 4.5 4.4 4.3 60% 43% 4.1 49% 7 - 9 Years 4 50% 53% 41% 39% 32% 4 - 6 Years 40% 3 Under 4 Years 30% 61% Proportion of Total 53% 56% 54% 2 20% 38% 32% 32% 32% 26% 30% 10% 1 Average Holding Period (Years) Average 0%
0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
YTD 2015 YTD Year of Exit Year of Exit Source: Preqin Buyout Deals Analyst Source: Preqin Buyout Deals Analyst
7 Private Equity Spotlight / May 2015 © 2015 Preqin Ltd. / www.preqin.com Lead Article Buyout Holding Periods Download Data
Fig. 4: Regional Average Holding Period by Year of Exit, 2006 Fig. 5: Global Average Holding Period by Industry for All Exits, - 2015 YTD (As at 23 April 2015) 2006 - 2015 YTD (As at 23 April 2015)
7 6 6.2 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 6.1 6.0 5.0 5.0 4.9 6 5.8 5.8 5.7 5 4.7 4.6 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.6 4.4 4.3 5.3 5.3 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.0 4.8 4.9 4 5 4.5 4.7 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.4 4.44.4 4.3 4.4 4.1 4.2 3.9 3.93.9 3 4 3.6 3.8 3.4 3.5 3.1 2 3 1 2
Average Holding Period (Years) Average 0 1 Average Holding Period (Years) Average 0 Materials
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Industrials Real Estate Healthcare Information YTD Technology Year of Exit Infrastructure Energy & Utilities North America Europe Asia Rest of World Business Services Clean Technology Consumer & Retail Telecoms & Media Food & Agriculture Source: Preqin Buyout Deals Analyst Source: Preqin Buyout Deals Analyst and on the other, an opportunity for buyout managers to deploy Geographic Variations some of the estimated $469bn in dry powder at their disposal via secondary buyouts. There are notable geographical variations in average holding periods for private equity-backed deals. As shown in Fig. 4, since The additional breakdown provided in Fig. 3 reveals that while just 2006, the average holding period for portfolio companies based in over half (53%) of portfolio companies fully exited in 2006 had been North America increased from 4.4 years in 2006 to a high of 6.0 held by private equity fi rms for under four years, this proportion years in 2014. Europe, however, has the longest average holding dropped to 26% of all companies exited in 2012 and currently stands period of all regions at 6.2 years for deals exited in 2014, compared at 32%. The opposite trend can be observed for companies held by to a European low of 4.1 years in 2008. The holding period for Asia- private equity fi rms for seven to nine years: in 2006, the portfolio based portfolio companies has increased from 3.4 years in 2007 to companies fully exited after being held for this period accounted for 5.6 years for companies exited so far in 2015, while holding periods 12% of all companies exited that year; this proportion increased to in the Rest of World region increased from a low of 3.1 years in 2008 29% in 2014 and stands at a quarter of all companies exited in 2015 to a high of 5.5 years in 2012 and 2013. YTD. Holding Periods by Industry Nonetheless, there are some notable investments which are exceptions in the trend of longer holding periods, such as Warburg Fig. 5 displays the average holding periods for the period 2006-2015 Pincus’ investment in JHP Group Holdings, Inc. Warburg Pincus held YTD, broken down by the portfolio company’s industry. It is apparent the company for just over a year and in early 2014 sold it to TPG- that portfolio companies in the industrials, and consumer & retail backed Par Pharmaceutical Companies, Inc., reportedly reaping sectors have on average had the longest holding period of 5.3 years, three-times their investment. Similarly, earlier this year, Clearlake while the companies operating within the energy & utilities industry Capital Group made a quick three-times return on their investment have on average been held for one year less, with an average in PrimeSport, Inc. after holding a stake in the company for less than holding period of 4.3 years. 12 months.
Fig. 6: Average Holding Period for Private Equity-Backed Portfolio Companies by Deal Value, 2006 - 2015 YTD (As at Fig. 7: Private Equity-Backed Exits by Type, 2006 - 2015 YTD 23 April 2015) (As at 29 April 2015)
8 1,800 500 1,600 450 Aggregate Exit Value ($bn) 7 1,400 400 350 1,200 6 300 1,000 250 5 800 200
No. of Exits 600 4 150 400 100 3 200 50 0 0 Average Holding Period (Years) Average 2 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 YTD YTD Year of Exit Year of Exit IPO Restructuring Small Cap (Less than $250mn) Mid Cap ($250-999mn) Sale to GP Trade Sale Large Cap ($1bn or More) Aggregate Exit Value ($bn)
Source: Preqin Buyout Deals Analyst Source: Preqin Buyout Deals Analyst
8 Private Equity Spotlight / May 2015 © 2015 Preqin Ltd. / www.preqin.com Lead Article Buyout Holding Periods Download Data
Size of Deals Exits
On average, deals across all size classes have seen holding periods Although fund managers are largely holding onto portfolio companies lengthen over recent years, but large cap deals ($1bn or more) for longer, the number and aggregate value of private equity-backed have seen the largest change since 2006 (Fig. 6), reporting a low of exits have been on an upward trend, with 2014 witnessing a record three years in 2008 and a high of seven years in 2014. A signifi cant number and aggregate value of private equity-backed exits. Last amount of large cap deals took place prior to 2008, with fund year, 1,686 exits valued at a total of $442bn took place, indicating managers purchasing companies at peak prices during the buyout that GPs are still capitalizing on suitable exit opportunities for their boom. Large cap deals accounted for 12% of the number and 79% investments. This positive trend can somewhat be attributed to the of aggregate deal value in 2006, compared with 2009 when they increasing prominence of partial exits in recent years. Such exits accounted for only 3% of the number and 39% of aggregate deal accounted for a third (33%) of all exits in 2014 in terms of number value. The average holding period for mid cap deals ($250-999mn) of exits, compared with just 21% of all private equity-backed exits in increased from just 3.2 years in 2006 to 6.4 years for portfolio 2006 and 19% in 2008. companies fully exited in 2014; and for small cap deals (less than $250mn) this increased from 3.5 years in 2008 to 5.8 years in 2014.
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