Blank Template for Full Restructuring

Document of

The World Bank

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

Report No: RES21214

Restructuring PAPER

ON A

PROPOSED Project restructuring

of

GHANA STATISTICS DEVELOPMENT PROJECT

ida credit NUMBER 50100

AND

Srf Cf grant TF 10425

AUGUST 25, 2011

TO THE

REPUBLIC OF GHANA

MARCH 22, 2016

Poverty and Equity Global Practice

AFCW1

Africa Region

ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS

CPI / Consumer Price Index
DP / Development Partner or Data Processing
F&A / Finance and Administration
GAS / Ghana Audit Service
GDDS / General Data Dissemination System
GDP / Gross Domestic Product
GoG / Government of Ghana
GSDP / Ghana Statistics Development Plan
GSGDA / Ghana Shared Growth and Development Agenda
GSS / Ghana Statistical Service
ICT / Information and Communication Technology
IDA / International Development Association
IT / Information Technology
MDA / Ministries, Departments and Agencies
M&E / Monitoring and Evaluation
MESW / Ministry of Employment and Social Welfare
MMDA / Metropolitan/Municipal/District Assemblies
MOC / Ministry of Communication
MOE / Ministry of Education
MOFEP / Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning
MOFA / Ministry of Food and Agriculture
MOH / Ministry of Health
MLNR / Ministry of Lands and Natural Resources
MOTI / Ministry of Trade, and Industry
MOWAC / Ministry of Women and Children Affairs
NITA
NSDS / National Information Technology Agency
National Strategy for the Development of Statistics
PAD / Project Appraisal Document
PDMG / Program Development and Management Group
PDO / Project Development Objectives
PIM / Project Implementation Manual
RRSF / Reference Regional Strategic Framework
SC / Steering Committee
SRF-CF / Statistics for Results Facility Catalytic Fund
Regional Vice President: / Makhtar Diop
Country Director:
Senior Global Practice Director: / Henry G. R. Kerali
Ana L Revenga
Practice Manager/Manager: / Pablo Fajnzylber
Task Team Leader
Co-Task Team Leader:: / Smile Kwawukume
Abdoullahi Beidou

GHANA

Ghana Statistics Development Program

Contents

A. SUMMARY 9

B. PROJECT STATUS 9

C. PROPOSED CHANGES 11

ANNEX 1: RESULTS FRAMEWORK AND MONITORING 16

DATA SHEET
Ghana
Ghana Statistics Development Program (P118858)
AFRICA
Poverty and Equity
.
Report No: / RES21214
.
Basic Information
Project ID: / P118858 / Lending Instrument: / Specific Investment Loan
Regional Vice President: / Makhtar Diop / Original EA Category: / Not Required (C)
Country Director: / Henry G. R. Kerali / Current EA Category: / Not Required (C)
Senior Global Practice Director: / Ana L. Revenga / Original Approval Date: / 25-Aug-2011
Practice Manager/Manager: / Pablo Fajnzylber / Current Closing Date: / 31-Aug-2016
Team Leader(s): / Smile Kwawukume,Abdoullahi Beidou
.
Borrower: / Ministry of Finance
Responsible Agency: / Ghana Statistical Service,
.
Restructuring Type
Form Type: / Full Restructuring Paper / Decision Authority: / Country Director Approval
Restructuring Level: / Level 2
.
Financing ( as of 18-Mar-2016 )
Key Dates
Project / Ln/Cr/TF / Status / Approval Date / Signing Date / Effectiveness Date / Original Closing Date / Revised Closing Date
P118858 / IDA-50100 / Effective / 25-Aug-2011 / 27-Feb-2014 / 28-Apr-2014 / 31-Aug-2016 / 31-Aug-2016
P118858 / TF-10425 / Effective / 27-Feb-2014 / 27-Feb-2014 / 28-Apr-2014 / 31-Aug-2016 / 31-Aug-2016
Disbursements (in Millions)
Project / Ln/Cr/TF / Status / Currency / Original / Revised / Cancelled / Disbursed / Undisbursed / % Disbursed
P118858 / IDA-50100 / Effective / USD / 30.00 / 30.00 / 0.00 / 16.76 / 10.17 / 56
P118858 / TF-10425 / Effective / USD / 10.00 / 10.00 / 0.00 / 8.94 / 1.06 / 89
.
Policy Waivers
Does the project depart from the CAS/CPF in content or in other significant respects? / Yes [ ] / No [ X ]
Does the project require any policy waiver(s)? / Yes [ ] / No [ X ]
.
A. Summary of Proposed Changes
The project was approved by the Board in August 2011 and to be implemented in 5 years. However, the project implementation was delayed as a result of a long delay by the Borrower's legislature to approve the project documents. Legislative approval was later obtained in February 2014 and the project was declared effective in April 2014. The project thus lost over two years of implementation. The proposed changes are; (i) to extend the closing date of the IDA Credit from the current August 31, 2016 to June 30, 2018, and also extend the SRF TF from the current closing date of August 31, 2016 to June 30, 2017 as the parent SRF TF will close by December 31, 2017, (ii) reallocation of funds within project components, and (iii) revision of the results framework.
Change in Implementing Agency / Yes [ ] / No [ X ]
Change in Project's Development Objectives / Yes [ ] / No [ X ]
Change in Results Framework / Yes [ X ] / No [ ]
Change in Safeguard Policies Triggered / Yes [ ] / No [ X ]
Change of EA category / Yes [ ] / No [ X ]
Other Changes to Safeguards / Yes [ ] / No [ X ]
Change in Legal Covenants / Yes [ ] / No [ X ]
Change in Loan Closing Date(s) / Yes [ X ] / No [ ]
Cancellations Proposed / Yes [ ] / No [ X ]
Change to Financing Plan / Yes [ ] / No [ X ]
Change in Disbursement Arrangements / Yes [ ] / No [ X ]
Reallocation between Disbursement Categories / Yes [ X ] / No [ ]
Change in Disbursement Estimates / Yes [ X ] / No [ ]
Change to Components and Cost / Yes [ X ] / No [ ]
Change in Institutional Arrangements / Yes [ ] / No [ X ]
Change in Financial Management / Yes [ ] / No [ X ]
Change in Procurement / Yes [ ] / No [ X ]
Change in Implementation Schedule / Yes [ X ] / No [ ]
Other Change(s) / Yes [ ] / No [ X ]
Appraisal Summary Change in Economic and Financial Analysis / Yes [ ] / No [ X ]
Appraisal Summary Change in Technical Analysis / Yes [ ] / No [ X ]
Appraisal Summary Change in Social Analysis / Yes [ ] / No [ X ]
Appraisal Summary Change in Environmental Analysis / Yes [ ] / No [ X ]
Appraisal Summary Change in Risk Assessment / Yes [ ] / No [ X ]
.
B. Project Status
Project implementation is significantly advanced and the project is on track to meet its development objective if the extension is granted. Implementation progress for the GSDP is rated Satisfactory following the latest supervision mission in December 2015. A new organizational structure has been adopted for GSS which seeks to make the GSS leaner, and efficient. Some selected staff have been trained in research methodology and report writing, survey methods and data management. Other staff members have been trained in data analysis software SPSS/STATA whilst others had undergone training in different demographic analysis software programs. Field trainings were also organized for enumerators in labor force statistics and the integrated business enterprise surveys. A post census cartographic mapping has been initiated with the aim of updating the enumeration area (EA) information established during the 2010 Population and Housing Census (PHC). The first phase of the Integrated Business Establishment Surveys (IBES) has been completed and the second phase is currently underway. The Ministry of Education (MoE) has been supported to carry out the 2014/2015 school census as part of the part project. The report has since been released. The Ministry of Health (MoH) undertook a survey on the causes of the maternal mortality rates in the country and a report has been produced. The Births and Deaths Registry has undertaken the entry of over 200,000 as backlog for the period 2009-2012. A number of statistical reports have been disseminated.
During the last mission, in December 2015, project implementation progress was rated “Satisfactory”.
.
C. Proposed Changes
.
Development Objectives/Results
Project Development Objectives
Original PDO
To strengthen the National Statistical System in the production and dissemination of timely and robust statistics relevant for evidence-based policy-making and other uses
Change in Project's Development Objectives
Change in Results Framework
Explanation:
The targets of some of the indicators would be changed to accommodate the two year delay in the implementation of the project. In addition, some of the targets would be changed since the baseline values that were obtained after the project was prepared are higher than some of the initial targets. One PDO indicator was dropped since a survey plan was not available. An intermediate indicator has been elevated to a PDO indicator.
.
Financing
Change in Loan Closing Date(s)
Explanation:
The Restructuring Paper proposes a change in the closing date from the current August 31, 2016 to a later date of June 30, 2018 for the IDA Credit and to a later date of June 30, 2017 for the SRF-CF. This request has been necessitated by the late approval of the project by the legislature and the subsequent late declaration of effectiveness in April 2014. The proposed new closing date will increase the duration of the project to four years. The change also involves reallocation of funds within the categories and the revision of some of the indicators.
Ln/Cr/TF / Status / Original Closing Date / Current Closing Date / Proposed Closing Date / Previous Closing Date(s)
IDA-50100 / Effective / 31-Aug-2016 / 31-Aug-2016 / 30-Jun-2018 / 31-Aug-2016
TF-10425 / Effective / 31-Aug-2016 / 31-Aug-2016 / 30-Jun-2017 / 31-Aug-2016
Reallocations
Explanation:
The cost of severance payment has gone down significantly because most of the staff were transferred to sub-national governments. As a result, funds have been added to data production under category 1. With increased data production to be undertaken, it is foreseen to have more operational expenses hence Category 3 has increased slightly.
Ln/Cr/TF / Currency / Current Category of Expenditure / Allocation / Disbursement % (Type Total)
Current / Proposed / Current / Proposed
TF-10425 / USD / Gds, CS, NCS, TRNPrts A.1, B,C & D / 10,000,000.00 / 10,000,000.00 / 33.00 / 33.00
Designated Account / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
Total: / 10,000,000.00 / 10,000,000.00
IDA-50100 / XDR / Gds, CS, NCS, TRNPrts A.1, B,C & D / 12,400,000.00 / 17,017,057.00 / 67.00 / 67.00
Severance Pymt under comp A.2 / 4,100,000.00 / 846,943.00 / 100.00 / 100.00
Operating Costs under part D / 800,000.00 / 936,000.00 / 100.00 / 100.00
UNALLOCATED / 1,500,000.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
Designated Account / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
Total: / 18,800,000.00 / 18,800,000.00
Disbursement Estimates
Change in Disbursement Estimates
Explanation:
Annual disbursement estimates have been adjusted to reflect current disbursement status and the extension of the project closing date. Disbursement is expected to continue in 2017 and 2018 because of the proposed extension of the closing date.
Fiscal Year / Current (USD) / Proposed (USD)
2012 / 5,670,000.00 / 0.00
2013 / 12,540,000.00 / 0.00
2014 / 3,690,000.00 / 0.00
2015 / 4,740,000.00 / 7,200,000.00
2016 / 2,960,000.00 / 7,100,000.00
2017 / 400,000.00 / 8,200,000.00
2018 / 0.00 / 4,850,000.00
Total / 30,000,000.00 / 27,350,000[1]
.
Components
Change to Components and Cost
Explanation:
Component 1: The cost for this component will be reduced since the number of staff undergoing the buyout program has reduced significantly to the originally envisioned up to 300 to about 60.
Component 2. More funds would be allocated to this component to enable the completion of the second phase of the Integrated Business Enterprise Survey.
Component 3. More data production surveys and activities would be undertaken as part of this component. These include annual labor force surveys (LFS), High frequency poverty data; Renovation of the Consumer Price Index, including the definition of a new base year; GDP rebasing exercise to integrate new improved data sources; Production of Building Cost Index; Two additional annual school censuses; Production of Births and Deaths Statistics. Subsequently, more funds would be allocated to this component.
Component 4. There will not be any change to this component.
Current Component Name / Proposed Component Name / Current Cost (US$M) / Proposed Cost (US$M) / Action
1 Institutional reform and organizational change / 9.36 / 3.20 / Revised
2 Enhancing capacity / 14.96 / 16.25 / Revised
3 Data development and dissemination / 11.73 / 16.60 / Revised
4 Project Management and Monitoring and Evaluation / 1.30 / 1.30 / No Change
Total: / 37.35 / 37.35
.
Other Change(s)
Change in Implementation Schedule
Explanation:
The schedule for implementation now foresees project to be implemented until June 30th, 2018.
GHANA
Ghana Statistics Development Program
RESTRUCTURING PAPER

A.  SUMMARY

1. The proposed Level II restructuring aims at successfully completing project activities and achieving the Project Development Objective (PDO). Project implementation is progressing satisfactorily and the PDO remains relevant. However, given the delays in declaring the project effective, there is a need to extend the closing date to provide sufficient time to implement project activities and adjust the results framework accordingly.