This document is from the collections at the Dole Archives, University of Kansas http://dolearchives.ku.edu GOPAC SEMI-ANNUAL MEETING Wednesday, November 19 2:00 p.m. Sheraton Grand Hotel (Grand Ballroom West) You are scheduled to address the GOPAC meeting at 2:00 p.m. Lynn Byrd of GOPAC will meet you at the Sheraton Grand's front entrance and escort you to the Grand Ballroom West. You will be introduced by Newt Gingrich and your speech, including Q&A, should last no more than 25 minutes. The theme of the meeting is "a time to look back, a time to look forward" and GOPAC asks that you give an analysis of the elections and what the results mean to the Republican party and the country. (Attached is information on the Senate, House, Governor, and State Legislature elections.) There will be about 75-100 people (GOPAC Charter Members and guests) in the audience; no press or media has been invited. Speeches by Alexander Haig, Frank Fahrenkopf, Governor du Pont, Jack Kemp, Jeane Kirkpatrick, and Governor Kean will precede your remarks; Pat Robertson and Donald Rumsfeld are scheduled to speak after you. Expected to be in attendance at your luncheon speech are: Congressmen Dick Cheney, Joe DioGuardi, Robert Lagomarsino, and Tom Loeffler. Author Tom Clancy (Hunt for Red October/Red Storm Rising) is also expected to attend. GOPAC Background GOPAC was formed in 1978 and its purpose is to raise funds to elect state and local Republicans nationwide. This meeting is for Charter Members, who give or raise $10,000 a year for GOPAC. Newt Gingrich is Chairman of GOPAC; Gerald Ford is the Honor ary Chairman. Page 1 of 8 This document is from the collections at the Dole Archives, University of Kansas http://dolearchives.ku.edu Senate - 29 Senate Membership in the 100th Congress Democrats - 55 Republicans - 45 Freshman senators - 13 Seats switched D to R - 1 Seats switched R to D - 9 Senators elected in 1986 are italicized # Freshman senators v Seat switched parties ALABAMA PENNSYLVANIA Howell Heflin (D) John Heinz (R) v Richard C. Shelby (D)# Arlen Specter (R) ALASKA INDIANA MONTANA RHODE ISLAND Frank H. Murkowski (R) Richard G. Lugar (R) Max Baucus (D) John H. Chafee (R) Ted Stevens (R) Dan Quayle (R) John Melcher (D) Claiborne Pell (D) ARIZONA IOWA NEBRASKA SOUTH CAROLINA Dennis DeConcini (D) Charles E. Grassley (R) J. James Exon (D) Ernest F. Hollings (D) John McCain (R)# Tom Harkin (D) Edward Zorinsky (D) Strom Thurmond (R) ARKANSAS KANSAS NEVADA SOUTH DAKOTA Dale Bumpers (D) Robert Dole (R) v Harry Reid (D)# v Thomas A Daschle (D)# David Pryor (D) Nancy Landon Kassebaum (R) Chic Hecht (R) Larry Pressler (R) CALIFORNIA KENTUCKY NEW HAMPSHIRE TENNESSEE Alan Cranston (D) Wendell H. Ford (D) Gordon J. Humphrey (R) Albert Gore Jr. (D) Pete Wilson (R) Mitch McConnell (R) Warren B. Rudman (R) Jim Sasser (D) COLORADO LOUISIANA NEW JERSEY TEXAS William L. Armstrong (R) John B. Breaux (D)# Bill Bradley (D) Lloyd Bentsen (D) Timothy E. Wirth (D)# J. Bennett Johnston (D) Frank R. Lautenberg (D) Phil Gramm (R) CONNECTICUT MAINE NEW MEXICO UTAH Christopher J. Dodd (D) George J. Mitchell (D) Jeff Bingaman (D) Jake Garn (R) Lowell P. Weicker Jr. (R) William S. Cohen (R) Pete V. Domenici (R) Orrin G. Hatch (R) DELAWARE MARYLAND NEW YORK VERMONT Joseph R. Biden Jr. (D) v Barbara A Mikulski (D)# Alfonse M. D'Amato (R) Patrick J. Leahy (D) William V. Roth Jr. (R) Paul S. Sarbanes (D) Daniel Patrick Moynihan (D) Robert T. Stafford (R) FLORIDA MASSACHUSETTS NORTH CAROLINA VIRGINIA Lawton Chiles (D) Edward M. Kennedy (D) Jesse Helms (R) Paul S. Trible Jr. (R) v Bob Graham (D)# John Kerry (D) v Terry Sanford (D)# John W. Warner (R) GEORGIA MICHIGAN NORTH DAKOTA WASHINGTON v Wyche Fowler Jr. (D)# Carl Levin (D) Quentin N. Burdick (D) v Brock Adams (D)# Sam Nunn (D) Donald W. Riegle Jr. (D) v Kent Conrad (D)# Daniel J. Evans (R) HAWAII MINNESOTA OHIO WEST VIRGINIA Daniel K. Inouye (D) Rudy Boschwitz (R) John Glenn (D) Robert C. Byrd (D) Spark M. Matsunaga (D) Dave Durenberger (R) Howard M. Metzenbaum (D) John D. Rockefeller IV (D) IDAHO MISSISSIPPI OKLAHOMA WISCONSIN James A. McClure (R) John C. Stennis (D) David L. Boren (D) Bob Kasten (R) Steven 0. Symms (R) Thad Cochran (R) Don Nickles (R) William Proxmire (D) ILLINOIS MISSOURI OREGON WYOMING Alan J Dixon (0) v Christopher S "Kit " Bond (R)tt Mark 0 Hatfield (R) Alan K. Simpson (R) • Paul Simon (0) John C Danforth (R) Bob Packwood (R) Malcolm Wallop (R) (opy•tQht 1986 (<1"A9•tt~ ~+., lno; ~8:39 11.,p•odw- protiob.t~ "' ....+.o5e Of on port •uepl by ,.d.tcmol <lieflh Nov. H, l\JHti--l'AGE Page 2 of 8 This document is from the collections at the Dole Archives, University of Kansas http://dolearchives.ku.edu 1986 Elections - 3 I The Senate Turnout: Hardly a Groundswell Although the Senate races were cegarded as the The final column shows the net change in the turn- centerpiece of the 1986 campaign, voter turnout in two- out rate from 1982. In California, fo r example, 7,805,538 thirds of the 34 states that held contests was down from of 18,357,000 eligible persons voted in the 1982 Senate the last midterm election four years ago. Of the states race (42.5 percent) compared with a turnout of 6,973,558 where turnout increased, many featured high visibility of the state's 19,811,000 eligible voters (35.2 percent) races between freshman Republican senators and ag- this year - a decline of 7.3 percentage points. A Senate gressive Democratic challengers. race was used as the 1982 benchmark when possible; This chart lists the Senate candidates and the per- another statewide tally (usually a governor's race) was centage of the vote received by the winners. The turnout used where no Senate contest was held in 1982. Only in rate is computed by dividing the nearly complete but Louisiana was there no statewide tally in 1982. unofficial total for each contest by the state's voting-age Winners' names are listed in capital letters. Aster- population, as projected by the Census Bureau. isks ( •) indicate incumbents seeking re-election. 1986 Change Contested Winning Turnout From 1982, in Seats Percentage Rate Percentage points Retained by Republicans (13) ,.;;:.· Idaho: SYMMS * - Evans 52% ' 54.2:% '+5.1 Wisconsin : KASTEN • - Garvey 52 41 .4 - 3.4 Oklahoma: NICKLES • - Jones 54 34.3 -3.4 Alaska: MURKOWSKI • - Olds 55 40.0 - 22.9 R New York: D'AMATO* - Green ST -30.4 - -7.4 •1 57 37.0 .. - 3.5 E Pennsylvania: SPECTER • :...'.. Edgar p Arizona: McCAIN __,_ Kimball 61 _; 35.5 +0.9 ~ ••• ~ •:' ,,;.• ., "'C ........... ,, ~·· ~A '· .>.:·• .:.. ...... ; .. u Indiana: QUAYLE• - Long 61 37.6 - 8.5 B Oregon: PACKWOOD• - Bauman 64 48.0 - 5.4 L Iowa: GRASSLEY • - Roehrick 66 41.2 - 7.9 I New Hampshire: RUDMAN • - Peabody 66 30.4 -10.0 c Kansas: DOLE • - MacDonald 70 45.0 + 1.8 A Uta'1: GARN * - OIL'>'.er .73 . 40.13 -12.9 N Picked Up by Democrats (9) (22) North Dakota: CONRAD -;. Andrews • 50 . 58.3 + 3.6 Alabama: SHELBY - Denton • 51 40.7 + 0 .7 Georgia: ~OWLER - Mattingly • 51 27.7 -1.2 Nevada: REID - Santini 51 35.5 - 1.4 Washington: ADAMS - Gorton • 51 36.0 -7.6 North Carolina: SANFORD - Broyhill • 52 33.2 + 3.4 South Dakota: DASCHLI; - Abdnor • 52 57.6 +1.2 Florida': GRAHAM - Hawkins • 55 36.2 + 3.4 Maryland: MIKULSKI - Chavez 61 32.5 - 2.6 r- Retained by Democrats (11) D California: CRANSTON • - Zschau 51 35.2 -7.3 E Colorado: WIRTH - Kramer 51 42.8 +0.4 M Louisiana: BREAUX - Moore 53 42.9 x 0 Ohio: GLENN • - Kindness 62 39.5 - 3.9 c Arkansas: BUMPERS • - Hutchinson 63 39.0 - 8.5 R South Carolina: HOLLINGS • - McMaster 64 28.5 - 0.6 A Vermont: LEAHY • - Snelling 64 48.3 + 4.2 Connecticut: DODD • - Eddy 65 39.2 - 6.7 T Illinois: DIXON • - Koehler 65 35.2 - 8.8 I Hawaii: INOUYE • - Hutchinson 74 39.9 - 2.4 c Kentucky: FORD • - Andrews 74 24.6 - 1.8 ( 12) Picked Up by a Republican (1) L_ Missouri. BOND - W oods 53 39 1 3.4 (1JVY""'1hi 1986 (o,.,vre~~«>nol Ovane- rly In<: Reprodv<hon p•ol'>,b1ll': d tn who!" or '" part l'l•C•pl by ed 1tort0I cht-nh Nov. 8, l!:JH() PACE 28!1:1 Page 3 of 8 This document is from the collections at the Dole Archives, University of Kansas \ \ ·~. · ~ ··' http://dolearchives.ku.edu Senate - 30 • Years of Expiration of Senate Terms - 1988 - (33 Senators: 19 Democrats, 14 Republicans) Bentsen, Lloyd, D-Texas Hecht, Chic, A-Nev. Riegle, Donald W. Jr .. D-Mich. Bingaman, Jeff, D-N .M. Heinz, John, R-Pa. Roth, William V. Jr., A-Del. Burdick, Quentin N., D-N. D. Kennedy, Edward M., D-Mass. Sarbanes, Paul S. , D-Md. Byrd, Robert C., D-W.Va. Lautenberg, Frank R., D-N .J. Sasser, Jim, D-Tenn. Chafee, John H., R-R. I. Lugar, Richard G., A-Ind. Stafford, Robert T .. R-Vt. Chiles, Lawton, D-Fla. Matsunaga, Spark M., D-Hawaii Stennis, John C., D-M1ss. Danforth, John C., A-Mo. Melcher, John, D-Mont. Trible, Paul S. Jr., A-Va. DeConcini, Dennis, D-Ariz. Metzenbaum, Howard M., D-Ohio Wallop, Malcolm. A-Wyo. Durenberger, Dave, A-Minn. Mitchell, George J., D-Maine Weicker, Lowell P. Jr., A-Conn. Evans, Daniel J., A-Wash.