Regional Monorail Exploratory Study prepared by Lea+Elliott, Inc. in association with HNTB Corporation SG Associates, Inc. Remline Corporation Nossaman Guthner Knox & Elliott, LLP for Wilmington Area Planning Council (WILMAPCO) February 2004 Regional Monorail Exploratory Study Final Report CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY.........................................................................................................ES - 1 1.0 INTRODUCTION................................................................................................................. 1 1.1 Report Organization..................................................................................................... 1 1.2 Background..................................................................................................................1 1.3 The Study Process........................................................................................................ 2 1.4 Study Methodology ..................................................................................................... 3 2.0 EXISTING CONDITIONS ................................................................................................... 5 2.1 Description of the Study Area ..................................................................................... 5 2.1.1 Major Roads..................................................................................................... 5 2.1.2 Major Rail Lines.............................................................................................. 5 2.1.3 Demographic and Housing Characteristics ..................................................... 7 2.1.4 Major Environmental Features ........................................................................ 7 2.1.4.1 State Parks..........................................................................................7 2.1.4.2 Wetlands and Flood Region ...............................................................7 2.1.4.3 Air Quality..........................................................................................8 2.2 Recent Studies ............................................................................................................. 8 2.3 Regional Goals and Plans ............................................................................................ 9 3.0 PROJECT PURPOSE AND NEED .................................................................................... 11 3.1 Purpose and Need Statement ..................................................................................... 11 3.2 WILMAPCO’S Principal Concerns .......................................................................... 12 4.0 SUMMARY OF ALTERNATIVE TRANSIT TECHNOLOGIES.................................... 15 4.1 Automated Guideway Transit.................................................................................... 15 4.1.1 Service Proven Systems................................................................................. 16 4.1.2 Emerging Systems ......................................................................................... 17 4.2 Monorail/AGT Implementation and Local Implications........................................... 18 4.2.1 Las Vegas Monorail System.......................................................................... 18 4.2.2 Seattle Monorail System................................................................................ 20 4.2.3 Jacksonville Monorail System....................................................................... 20 4.2.4 Vancouver Rapid Transit System .................................................................. 21 4.2.5 Summary of Planning and Implementation Issues ........................................ 21 5.0 FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS................................................................................................ 23 5.1 Alignment Corridor Development............................................................................. 23 5.1.1 Corridor Evaluation Criteria.......................................................................... 23 5.2 Identification of the Initial Corridor .......................................................................... 26 5.3 Technical Feasibility Assessment.............................................................................. 29 5.3.1 Feasibility Evaluation Criteria....................................................................... 29 5.3.2 Assessment of Technical Feasibility ............................................................. 29 5.3.3 Capital, Operating and Life Cycle Costs ....................................................... 30 5.3.4 Feasibility of Monorail/AGT in the Initial Corridor...................................... 31 Lea+Elliott, Inc. i September 2003 Regional Monorail Exploratory Study Final Report 5.4 Feasibility Under Land Use Scenarios ...................................................................... 32 5.4.1 Smart Growth INDEX Model Results........................................................... 33 5.5 Recommendations for Monorail/AGT in the Region ................................................ 34 5.6 Interface Potential between Monorail/AGT System and Proposed Wilmington-Dover Passenger Rail Service............................................................... 34 6.0 OTHER MAJOR IMPLEMENTATION ISSUES.............................................................. 35 6.1 Sources of Funding.................................................................................................... 35 6.1.1 Public Finance Tools ..................................................................................... 35 6.1.2 Local Considerations ..................................................................................... 37 6.2 Managing Development Pressures ............................................................................ 39 6.2.1 Relationship Between Land Use and Transportation .................................... 40 6.2.2 Guidelines on Development and Development Levels ................................. 40 6.3 Environmental Impacts.............................................................................................. 41 6.4 Public Involvement.................................................................................................... 44 6.4.1 Summary of Key Meetings............................................................................ 45 6.4.2 Direction from the Public .............................................................................. 45 6.4.3 Future Public Involvement ............................................................................ 46 7.0 FINDINGS AND NEXT STEPS TOWARD IMPLEMENTATION ................................. 47 APPENDICES A – Capital And Operating Cost Estimates .................................................................................. 49 B – Meeting Minutes .................................................................................................................... 55 C – Unscientific Survey Results ................................................................................................... 65 D – Stakeholder Comments .......................................................................................................... 69 E – Press Reports .......................................................................................................................... 71 F – Technical Memorandum: Feasibility Analysis ....................................................................... 90 LIST OF SELECTED TABLES AND EXHIBITS Figure 1.3-1: Work Schedule......................................................................................................... 2 Figure 2.1-1: Environmental Features ............................................................................................6 Figure 5.1-1: Inner-District Work Trip Volumes .........................................................................24 Figure 5.1-2: Segments Identified Map ........................................................................................25 Figure 5.1-3: Initial Alignment Corridor ......................................................................................28 Table 4.2-1: Existing And Planned Urban AGT Systems ............................................................19 Table 5.3-1: Feasibility Criteria Assessment Summary ...............................................................31 Table 5.4-1: Smart Growth Index Model Results including Proposed Monorail-2025................33 Table 6.2-1: Current and Project Population and Employment New Castle County, Delaware ..39 Table 6.2-2: Land Use by Major Zoning Category.......................................................................39 Table 6.3-1: Environmental Subjects Considered in NEPA Studies ............................................42 Table 6.3-2: Potential Environmental Impacts of Proposed Alignment.......................................43 Lea+Elliott, Inc. ii September 2003 Regional Monorail Exploratory Study Final Report EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Wilmington Area Planning Council (WILMAPCO) Regional Exploratory Study was designed to answer specific questions regarding the technical feasibility of monorail. Since the early 1980s, there have been discussions among some state officials about monorail service connecting a number of tourist, recreational, cultural centers, and several suburban office parks surrounding and to the north of Wilmington. Leaders in the Delaware Legislature recently