Westminster Infrastructure Plan: Technical Assessment 2006– 2026 Prepared for: l Westminster City Council Prepared by: URS Corporation Limited November 2009 44935320 Westminster Infrastructure Plan: Technical Assessment 2006– 2026 November 2009 Issue No 3 44935320 Westminster Infrastructure Plan: Technical Assessment 2006– 2026 Final Report Project Title: Westminster Infrastructure Study and Plan Report Title: Westminster Infrastructure Plan: Technical Assessment 2006– 2026 Project No: 44935320 Report Ref: Status: Final Client Contact Name: Mike Fairmaner, Sara Dilmamode Client Company Name: Westminster City Council Issued By: Document Production / Approval Record Issue No: Name Signature Date Position 1 Anthony Batten Prepared 09/11/09 Project Managers by Esther Howe Elena Di Biase 09/11/09 Research Consultant Natalie Thomas 09/11/09 Research Consultant Checked and Project Director Rory Brooke 09/11/09 approved by Document Revision Record Issue No Date Details of Revisions 1 March 2009 Original issue 2 October 2009 Revised draft 3 November 2009 Final report November 2009 Westminster Infrastructure Plan: Technical Assessment 2006– 2026 Final Report November 2009 Westminster Infrastructure Plan: Technical Assessment 2006– 2026 Final Report LIMITATION URS Corporation Limited (URS) has prepared this Report for the sole use of Westminster City Council in accordance with the Agreement under which our services were performed. No other warranty, expressed or implied, is made as to the professional advice included in this Report or any other services provided by us. This Report may not be relied upon by any other party without the prior and express written agreement of URS. Unless otherwise stated in this Report, the assessments made assume that the sites and facilities will continue to be used for their current purpose without significant change. The conclusions and recommendations contained in this Report are based upon information provided by others and upon the assumption that all relevant information has been provided by those parties from whom it has been requested. Information obtained from third parties has not been independently verified by URS, unless otherwise stated in the Report. COPYRIGHT © This Report is the copyright of Westminster City Council. November 2009 Westminster Infrastructure Plan: Technical Assessment 2006– 2026 Final Report November 2009 Westminster Infrastructure Plan: Technical Assessment 2006– 2026 Final Report CONTENTS Section Page No ABBREVIATIONS ......................................................................................................................... 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ............................................................................................................... 5 1. INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................ 23 1.1. Introduction ..................................................................................................................... 23 1.2. Objectives ....................................................................................................................... 23 1.3. Westminster: Growth and Change ................................................................................. 24 1.4. Report Structure ............................................................................................................. 28 2. INFRASTRUCTURE STUDY SCOPE AND APPROACH............................................. 30 2.1. Desk-Based Research ................................................................................................... 31 2.2. Consultations .................................................................................................................. 31 2.3. Modelling ........................................................................................................................ 31 2.4. Summary of Model Results ............................................................................................ 34 3. HARD INFRASTRUCTURE ASSESSMENT ................................................................. 36 3.1. Electricity ........................................................................................................................ 36 3.2. Gas ................................................................................................................................. 45 3.3. Low Carbon Energy ....................................................................................................... 48 3.4. Telecommunications ...................................................................................................... 61 3.5. Water .............................................................................................................................. 63 3.6. Sewers and Sewerage Infrastructure ............................................................................. 66 3.7. Flood Risk ...................................................................................................................... 75 3.8. Waste Management ....................................................................................................... 79 4. TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE ASSESSMENT ..................................................... 84 4.1. Introduction ..................................................................................................................... 84 4.2. Baseline .......................................................................................................................... 84 4.3. Forecast Demand ........................................................................................................... 93 4.4. Planned Investment and Costs ...................................................................................... 98 4.5. Assessment of Existing Growth Strategies .................................................................. 103 5. SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE ASSESSMENT ........................................................... 110 5.1. Early Years ................................................................................................................... 110 5.2. Primary Education ........................................................................................................ 114 5.3. Secondary Education ................................................................................................... 121 5.4. Adult Learning and Further Education ......................................................................... 127 5.5. Higher Education .......................................................................................................... 134 5.6. Primary Healthcare....................................................................................................... 141 5.7. Secondary Healthcare .................................................................................................. 147 5.8. Parks and Open Space ................................................................................................ 150 November 2009 Westminster Infrastructure Plan: Technical Assessment 2006– 2026 Final Report CONTENTS Section Page No 5.9. Sports and Leisure ....................................................................................................... 156 5.10. Libraries ........................................................................................................................ 161 5.11. Job Brokerage .............................................................................................................. 167 5.12. Cemeteries ................................................................................................................... 171 5.13. Community and Faith Facilities .................................................................................... 174 5.14. Police ............................................................................................................................ 180 5.15. Fire ............................................................................................................................... 186 5.16. Ambulance ................................................................................................................... 190 6. STRATEGIC INFRASTRUCTURE PLAN AND RECOMMENDATIONS .................... 193 6.1. Introduction ................................................................................................................... 193 6.2. Development of the Strategy Infrastructure Plan ......................................................... 193 6.3. Strategic Infrastructure Plan Explanatory Text ............................................................ 193 6.4. Infrastructure Priorities ................................................................................................. 195 6.5. Strategic Infrastructure Locations ................................................................................ 195 6.6. Infrastructure Costs ...................................................................................................... 196 6.7. Delivery and Funding Responsibilities ......................................................................... 196 6.8. Recommendations ....................................................................................................... 197 APPENDIX 1 - TECHNICAL INPUT APPENDIX 2 - APPROACH AND PARAMETERS APPENDIX 3 - URS WESTMINSTER INFRASTRUCTURE MODEL APPENDIX 4 - HUDU MODEL APPROACH November 2009 Westminster Infrastructure