Strategic Assessment 2019-2020 Avon Fire & Rescue Service Version 1.0 July 2019[TypeApril text] 2019 ` Document history Review date Version Summary of changes 12 March 2019 0.1 Initial drafting 24 June 2019 0.2 Amendments to content 17 July 2019 0.3 Amendments to content 24 July 2019 0.4 Amendments to content 5 September 2019 0.5 Format changes 9 September 2019 1.0 Amendments to content, taken out of draft Document owner: GM IRMP, Internal Improvement Team Notes: This is a controlled document and is designed for back-to-back printing in accordance with the principles outlined in the Government Security Classifications April 2014. Reference in this document to the male person should be construed as applying, as appropriate, to the female person also. Unauthorised reproduction in whole or in part is strictly prohibited. © Avon Fire & Rescue Service 2019 Strategic Assessment 2019 v1.0 Page 1 ` Contents 1. Executive Summary ............................................................................................................................................. 6 2. Demographics ....................................................................................................................................................... 7 2.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................................................... 7 2.2 Population ...................................................................................................................................................... 7 2.3 Age profile ...................................................................................................................................................... 8 2.4 Gender ............................................................................................................................................................ 8 2.5 Religion ........................................................................................................................................................... 9 2.6 Ethnicity .......................................................................................................................................................... 9 2.7 Language ...................................................................................................................................................... 10 2.8 Employment ................................................................................................................................................. 10 2.9 Housing ......................................................................................................................................................... 11 2.10 Index of multiple deprivation ...................................................................................................................... 12 3. Political ................................................................................................................................................................. 13 3.1 Central Government ................................................................................................................................... 13 3.2 Local Government ....................................................................................................................................... 14 3.3 Fire Authority ................................................................................................................................................ 15 3.4 West of England Combined Authority ...................................................................................................... 17 3.5 Health & Wellbeing Board (Unitary Authority Joint Strategic Needs Assessment) ........................... 17 4. Economic ............................................................................................................................................................. 17 4.1 Economic Cost of Fire ................................................................................................................................ 17 4.2 Comprehensive Spending Review ........................................................................................................... 18 4.3 Unfunded Pension Schemes (Firefighter’ Pension Scheme & NFPS) ............................................... 18 4.4 Funded Pension Schemes and Local Government Pension Scheme (LGPS).................................. 19 4.5 Pay Awards .................................................................................................................................................. 19 4.6 Gender Pay Gap Reporting ....................................................................................................................... 19 5. Social .................................................................................................................................................................... 20 5.1 Weight and Obesity..................................................................................................................................... 20 5.2 Alcohol and Drug Abuse ............................................................................................................................ 21 5.3 Smoking ........................................................................................................................................................ 22 5.4 Mental Health ............................................................................................................................................... 22 5.5 Social Isolation ............................................................................................................................................ 23 Strategic Assessment 2019 v1.0 Page 2 ` 5.6 Physical Health ............................................................................................................................................ 23 5.7 Hoarding ....................................................................................................................................................... 24 5.8 Homelessness ............................................................................................................................................. 24 5.9 Human Trafficking and Modern Day Slavery .......................................................................................... 25 5.10 Fuel Poverty ................................................................................................................................................. 26 5.11 Transient population ................................................................................................................................... 26 5.12 Travelling Communities .............................................................................................................................. 27 5.13 Tourism ......................................................................................................................................................... 27 5.14 Malicious Attacks......................................................................................................................................... 28 5.15 Malicious Attacks on Infrastructure .......................................................................................................... 28 5.16 Attacks on Crowded Places ....................................................................................................................... 29 5.17 Attacks on Transport................................................................................................................................... 29 5.18 Cyber Attacks .............................................................................................................................................. 29 5.19 Small-Scale Chemical, Biological, Radiological Attacks ....................................................................... 30 5.20 Large-Scale Chemical, Biological, Radiological or Nuclear Attacks ................................................... 30 5.21 Electro-Magnetic Pulses (EMP) ................................................................................................................ 31 5.22 Infectious Diseases ..................................................................................................................................... 31 5.23 Pandemic Influenza .................................................................................................................................... 31 5.24 Emerging Infectious Diseases ................................................................................................................... 32 5.25 Measles in Europe and the UK ................................................................................................................. 32 5.26 Animal Diseases .......................................................................................................................................... 33 6. Technological ...................................................................................................................................................... 34 6.1 Joint Emergency Services Interoperability Programme ........................................................................ 34 6.2 Online Community Engagement ..............................................................................................................