UNITAR-UNOSAT | Tropical Cyclone YASA, Fiji| Population Exposure Analysis as of December 15, 2020 UNOSAT Tropical Cyclone YASA - 20 Population Exposure Analysis in Fiji 15 December 2020 Population Exposure Analysis 15 December 2020 Geneva, Switzerland UNOSAT Contact: Postal Address: Email: [email protected] UNITAR – UNOSAT, IEH T: +41 22 767 4020 (UNOSAT Operations) Chemin des Anémones 11, 24/7 hotline: +41 75 411 4998 CH-1219, Genève, Suisse UNITAR-UNOSAT | Tropical Cyclone YASA, Fiji| Population Exposure Analysis as of December 15, 2020 Overview Tropical Storm "Yasa - 20" formed on December 12, 2020, in the south Pacific Ocean between Vanuatu and Fiji Islands. At the moment the Cyclone is moving from Vanuatu towards Fiji Islands, and it is forecasted to strengthen along its path. When reaching Fiji, the Tropical Cyclone is expected to move north-east and make landfall on Veti Levu Island (Fiji) on December 18, around 00:00 local time. According to GDACS, Tropical Cyclone YASA-20 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population, and vulnerability. Based on data of the forecasted tropical cyclone path of wind speeds zones from Joint Research Centre (Issued on December 12, 2020, 12:00 local time), and population data from the WorldPop 2020, UNITAR- UNOSAT has prepared a population exposure analysis for Fiji. About 55% of the population of Fiji lives within the wind speed zone that exceeds 120 km/h, while 41% lives within the wind speed zone of 60- 120 km/h and 4% lives within the wind speed zone below 60 km/h. Population Exposure in Fiji as of December 15, 2020, at 12:00 (local time) The population exposure has been calculated using a 100 m resolution WorldPoP dataset. This is a preliminary analysis and has not yet been validated in the field. UNITAR-UNOSAT | Tropical Cyclone YASA, Fiji| Population Exposure Analysis as of December 15, 2020 The Fiji population living within the wind speed zone that exceeds 120 km/h in each province December 15, 2020, at 08:00 local time The Fiji population living within 60-120 km/h wind speed zone in each province December 15, 2020, at 08:00 local time The Fiji population living within the wind speed zone below 60 km/h in each province December 15, 2020, at 08:00 local time UNITAR-UNOSAT | Tropical Cyclone YASA, Fiji| Population Exposure Analysis as of December 15, 2020 Fiji Population Exposed to Sustained Wind Speed Zones Tropical Cyclone YASA - 20 (15 December 2020, 12:00 local time) Population Division/ Province/Tikina Wind Speed Zones Total Population <60 km/h 60 - 120 km/h >120 km/h Fiji 32,324 361,679 489,974 883,977 Central Division - 39,972 353,063 393,035 Naitasiri - 761 209,803 210,564 Lomaivuna - - 6,227 6,227 Matailobau - - 5,085 5,085 Naitasiri - - 189,043 189,043 Waimaro - 432 4,552 4,984 Wainimala 328 4,896 5,224 Namosi - 8,191 - 8,191 Namosi - 1,197 - 1,197 Veivatuloa - 4,105 - 4,105 Wainikoroiluva - 2,890 - Rewa - 10,458 82,413 92,871 Beqa - 986 986 Noco - - 2,264 2,264 Rewa - - 6,826 6,826 Suva - 9,472 73,324 82,796 Serua - 20,562 - 20,562 Nuku - 3,913 - 3,913 Serua - 16,648 - 16,648 Tailevu - - 60,847 60,847 Bau - - 29,453 29,453 Nakelo - - 9,619 9,619 Sawakasa - - 7,129 7,129 Verata - - 10,235 10,235 Wainibuka - - 4,410 4,410 Eastern Division 10,544 4,898 15,801 31,243 Kadavu 6,339 3,407 - 9,745 Nabukelevu 2,194 - - 2,194 UNITAR-UNOSAT | Tropical Cyclone YASA, Fiji| Population Exposure Analysis as of December 15, 2020 Naceva 259 1,372 - 1,631 Nakasaleka - 2,034 - 2,034 Tavuki 3,886 - - 3,886 Lau 4,205 1,492 1,923 7,620 Cicia - 793 - 793 Kabara 275 300 - 575 Lakeba 1,253 - - 1,253 LauOther 160 8 - 168 Lomaloma 710 - - 710 Matuku - - 491 491 Moala - - 1,061 1,061 Moce 315 - - 315 Mualevu 726 - - 726 Nayau 259 - - 259 Oneata 104 - - 104 Ono 168 270 - 438 Totoya - 121 371 492 Vulaga 235 - - 235 Lomaiviti - - 13,878 13,878 Batiki - - 129 129 Gau - - 2,403 2,403 Koro - - 2,966 2,966 LomaiOther - - 204 204 Nairai - - 369 369 Ovalau - - 7,807 7,807 Northern Division 20,687 92,791 12,095 125,574 Bua - 61 11,919 11,980 Bua - 61 4,828 4,889 Vuya - - 3,712 3,712 Wainunu - - 3,379 3,379 Cakaudrove 14,585 37,380 91 52,055 Cakaudrove 2,138 11,750 - 13,888 Nasavusavu - 11,799 - 11,799 Rabi 2,873 - - 2,873 Saqani 2,534 152 - 2,686 Tunuloa 2,322 1,288 - 3,609 UNITAR-UNOSAT | Tropical Cyclone YASA, Fiji| Population Exposure Analysis as of December 15, 2020 Vaturova 15 5,209 - 5,224 Wailevu 4,704 6,809 91 11,603 Wainikeli - 374 - 374 Macuata 6,103 55,350 86 61,539 Cikobia 8 - - 8 Dogotuki 1,588 - - 1,588 Labasa 4,506 42,396 - 46,903 Macuata - 7,931 86 8,016 Sasa - 5,023 - 5,023 Western Division 1,093 224,017 109,015 334,125 Ba - 165,994 81,791 247,786 Ba - 462 46,391 46,853 Magodro - 4,085 2,484 6,569 Nadi - 55,696 - 55,696 Naviti - 1,065 1,615 2,680 Nawaka - 13,242 - 13,242 Tavua - 138 25,015 25,153 Vuda - 91,307 3,963 95,270 Yasawa - - 2,322 2,322 Nadroga Navosa 1,093 58,023 757 59,873 Baravi - 8,345 - 8,345 Cuvu - 7,435 - 7,435 Malolo - 2,339 - 2,339 Malomalo 219 15,756 - 15,974 Nasigatoka - 13,856 - 13,856 Navosa - 5,185 757 5,942 Ruwailevu - 5,106 - 5,106 Vatulele 874 - - 874 Ra - - 26,466 26,466 Nakorotubu - - 3,817 3,817 Nalawa - - 4,025 4,025 Rakiraki - - 12,659 12,659 Saivou - - 5,965 5,965 Download the full excel table here Sources: Cyclone track: Joint Research Centre (JRC) as of 15 December 2020 Wind speed zones: Joint Research Centre (JRC) as of 15 December 2020 as of 00:00 UTC or 12:00 LT Administrative Levels: Fiji Islands Bureau of Statistics Spatial Demographic Data: WorldPoP (2020), 100 m spatial resolution Analysis: UNITAR-UNOSAT (15 December 2020) Map1: Tropical cyclone YASA - 20 track with wind speed zone, Download full map here .