[NAME OF DOCUMENT] | VOLUME [Client Name] KERN RIVER VALLEY Transportation Development Plan Final Report May 2015 Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates Inc. | i This page intentionally left blank. Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc. | i Kern River Valley Transportation Development Plan Kern Council of Governments Table of Contents Page 1 Executive Summary .........................................................................................................1-1 Introduction .............................................................................................................................................. 1-1 Key Findings ............................................................................................................................................ 1-2 Summary of Service Alternatives ........................................................................................................ 1-2 Organization of Report ........................................................................................................................ 1-3 2 Existing Conditions ..........................................................................................................2-1 Introduction .............................................................................................................................................. 2-1 Recent Changes ...................................................................................................................................... 2-1 Existing Plans .......................................................................................................................................... 2-1 Community Profile .................................................................................................................................. 2-2 Existing Services ................................................................................................................................... 2-11 Key Findings .......................................................................................................................................... 2-47 Opportunities / Gaps Analysis ......................................................................................................... 2-48 3 Community Feedback ......................................................................................................3-1 4 Service Recommendations ...............................................................................................4-1 Introduction .............................................................................................................................................. 4-1 Service Guidelines ................................................................................................................................. 4-1 Measuring Performance ....................................................................................................................... 4-2 Service Alternatives ............................................................................................................................... 4-4 Policy Concepts .................................................................................................................................... 4-15 Marketing and Customer Service ..................................................................................................... 4-16 5 Capital Plan .....................................................................................................................5-1 6 Financial Plan ..................................................................................................................6-1 Funding Sources ...................................................................................................................................... 6-1 Fixed Route Services ............................................................................................................................. 6-2 Dial-A-Ride Services ............................................................................................................................. 6-6 7 Implementation Plan ........................................................................................................7-1 Appendix A: Community Feedback Responses Appendix B: Survey Instrument (On-board, Community, Online) Appendix C: Conceptual Route Schedules Appendix D: Additional Alternatives Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc. | ii This page intentionally left blank. Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc. | iii Kern River Valley Transportation Development Plan Kern Council of Governments Table of Figures Page Figure 2-1 Population by Place ............................................................................................................. 2-3 Figure 2-2 Kern River Valley Population Density ............................................................................... 2-5 Figure 2-3 Age by Community ............................................................................................................... 2-6 Figure 2-4 Disability Status by Census Tract ....................................................................................... 2-6 Figure 2-5 Journey to Work, Mode Split ............................................................................................. 2-7 Figure 2-6 Senior Population Density ................................................................................................... 2-8 Figure 2-7 Journey to Work Data (Lake Isabella) ............................................................................. 2-9 Figure 2-8 Vehicle Ownership (by Household) by Census Tract ................................................... 2-10 Figure 2-9 Income by Community ........................................................................................................ 2-10 Figure 2-10 Kern River Valley Service Map ....................................................................................... 2-12 Figure 2-11 Ridership Changes (September 2013-2014) ............................................................... 2-13 Figure 2-12 Kern Transit Resources in the Kern River Valley (Weekday) ..................................... 2-13 Figure 2-13 Fixed-Route Performance in FY 2014 ............................................................................ 2-14 Figure 2-14 Kern River Valley Ridership (July 2012-June 2014) ................................................... 2-14 Figure 2-15 Operating Cost per Passenger ........................................................................................ 2-15 Figure 2-16 Operating Cost per Revenue Hour ................................................................................. 2-15 Figure 2-17 Passengers per Revenue Hour .......................................................................................... 2-16 Figure 2-18 Farebox Recovery Ratio ................................................................................................... 2-16 Figure 2-19 Subsidy per Passenger ...................................................................................................... 2-17 Figure 2-20 Summary of Kern River Valley Fixed Route Services .................................................. 2-17 Figure 2-21 Current Service Span by Route (Before January 1, 2015) ........................................ 2-19 Figure 2-22 Current Service Span by Route (After January 1, 2015) .......................................... 2-20 Figure 2-23 Kern River Valley Ridership – Eastbound (2010) ........................................................ 2-21 Figure 2-24 Kern River Valley Ridership – Saturday Eastbound (2010) ...................................... 2-22 Figure 2-25 Kern River Valley Ridership – Westbound (2010) ...................................................... 2-23 Figure 2-26 Kern River Valley Ridership – Saturday Westbound (2010) .................................... 2-24 Figure 2-27 Lake Isabella – Bakersfield – Eastbound (2010) ....................................................... 2-25 Figure 2-28 Lake Isabella – Bakersfield – Saturday Eastbound (2010) ..................................... 2-26 Figure 2-29 Lake Isabella – Bakersfield – Westbound (2010) ..................................................... 2-27 Figure 2-30 Lake Isabella – Bakersfield – Saturday Westbound (2010) ................................... 2-28 Figure 2-31 Bus Stops With Highest Activity in Kern River Valley .................................................. 2-29 Figure 2-32 Route 150 Lake Isabella-Bakersfield Profile ................................................................ 2-30 Figure 2-33 Route 150 Average Boardings (by Trip, Day, Direction) ........................................... 2-31 Figure 2-34 Route 150 Eastbound (left) and Westbound (right) Weekday Ridership by Trip 2-31 Figure 2-35 Route 220 Lake Isabella-Kernville Profile ..................................................................... 2-32 Figure 2-36 Route 220 Average Boardings (by Trip, Day, Direction) ........................................... 2-33 Figure 2-37 Route 220 Northbound (left) and Southbound (right) Weekday Ridership by Trip ......................................................................................................................................... 2-33 Figure 2-38 Route 223 Lake Isabella-Bodfish Profile ....................................................................... 2-34 Figure 2-39 Route 223 Average Boardings