BLACK SEA REGIONAL TRANSMISSION PLANNING PROJECT: PSSE/OPF Regional Model Construction Report Black Sea Regional Transmission Planning Project Phase III Balkans and Regional Energy Market Partnership Program Cooperative Agreement EEE-A-00-02-00054-00 Monday, March 19, 2012 This publication was produced for review by the United States Agency for International Development. It was prepared by the United States Energy Association as part of the Balkans and Regional Energy Market Partnership Program. BLACK SEA REGIONAL TRANSMISSION PLANNING PROJECT: PSSE/OPF Regional Model Construction Report Black Sea Regional Transmission Planning Project Phase III Prepared for: United States Energy Association and United States Agency for International Development Office of Energy and Infrastructure Bureau for Europe and Eurasia Cooperative Agreement EEE-A-00-02-00054-00 This report was prepared by the United States Energy Association as part of the Balkans and Regional Energy Market Partnership Program. United States Energy Association 1300 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW Suite 550, Mailbox 142 Washington, DC 20004 +1 202 312-1230 (USA) This report is made possible by the support of the American people through the United States Agency for International Development (USAID). The contents are the responsibility of the United States Energy Association and do not necessarily reflect the views of USAID or the United States Government. CONTENTS 1.1 Electricity Production .............................................................................................................................................. 10 1.1.1 Power Plants ................................................................................................................................................ 10 1.1.2 Generation Cost Curves ............................................................................................................................... 24 1.1.3 Generic Generation cost curves................................................................................................................... 28 1.2 Prerequisites and Assumptions ............................................................................................................................. 34 1.2.1 Optimal Power Flow ..................................................................................................................................... 34 1.3 OPF Models Construction Procedure .................................................................................................................... 38 1.4 Training for OPF Model construction ..................................................................................................................... 39 1.5 Armenia .................................................................................................................................................................... 1 1.5.1 General Information ........................................................................................................................................ 1 1.5.2 Transmission Network .................................................................................................................................... 2 1.5.3 Generation ...................................................................................................................................................... 1 1.5.4 Demand .......................................................................................................................................................... 5 1.5.5 Export Potential in 2015 and 2020 ................................................................................................................. 8 1.5.6 Analyses results and renewables balancing and control ............................................................................... 8 1.5.7 Remarks and Comments................................................................................................................................ 9 1.6 Bulgaria .................................................................................................................................................................. 10 1.6.1 General Information ...................................................................................................................................... 10 1.6.2 Transmission Network .................................................................................................................................. 10 1.6.3 Generation .................................................................................................................................................... 14 1.6.4 Demand ........................................................................................................................................................ 17 1.6.5 Export Potential in 2015 and 2020 ............................................................................................................... 18 1.6.6 Remarks and comments .............................................................................................................................. 19 1.7 Georgia ................................................................................................................................................................... 20 1.7.1 General Information ...................................................................................................................................... 20 1.7.2 Transmission network .................................................................................................................................. 20 1.7.3 Generation .................................................................................................................................................... 26 1.7.4 Demand ........................................................................................................................................................ 33 1.7.5 Export Potential in 2015 and 2020 ............................................................................................................... 35 1.7.6 Remarks and comments .............................................................................................................................. 37 1.8 Moldova .................................................................................................................................................................. 39 1.8.1 General Information ...................................................................................................................................... 39 1.8.2 Transmission Network .................................................................................................................................. 39 1.8.3 Generation .................................................................................................................................................... 43 1.8.4 Demand ........................................................................................................................................................ 44 1.8.5 Remarks and comments .............................................................................................................................. 45 1.9 Romania ................................................................................................................................................................. 46 1.9.1 General Information ...................................................................................................................................... 46 1.9.2 Transmission Network .................................................................................................................................. 46 1.9.3 Generation .................................................................................................................................................... 51 1.9.4 Demand ........................................................................................................................................................ 55 1.9.5 Export Potential in 2015 and 2020 ............................................................................................................... 56 1.9.6 Remarks and comments .............................................................................................................................. 56 1.10 Russia ................................................................................................................................................................ 58 1.10.1 General Information ...................................................................................................................................... 58 1.10.2 Transmission Network .................................................................................................................................. 58 1.10.3 Generation .................................................................................................................................................... 66 1.10.4 Demand ........................................................................................................................................................ 72 1.10.5 Export Potential in 2015 and 2020 ............................................................................................................... 74 1.10.6 References ..................................................................................................................................................