Appendix B Technical Memorandum #2 Existing Conditions and Market Analysis ` Existing Conditions and Market Analysis Countywide Transit Plan FINAL Technical Memo #2 Prepared for: Alameda County Transportation Commission Prepared by: Parsons Brinckerhoff With Arup North America Ltd. Cambridge Systematics Community Design + Architecture June 2015 Countywide Transit Plan Table of Contents 1.0. Introduction ............................................................................................................... 1 2.0. Report Methodology ................................................................................................ 2 3.0. Network Conditions .................................................................................................. 3 3.1. Transit Providers Serving Alameda County ................................................... 3 3.2. Transit in Alameda County Planning Areas .................................................. 5 A. North County ............................................................................................... 5 B. Central County ............................................................................................ 7 C. South County ............................................................................................... 8 D. East County .................................................................................................. 9 3.3. Alameda County Travel Patterns ................................................................. 10 A. Overall Transportation Patterns .............................................................. 10 B. Transit Travel Patterns ............................................................................... 10 3.4. Congestion ...................................................................................................... 14 3.5. Future Transit Projects ..................................................................................... 17 3.6. TDM Measures Supporting Transit ................................................................ 18 4.0. Demographics ........................................................................................................ 20 4.1. Characteristics of Alameda County Residents ......................................... 20 A. Age ............................................................................................................. 20 B. Household Income ................................................................................... 20 C. Vehicle Ownership ................................................................................... 21 4.2. Characteristics of Transit Riders .................................................................... 22 A. AC Transit ................................................................................................... 22 B. BART ............................................................................................................ 25 C. WETA San Francisco Bay Ferry ................................................................ 28 D. Union City Transit ....................................................................................... 31 E. LAVTA Wheels ............................................................................................ 35 4.3. Summary of Transit Rider Characteristics .................................................... 39 5.0. Detailed Transit Ridership Profiles ......................................................................... 41 5.1. System-Level Ridership by Operator ........................................................... 41 5.2. System-Level Transit Ridership by Trip Type ................................................. 41 6.0. Transit Performance and Productivity ................................................................. 44 A. On-Time Performance .............................................................................. 45 6.1. Service Performance – Effectiveness .......................................................... 47 A. Passengers per Revenue Vehicle Hour ................................................. 47 B. Passengers per Revenue Vehicle Mile .................................................. 48 6.2. Service Performance – Efficiency ................................................................ 49 A. Cost per Revenue Vehicle Hour ............................................................. 49 B. Cost per Revenue Vehicle Mile .............................................................. 51 Technical Memorandum #2 June 2015 Existing Conditions and Market Analysis i Countywide Transit Plan C. Cost per Seat Mile .................................................................................... 52 6.3. Blended Metric ............................................................................................... 53 A. Subsidy per Passenger ............................................................................. 53 6.4. Summary of Transit Performance and Productivity ................................... 54 7.0. Gaps in the Transit System ..................................................................................... 56 7.1. Network Coverage and Connectivity ........................................................ 56 A. Coverage ................................................................................................... 56 1. Regional Transit Gaps ............................................................................... 56 2. Intra-county Transit Gaps ......................................................................... 58 3. Local and Community Transit Gaps ...................................................... 58 4. Paratransit .................................................................................................. 58 B. Connectivity .............................................................................................. 58 7.2. Operational Gaps .......................................................................................... 60 8.0. Shuttles...................................................................................................................... 61 8.1. Public Shuttles ................................................................................................. 61 A. Broadway Shuttle ...................................................................................... 61 B. Emery-Go-Round ...................................................................................... 61 C. Alameda Estuary Crossing Shuttle .......................................................... 62 D. San Leandro Links ..................................................................................... 62 E. CSU East Bay Shuttle ................................................................................. 62 8.2. Private Shuttles ................................................................................................ 63 9.0. Market Analysis ....................................................................................................... 64 9.1. Overview of TCI .............................................................................................. 64 9.2. General TCI Findings for Alameda County ................................................ 64 References ....................................................................................................................... 65 Appendix A Performance Data for Transit Operators Serving Alameda County.................................................................................. A-1 Appendix B Market Analysis ....................................................................................... B-1 Technical Memorandum #2 June 2015 Existing Conditions and Market Analysis ii Countywide Transit Plan Figures Figure 1: Development of Alameda CTC’s Countywide Transit Plan ....................... 1 Figure 2: Transit Operators in Alameda County ........................................................ 4 Figure 3: Alameda CTC’s Planning Areas and Major Transit Lines ............................ 6 Figure 4: All Daily Trips To and From Alameda County, All Modes .......................... 11 Figure 5: Alameda County Mode Share for Work Trips ............................................ 12 Figure 6: Transit Trips by Type (for All Trips) ................................................................... 12 Figure 7: Transit Ridership in Alameda County by Operator .................................... 13 Figure 8: PM Peak Period LOS on Major Existing and Planned Transit Routes ........ 16 Figure 9: Age of Alameda County Residents ............................................................. 20 Figure 10: Annual Household Incomes in Alameda County .................................... 21 Figure 11: Number of Vehicles in Alameda County Households ............................ 21 Figure 12: Race/Ethnicity of AC Transit Riders ............................................................ 23 Figure 13: Age of AC Transit Riders ............................................................................... 24 Figure 14: Annual Household Incomes of AC Transit Riders ..................................... 24 Figure 15: Number of Vehicles in AC Transit Riders’ Households ............................. 25 Figure 16: Race/Ethnicity of BART Riders ..................................................................... 27 Figure 17: Age of BART Riders ........................................................................................ 27 Figure 18: Annual Household