DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas 101 102 DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas 103 104 DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas 105 106 DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas 107 108 DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas Chapter 10 Housing Chapter 10 Housing oth the changes in the housing stock and the nature of housing reflect some of the characteristics of the population dealt with elsewhere in this atlas. The characteristics of the 296,719 housing units reported in Census 2010 include features such as whether individuals are homeowners or Brenters, and their age and race categories. The characteristics of the 293,492 housing units reported in the ACS 2006-2010 include features such as prevalent period built, housing type, value of owner-occupied and median monthly rent. Occupied housing units are classified as either owned or rented. In 2010, homeownership rate displayed on Map 10-01 averaged 42 percent for the District, its highest rate recorded for the decennial census in the twentieth century. By census tract, homeownership rates ranged from a low of 1.4 percent to a high of 93.2 percent. Homeownership rates in 2010 also varied by race and Hispanic origin of the householder (Maps 10-03 to 10-06). White non-Hispanic households had the highest homeownership rates in 2010, at 46.3 percent. Black households had the second highest homeownership rates at 44.1 percent, followed by Asian households and Hispanic households (typical immigrant population) at 3 percent and 2.1 percent, respectively. Homeownership by age reflects older homeowners occupying the older housing stock (Maps 10-09 and 10-15), while the younger homeowners occupied more of the newly built housing stock (Maps 10-08 and 10-16). Renter-occupied housing units in the District of Columbia averaged 58 percent in 2010 with the heaviest concentration in census tracts in Ward 8 (Map 10-10). The District has a much higher percentage of renter-occupied housing than at the national level where the average for 2010 was 33.8 percent. For the 2006-2010 period, the median monthly rent in the District was $1,063 (Map 10-11) and 40.7 percent of renters spent 35 percent or more of their income on rent (Map 10-12). The two aspects of housing value depicted in Maps 10-02 and 10-13 show distinct patterns of higher valued housing in the northwest and areas along the Potomac River, and lower valued housing in the northeast and southeast areas of the city. Looking at prevalent housing type in Map 10-14, census tracts in certain corridors in the city showed dominant housing types be it single-family or multi-family units. However, the majority of housing in the city were 20 or more unit structures. Most houses in the city were built before 1940. 110 DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas 111 112 DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas 113 114 DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas 115 116 DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas 117 118 DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas 119 120 DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas 121 122 DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas 123 124 DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas 125 126 DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas Chapter 11 Forecast Data Forecast Data Chapter 11 Forecast Data he Traffic Analysis Zone (TAZ) forecast is done at various periods to support planning at many levels including transportation, water resource, air traffic, business and land use planning. The figures are based on demographic trends, projects under construction, projects in pre-development Tand conceptual phases, and the capacity of vacant land, and in turn, their proposed impact on population, households and employment. Although the recession officially ended in 2009, the U.S. and local economies have yet to fully recover. The District fared better than many places throughout the recession. Population began growing again in the last decade and the economic crisis shifted the focus of financial activity somewhat from New York to the District. Housing was affected by the national collapse but sales of single family and condos have rebounded faster than other metropolitan areas. Prices are still below the peaks but the Washington DC metro area is one of the few metropolitan areas in the Case-Shiller housing price index that has had consistent positive growth recently. Commercial real estate has also outperformed expectations and the vacancy rate in the District is the lowest in the metropolitan area. The federal government’s presence provides an important element of stability to the District’s economy, but the current debate over the size of federal government and the momentum in Congress to drastically reduce spending to bring down the deficit is a serious risk to both the District economy and that of the wider metropolitan area. Population growth from 2010 through 2040 is forecast to increase by 26.4 percent, households by 25.8 percent and employment by 27 percent. To sustain and/or grow the population, households and employment as presented, some of the proposed policies, accomplishments and outlook that are predicted to have positive impacts are highlighted. • The mayor’s plan to fund universal Pre-K beginning in 2012 - this translates into free all-day day care for families with young children and the incentive to both maintain and attract families to the District. • On accomplishments, in the past three years (2009-2011), according to the DC Comprehensive Assessment System (DC CAS), both elementary and secondary District of Columbia Public School (DCPS) students have made dramatic gains in scholastics test - as much as 17 percentage points - in reading and math. This trend is likely to continue and provide a further boost to families staying and wanting to move to the District. • Enrollment numbers for the 2010-2011school year showed the number of students attending DC Public Schools (DCPS) and public charter schools jumped by 3.5 percent. Enrollment in postsecondary institutions in the District has also shown tremendous increases. 128 DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas • The District has become a magnet for young people between the ages of 20 and 34 years old. According to the 2010 Census, the District population ages 20 to 34 increased by 35,200 or 23 percent between 2000 and 2010. Given the pull factors of job opportunities, abundance of choices for leisure and hospitality, rich cultural offerings and an eclectic international ambiance, one can foresee the District remaining an attraction for young people for years to come. • On the employment front, both the national and the local picture points to significant job gains as economic growth picks up after the recession and supports a brighter outlook for long-term unemployment. Altogether, the forecast is for a very resilient economy in the District of Columbia, weathering the storms in both the national financial markets and the global economy, and continuing to grow along with the nation as economic growth picks up after the recession. DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas 129 130 DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas 131 132 DC STATE DATA CENTER • District of Columbia 2010 Atlas Data Tables Data Tables he following tables present the data used to create the maps in this Atlas. The data table numbers correspond to the chapter number where the associated maps can be found. For example, Tables 1a, 1b, and 1c correspond to the maps in Chapter 1, Tables 2a-2c correspond to maps in Chapter T2, and so on. Three data sources were used to create the Atlas maps: the 2010 Decennial Census, the American Community Survey (ACS) 2006-2010 5-year estimates, and the Round 8.1 population, households and employment forecasts produced by the Office of Planning, State Data Center. • Tables 1-5 represent data from the 2010 decennial census. • Tables 6-10 represent data from the American Community Survey 2006-2010 5-year estimates. • Table 11 represents data from the Round 8.1 forecast produced by the Office of Planning, State Data Center. For maps created using American Community Survey (ACS) 2006-2010 5-year estimates, the tables present both estimates and Margins of Error (MOE). Due to the difficulty in representing MOE graphically, only the estimates are displayed on the Atlas maps. Please refer to the tables for MOE information when interpreting these maps. Tables which present Census 2010 data do not include MOE as the 2010 decennial census represents a population count, not a sample. Margin of Error For any survey where random sampling was employed, there will be some error in the estimates. This error is represented by the Margin of Error (MOE). MOE is the difference between an estimate and its upper or lower limit known as confidence bounds.