LOW EMISSION DEVELOPMENT QUARTERLY REPORT NO. 14: OCTOBER 1 – DECEMBER 31, 2018 CONTRACT NO. AID-520-C-14-0003 January 2019 This document was produced for revision of the United States Agency for International Development (USAID). It was prepared by RTI International for the USAID Low Emission Development Project. LOW EMISSION DEVELOPMENT QUARTERLY REPORT NO. 14: OCTOBER 1 – DECEMBER 31, 2018 January 2019 RTI International 701 13th Street NW, Suite 750 Washington, DC 20005 www.rti.org DISCLAIMER The preparation of this document is possible with the support of the United States Agency for International Development (USAID), under the terms of contract No. AID-520-C-14-00003. The author's views expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect the views of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government. This document is intended to comply with Section 508 Standard of the Federal Acquisition Regulation. If you have any difficulties accessing this document, please contact [email protected]. CONTENTS ACRONYMS ··································································································· I EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ···················································································· 1 1.3.4. Result 2.4 ............................................................................................................................ 3 1.4.1. Result 3.1 ............................................................................................................................ 3 1.5.3. Result 4.3 ............................................................................................................................ 4 1.5.4. Result 4.4 ............................................................................................................................ 4 1.5.5. Result 4.5 ............................................................................................................................ 5 1.6.1. Result 5.1 ............................................................................................................................ 5 INTRODUCTION ····························································································· 8 1. PROGRESS PER COMPONENT ································································· 9 1.1. Action plan of the low emissions development strategy formulation process ...............................................................................................................9 1.1.1. Outcome of the formulation process of the Low Emissions Development Strategy for Guatemala ................................................................................................... 9 1.1.2. Contributions of the formulation process of the Low Emissions Development Strategy for Guatemala ................................................................................................. 13 1.1.3. Impacts of the implementation of the Low Emission Development Strategy for Guatemala ................................................................................................................ 13 1.1.4. Launch of the Low Emission Development Strategy for Guatemala ........................ 13 1.1.5. Steps to follow ................................................................................................................. 14 1.2. Reliable science and analytics ....................................................................... 16 1.2.1. Result 1.1 - Analytical tools, methodologies, models and approaches improved and/or transferred to the GoG and incorporated into LEDS development processes................................................................................................. 16 1.2.2. Result 1.2 – Mechanisms developed to ensure information transfer of greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) between GoG entities, key entities and partners in Guatemala, including beneficiaries in key sectors, rural and indigenous communities. ............................................................................................... 17 1.2.3. Result 1.3 – A comprehensive system to obtain, store and manage the GHG emission and removal information established ........................................................... 17 1.2.4. Result 1.4 – Models and scenarios based on alternative paths to the BAU generated and shared with the government, the private sector and civil society to promote an informed mechanism of the decision-making process concerning the low-emission development .................................................. 17 1.2.5. Result 1.5 – A comprehensive system of institutionalized GHG inventories and forecasts, GHG mitigation and energy/land use change that integrates data flows between end-users, sectors and MARN to improve analysis ............................................................................................................................. 18 1.2.6. Result 1.6 – A comprehensive system to obtain, manage and store GHG inventory and forecast data and aligned with the National Information System designated by the Climate Change Act designed, implemented and institutionalized ........................................................................................................ 18 1.2.7. Result 1.7 – University professors trained to conduct micro-economic analyses to generate cost-effective estimates, abatement curves, and specific information on policies, which can be used in macro-economic analyses ........................................................................................................................... 19 1.3. Strengthening Institutional Capacities ............................................................ 19 1.3.1. Result 2.1 – Increased GoG capabilities to obtain and process relevant basic data to design and implement LEDS in each prioritized sector ...................... 19 1.3.2. Result 2.2 – Local installed capacity and climate change units strengthened through key consultants located in GoG institutions, in a sustainable manner .......................................................................................................................................... 22 1.3.3. Result 2.3 – Institutional and legal framework established to institutionalize coordination mechanisms within the GoG on LEDS, including workgroups on sectoral issues ............................................................................................................ 24 1.3.4. Result 2.4 - One or two demonstration regions or municipalities implemented LEDS at the sub-national level ............................................................... 25 1.4. Developing Participatory and Transparent Processes .................................. 26 1.4.1. Result 3.1 – A comprehensive system established to ensure the involvement of the private sector, academia, NGOs and key actors of civil society ................... 26 1.5. Encouraging Implementation through Demonstrations ............................... 27 1.5.1. Result 4.1 – At least three policies and/or regulatory changes developed and adopted by the GoG in order to facilitate the implementation of LEDS actions nationwide ......................................................................................................... 27 1.5.2. Result 4.2 – The National Strategy for Sustainable Production and Use of Firewood, in its implementation phase ......................................................................... 28 1.5.3. Result 4.3 – At least five different agro-industrial initiatives of large and small scale to reduce GHG emissions exhibited and promoted (such as sugar, rubber, palm oil, banana, melon) ................................................................................. 28 1.5.4. Result 4.4 – At least two integrated mechanisms to promote emissions reduction identified and promoted (for example: payment for environmental services, carbon-offset programs, watershed management) .......................................................................................................................................... 30 1.5.5. Result 4.5 – At least five small-scale agricultural initiatives, to promote LEDS at the level of farmers' organizations and individuals. This will include innovative market-oriented, financial or incentive instruments, as well as measurement, reporting and verification (MRV) capabilities. ................................... 31 1.6. Supporting Communication and Education ................................................. 32 1.6.1. Result 5.1 – LEDS Strategic Communications Plan produced and implemented ................................................................................................................... 32 1.6.2. Result 5.2 – Communication and education tools (e.g. media campaigns, radio, newspaper, press, training modules) designed and implemented in key sectors ....................................................................................................................... 36 1.6.3. Result 5.3 – Civil society awareness and increased public perception of LEDS and mitigation of climate change, measured through surveys and other methodologies (e.g. baselines and final surveys) ....................................................... 40 4 LOW EMISSION DEVELOPMENT, QUARTERLY REPORT NO.14 – JANUARY 2019 2. PRIORITIES FOR THE NEXT QUARTER ······················································· 41 2.1. LED strategy formulation .................................................................................