2018 Chittenden County ECOS Plan Supplement 5 – Metropolitan For a healthy, Transportation Plan inclusive, and Adopted 6/20/2018 prosperous community This plan is the Regional Plan, Metropolitan Transportation Plan, and Comprehensive Economic Development Strategy in one. This plan can be found online at: www.ecosproject.com/plan 2018 Chittenden County ECOS Plan Contents METROPOLITAN TRANSPORTATION PLAN ...................................................................................... 1 INTRODUCTION AND BACKGROUND 1 TRANSPORTATION GOAL, ISSUES, AND SUMMARY OF MTP INVESTMENTS 3 ISSUES, TRENDS, OBSERVATIONS & SUMMARY OF MTP INVESTMENTS ........................................................ 3 SUMMARY OF MTP INVESTMENTS............................................................................................................. 5 KEY TRANSPORTATION INDICATORS & PERFORMANCE MEASURES 6 PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT ............................................................................................................... 11 EXISTING METROPOLITAN TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM 17 CURRENT TRANSPORTATION CONDITIONS .............................................................................................. 17 FINANCIAL PLAN 37 INTRODUCTION ...................................................................................................................................... 37 FINANCIAL PLAN PART 1: OVERALL CONSTRAINT ..................................................................................... 37 FINANCIAL PLAN PART 2: SYSTEM OPERATIONS & MAINTENANCE ELEMENT .............................................. 41 CONCLUSION AND PROPOSED FUTURE ALLOCATIONS .............................................................................. 43 SCENARIO PLANNING REVIEW AND FUTURE CONDITIONS 46 INTRODUCTION ...................................................................................................................................... 46 FUTURE TRANSPORTATION SCENARIOS .................................................................................................. 47 SCENARIO RESULTS ............................................................................................................................... 49 MTP SCENARIO .................................................................................................................................... 55 MTP SCENARIO RESULTS ...................................................................................................................... 56 MTP SCENARIO GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS...................................................................................... 60 MTP CORRIDORS 61 REGIONAL CORE ................................................................................................................................... 62 NORTHERN CORRIDOR .......................................................................................................................... 66 NORTHEASTERN CORRIDOR ................................................................................................................... 68 ROUTE 15 WEST CORRIDOR .................................................................................................................. 69 SOUTHEASTERN CORRIDOR ................................................................................................................... 70 VERMONT ROUTE 116 CORRIDOR .......................................................................................................... 71 EASTERN CORRIDOR ............................................................................................................................. 72 SOUTHERN CORRIDOR ........................................................................................................................... 74 CROSS COUNTY CORRIDOR ................................................................................................................... 76 CORRIDOR SUMMARY ............................................................................................................................ 78 METROPOLITAN TRANSPORTATION PLAN INVESTMENTS AND PROJECT LIST 79 MTP MAJOR INVESTMENTS .................................................................................................................... 79 ii 2018 Chittenden County ECOS Plan MTP PROJECT LIST ............................................................................................................................... 81 ENVIRONMENTAL CONSULTATION AND MITIGATION 95 INTRODUCTION ...................................................................................................................................... 95 CONSULTATION BACKGROUND ............................................................................................................... 96 THE ECOS IMPACT IN DEVELOPING TRANSPORTATION STRATEGY ........................................................... 96 ENVIRONMENTAL MITIGATION ................................................................................................................. 97 List of Figures Figure 1 – Percent of Workers Commuting by SOV and Non-SOV ....................................................... 3 Figure 2 – Chittenden County Driving Alone to Work ............................................................................. 6 Figure 3 – Chittenden County Daily Vehicle Miles Traveled Per Person ................................................ 6 Figure 4 – Chittenden County Walking & Biking Infrastructure ............................................................... 7 Figure 5 – Sustainable Funding, System Preservation by Fiscal Year ................................................... 7 Figure 6 – GMT Ridership in Chittenden County .................................................................................... 8 Figure 7 – Number of Trips Provided by the Special Services Transportation Agency (SSTA) ............... 8 Figure 8 – CarShare Vermont Membership ............................................................................................ 9 Figure 9 – Chittenden County Electric Vehicle Registrations.................................................................. 9 Figure 10 – Number of Vehicle Crashes Per Million Annual Vehicle Miles Traveled in Vermont .......... 10 Figure 11 – Number of Reported Vehicle Crashes Involving Bicycles or Pedestrians in Vermont ........ 10 Figure 12 – Annual Fatalities & 5-Year Average Fatalities ................................................................... 13 Figure 13 – Annual Serious Injuries & 5-Year Average Serious Injuries ............................................... 13 Figure 14 – 5-Year Fatality Rate .......................................................................................................... 14 Figure 15 – 5-Year Average Serious Injury Rate .................................................................................. 14 Figure 16 – Statewide Annual Bike & Pedestrian Fatalities and Serious Injuries .................................. 15 Figure 17 – Chittenden County Annual Bike & Pedestrian Fatalities and Serious Injuries .................... 16 Figure 18 – Chittenden County VMT per Capita................................................................................... 19 Figure 19 – 2011 – 2016 Chittenden county vehicle crashes ............................................................... 21 Figure 20 – Chittenden county vehicle crashes resulting in deaths and injuries ................................... 22 Figure 21 – GMT Ridership: FY2000 - FY2016 .................................................................................... 26 Figure 22 – Where do Chittenden County Employees Live? ................................................................ 36 Figure 23 – Vermont Federal Transportation Funding History in 2016 $ FY10 to FY16 ........................ 38 Figure 24 – Estimated Funding Shares 2016-2050 .............................................................................. 44 Figure 25 – Countywide Daily Delay per Capita ................................................................................... 51 Figure 26 - Countywide Daily Vehicles Miles Traveled (VMT) .............................................................. 52 Figure 27 - Countywide Daily Total Vehicle Trips ................................................................................. 53 Figure 28 - Countywide Daily Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) per Capita .............................................. 54 Figure 29 - Countywide Daily Transit, Walking, and Biking Mode Split ................................................. 55 Figure 30 – Countywide Daily Greenhouse Gas Emissions ................................................................. 60 List of Tables Table 1 – Chittenden County Future Funding Estimates ........................................................................ 5 Table 2 – VTrans and CCRPC Safety Performance Targets 2018 ....................................................... 12 iii 2018 Chittenden County ECOS Plan Table 3 – Amtrak Vermonter Ridership ................................................................................................ 27 Table 4 – VTrans Federal Transportation Funding By Year ................................................................. 39 Table 5 – CCRPC’s Share of Statewide Federal Funds ....................................................................... 39 Table 6 – Projected Annual and Cumulative funding available for Chittenden county projects (millions) at 3%