102724 A World Bank Group Flagship Report DIGITAL DIVIDENDS Digital technologies are spreading rapidly, but digital dividends— world development report the broader benefits of faster growth, more jobs, and better services—are not. If more than 40 percent of adults in East Africa Public Disclosure Authorized pay their utility bills using a mobile phone, why can’t others around the world do the same? If 8 million entrepreneurs in China—one-third of them women—can use an e-commerce platform to export goods to 120 countries, why can’t entrepreneurs elsewhere achieve the same global reach? And if India can provide unique digital identifica- tion to 1 billion people in five years, and thereby reduce corruption by billions of dollars, why can’t other countries replicate its success? Indeed, what’s holding back countries from realizing the profound and transformational effects that digital technologies are supposed to deliver? Two main reasons. First, nearly 60 percent of the world’s population are still offline and can’t participate in the digital economy in any meaningful way. Second, and more important, Public Disclosure Authorized the benefits of digital technologies can be offset by growing risks. DIGITAL Startups can disrupt incumbents, but not when vested interests and regulatory uncertainty obstruct competition and the entry of new firms. Employment opportunities may be greater, but not when DIVIDENDS the labor market is polarized. The internet can be a platform for universal empowerment, but not when it becomes a tool for state OVERVIEW control and elite capture. The World Development Report 2016 shows that while the digital revolution has forged ahead, its “analog complements”—the regulations that promote entry and competition, the skills that enable workers to access and then leverage the new economy, and the institutions that are accountable to citizens—have not kept Public Disclosure Authorized pace. And when these analog complements to digital investments are absent, the development impact can be disappointing. What, then, should countries do? They should formulate digital development strategies that are much broader than current information and communication technology (ICT) strategies. They should create a policy and institutional environment for technology that fosters the greatest benefits. In short, they need to build a strong analog foundation to deliver digital dividends to everyone, everywhere. Public Disclosure Authorized SKU 32984 A World Bank Group Flagship Report world development report DIGITAL DIVIDENDS OVERVIEW This booklet contains the overview, as well as a list of contents, from the World Development Report 2016: Digital Dividends, doi: 10.1596/978-1-4648-0671-1. A PDF of the final, full-length book, once published, will be available at https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/, and print copies can be ordered at http://Amazon.com. 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Contents v Foreword vii Acknowledgments 1 Overview: Strengthening the analog foundation of the digital revolution 5 Digital transformations—digital divides 8 How the internet promotes development 11 The dividends: Growth, jobs, and service delivery 18 The risks: Concentration, inequality, and control 25 Making the internet universal, affordable, open, and safe 29 Analog complements for a digital economy 36 Global cooperation to solve global problems 38 Reaping digital dividends for everyone 38 Notes 39 References iii Foreword We find ourselves in the midst of the greatest information and communications revolution in human history. More than 40 percent of the world’s population has access to the inter- net, with new users coming online every day. Among the poorest 20 percent of households, nearly 7 out of 10 have a mobile phone. The poorest households are more likely to have access to mobile phones than to toilets or clean water. We must take advantage of this rapid technological change to make the world more prosperous and inclusive. This Report finds that traditional development challenges are preventing the digital revolution from fulfilling its transformative potential. For many people, today’s increase in access to digital technologies brings more choice and greater convenience. Through inclusion, efficiency, and innovation, access provides opportunities that were previously out of reach to the poor and disadvantaged. In Kenya, for example, the cost of sending remittances dropped by up to 90 percent after the introduction of M-Pesa, a digital payment system. New technologies allow women to participate more easily in the labor market—as e-commerce entrepreneurs, in online work, or in business-process outsourcing. The world’s 1 billion persons with disabilities—80 per- cent of whom live in developing countries—can lead more productive lives with the help of text, voice, and video communication. And digital ID systems can provide better access to public and private services for the 2.4 billion people who lack formal identification records, such as a birth certificate. While this is great progress, many are still left out because they do not have access to digital technologies. Those in extreme poverty have the most to gain from better commu- nication and access to information. Nearly 6 billion people do not have high-speed internet, making them unable to fully participate in the digital economy. To deliver universal digital access, we must invest in infrastructure and pursue reforms that bring greater competition to telecommunications markets, promote public-private partnerships, and yield effective regulation. The Report concludes that the full benefits of the information and communications transformation will not be realized unless countries continue to improve their business climate, invest in people’s education and health, and promote good governance. In countries where these fundamentals are weak, digital technologies have not boosted productivity or reduced inequality. Countries that complement technology investments with broader economic reforms reap digital dividends in the form of faster growth, more jobs, and better services. The World Bank Group stands ready to help countries pursue these priorities. We are already working with clients to promote competitive business environments, increase accountability, and upgrade education and skills-development systems to prepare people for the jobs of the future. v vi FOREWORD While people around the world make more than 4 billion Google searches every day, 4 billion people still lack access to the internet. The findings of this Report should be used by all who are working to end extreme poverty and boost shared prosperity.