STEPHEN KOTKIN ON TRUMP AND RUSSIA JULY/AUGUST 2019 / • • • / What Happened to the American Century? • ? FOREIGNAFFAIRS.COM JA19_cover.indd All Pages 5/20/19 2:52 PM DOWNLOAD CSS Notes, Books, MCQs, Magazines www.thecsspoint.com Download CSS Notes Download CSS Books Download CSS Magazines Download CSS MCQs Download CSS Past Papers The CSS Point, Pakistan’s The Best Online FREE Web source for All CSS Aspirants. Email: [email protected] BUY CSS / PMS / NTS & GENERAL KNOWLEDGE BOOKS ONLINE CASH ON DELIVERY ALL OVER PAKISTAN Visit Now: WWW.CSSBOOKS.NET For Oder & Inquiry Call/SMS/WhatsApp 0333 6042057 – 0726 540316 CSS Solved Compulsory MCQs from 2005 to 2019 By HSM Publishers Latest and Updated Edition Call/SMS 03336042057 Politics Among Nations: The Struggle for Power & Peace By Hans Morgenthau Volume 98, Number 4 WHAT HAPPENED TO THE AMERICAN CENTURY? The Self-Destruction of American Power 10 Washington Squandered the Unipolar Moment Fareed Zakaria Democracy Demotion 17 How the Freedom Agenda Fell Apart Larry Diamond Globalization’s Wrong Turn 26 And How It Hurt America Dani Rodrik Faith-Based Finance 34 How Wall Street Became a Cult o Risk Gillian Tett The Republican Devolution 42 COVER: Partisanship and the Decline o American Governance Jacob S. Hacker and Paul Pierson MARC BURCKHARDT It’s the Institutions, Stupid 52 The Real Roots o America’s Political Crisis Julia Azari July/August 2019 FA.indb 1 5/17/19 6:40 PM ESSAYS American Hustle 62 What Mueller Found—and Didn’t Find—About Trump and Russia Stephen Kotkin The New Tiananmen Papers 80 Inside the Secret Meeting That Changed China Andrew J. Nathan A World Safe for Autocracy? 92 China’s Rise and the Future o Global Politics Jessica Chen Weiss Europe Alone 109 What Comes After the Transatlantic Alliance Alina Polyakova and Benjamin Haddad The Global Economy’s Next Winners 121 What It Takes to Thrive in the Automation Age Susan Lund, James Manyika, and Michael Spence Africa’s Democratic Moment? 131 The Five Leaders Who Could Transform the Region Judd Devermont and Jon Temin With Great Demographics Comes Great Power 146 Why Population Will Drive Geopolitics Nicholas Eberstadt ON FOREIGNAFFAIRS.COM George Herring on Amanda Sloat on the Madawi al-Rasheed Vietnam’s lessons for increasingly messy on the new Saudi leaving Afghanistan. Brexit breakup. diaspora. July/August 2019 FA.indb 3 5/17/19 6:40 PM LKYSPP_GIA-ad_bw_7 x 10_FA_HIRES.pdf 1 9/11/18 9:58 AM C M Y CM MY CY CMY K America’s Forgotten Colony 158 Ending Puerto Rico’s Perpetual Crisis Antonio Weiss and Brad Setser REVIEWS & RESPONSES China’s Feminist Fight 170 #MeToo in the Middle Kingdom Susan Greenhalgh and Xiying Wang How Should a Liberal Be? 177 Walter Bagehot and the Politics o Progress Sebastian Mallaby The Last War—and the Next? 183 Learning the Wrong Lessons From Iraq Jon Finer Ready for Robots? 192 How to Think About the Future o AI Kenneth Cukier “Foreign Aairs . will tolerate wide dierences of opinion. Its articles will not represent any consensus of beliefs. What is demanded of them is that they shall be competent and well informed, representing honest opinions seriously held and convincingly expressed. It does not accept responsibility for the views in any articles, signed or unsigned, which appear in its pages. What it does accept is the responsibility for giving them a chance to appear.” Archibald Cary Coolidge, Founding Editor Volume 1, Number 1 • September 1922 July/August 2019 FA.indb 5 5/17/19 6:40 PM July/August 2019 · Volume 98, Number 4 Published by the Council on Foreign Relations Editor, Peter G. 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Box 324, Congers, NY 10920 µ¬¥££¶: Facebook.com/ForeignA airs ¥¡£²¢£¤: The contents o Foreign A airs are copyrighted. No part o the magazine may be reproduced, hosted or distributed in any form or by any means without prior written permission from Foreign A airs. To obtain permission, visit ForeignA airs.com/permissions Foreign A airs is a member o the Alliance for Audited Media and the Association o Magazine Media. GST Number 127686483RT Canada Post Customer #4015177 Publication #40035310 FA.indb 6 5/17/19 6:40 PM CONTRIBUTORS One o the United States’ foremost foreign policy experts, FAREED ZAKARIA is the host o CNN’s Fareed Zakaria GPS, where he has interviewed a wide variety o world leaders, from Barack Obama to Vladimir Putin. A columnist for The Washington Post (and a former editor at Foreign A airs), Zakaria is also the author o several best-selling books, including The Post-American World. In “The Self-Destruction o American Power” (page 10), he argues that American hegemony’s death was self-inicted, the result o Washington’s bad habits and bad behavior. As a Ph.D. student at the University o Cambridge, GILLIAN TETT spent a year living in a remote mountain village in Tajikistan studying marriage rituals and looking after goats. She then used her anthropological back- ground in her work as a nancial journalist, warning o the dangers in the system before the crisis o 2008. Now American editor-at-large for the Financial Times, in “Faith-Based Finance” (page 34), Tett argues that to avoid another crisis, we need to make sure that the nancial system is the servant o the broader economy rather than its master. ANDREW NATHAN has devoted his career to studying Chinese politics, Chinese foreign policy, and international human rights. In 2001, Nathan, a professor at Columbia University, co-edited a sensational inside account o the decisions that led to the 1989 Tiananmen Square massacre. In “The New Tiananmen Papers” (page 80), Nathan reveals previously unpublished documents that shed new light on a moment that came to dene modern China. When JESSICA CHEN WEISS returned from studying abroad in Beijing while an undergraduate at Stanford, she was struck by how badly Americans and Chinese understood each other, and she founded a student exchange program to help bridge the gap. Since receiving her Ph.D. from the University o California, San Diego, she has held academic positions at Princeton and Yale, and she is now a professor at Cornell. In “A World Safe for Autocracy?” (page 92), Weiss argues that China’s actions are making the world safer for autocracies. 02_TOC_Blues.indd 7 5/20/19 3:31 PM Buy CSS Books https://cssbooks.net WHAT HAPPENED TO THE AMERICAN CENTURY? generation ago, the United Dani Rodrik and Gillian Tett assess States was condently leading Washington’s management o global- A the world into what was sup- ization and nance, respectively. The posed to be a new millennium o peace, apotheosis o neoliberalism and the prosperity, freedom, and community. push for hyperglobalization produced Now, the globe is heading into turbulence, greater economic integration between and the United States is a Leonard countries but also political disintegra- Cohen song; that’s how it goes, and tion within them—and thus led to a everybody knows. How could things fall populist backlash. The culture o apart so quickly? American nance, meanwhile, colonized In retrospect, the decline appears the world and then dragged it into inevitable. What seems to need explaining crisis—and it will do so again, unless today are Washington’s n-de-siècle the nancial system becomes the fever dreams o lasting benign U.S. servant o the broader economy rather hegemony, not the current reality o than its master. perpetual conict at home and abroad. Jacob Hacker and Paul Pierson turn But those who lived through the era their focus inward, examining Washing- know that nothing was written, that ton’s declining capacity to use govern- history could have played out di er- ment to provide broad public goods. ently. So we decided to o er an autopsy They call out not just rising inequality, o the last decades o American global changing demographics, and regional leadership—the years when U.S. elites economic divergence but also changes in squandered the inheritance and good the Republican Party and its agenda. name bequeathed to them. Julia Azari looks at domestic dysfunc- Fareed Zakaria starts by tracing the tion, too, but spreads the blame further, course o the United States’ post–Cold arguing that today’s problems stem from War hegemony—rising from the fall o earlier bungled, incomplete reforms that the Berlin Wall to the fall o Baghdad, produced a democracy at once broadly sinking ever since. External shocks and inclusive and utterly ine ective. challenges hurt, poor strategic choices In the early 1990s, the era o Ameri- hurt even more, and indi erence most can postwar dominance segued into an o all. Larry Diamond follows with a era o American post–Cold War look at trends in democratization, dominance.