South West Scotland Transport Study Initial Appraisal: Case for Change June 2019 DRAFT Report Project Number: 60587020 South West Scotland Transport Study Initial Appraisal: Case for Change Quality information Prepared by Checked by Verified by Approved by David Mayne, Rachel Richie Fraser Andrew Diansangu Neil Halket Thomas, Emily Seaman, Scott Leitham Revision History Revision Revision date Details Authorized Name Position v.0 31/05/2019 Initial client comments RF Richie Fraser Associate Director on draft report v.1 25/06/2019 Final client comments RF Richie Fraser Associate Director on draft report Distribution List # Hard Copies PDF Required Association / Company Name Prepared for: Transport Scotland Buchanan House 158 Port Dundas Road Glasgow G4 0HT Prepared by: AECOM Limited Peter Brett Associates (now part of Stantec) 1 Tanfield 3rd Floor, Randolph House, 4 Charlotte Lane Edinburgh EH3 5DA Edinburgh EH2 4QZ United Kingdom United Kingdom T: +44 131 301 8600 aecom.com © AECOM Limited. 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AECOM South West Scotland Transport Study Initial Appraisal: Case for Change Table of Contents 1 Introduction ...................................................................................................... 8 1.1 Overview ................................................................................................................................................... 8 1.2 Approach .................................................................................................................................................. 8 1.3 Structure of Report ................................................................................................................................. 10 2 Background & Context ................................................................................... 12 2.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................. 12 2.2 Study Area .............................................................................................................................................. 12 2.3 Policy Context ......................................................................................................................................... 13 2.4 Summary ................................................................................................................................................ 14 3 Baseline Review ............................................................................................ 16 3.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................. 16 3.2 Transport Context ................................................................................................................................... 16 3.3 Socio-Economic Context ......................................................................................................................... 40 3.4 Environmental Context............................................................................................................................ 43 3.5 Summary ................................................................................................................................................ 44 4 Public & Stakeholder Engagement ................................................................ 46 4.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................. 46 4.2 Key Findings ........................................................................................................................................... 46 5 Problems & Opportunities .............................................................................. 50 5.1 Overview ................................................................................................................................................. 50 5.2 Road Network Based Problems .............................................................................................................. 50 5.3 Rail Network Specific Problems .............................................................................................................. 63 5.4 Bus Network Specific Problems .............................................................................................................. 83 5.5 Bus / Rail Network Based Problems ....................................................................................................... 99 5.6 Active Travel Specific Problems ............................................................................................................ 103 5.7 Problem and Theme Alignment ............................................................................................................. 106 5.8 Economic and Social Impacts ................................................................................................................ 111 5.9 Opportunities ........................................................................................................................................ 116 5.10 Summary .............................................................................................................................................. 117 6 Transport Planning Objectives ...................................................................... 119 6.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................................................... 119 6.2 TPO Development ................................................................................................................................ 119 6.3 Summary .............................................................................................................................................. 120 7 Option Generation, Sifting & Development .................................................. 123 7.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................................................... 123 7.2 Do Minimum .......................................................................................................................................... 123 7.3 Overview of Approach ........................................................................................................................... 123 7.4 Option Generation ................................................................................................................................ 124 7.5 Initial Option Sifting ............................................................................................................................... 124 7.6 Option Development ............................................................................................................................. 125 7.7 Option Appraisal ................................................................................................................................... 127 7.8 Option Packaging ................................................................................................................................. 141 7.9 Summary .............................................................................................................................................. 143 8 Summary and Next Steps ............................................................................ 145 8.1 Summary .............................................................................................................................................. 145 8.2 Next Steps ............................................................................................................................................ 146 AECOM South West Scotland Transport Study Initial Appraisal: Case for Change Figures Figure 1-1: Study Approach .................................................................................................................................... 9 Figure 2-1: Study Area .......................................................................................................................................... 12 Figure 2-2: Strategy and Policy Overview ............................................................................................................. 13 Figure 3-1: Origin-Destination of Trips recorded amongst those traveling Westbound from Great Britain to the island of Ireland ..................................................................................................................................................... 17 Figure 3-2: Origin Destinations for Car Passengers (left image) and Goods Vehicles (right image) between Great Britain and the Isle of Ireland ................................................................................................................................ 18 Figure 3-3: Dumfries SGVC Industry Type