Calaveras Transit Intercity Service Feasibility Study Final Prepared for Calaveras Council of Governments Prepared by LSC Transportation Consultants, Inc. TRANSPORTATION CONSULTANTS, INC. Calaveras Transit Intercity Service Feasibility Study Final Prepared for the: Calaveras Council of Govvernments 891 Mountain Ranch Road San Andreas, CA 95249 209 754-2094 Prepared by: LSC Transportation Consultants, Inc. 2690 Lake Forest Road, Suite C P.O. Box 5875 Tahoe City, California 530 583-4053 May 5, 2014 TABLE OF CONTENTS Chapter Page 1 Introduction ........................................................................................................... 1 2 Existing Transit Service ........................................................................................ 3 Study Area .......................................................................................................... 3 Existing Transit Service Providers .......................................................................... 3 3 Intercity Transit Demand .....................................................................................21 Population Characteristics ....................................................................................21 Commute Patterns ..............................................................................................23 Unmet Transit Need ............................................................................................26 Human Service Agency Demand ..........................................................................27 College Student Demand .....................................................................................30 Peer Intercity Transit Demand .............................................................................32 TCRP Demand Estimation Techniques ..................................................................33 Calaveras County Travel Demand Transcad Model ................................................34 Community Phone Survey ...................................................................................36 Survey Findings ..................................................................................................36 Summary of Demand for Calaveras Intercity Transit Services ................................49 4 Intercity Service Alternatives ..............................................................................51 Funding ..............................................................................................................51 Stockton .............................................................................................................54 Lodi Intercity Service – FTA 5311(f) .....................................................................61 Improve Connections to Jackson, Sutter Hill, and Sacramento ...............................63 Direct Service to Sonora – NON FTA 5311(f) ........................................................65 Intercity Connections in Modesto .........................................................................65 Joint Intercity Service with Tuolumne County Transit – FTA 5311(f) .......................66 Service Alternative Performance Analysis ..............................................................69 5 Intercity Service Plan Recommendations ...........................................................73 Service Plan ........................................................................................................73 Capital Plan ........................................................................................................78 Financial Plan .....................................................................................................79 Implementation Plan ...........................................................................................81 APPENDIX A—Public Workshops APPENDIX B—Calaveras Phone Survey APPENDIX C—Calaveras Transit Riders Survey Calaveras Transit Intercity Service Feasibility Study LSC Transportation Consultants, Inc. Page i LIST OF TABLES Table Page 1 Calaveras Transit Historical Operating Statistics .......................................................... 7 2 Calaveras Transit Ridership by Month ......................................................................... 8 3 Calaveras Transit Revenues ....................................................................................... 8 4 Calaveras Transit Fiscal Year 2012-2013 Operating Expenses and Allocation ................. 9 5 Calaveras Transit Operating Data and Performance Indicators ....................................11 6 Calaveras County Population Characteristics...............................................................22 7 Calaveras County Commute Patterns--2011 ...............................................................23 8 Potential Intercity Transit Demand from Human Resource Agencies ............................31 9 Peer Intercity Transit Services Ridership Demand .......................................................32 10 Calaveras County Daily Vehicle Trips Origin/Destination ..............................................35 11 Community Survey Background Questions .................................................................37 12 Community Survey Response Trip Patterns —Where Do You Go For Doctors Appointments ..........................................................43 13 Community Response Trip Patterns —Where Do You Go For Food Shopping? ...................................................................43 14 Community Response Trip Patterns —Where Do You Go For Other Shopping? ..................................................................44 15 Community Response Trip Patterns —Where Do You Go For Banking? .............................................................................44 16 How Many Times a Week Do You Travel to the Following Locations? ...........................45 17 What Day of the Week Do You Travel to the Following Locations ................................45 18 What Time of Day Do You Travel To the Following Locations ......................................45 19 Trip Purpose For the Following Locations ...................................................................46 20 How Many Stops Do You Make in The Following Locations? ........................................47 21 Do You Ever Stay Overnight at the Following Locations ..............................................47 22 Would You Ride Public Transit To? ............................................................................48 23 What Has Prevented You or Your Household from Using Transit Service? ....................48 24 Calaveras Transit Intercity Service Alternatives ..........................................................53 25 Existing Stockton Intercity Service Times ...................................................................55 26 Stockton Intercity Schedule Alternatives ....................................................................57 27 Existing Lodi Intercity Service Times ..........................................................................62 28 Existing Modesto Intercity Service Times ...................................................................67 29 Service Alternatives Performance Analysis ..................................................................69 30 Calaveras Transit Plan Elements ................................................................................74 31 Recommended Stockton Intercity Service Schedule ....................................................74 32 Calaveras Intercity Service Financial Plan ...................................................................80 LSC Transportation Consultants, Inc. Calaveras Transit Intercity Service Feasibility Study Page ii LIST OF FIGURES Figure Page 1 Calaveras Intercity Transit Study Site and Location Map .............................................. 4 2 Calaveras Transit Bus Routes ..................................................................................... 5 3 Calaveras Transit FY 2012-13 Ridership by Month ....................................................... 7 4 Calaveras County Intercity Transit Activity Center ......................................................18 5 Where Calaveras County Residents Work ...................................................................24 6 Where Calaveras County Workers Live .......................................................................25 7 Where Do You Go For Doctor Appointments? .............................................................38 8 Where Do You Go For Banking? ................................................................................38 9 Where Do You Go For Food Shopping? ......................................................................39 10 Where Do You Go For Other Shopping? .....................................................................39 11 Where Do You Go to the Airport? ..............................................................................39 12 Where Do You Access Amtrak? .................................................................................40 13 Where Do You Access Greyhound? ............................................................................40 14 Where Calaveras County Residents Go For Shopping, Medical Appointments Banking and Intercity Transportation .......................................................................42 15 Calaveras Intercity Transit Service Alternatives ..........................................................52 16 Passenger Trips