Lorain County Transit Redevelopment Plan a TLCI Study Sponsored by Lorain County May 2018 Table of Contents 1. Introduction ..............................................................................................................................................................................................1 2. Background ...............................................................................................................................................................................................2 2.1 Project Objective and Goals ................................................................................................................................................................................. 3 3. Existing Conditions ....................................................................................................................................................................................4 3.1 Demographic and Socioeconomic Trends ............................................................................................................................................................ 4 3.2 Existing Transit Service and Riders ..................................................................................................................................................................... 16 3.3 Governance, Financial Status and Fare Policy .................................................................................................................................................... 23 4. Potential Transit Markets and Opportunities ............................................................................................................................................30 4.1 Trip Generators .................................................................................................................................................................................................. 31 4.2 Journey-to-Work Trends .................................................................................................................................................................................... 32 4.3 2013 On-Board Passenger Survey ...................................................................................................................................................................... 36 4.4 2017 On-Board Passenger Count ....................................................................................................................................................................... 38 4.5 Park-and-Ride Market Analysis - Overview ........................................................................................................................................................ 44 4.6 LCT Park-and-Ride Market ................................................................................................................................................................................. 45 4.7 Lorain Vehicles Parked at RTA Park-and-Ride Lots ............................................................................................................................................ 47 5. Peer Comparison .....................................................................................................................................................................................73 6. Summary of Existing Conditions and Peer Comparisons ............................................................................................................................ 81 7. Recommendations ..................................................................................................................................................................................83 7.1 Passenger Fares .................................................................................................................................................................................................. 83 7.2 Fixed Route Service and Dial-A-Ride Service Changes ....................................................................................................................................... 85 7.3 Short-Term Expansion ........................................................................................................................................................................................ 96 7.4 Long-Term Expansion ......................................................................................................................................................................................... 97 Lorain County Transit i Redevelopment Plan 7.5 Other Recommendations ................................................................................................................................................................................. 103 7.6 Cost Summary .................................................................................................................................................................................................. 106 7.7 Potential Funding Sources ................................................................................................................................................................................ 108 8. Public Comments................................................................................................................................................................................... 109 Lorain County Transit ii Redevelopment Plan List of Tables Table 1: Ridership and Route Productivity by Route ................................................................................................................................................... 22 Table 2: Lorain County Transit Revenues 2016-2017 (Year of Acquisition Dollars) .................................................................................................... 24 Table 3: Lorain County Transit Operating Expenditures 2016-2017 (Year of Expenditure Dollars) ............................................................................ 26 Table 4: Lorain County Transit Capital Expenditures 2016-2017 (Year of Expenditure Dollars) ................................................................................. 27 Table 5: Current LCT Fares ........................................................................................................................................................................................... 28 Table 6: Current Fares of LCT and other Northeast Ohio Peer Transit Agencies......................................................................................................... 29 Table 7: Lorain County Vehicles at Westlake Park-and-Ride, October 31-November 2, 2017 .................................................................................... 51 Table 8: Lorain County Vehicles at Clague Park-and-Ride, October 31-November 2, 2017 ........................................................................................ 55 Table 9: Lorain County Vehicles at North Olmsted Park-and-Ride, October 31-November 2, 2017 ........................................................................... 57 Table 10: Lorain County Vehicles at Strongsville Park-and-Ride, October 31-November 2, 2017 .............................................................................. 59 Table 11: Peer Agencies Serving Similar Sized Counties .............................................................................................................................................. 74 Table 12: Peer Agencies Serving Similar Sized Urban Counties ................................................................................................................................... 74 Table 13: Existing and Proposed Fare Structure .......................................................................................................................................................... 84 Table 14: Annual Operating Costs and Vehicle Requirements for Recommendations ............................................................................................. 107 Lorain County Transit iii Redevelopment Plan List of Figures Figure 1: Population Change (2000-2010) ..................................................................................................................................................................... 5 Figure 2: Population Change (2010-2015) ..................................................................................................................................................................... 6 Figure 3: Population Density (2015) .............................................................................................................................................................................. 7 Figure 4: Employment Change (2006-2010) .................................................................................................................................................................. 8 Figure 5: Employment Change (2010-2014) .................................................................................................................................................................. 9 Figure 6: Employment Density (2014) ......................................................................................................................................................................... 10 Figure 7: Unemployed Population ..............................................................................................................................................................................