As of July 19, 2018 SILVAPLANA 2018 27th Workshop on Political Economy The Silvaplana political economy group with the sponsorship of European Journal of Political Economy (Elsevier) Friday/Saturday July 20/21 optional arrival, but requested for long-distance travelers Sunday 14.15 pm July 22 – Thursday 12.30 pm July 26 2018 Sporthotel, Pontresina, Switzerland Via Maistra 145 CH - 7504 Pontresina T +41 81 838 94 00 [email protected] www.sporthotel.ch Organizers Arye L. Hillman, Bar-Ilan University Heinrich W. Ursprung, University of Konstanz Program committee Toke Aidt, University of Cambridge Carsten Hefeker, University of Siegen François Facchini, Université Paris 1, Panthéon-Sorbonne Pierre-Guillaume Méon, Université libre de Bruxelles Niklas Potrafke, Univerrsity of Munich and Ifo Institute Elena Seghezza, University of Genoa Jan-Egbert Sturm, KOF, ETH Zurich Conference coordinator Iris Mann, University of Konstanz [email protected] Program p. 2 Participants p. 11 Rules of the workshop p. 12 Notes p 13 Travel information p. 14 S I L V A P L A N A 2 0 1 8 W ORK S H O P O N P O L I T I C A L E CONOM Y SATURDAY JULY 21 19.30 pm – dinner at the hotel (separate section in the dining room) -------------------------------------------- SUNDAY JULY 22 7.15 am – breakfast at the hotel (separate section for workshop participants) 8.45 am – 12.00 noon – mountain walk (meet in lobby) --------------------------------------------- Session 1.1 Chair, Istvan Abel 14.15 pm (1) Markus Brückner Local Autonomy and Government Spending Multipliers: Evidence from European Regions Discussion openers: Sun-Mi Lee, Jan-Egbert Sturm 14.45 pm (2) Jerg Gutmann Is Judicial Independence Good for Business? Discussion openers: Andreas Fabritius, Irina Levina 15.15 pm (3) Daryna Grechyna Properties and Drivers of Political Polarization: Evidence from the UK Discussion openers: James Rockey, Toke Aidt Coffee break: 15.45 pm - 16.15 pm 2 S I L V A P L A N A 2 0 1 8 W ORK S H O P O N P O L I T I C A L E CONOM Y Session 1.2 Chair, Jan-Egbert Sturm 16.15 pm (4) Vera Eichenauer The Economic and Political Consequences of Regional Autonomy: Evidence from the Swiss Canton of Jura Discussion openers: Markus Brückner, Christoph Schaltegger 16.45 pm (5) Martin Gassebner Conflict escalation, civil wars and the composition of the military Discussion openers: Raul Caruso, Niklas Potrafke 17.15 pm (6) Martin Mosler The Pleasure of Destruction Revealing Antisocial Preferences of Party Supporters and Military Personnel in an Experimental Setting Discussion openers: Jan Falkowski, Daryna Grechyna 17.45 pm (7) Klaus Gründler Culture, Diversity, and the Welfare State Discussion openers: Daniele Girardi, Hien Thuc Pham 18.15 end 19.30 pm – DINNER After dinner session 1.3 Chair, Carsten Hefeker 20.45 pm (8) Panu Poutvaara Preferences for Redistribution and International Migration Discussion openers: Kai Gehring, Martin Gassebner 21.30 pm END 3 S I L V A P L A N A 2 0 1 8 W ORK S H O P O N P O L I T I C A L E CONOM Y MONDAY JULY 23 7.00 am – BREAKFAST Session 2.1 Chair, Wilfred Ethier 8.10 am (9) Daniele Girardi Political shocks and financial markets: Regression-discontinuity evidence from national elections Discussion openers: Carsten Hefeker, Jacek Rothert 8.40 am (10) Pierre-Guillaume Méon Democratic dynasties against autocratic reversals: the case of France’s 1940 enabling act Discussion openers: Francois Facchini, Tommy Krieger 9.10 am (11) Tommy Krieger Political institutions and property rights Discussion openers: Jan-Egbert Sturm, Jamus Lim Coffee break 9.40 – 10.00 am Session 2.2 Chair, Martin Gassebner 10.00 am (12) Raul Caruso Military expenditures and Income Inequality Evidence from a Panel of Transition Countries Discussion openers: Johannes Blum, Klaus Gründler 10.30 am (13) Niklas Potrafke Election systems and the Beauty Premium in Politics Discussion openers: Pierre-Guillaume Méon, Panu Poutvaara 11.00 am (14) Anna Maria Koukal Chance or threat? Effects of non-citizens voting rights on natives’ attitudes towards immigrants Discussion openers: Panu Poutvaara, Stefanie Gäbler 11.30 am (15) Marek Endrich & Jerg Gutmann Pacem in Terris: Are Papal Visits Good News for Human Rights? Discussion openers: Mario Ferrero, Anna Maria Koukal 12.00 END 4 S I L V A P L A N A 2 0 1 8 W ORK S H O P O N P O L I T I C A L E CONOM Y AFTERNOON PROGRAM • Option 1 12.15 pm MEET OUTSIDE HOTEL for hiking • Option 2 14.00 pm OPTIONAL SPECIAL AFTERNOON SESSION (may also take place on another day) Chair, Arye Hillman presentations by Mario Ferrero, Idit Sohlberg, Debora Di Gioacchino 19.00 pm – DINNER After dinner session 2.3 Chair, Istvan Abel 20.45 pm (16) Toke Aidt Franchise extension and redistribution: evidence from the United Kingdom 1820-1913 Discussion openers: Moritz Janas, Klaus Gründler 21.30 pm END 5 S I L V A P L A N A 2 0 1 8 W ORK S H O P O N P O L I T I C A L E CONOM Y TUESDAY JULY 24 7.00 am – BREAKFAST Session 3.1 Chair, Elena Seghezza 8.10 am (17) Johannes Blum Does change of government influence compliance with international treaties? Empirical evidence for the NATO 2%-target Discussion openers: Martin Gassebner, Raul Caruso 8.40 am (18) Stefanie Gäbler The effects of direct elections on public services and spatial inequalities – Quasi-experimental evidence from Germany Discussion openers: Vera Eichenauer, Johannes Rode 9.10 am (19) James Rockey Power and the money, money and the power: A network analysis of donations from American corporate to political leaders Discussion openers: Phoebe Ishak, Kai Gehring Coffee break 9.40 – 10.00 am Session 3.2 Chair: Carsten Hefeker 10.00 am (20) Irina Levina Decentralization of firms in a country with weak institutions: Evidence from Russia Discussion openers: Jerg Gutmann, Carsten Hefeker 10.30 pm (21) Christoph Schaltegger The Initiative, the Referendum and the Distribution of Income: an Empirical Analysis for Swiss Cantons Discussion openers: Su-Min Lee, Vera Eichenauer 11.00 pm (22) Jan Falkowski Does social mobilisation matter? The impact of civic engagement with monitoring the 2015 presidential elections in Poland Discussion openers: Daryna Grechyna, Monika Köppl-Turyna 11.30 END 6 S I L V A P L A N A 2 0 1 8 W ORK S H O P O N P O L I T I C A L E CONOM Y 12.00 pm MEET OUTSIDE HOTEL 19.00 pm – DINNER After dinner session 3.3 Chair, François Facchini 20.45 pm (23) Arye Hillman The Political Economy of Public Finance and Public Policy Discussion openers: Frank Bohn, Elena Seghezza 21.30 pm END 7 S I L V A P L A N A 2 0 1 8 W ORK S H O P O N P O L I T I C A L E CONOM Y WEDNESDAY JULY 25 7.00 am – BREAKFAST Session 4.1 Chair, Pierre-Guillaume Méon 8.10 am (24) Elena Seghezza A political economy approach to German hyperinflation Discussion openers: Peter Bernholz, Debora Di Gioacchino 8.40 am (25) Mor Zahavi Locational Choice and Immigrants’ Skills Discussion openers: Zurab Abramishvili, Markus Mosler 9.10 am (26) Phoebe W. Ishak Autocratic survival in oil Abundant countries: Does oil make a difference? Discussion openers: Johannes Rode, Jan Falkowski Coffee break 9.40 – 10.00 am Session 4.2 Chair, Toke Aidt 10.00 am (27) Zurab Abramishvili Political and Merit-based Selection: Evidence from a Natural Experiment in Education Discussion openers: Nadia Zakir, Johannes Blum 10.30 am (28) Moritz Janas Delegation to a group Discussion openers: James Rockey, Monika Köppl-Turyna 11.00 am (29) Francois Facchini Environmental promises and the dynamic of government spending on environment Discussion openers: Arye Hillman, Moritz Janas 11.30 pm END 8 S I L V A P L A N A 2 0 1 8 W ORK S H O P O N P O L I T I C A L E CONOM Y 12.00 pm MEET OUTSIDE HOTEL 19.00 pm – DINNER After dinner session 4.3 Chair, Jan-Egbert Sturm 20.45 pm (30) Monika Köppl-Turyna Public sector efficiency in Europe: Long-run trends, recent developments and determinants Discussion openers: Jamus Lim, Niklas Potrafke 21.30 END 9 S I L V A P L A N A 2 0 1 8 W ORK S H O P O N P O L I T I C A L E CONOM Y THURSDAY JULY 26 7.00 am – BREAKFAST Session 5.1 Chair, Heinrich Ursprung 8.10 am (31) Johannes Rode From Green Users to Green Voters Discussion openers: Markus Mosler, Andreas Fabritius 8.40 am (32) Hien Thuc Pham Culture and fiscal response to business cycles Discussion openers: Marek Endrich, Daniele Girardi 9.10 am (33) Su-Min Lee Top-Down or Bottom-Up? The Impact of Elections on Spending Allocations in US State Legislatures Discussion openers: Stefanie Gäbler, Anna Maria Koukal Coffee break 9.40 – 10.00 am Session 5.2 Chair: Arye Hillman 10.00 am (34) Kai Gehring Aid and conflict at the sub-national level - Evidence from World Bank and Chinese development projects in Africa Discussion openers: Pierre Guillaume Mèon, Jerg Gutmann 10.30 am (35) Jacek Rothert Institutions, Volatility, and Growth: Quantitative Theory of Bad Governments Discussion openers: Frank Bohn, Marcus Brückner 11.00 am (36) Frank Bohn Elections, Recession Expectations and Excessive Debt: An Unholy Trinity Discussion openers: Toke Aidt, Jacek Rothert 11.30 am (37) Jamus Lim Human Capital Destruction and Economic Performance: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from China's Cultural Revolution Discussion openers: Irina Levina, Hien Thuc Pham 12.00 pm CONCLUDING REMARKS 10 S I L V A P L A N A 2 0 1 8 W ORK S H O P O N P O L I T I C A L E CONOM Y 12.30 END PARTICIPANTS 1.