Chicago Mayoral Poll Date: September 4, 2018 | Type: Hybrid | Responses: 1,128 | Margin of Error: ±3% As you may know, Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel today announced that he will not seek re-election, so the City will elect a new mayor next year. We'd like to which, if any, of the following candidates you would most likely support for mayor next year. % Bill Daley 1.8% Chuy Garcia 3.9% Valerie Jarrett 6.6% Jerry Joyce 3.2% Lori Lightfoot 9.6% Garry McCarthy 16.8% Susana Mendoza 1.4% Rick Munoz 1.4% Toni Preckwinkle 4.6% Paul Vallas 10.1% Willie Wilson 15.1% Other candidate 8.7% Undecided 16.8% NET 100.0% In general, do you approve, or disapprove of the job Mayor Emanuel has done since taking office? % Approve 43.1% Disapprove 42.0% No opinion/Neutral 14.9% Would be more likely, or less likely to support a candidate if he or she were hand- picked by Mayor Emanuel as his successor? % More likely to support 21.5% Less likely to support 45.4% No difference 33.2% CROSSTABS Choice for mayor by GENDER Column % Female Male NET Bill Daley 2% 1% 2% Chuy Garcia 4% 4% 4% Valerie Jarrett 8% 3% 7% Jerry Joyce 3% 3% 3% Lori Lightfoot 10% 9% 10% Garry McCarthy 17% 17% 17% Susana Mendoza 2% 1% 1% Rick Munoz 1% 2% 1% Toni Preckwinkle 4% 5% 5% Paul Vallas 9% 13% 10% Willie Wilson 15% 15% 15% Other candidate 9% 8% 9% Undecided 16% 18% 17% NET 100% 100% 100% Choice for Mayor by ETHNIC ORIGIN African Other/ Column % Asian Hispanic White NET American Refused Bill Daley 0% 0% 0% 0% 4% 2% Chuy Garcia 2% 0% 14% 2% 5% 4% Valerie Jarrett 9% 0% 0% 10% 5% 7% Jerry Joyce 5% 10% 0% 2% 2% 3% Lori Lightfoot 10% 5% 0% 12% 10% 10% Garry McCarthy 9% 14% 25% 10% 26% 17% Susana Mendoza 1% 0% 7% 0% 1% 1% Rick Munoz 0% 0% 18% 0% 1% 1% Toni Preckwinkle 4% 5% 0% 5% 6% 5% Paul Vallas 5% 10% 18% 3% 16% 10% Willie Wilson 30% 24% 7% 12% 2% 15% Other candidate 9% 10% 0% 17% 8% 9% Undecided 16% 24% 11% 28% 15% 17% NET 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Choice for Mayor by AGE BRACKET Column % 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Bill Daley 0% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% Chuy Garcia 0% 6% 3% 6% 3% 5% Valerie Jarrett 5% 9% 7% 7% 6% 6% Jerry Joyce 5% 2% 6% 4% 4% 1% Lori Lightfoot 30% 11% 7% 9% 10% 7% Garry McCarthy 20% 15% 15% 10% 23% 14% Susana Mendoza 10% 2% 3% 0% 1% 1% Rick Munoz 0% 4% 0% 1% 2% 1% Toni Preckwinkle 5% 2% 6% 6% 2% 7% Paul Vallas 10% 9% 9% 9% 7% 15% Willie Wilson 10% 17% 13% 17% 14% 16% Other candidate 5% 6% 6% 9% 9% 11% Undecided 0% 13% 21% 20% 17% 17% NET 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Emanuel Job Approval by GENDER Column % Female Male NET Approve 43% 44% 43% Disapprove 43% 41% 42% No opinion/Neutral 15% 15% 15% Emanuel Job Approval by ETHNIC ORIGIN African Other/ Column % Asian Hispanic White NET American Refused Approve 44% 43% 29% 30% 48% 43% Disapprove 40% 38% 50% 52% 40% 42% No opinion/Neutral 16% 19% 21% 18% 12% 15% NET 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Emanuel Job Approval by AGE BRACKET Column % 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Approve 35% 45% 36% 41% 42% 48% Disapprove 50% 38% 46% 46% 46% 35% No opinion/Neutral 15% 17% 18% 13% 13% 16% NET 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Support Hand-Picked Successor by GENDER Column % Female Male NET More likely to support 21% 23% 21% Less likely to support 45% 47% 45% No difference 34% 30% 33% NET 100% 100% 100% Support Hand-Picked Successor by ETHNIC ORIGIN African Other/ Column % Asian Hispanic White NET American Refused More likely to support 25% 24% 18% 8% 22% 21% Less likely to support 42% 43% 57% 52% 46% 45% No difference 33% 33% 25% 40% 32% 33% NET 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Support Hand-Picked Successor by AGE BRACKET Column % 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ More likely to support 25% 19% 18% 23% 23% 21% Less likely to support 55% 51% 40% 43% 47% 44% No difference 20% 30% 42% 34% 30% 35% NET 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Methodology This poll was conducted on September 4, 2018 using both automated (recorded) and live operator- initiated calls. In all, 1,128 participants from likely voting households completed all questions on the poll. The voters dialed were randomly selected from a proprietary registered-voter database of to assure the greatest chance of providing an accurate cross-section of opinion from the city-wide sample. Our sampling methodology ensures that We Ask America poll results are “projectable,” meaning that if everyresident in a given geography were dialed, the results would not differ from the reported poll results by more than the stated margin of error at a 95% confidence level (the industry standard), if the same survey was repeated. For this case, results with a margin of error of ±3% at the 95% confidence level means that if the same survey were conducted 100 times, 95 times out of 100 the results would not vary in either direction by more than 3% in either direction. .