Page 1 Scottish Public Attitudes & Opinion Monitor - Wave 15 Table 1 Q.7/8a/b/c SP_vote1a/2b/3c COMBINED VOTING INTENTION - SCOTTISH PARLIAMENT ELECTION (Holyrood) Q.7/8a/b SP_vote1a/2b In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes. Your first vote is for a member to represent the constituency. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your first vote? Would you vote......? Q.7/8c SP_vote3c Which party are you most inclined to support? Base : All CERTAIN TO VOTE Total Employment status Children in Unweigh (Weight AGE of respondent Home ownership household Sector ted ed) Gender Q2c/Q2cr (Q.4) (DEM2) (DEM5) (PSEC) Total Private Working Working Owner Rent /Self- 55 or (full (part- Not occup council Rented empl Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-54 more time) time) working Retired ied /HAT private Yes No -oyed Public All (x) (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) (f) (g) (h) (i) (j) (k) (l) (m) (n) (o) (p) (q) Unweighted Total 658 285 373 31 104 239 278 289 84 72 197 499 77 59 165 493 188 150 658 Weighted Total 639 305 335 34** 97* 235 268 262 72* 93* 198 451 132* 47* 162 478 205 91 658 TOTAL VOTING (net, base) 597 286 311 32** 87* 219 255 242 65* 90* 188 416 129* 43* 149 447 188 86 611 Scottish Conservative 92 42 50 - 7 32 50 41 14 3 33 83 5 3 18 74 44 8 102 and Unionist Party 15%ilq 15% 16% - 9% 15% 19%xd 17%i 22%i 3% 18%i 20%xlm 4% 6% 12% 17% 23%xq 9% 17% Scottish Labour 202 87 115 15 35 59 92 74 16 33 75 125 62 13 51 151 53 29 192 34%ek 30% 37% 47% 40%e 27% 36%e 30% 24% 37% 40%h 30% 48%xk 30% 34% 34% 28% 34% 31% Scottish Liberal 43 12 31 3 8 19 13 20 7 7 8 35 4 3 14 29 16 6 49 Democrat 7%a 4% 10%xa 9% 10% 9% 5% 8% 11% 7% 4% 8%x 3% 8% 9% 7% 9% 7% 8% Scottish National Party 221 125 96 11 30 93 86 88 21 42 64 143 52 20 56 164 59 34 225 (SNP) 37%bk 44%xb 31% 33% 35% 43%x 34% 37% 32% 47% 34% 34% 40% 47% 38% 37% 31% 39% 37% Scottish Trade Unionist 1 - 1 - 1 - - 1 - - - 1 - - - 1 - 1 1 and Socialist Coalition/ * - * - 1% - - * - - - * - - - * - 1%x * Solidarity Scottish Socialist Party 2 1 * - - 1 * 2 - - - 2 - - 1 * 1 * 2 * * * - - 1% * 1% - - - * - - 1% * 1% * * Scottish Green Party 17 9 8 3 - 8 7 7 4 3 3 12 3 3 4 13 8 2 18 3% 3% 3% 8% - 3% 3% 3% 6% 3% 2% 3% 2% 6% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% UK Independence Party 8 4 4 - 1 2 5 2 3 - 3 6 2 1 - 8 3 1 9 (UKIP) 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 2% 1% 4%xg - 1% 1% 1% 2% - 2% 1% 2% 1% British National Party 1 - 1 1 - - - 1 - - - 1 - - - 1 - 1 1 (BNP) * - * 3% - - - * - - - * - - - * - 1%x * Independent candidate 9 5 4 - 4 4 1 5 1 2 1 8 1 - 5 4 4 1 10 2% 2% 1% - 5%xf 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% - 3% 1% 2% 2% 2% Christian Democrats - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Scottish Christian Party - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Fieldwork dates : 29th April to 5th May 2013 Respondent Type : General public J13-026680-01 Weighted. All fieldwork. Coded. Suppression and ranking applied. Source : Ipsos MORI *=Less than 0.5 % Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - x/a/b - x/c/d/e/f - x/g/h/i/j - x/k/l/m - x/n/o - x/p/q * small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing Page 2 Scottish Public Attitudes & Opinion Monitor - Wave 15 Table 1 Q.7/8a/b/c SP_vote1a/2b/3c COMBINED VOTING INTENTION - SCOTTISH PARLIAMENT ELECTION (Holyrood) Q.7/8a/b SP_vote1a/2b In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes. Your first vote is for a member to represent the constituency. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your first vote? Would you vote......? Q.7/8c SP_vote3c Which party are you most inclined to support? Base : All CERTAIN TO VOTE Total Employment status Children in Unweigh (Weight AGE of respondent Home ownership household Sector ted ed) Gender Q2c/Q2cr (Q.4) (DEM2) (DEM5) (PSEC) Total Private Working Working Owner Rent /Self- 55 or (full (part- Not occup council Rented empl Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-54 more time) time) working Retired ied /HAT private Yes No -oyed Public All (x) (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) (f) (g) (h) (i) (j) (k) (l) (m) (n) (o) (p) (q) TOTAL VOTING (net, base) 597 286 311 32** 87* 219 255 242 65* 90* 188 416 129* 43* 149 447 188 86 611 Scottish Liberal Party - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - A Christian Party - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Other 1 1 1 - 1 1 - 1 - - - 1 - - 1 1 - 1 2 * * * - 1% * - 1% - - - * - - * * - 1%x * SNP lead over Labour 19 38 -19 -5 -5 34 -6 15 5 9 -11 18 -10 7 5 14 6 5 33 3%dfjl 13%xb -6% -15% -5% 16%xdf -2% 6%xj 8%x 10%x -6% 4%xl -8% 17%xk 3% 3% 3% 5% 5% Undecided/Don't know 36 16 21 1 9 13 11 17 5 3 9 30 3 3 10 26 14 5 40 6% 5% 6% 3% 10%f 5% 4% 6% 8% 3% 4% 7%x 2% 6% 6% 6% 7% 5% 6% Refused 6 3 3 * - 3 2 3 1 - 2 5 - 1 2 4 3 1 7 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% - 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Would not vote - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - None/None of them - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Not stated - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Fieldwork dates : 29th April to 5th May 2013 Respondent Type : General public J13-026680-01 Weighted. All fieldwork. Coded. Suppression and ranking applied. Source : Ipsos MORI *=Less than 0.5 % Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - x/a/b - x/c/d/e/f - x/g/h/i/j - x/k/l/m - x/n/o - x/p/q * small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing Page 3 Scottish Public Attitudes & Opinion Monitor - Wave 15 Table 2 Q.7/8a/b/c SP_vote1a/2b/3c COMBINED VOTING INTENTION - SCOTTISH PARLIAMENT ELECTION (Holyrood) Q.7/8a/b SP_vote1a/2b In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes. Your first vote is for a member to represent the constituency. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your first vote? Would you vote......? Q.7/8c SP_vote3c Which party are you most inclined to support? Base : All CERTAIN TO VOTE Party support Scottish Parliament INDY1 Agree Total Holyrood Scotland should be Unweig (Weigh Affluence of area First vote - constituency an independent hted ted) 20% zones Urban/rural (SP_vote1a/2b/3c, Q7a/b/c) country? Total Scot -tish Con & Union Scot Scot 1 Most 5 Least -ist -tish -tish Undeci deprived 2 3 4 deprived Urban Rural Party Lab LD SNP Other Yes No ded (x) (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) (f) (g) (h) (i) (j) (k) (l) (m) (n) (o) Unweighted Total 658 77 92 135 143 151 435 163 102 192 49 225 43 194 392 72 658 Weighted Total 639 94* 96* 123 129 133 428 147 92* 202 43* 221 39* 195 375 69* 658 TOTAL VOTING (net, base) 597 89* 94* 116 119 123 405 135 92* 202 43* 221 39* 186 352 58* 611 Scottish Conservative 92 2 18 15 18 26 53 26 92 - - - - 3 87 2 102 and Unionist Party 15%afijklmo 2% 20%a 13%a 16%a 21%a 13% 19% 100%xijk - - - - 2% 25%xmo 3% 17% l Scottish Labour 202 33 39 45 35 29 146 35 - 202 - - - 23 163 16 192 34%eghjklm 37% 41%e 39%e 30% 23% 36%g 26% - 100%xhjk - - - 12% 46%xmo 28%m 31% l Scottish Liberal 43 1 4 11 10 15 26 15 - - 43 - - 2 41 1 49 Democrat 7%ahikm 1% 5% 10%a 9%a 13%xa 7% 11%x - - 100%xhik - - 1% 12%xmo 2% 8% l Scottish National Party 221 48 29 38 45 43 155 48 - - - 221 - 147 39 35 225 (SNP) 37%hijln 54%xbcde 32% 33% 38% 35% 38% 36% - - - 100%xhij - 79%xno 11% 59%xn 37% l Scottish Trade Unionist 1 - 1 - - - 1 - - - - - 1 1 - - 1 and Socialist Coalition/ * - 1% - - - * - - - - - 2%xk * - - * Solidarity Scottish Socialist Party 2 - - - 1 * 2 - - - - - 2 1 * - 2 * - - - 1% * * - - - - - 4%xik 1% * - * Scottish Green Party 17 3 1 1 4 7 12 4 - - - - 17 7 7 2 18 3%ik 3% 1% 1% 3% 6%xc 3% 3% - - - - 44%xhij 4% 2% 4% 3% k UK Independence Party 8 2 - 4 2 * 5 3 - - - - 8 2 6 1 9 (UKIP) 1% 3% - 3% 1% * 1% 2% - - - - 21%xhij 1% 2% 1% 1% k Fieldwork dates : 29th April to 5th May 2013 Respondent Type : General public J13-026680-01 Weighted. All fieldwork. Coded. Suppression and ranking applied. Source : Ipsos MORI *=Less than 0.5 % Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - x/a/b/c/d/e - x/f/g - x/h/i/j/k/l - x/m/n/o * small base Page 4 Scottish Public Attitudes & Opinion Monitor - Wave 15 Table 2 Q.7/8a/b/c SP_vote1a/2b/3c COMBINED VOTING INTENTION - SCOTTISH PARLIAMENT ELECTION (Holyrood) Q.7/8a/b SP_vote1a/2b In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes.