WESTERN EL DORADO COUNTY 2019 SHORT- AND LONG-RANGE TRANSIT PLAN Draft Prepared for EL DORADO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION COMMISSION Prepared by LSC Transportation Consultants, Inc. Funded by Caltrans Fiscal year 2018-19, FTA Section 5304 Strategic Partnerships Planning Grant Western El Dorado County Short- and Long-Range Transit Plan Draft Prepared for the El Dorado County Transportation Commission 2828 Easy Street, Suite 1 Placerville, California 95667 (530) 642-5262 And the El Dorado County Transit Authority 6565 Commerce Way Diamond Springs, California 95619 (530) 642-5383 Prepared by LSC Transportation Consultants, Inc. 2690 Lake Forest Road, Suite C P.O. Box 5875 Tahoe City, California 96145 (530) 583-4053 October 22, 2019 TABLE OF CONTENTS Chapter 1: Introduction ........................................................................................................................... 1 Chapter 2: Study Area Characteristics ..................................................................................................... 5 Chapter 3: Transportation Services ....................................................................................................... 39 Chapter 4: Service Alternatives .............................................................................................................. 85 Chapter 5: Long-Range Forecast of Transit Conditions and Services .................................................. 127 Chapter 6: Capital Alternatives ............................................................................................................ 141 Chapter 7: Fare Alternatives ................................................................................................................ 149 Chapter 8: Short-Range Transit Plan .................................................................................................... 151 Chapter 9: Long-Range Transit Plan ..................................................................................................... 173 Chapter 10: Greenhouse Gas Impacts, Climate Preparedness and Sustainability ................................ 177 Appendix A: Census Tract Reference Map Appendix B: Sacramento Area Counsel of Government Origins/Destinations Tables Appendix C: Boarding and Alighting Data LIST OF TABLES TABLE PAGE 1 El Dorado County Historic and Forecast Populations ...................................................................... 7 2 Western El Dorado County Population Projections 2018 – 2035 .................................................... 7 3 Western El Dorado County 2012 – 2016 Demographic Characteristics by Census Tract ................ 9 4 El Dorado County Population Forecasts by Age ............................................................................ 16 5 Employment Industries of Western El Dorado County .................................................................. 18 6 Western El Dorado County Employment and Dwelling Units Projections: 2012 – 2036 ............... 19 7 Major Activity Centers in Western El Dorado County ................................................................... 21 8 Commute Mode of Western El Dorado County ............................................................................. 23 9 Where Residents of El Dorado County Work ................................................................................. 24 10 Where Workers in El Dorado County Reside ................................................................................. 25 11 Growth in Western El Dorado County Average Weekday Work Tours ......................................... 26 El Dorado Transit LSC Transportation Consultants, Inc. 2019 Short- and Long-Range Transit Plan—DRAFT PLAN Page i 12 Growth in Western El Dorado County Average Weekday Tours—All Trips .................................. 28 13 El Dorado Transit Fare Structure ................................................................................................... 48 14 El Dorado Transit Historical Ridership ........................................................................................... 49 15 El Dorado Transit Historical Service Levels .................................................................................... 51 16 Total El Dorado Transit Ridership by Month, Fiscal Year 2017 – 18 .............................................. 52 17 El Dorado Transit Commuter Service Ridership by Day of Week .................................................. 54 18 El Dorado Transit Fixed Route Ridership by Day of Week ............................................................. 56 19 El Dorado Transit Local Route Average Daily Ridership by Hour ................................................... 57 20 El Dorado Transit Dial-A-Ride and Paratransit Ridership by Day of Week .................................... 59 21 El Dorado Transit Average Daily Dial-A-Ride Trip Origin/Destination Ridership Data ................... 60 22 Local Rural Fixed Route Boardings by Stop .................................................................................... 62 23 Saturday Routes Top Boarding Locations, 2017 – 18 .................................................................... 63 24 Sacramento Commuter Routes Top Boarding Locations, 2017 – 18 ............................................. 64 25 El Dorado Transit Cost Allocation Model ....................................................................................... 69 26 El Dorado Transit Revenues, Fiscal Year 2017 – 18 ....................................................................... 70 27 El Dorado Transit Operating Data and Performance Indicators—Rural Local Fixed Routes ......... 71 28 El Dorado Transit Operating Data and Performance Indicators—Urban, Demand Response ...... 72 29 El Dorado Transit Vehicle Roster ................................................................................................... 77 30 Existing Weekday EDT Local Rural Route Service Plan .................................................................. 78 31 Weekend Local Fixed Routes Service Plan ..................................................................................... 79 32 Weekday Commuter Services ........................................................................................................ 79 33 Western El Dorado County Existing Park-and-Ride Lots ................................................................ 80 34 El Dorado Transit Shelter and Bench Locations ............................................................................. 81 35 Transfer Activity Between EDT Local Routes ................................................................................. 86 36 Route 20 Placerville Low Ridership Stops ...................................................................................... 87 37 Fixed Route and Rural Route Service Alternatives Analysis .......................................................... 91 38 EDT Local Route Service Alternatives Performance Analysis....................................................... 105 39 Summary of Commuter Passenger Load per Run ........................................................................ 113 40 Commuter Service Alternatives Analysis ..................................................................................... 113 41 EDT Commuter Service Alternatives Performance Analysis ........................................................ 119 42 Example Volunteer Driver Programs in California ....................................................................... 123 43 Analysis of Available Existing DAR Capacity ................................................................................. 126 44 Population Forecasts by Age ........................................................................................................ 129 45 El Dorado County Resident Employee Transit Demand on Key Corridors External to ED Cty. .... 132 46 Analysis of Long-Range El Dorado Transit Ridership ................................................................... 135 47 Analysis of Long-Range EDT Service Requirements ..................................................................... 137 48 Recommended Bus Stop Improvements ..................................................................................... 142 49 EDT 5-Year Fleet Replacement Schedule ..................................................................................... 145 50 EDT Commuter Route Fare Peer Comparison ............................................................................. 149 51 El Dorado Transit Short-Range Transit Plan Operating Costs ...................................................... 153 52 El Dorado Transit Short-Range Transit Plan Ridership Estimates ................................................ 154 53 El Dorado Transit Short-Range Transit Plan Annual Fare Revenues ............................................ 155 El Dorado Transit LSC Transportation Consultants, Inc. 2019 Short- and Long-Range Transit Plan—DRAFT PLAN Page ii 54 Example Revised Route 20 Schedule ........................................................................................... 156 55 Example Revised Route 50X Schedule ......................................................................................... 157 56 Example Revised Route 60 Schedule ........................................................................................... 158 57 El Dorado Transit Short-Range Capital Plan ................................................................................. 165 58