BRC RAM™ & SEM – FEBRUARY ‘19 RELEASE 1 11.90 11.90 LEFT MARGIN DO NOT ALTER SLIDE MASTERS – THIS IS A TNS APPROVED TEMPLATE RIGHT MARGIN TRENDING… 5.95 TOP MARGIN 4.52 CHART TOP Jan’18–Dec’18 (sample=60,297 diaries) Apr’18-Sep’18 (sample=30,418 diaries) 3.14 Jul’18-Dec’18 (sample=29,857 diaries) X AXIS 6.65 BASE MARGIN 2 BRC RAM™ - VITAL SIGNS (Jul’18-Dec’18) 11.90 11.90 LEFT MARGIN DO NOT ALTER SLIDE MASTERS – THIS IS A TNS APPROVED TEMPLATE RIGHT MARGIN BRC RAM™ AT A GLANCE... 5.95 TOP MARGIN Metro-skewed sample Random selection Methodology 4.52 CHART TOP Small areas Placement interview Starting points Households 7-day diary 60% 20% 20% Main respondents Metro Urban Rural Re-weighted to population Weighting variables Annual universe update 3.14 X AXIS Province Area type 6.65 Gender BASE MARGIN 41% 28% 31% Age Metro Urban Rural IHS population estimates Race 4 11.90 11.90 LEFT MARGIN DO NOT ALTER SLIDE MASTERS – THIS IS A TNS APPROVED TEMPLATE RIGHT MARGIN REPRESENTATIVE SAMPLE… 5.95 TOP MARGIN 300,000 households 4.52 per annum CHART TOP 30,000 households per annum 3.14 X AXIS BRC RAM™ sample: representative of the South African population on a National and Provincial level 6.65 BASE MARGIN Sample that would be required to be representative of all small areas in South Africa 5 11.90 11.90 LEFT MARGIN DO NOT ALTER SLIDE MASTERS – THIS IS A TNS APPROVED TEMPLATE RIGHT MARGIN BRC RAM™ – VITAL SIGNS… 5.95 TOP MARGIN 4.52 CHART TOP 3.14 X AXIS 6.65 BASE MARGIN Population (Age 15+): 6 Source: BRC RAM Jul’18-Dec’18 (n=29,857) 40,1 million 11.90 11.90 LEFT MARGIN DO NOT ALTER SLIDE MASTERS – THIS IS A TNS APPROVED TEMPLATE RIGHT MARGIN BRC RAM™ – VITAL SIGNS… 5.95 TOP MARGIN Random selection, 4.52 CHART TOP household flooding 15,108 Households 29,857 3.14 Individuals X AXIS Jul’18-Dec’18 sample 6.65 BASE MARGIN 7 SCRUTINY & WEIGHTING 11.90 11.90 LEFT MARGIN DO NOT ALTER SLIDE MASTERS – THIS IS A TNS APPROVED TEMPLATE RIGHT MARGIN THE FOUR GATES… 5.95 TOP MARGIN SAMPLE GATE STABILITY GATE 4.52 CHART TOP ü ü 3.14 WEIGHTING GATE STATION CHANGE GATE X AXIS ü ü 6.65 BASE MARGIN 9 11.90 11.90 LEFT MARGIN DO NOT ALTER SLIDE MASTERS – THIS IS A TNS APPROVED TEMPLATE RIGHT MARGIN REVIEW, EXAMINE, REFINE… 5.95 TOP MARGIN 4.52 CHART TOP Weighting review Sampling review 3.14 X AXIS Queries 6.65 BASE MARGIN 10 11.90 11.90 LEFT MARGIN DO NOT ALTER SLIDE MASTERS – THIS IS A TNS APPROVED TEMPLATE RIGHT MARGIN THE METRO SAMPLE… 5.95 TOP MARGIN 4.52 CHART TOP Metro Urban Rural Sample Frame: 60% 20% 20% 3.14 X AXIS Population: 41% 28% 31% 6.65 BASE MARGIN 11 Source: BRC RAM Jan’18-Dec’18 (n=60,297) 11.90 11.90 LEFT MARGIN DO NOT ALTER SLIDE MASTERS – THIS IS A TNS APPROVED TEMPLATE RIGHT MARGIN WEIGHTING… 5.95 TOP MARGIN 4.52 CHART TOP 3.14 X AXIS Average weighting efficiency Jan’17- Apr’17- Jul’17- Oct’17- Jan’18- Apr’18- Jul’18- Jun’17 Sep’17 Dec’17 Mar’18 Jun’18 Sep’18 Dec’18 6.65 BASE MARGIN 89% 88% 88% 87% 87% 86% 86% 12 11.90 11.90 LEFT MARGIN DO NOT ALTER SLIDE MASTERS – THIS IS A TNS APPROVED TEMPLATE RIGHT MARGIN 5.95 TOP MARGIN 4.52 CHART TOP Universe update reminder 2018 weighted on IHS Jun’17 dataset 3.14 X AXIS 6.65 BASE MARGIN 13 11.90 11.90 LEFT MARGIN DO NOT ALTER SLIDE MASTERS – THIS IS A TNS APPROVED TEMPLATE RIGHT MARGIN June’17 Universe has increased by 2% Area Types (‘000s) 5.95 TOP MARGIN 38,254 39,473 40,073 4.52 CHART TOP 15 574 16 116 16 393 10 929 11 212 11 361 3.14 X AXIS 11 751 12 145 12 318 6.65 BASE MARGIN Jun '15 Jun '16 Jun'17 Rural Urban Metro 14 * Based on 15+ Household population 11.90 11.90 LEFT MARGIN DO NOT ALTER SLIDE MASTERS – THIS IS A TNS APPROVED TEMPLATE RIGHT MARGIN Population group by age 5.95 TOP MARGIN Age Groups (‘000s) 4.52 CHART TOP 9 944 9 120 9 343 9 896 9 437 10 329 9 369 10 916 10 984 3.14 X AXIS 9 504 9 541 9 418 6.65 BASE MARGIN Jun '15 Jun '16 Jun'17 Age 15-24 Age 25-34 Age 35-49 Age 50+ 15 * Based on 15+ Household population 11.90 11.90 LEFT MARGIN DO NOT ALTER SLIDE MASTERS – THIS IS A TNS APPROVED TEMPLATE RIGHT MARGIN Overall race proportions 5.95 TOP MARGIN Race Groups (‘000s) 4.52 CHART TOP 3 837 3 700 3 691 1 059 1 082 1 095 3 463 3 606 3 655 29 895 31 085 31 631 3.14 X AXIS 6.65 BASE MARGIN Jun '15 Jun '16 Jun'17 Black Coloured Indian White 16 * Based on 15+ Household population 11.90 11.90 LEFT MARGIN DO NOT ALTER SLIDE MASTERS – THIS IS A TNS APPROVED TEMPLATE RIGHT MARGIN Universe comparisons 5.95 TOP MARGIN IHS Universe: June’15 June’16 June’17 Diff 000s % 000s % 000s % 000s % 4.52 Total 38,254 100% 39,473 100% 40,073 100% 600 2% CHART TOP Area Type Rural 11,751 31% 12,145 31% 12,318 31% 173 1% Urban 10,929 29% 11,212 28% 11,361 28% 149 1% Metro 15,574 41% 16,116 41% 16,393 41% 277 2% Province Eastern Cape 4,606 12% 4,764 12% 4,825 12% 61 1% Free State 1,972 5% 2,030 5% 2,046 5% 16 1% Gauteng 9,956 26% 10,017 25% 10,217 25% 200 2% KwaZulu Natal 7,191 19% 7,550 19% 7,655 19% 105 1% Limpopo 3,617 9% 3,815 10% 3,861 10% 46 1% Mpumalanga 2,975 8% 2,935 7% 2,982 7% 47 2% North West 2,599 7% 2,650 7% 2,686 7% 36 1% Northern Cape 830 2% 870 2% 883 2% 13 2% Western Cape 4,508 12% 4,841 12% 4,919 12% 78 2% 3.14 Age groups X AXIS Age 15-24 9,504 25% 9,541 24% 9,418 24% -123 -1% Age 25-34 9,369 24% 10,916 28% 10,984 26% 68 1% Age 35-49 9,437 25% 9,896 25% 10,329 27% 433 4% Age 50+ 9,944 26% 9,120 23% 9,343 23% 223 2% Race Black 29,895 78% 31,085 79% 31,631 79% 546 2% 6.65 BASE MARGIN Coloured 3,463 9% 3,606 9% 3,655 9% 49 1% Indian 1,059 3% 1,082 3% 1,095 3% 13 1% White 3,837 10% 3,700 9% 3,691 9% -9 0% 17 Shifts greater than 100k highlighted for ease of comparison Universe comparisons – Province x area type IHS Universe: June’15 June’16 June’17 Diff 000s % 000s % 000s % 000s % Total 38,254 100% 39,473 100% 40,073 100% 600 2% Metro 15,574 100% 16,116 100% 16,393 100% 277 2% Eastern Cape 1,371 9% 1,435 9% 1,448 9% 13 1% Free State 545 3% 565 4% 584 4% 19 3% Gauteng 8,433 54% 8,490 53% 8,652 53% 162 2% KwaZulu Natal 2,336 15% 2,503 16% 2,541 16% 38 2% Western Cape 2,890 19% 3,122 19% 3,168 19% 46 1% Urban 10,929 100% 11,212 100% 11,361 100% 149 1% Eastern Cape 1,039 10% 1,084 10% 1,113 10% 29 3% Free State 1,171 11% 1,194 11% 1,165 10% -29 -2% Gauteng 1,472 13% 1,473 13% 1,504 13% 31 2% KwaZulu Natal 1,789 16% 1,890 17% 1,960 17% 70 4% Limpopo 765 7% 816 7% 817 7% 1 0% Mpumalanga 1,576 14% 1,511 13% 1,518 13% 7 0% North West 1,198 11% 1,212 11% 1,222 11% 10 1% Northern Cape 642 6% 679 6% 678 6% -1 0% Western Cape 1,276 12% 1,353 12% 1,384 12% 31 2% Rural 11,751 100% 12,145 100% 12,318 100% 173 1% Eastern Cape 2,197 19% 2,246 18% 2,264 18% 18 1% Free State 256 2% 271 2% 297 2% 26 10% Gauteng 52 0% 54 0% 61 0% 7 13% KwaZulu Natal 3,066 26% 3,157 26% 3,154 26% -3 0% Limpopo 2,852 24% 3,000 25% 3,044 25% 44 1% Mpumalanga 1,399 12% 1,424 12% 1,463 12% 39 3% North West 1,401 12% 1,438 12% 1,463 12% 25 2% Northern Cape 188 2% 191 2% 205 2% 14 8% Western Cape 341 3% 366 3% 367 3% 1 0% 18 Shifts greater than 100k highlighted for ease of comparison Universe comparisons – Race x province (1/2) IHS Universe: June’15 June’16 June’17 Diff 000s % 000s % 000s % 000s % Total 38,254 100% 39,473 100% 40,073 100% 600 2% Black 29,895 100% 31,086 100% 31,631 100% 545 2% Eastern Cape 3,928 13% 4,074 13% 4,129 13% 55 1% Free State 1,691 6% 1,749 6% 1,765 6% 16 1% Gauteng 7,803 26% 7,914 25% 8,101 26% 187 2% KwaZulu Natal 6,132 21% 6,414 21% 6,518 21% 104 2% Limpopo 3,477 12% 3,686 12% 3,731 12% 45 1% Mpumalanga 2,596 9% 2,656 9% 2,700 9% 44 2% North West 2,293 8% 2,360 8% 2,395 8% 35 1% Northern Cape 432 1% 407 1% 417 1% 10 2% Western Cape 1,545 5% 1,826 6% 1,877 6% 51 3% White 3,837 100% 3,700 100% 3,691 100% -9 0% Eastern Cape 263 7% 257 7% 257 7% 0 0% Free State 207 5% 203 5% 202 5% -1 0% Gauteng 1,521 40% 1,459 39% 1456 39% -3 0% KwaZulu Natal 364 9% 388 10% 386 10% -2 -1% Limpopo 112 3% 102 3% 102 3% 0 0% Mpumalanga 308 8% 228 6% 229 6% 1 0% North West 229 6% 216 6% 216 6% 0 0% Northern Cape 66 2% 80 2% 79 2% -1 -1% Western Cape 767 20% 767 21% 764 21% -3 0% 19 Shifts greater than 100k highlighted for ease of comparison Universe comparisons – Race x province (2/2) IHS Universe: June’15 June’16 June’17 Diff 000s % 000s % 000s % 000s % Total 38,254 100% 39,473 100% 40,073 100% 600 2% Coloured 3,463 100% 3,606 100% 3,655 100% 49 1% Eastern Cape 393 11% 409 11% 415 11% 6 1% Free State 63 2% 70 2% 71 2% 1 2% Gauteng 326 9% 342 9% 349 10% 7 2% KwaZulu Natal 108 3% 113 3% 114 3% 1 1% Limpopo 13 0% 13 0% 13 0% 0 1% Mpumalanga 39 1% 29 1% 29 1% 0 1% North West 53 2% 53 1% 54 1% 1 1% Northern Cape 327 9% 377 10% 382 10% 5 1% Western Cape 2,141 62% 2,200 61% 2228 61% 28 1% Indian/Asian 1,057 100% 1,082 100% 1,095 100% 13 1% Eastern Cape 22 2% 24 2% 24 2% 0 0% Free State 10 1% 8 1% 8 1% 0 -1% Gauteng 307 29% 302 28% 311 28% 9 3% KwaZulu Natal 587 56% 636 59% 637 58% 1 0% Limpopo 15 1% 14 1% 15 1% 1 5% Mpumalanga 32 3% 23 2% 24 2% 1 3% North West 24 2% 20 2% 21 2% 1 5% Northern Cape 6 1% 6 1% 6 1% 0 2% Western Cape 54 5% 49 5% 49 5% 0 1% 20 Shifts greater than 100k highlighted for ease of comparison Universe comparisons – Age x province (1/2) IHS Universe: June’15 June’16 June’17 Diff 000s % 000s % 000s % 000s % Total 38,254 100% 39,473 100% 40,073 100% 600 2% 15-24 9,504 100% 9,541 100% 9,418 100% -123 -1% Eastern Cape 1,300 14% 1,327 14% 1298 14% -29 -2% Free State 521 5% 494 5% 487 5% -7 -1% Gauteng 1,959 21% 1,939 20% 1935 21% -4 0% KwaZulu Natal 2,041 21% 2,069 22% 2041 22% -28 -1% Limpopo 1,157 12% 1,172 12% 1141 12% -31 -3% Mpumalanga 804 8% 779 8% 773 8% -6 -1% North West 606 6% 605 6% 597 6% -8 -1% Northern Cape