DATA AS OF 6/30/2021 WHAT’S NEW MARKET PULSE A little early…Last month, I made the bold prediction that the small cap MONTH-TO-DATE RETURNS correction was over. However, in June, they lagged by another 57 basis points R 2000 VALUE RUSSELL 2000 R 2000 GROWTH (Russell 2000 less Russell 1000). Falling 10-year Treasury yields during the last few weeks spooked many investors into rotating away from small caps. -0.61 1.94 4.69 R MICROCAP VALUE RUSSELL MICROCAP R MICROCAP GROWTH Even so, I’m not wavering. Small cap fundamentals continue to be rock-solid -0.63 2.19 6.36 and valuations versus large caps continue to look inexpensive, sitting at the 22nd percentile. In each of the past three small cap cycle peaks, valuations versus YEAR-TO-DATE RETURNS large caps surpassed the 83rd percentile. Small caps have a long way to go. I R 2000 VALUE RUSSELL 2000 R 2000 GROWTH conclude with an amazing small cap fact: since 1989, when small caps were up 26.69 17.54 8.98 more than 10% during the first six months of the year (the Russell 2000 was up R MICROCAP VALUE RUSSELL MICROCAP R MICROCAP GROWTH 17.5% in 1H 21), they continued to rise in the second half of the year, on average by another 12%. Buy the dip! 35.65 29.02 20.57 Brandon M. Nelson, CFA, Calamos Senior Portfolio Manager RUSSELL 2000 GROWTH VS. RUSSELL 1000 GROWTH RUSSELL 2000 GROWTH VS. S&P 500 GROWTH 300-DAY PERFORMANCE GICS SECTOR ALLOCATIONS (NET) 60% 50% Russell 2000 Growth 50% 40% S&P 500 Growth 40% 30% 30% 20% 20% 10% 10% 0% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is provided for internal and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or an offer or NOT FDIC INSURED | MAY LOSE VALUE | NO BANK GUARANTEE solicitation to buy or sell securities. DATA AS OF 6/30/2021 MORNINGSTAR SMALL GROWTH CATEGORY FLOWS SMALL CAP GROWTH AS A DIVERSIFIER The portfolio effect of increasing exposure to small caps Data as of 6/30/2021, dollars in millions Data from 7/1/2001 to 6/30/2021 4,000 Annualized Standard Sharpe Excess 3,000 Return Deviation Ratio Return 2,000 1,000 100% LARGE CAP 0 EQUITY 8.61% 14.80% 0.54 0.00% S&P 500 (1,000) 90% LARGE CAP/10% (2,000) 8.69% 15.11% 0.54 0.08% (3,000) SMALL CAP GROWTH (4,000) 80% LARGE CAP/20% SMALL CAP GROWTH 8.77% 15.48% 0.54 0.16% Jul-18 Jul-19 Jul-20 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20 Jan-21 Sep-18 Sep-19 Sep-20 Nov-18 Nov-19 Nov-20 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 May-18 May-19 May-20 May-21 100% SMALL CAP GROWTH 9.26% 19.86% 0.48 0.65% Actively Managed Passively Managed Russell 2000 Index Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The S&P 500 Growth Index measures growth stocks using three factors: sales growth, the ratio of The opinions referenced are as of the date of publication and are subject to change due to changes in earnings change to price, and momentum. S&P Style Indices divide the complete market the market or economic conditions and may not necessarily come to pass. Information contained capitalization of each parent index into growth and value segments. Constituents are drawn from herein is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. The S&P 500 the S&P 500. Standard deviation is a measure of volatility. Sharpe ratio is a calculation that Index is a market-value weighted index consisting of 500 stocks chosen for market size, liquidity, and reflects the reward per each unit of risk in a portfolio. The higher the ratio, the better the industry group representation. It is widely regarded as the standard for measuring U.S. stock-market portfolio's risk-adjusted return is. performance. The Russell 1000 Index measures the performance of the large-cap segment of the U.S. equity universe and includes approximately 1000 of the largest securities based on a combination of their market cap and current index membership. The Russell 2000 Index measures the performance of the 2,000 smallest companies in the Russell 3000 Index, which represents approximately 8% of the total market capitalization of the Russell 3000 Index. You cannot invest directly in an index. The Russell 2000 Growth Index measures the performance of the small-cap growth segment of the U.S. equity universe. It includes those Russell 2000 companies with higher price-to-value ratios and higher forecasted growth values. The Russell 2000 Growth Index is published and maintained by FTSE Russell. The Russell 2000 Value Index measures the performance of small-cap value segment of the US equity universe. It includes those Russell 2000 companies with lower price-to-book ratios and lower forecasted growth values. The Russell Microcap Index measures the performance of the microcap segment of the U.S. equity market. Microcap stocks make up less than 3% of the U.S. equity market (by market cap) and Calamos Advisors LLC consist of the smallest 1,000 securities in the small-cap Russell 2000® Index, plus the next 1,000 smallest 2020 Calamos Court | Naperville, IL 60563-2787 eligible securities by market cap. The Russell Microcap Growth Index measures the performance of the 800.582.6959 | www.calamos.com | [email protected] microcap growth segment of the U.S. equity market. It includes Russell Microcap companies that are ©2021 Calamos Investments LLC. All Rights Reserved. considered more growth oriented relative to the overall market as defined by Russell's leading style Calamos® and Calamos Investments® are registered methodology. The Russell Microcap Value Index measures the performance of the microcap value trademarks of Calamos Investments LLC. segment of the U.S. equity market. It includes Russell Microcap companies that are considered more value oriented relative to the overall market as defined by Russell's leading style methodology. 802439 0621.
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