Report CDKN EYE Evaluation 2014 FINAL REPORT Date: June 2015 Submitted by Itad Authors: Gil Yaron, Robbie Gregorowski, Isabel Vogel, Paula Silva Villanueva, Alex Dorgan Table of Contents .................................................................................................................................................................................. 1 Table of Contents .............................................................................................................................................. ii Acknowledgements ......................................................................................................................................... iii Acronyms ............................................................................................................................................................ iv CDKN EYE5 Executive Summary ................................................................................................ vi 1 Introduction .............................................................................................................................. 1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................. 1 2 Methodology ............................................................................................................................. 3 2.1 Overview .................................................................................................................................... 3 2.2 Country case studies ............................................................................................................ 8 2.3 Outcome/research case studies ...................................................................................... 9 2.4 Additional CDKN programme level review ............................................................. 10 2.5 The evaluation synthesis process ................................................................................ 10 2.6 Limitations of the evaluation .......................................................................................... 11 3 CDKN progress towards impact at EYE5: findings and implications ..................11 3.1 Overall evidence that CDKN has made a credible contribution to developing countries following resilient and sustainable low carbon development pathways 11 3.2 Evidence from the country case studies .................................................................... 13 3.3 Evidence of progress towards impact within the Outcome and Research case studies ............................................................................................................................................ 15 3.5 Lessons from the assessment of progress towards impact ............................... 17 3.5.1 Increase strategic focus .................................................................................................... 17 3.5.2 Match logframe ambition to resources ...................................................................... 18 3.5.3 Convene and partner to build capacity and scale .................................................. 19 3.5.4 Clarify where results can be generalised................................................................... 20 3.5.5 Strengthen learning ............................................................................................................ 21 3.5.6 Safeguard the Climate Compatible Development (CCD) focus ......................... 22 3.5.7 More effective private sector engagement ............................................................... 22 3.5.8 Consider innovation models for country engagement ........................................ 23 4 The CDKN Institutional Model in Practice ...................................................................25 4.1 The CDKN Niche and Role as a Global CCD Knowledge Institution ................ 25 4.1.1 Evidence from CDKN key partners / knowledge networks interviews ........ 26 4.1.2 Evidence from institutional interviews...................................................................... 32 4.1.3 Evidence from country case studies ............................................................................ 33 4.1.4 Evidence from outcome and research case studies .............................................. 34 4.2 VfM offered by the CDKN management model ...................................................... 36 4.2.1 Cost-benefit analysis .......................................................................................................... 36 4.2.2 Cost-effectiveness and cost-efficiency comparisons ............................................ 37 4.2.3 The cost of doing business with CDKN ....................................................................... 39 4.2.4 Financial management and project information systems .................................. 40 4.3 Gender mainstreaming .................................................................................................... 40 4.3.1 Objectives of the review ................................................................................................... 40 4.3.2 Gender Framing – core concepts ............................................................................. 41 4.3.3 Method and process ........................................................................................................... 43 4.3.5 Recommendations for CDKN’s gender strategy ..................................................... 50 4.4 CDKN’s Theory of Change: Evolution and future directions ............................ 51 4.4.1 Evolution of the ToC ........................................................................................................... 51 4.4.2 Strengths of the ToC ........................................................................................................... 52 4.4.3 Weaknesses of the ToC ..................................................................................................... 52 4.4.4 Conclusions on use of the ToC ....................................................................................... 53 REPORT CDKN EYE5 Evaluation 5 Progress towards impact: country case studies ........................................................53 5.1 Rwanda ................................................................................................................................... 53 5.2 Kenya ....................................................................................................................................... 57 5.3 Nepal ........................................................................................................................................ 61 5.4 India .......................................................................................................................................... 65 5.5 Colombia ................................................................................................................................. 69 6 Progress towards impact: outcome and research case studies ...........................73 6.1 Policy and Practice (P&P) ................................................................................................ 73 6.2 Negotiations support (NS) ............................................................................................... 76 6.3 Climate finance (CF) ........................................................................................................... 78 6.4 Disaster risk management (DRM) ................................................................................ 81 6.5 Research .................................................................................................................................. 84 7 Conclusions .............................................................................................................................86 8 High-Level Recommendations .........................................................................................89 Annex 1:EYE5 Statement of Work ............................................................................................93 Annex 2: Evaluation methodology ........................................................................................ 103 Annex 3: Country Case Studies ............................................................................................... 147 Rwanda Country Report ........................................................................................................................... 149 Kenya Country Report ............................................................................................................................... 178 Nepal Country Report ................................................................................................................................ 250 India Country Report ................................................................................................................................. 295 Colombia Country Report......................................................................................................................... 328 Annex 4: Outcome and Research Case Studies ........................................................................ 377 P&P Outcome Report ................................................................................................................................. 378 NS Outcome Report....................................................................................................................................