October 31, 2016 A Roadmap for US Robotics From Internet to Robotics 2016 Edition Organized By University of California San Diego Carnegie Mellon University Clemson University Cornell University Georgia Institute of Technology Northeastern University Northwestern University Oregon State University SRI Inc. Texas A&M University The University of Utah University of California Berkeley University of Nevada - Reno University of Southern California University of Tennessee Knoxville University of Washington University of Wisconsin Vanderbilt University Yale University Sponsored by: National Science Foundation University of California San Diego Oregon State University Georgia Institute of Technology 1 Table of contents 1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ............................................................................................................ 5 1.1 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................................ 5 1.2 MAIN FINDINGS ............................................................................................................................................ 6 1.3 THE ROADMAP DOCUMENT. ..................................................................................................................... 7 1.4 FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE FROM: .................................................................................. 7 2. TRANSFORMING MANUFACTURING AND SUPPLY CHAIN ................................................. 9 2.0 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ................................................................................................................................ 9 2.1. INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................................................10 2.2. STRATEGIC IMPORTANCE OF ROBOTICS IN MANUFACTURING ..........................................................10 2.2.1 Economic Impetus ...................................................................................................................................10 2.2.2 Growth Areas ..............................................................................................................................................11 2.2.3 “Consumerization” of Robotics ...........................................................................................................12 2.2.4 A Vision for Manufacturing ...................................................................................................................12 2.3. RESEARCH ROADMAP .......................................................................................................................................13 2.3.1 The Process ..................................................................................................................................................13 2.3.2 Robotics and Manufacturing Vignettes ..............................................................................................14 2.3.3 Critical Capabilities for Manufacturing ...............................................................................................15 2.4. REFERENCES .......................................................................................................................................................19 2.5. CONTRIBUTORS ..................................................................................................................................................20 3. NEXT GENERATION CONSUMER AND PROFESSIONAL SERVICES ................................ 23 3.1. INTRODUCTION ..................................................................................................................................................23 3.2. PRINCIPAL MARKETS AND DRIVERS ............................................................................................................23 3.2.1 Professional Service Robots ....................................................................................................................24 3.2.2 Consumer Service Robots ........................................................................................................................28 3.2.3 Transportation .............................................................................................................................................28 3.3 NEAR-TERM OPPORTUNITIES AND FACTORS AFFECTING COMMERCIALIZATION .......................29 3.4 REFERENCES ........................................................................................................................................................31 3.5 CONTRIBUTORS ...................................................................................................................................................31 4. HEALTH, INDEPENDENCE AND QUALITY OF LIFE .......................................................... 33 4.1. INTRODUCTION ..................................................................................................................................................33 4.1.1. Definition of the Field/Domain ............................................................................................................33 4.1.2. Societal Drivers ..........................................................................................................................................34 4.2. AGING AND QUALITY OF LIFE IMPROVEMENT .................................................................................36 4.2.1. Motivating Scenario .........................................................................................................................36 4.2.2. State-of-the-art ..................................................................................................................................36 4.2.3. Key Challenges and Unmet needs ..............................................................................................37 4.2.4. Vision: 5-10-15 years .........................................................................................................................38 4.3. SURGICAL AND INTERVENTIONAL ROBOTICS ...................................................................................38 4.3.1. Motivating Scenario .........................................................................................................................38 4.3.2. State-of-the-art ..................................................................................................................................39 4.3.3. Vision: 5-10-15 years .........................................................................................................................39 4.4. REHABILITATION .......................................................................................................................................40 4.4.1 Motivating Scenario ...................................................................................................................................40 4.4.1. Robotic Replacement of Diminished/Lost Function ...........................................................40 4.4.2. Robot-Assisted Recovery and Rehabilitation ..........................................................................41 4.4.3. Behavioral Therapy ..........................................................................................................................42 4.4.4. Key Challenges and Unmet needs ..............................................................................................43 4.5. CLINICAL WORKFORCE SUPPORT ..........................................................................................................43 4.5.1. Motivating Scenario .........................................................................................................................43 2 4.5.2. State-of-the-art ...........................................................................................................................................44 4.5.3. Key Challenges and Unmet needs .......................................................................................................44 4.5.4 Vision: 5-10-15 years ..............................................................................................................................45 4.6. DEPLOYMENT ISSUES ...............................................................................................................................46 4.7. CONTRIBUTORS ..........................................................................................................................................47 5. ENHANCING PUBLIC SAFETY .................................................................................................. 49 5.1 STRATEGIC IMPORTANCE OF ROBOTICS IN ENHANCING PUBLIC SAFETY .......................................49 5.1.1 The Future Landscape ..............................................................................................................................49 5.1.2 The Role of Unmanned Systems in Enhancing Public Safety ....................................................50 5.1.3 Motivating Vignettes ...............................................................................................................................55 5.2 SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL CHALLENGES ..............................................................................................58 5.2.2 Force Application ..................................................................................................................................59