STEEL AUTHORITY OF INDIA LIMITED RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR Q1 FY 2020-21 STEEL AUTHORITY OF INDIA LIMITED Economic & Steel Scenarios WORLD ECONOMIC SCENARIO SOURCE: IMF Growth Rates 5.4 5.9 ( in %) 4.8 4.8 4.5 3.8 3.6 3.7 2.9 2.4 2.2 1.9 2017 (E) 2018 (E) 2019 (E) -3 2020 (P) -4.9 2021 (P) -8 World Advanced Economies Emerging & Developing Economies IMF projected the growth for 2020 at 2.9% in its Jan 20 World Economic Outlook (WEO). As the economies started entering lockdown, this figure was revised to -3% in April 20. With the effects of COVID-19 not waning easily, and economic recovery not in sight, the growth projection was further pulled down -4.9% in the June 20 WEO. Global growth in 2021 is however projected to bounce back to 5.4% in 2021 INDIAN ECONOMIC SCENARIO SOURCE: CSO, GoI & Economic Survey GDP Growth % at Constant Prices (2011-12 Prices) 8.0 8.2 6.4 7.4 7.0 6.1 4.2 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 (Q1) In line with the global projections, Indian economy is also expected to contract during 2020. Q1 2020-21 data on GDP shows a contraction of 23.9%. The Rating Agencies like Fitch and Goldman Sachs have revised their figures sharply downward for the FY 21 to -10.5% and -14.8% after the Q1 data. -23.9 Last available projections from major financial agencies are as follows: Source Growth Projection WORLD BANK -3.2% (FY21) and 3.1% (FY22) IMF -4.5% (CY20) and 6.0% (CY21) RBI -6% - 1% (FY21) WORLD STEEL SCENARIO Crude Steel Production (mtpa) 1809 1870 1730 (Crude Steel Production) 1627 • In line with projections, Global Production upto July 20 declined 996 World 920 889 808 819 871 859 874 by 5.3% and stood at 1027 mt China vis-à-vis 1085 mt during CPLY. Rest of World • China however increased its production by 2.8% during this period clocking 593 mt as 2016 2017 2018 2019 against 577 mt during CPLY. World Steel Association (WSA) Short Range Finished Steel Consumption (mtpa) Outlook (SRO) : • Global steel demand will decrease by 6.4% 1708 1767 1717 1597 1654 in 2020 and increase by 3.8% in 2021. 1546 1551 1505 1521 • China’s growth is set to go down to 1% in 2020 and constant in 2021. • In the Emerging and Developing Economies excluding China, steel demand is forecast to fall by 11.6% in 2020 and rise by 9.2% in 2021. • Demand in India expected to fall by 18% in 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2020 and rise by 15% in 2021. (F) (F) INDIAN STEEL SCENARIO Crude Steel Production (mtpa) • India’s Crude steel 101.5 109.3 111.2 production (2019) : 87.3 89.0 95.5 111.2mtpa (growth of 1.8 % 1.7% over 2018) • India overtook USA as the second largest consumer of 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 steel in 2019. Finished Steel Consumption (mtpa) • As per WSA, Short Range 102 89 97 96 Outlook, demand in India is 80 84 83 set to fall by 18% in 2020 and grow by 15% in 2021. Source: WSA 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020(F) 2021(F) Performance 2020-21: • Due to the impact of COVID-19 Pandemic and consequent lockdown, the consumption during April-August 20 fell to 26.41 MT as against 42.54 MT during CPLY, significantly decline of almost 38%. • As the producers adjusted their production in line with the demand, the production declined by 27% and stood at 33.55 MT as against 46.23 MT during CPLY. Source: JPC INDIAN STEEL PERFORMANCE % +/- Over INDICATORS UNIT Q1 20-21 Q1 19-20 CPLY Growth in Index of Industrial Production ^ % -35.9 3.0 -38.90 Production - Finished Steel * MT 12.54 26.54 -52.7 Imports - Finished Steel * MT 1.21 1.80 -32.8 Exports - Finished Steel * MT 3.27 1.33 145.4 Consumption - Finished Steel * MT 10.49 27.01 -61.2 Real Consumption of Finished Steel * MT 10.69 24.77 -56.8 ^ As per CSO *Source JPC Report 7 INTERNATIONAL PRICE (FOB) TREND USD/Tonne HRC- China CRC- China 575 556 568 545 550 539 537 549 522 527 519 525 504 501 517 504 489 495 483 531 529 445 451 513 515 507 502 515 486 493 482 493 459 470 462 457 435 444 440 438 401 413 567 HRC- CIS CRC- CIS 551 554 542 543 539 540 549 527 535 538 518 519 492 509 461 472 437 444 430 499 512 418 494 481 475 482 475 478 478 452 453 460 464 429 405 417 381 384 372 360 STEEL AUTHORITY OF INDIA LIMITED Performance Highlights PERFORMANCE HIGHLIGHTS : Q1 FY’21 Net Sales : Rs 8838 Crore FINANCIAL EBITDA : - Rs. 125 Crore PERFORMANCE PBT : - Rs 1985 Crore PAT : - Rs 1270 Crore Hot Metal Production : 2.678 MT Crude Steel Production : 2.474 MT PRODUCTION & SALES Saleable Steel Production : 2.278 MT PERFORMANCE Semis component in production : 39.58% of saleable steel Value Added Production : 1.194 MT Production through concast route : 2.449 MT Saleable Steel Sales : 2.237 MT SAIL STOCK PRICE MOVEMENT SAIL's Share Price (Rs.) Sensex Points 41254 38673 39714 40129 38297 38628 3619436068 37481 34442 40794 34916 39032 39395 38667 40723 33718 36257 35867 37333 37607 38757 32424 29468 56 54 56 47 48 50 51 64 43 39 43 47 39 55 31 33 37 36 32 40 23 30 30 34 Closing Share Price and Sensex as Dividend Interim Final Total Dividend Tax on the last day of the month (%) (%) (%) (Rs. crore) (Rs. crore) * As on Sept 14, 2020 FY 20 - - - - - FY 19 - 5 5 206 DIVIDEND FY 18 - - - - - PAYOUT FY 17 - - - - - FY16 - - - - - FY15 17.5 2.5 20 826 165 FY14 20.2 - 20.2 834 142 STEEL AUTHORITY OF INDIA LIMITED Operational Performance PRODUCTION PERFORMANCE All figures In Million Tonne 3.7 15.1 15.1 13.9 14.1 2.3 SALEABLE 12.8 12.4 STEEL PRODUCTION (incl. SSPs) Q1 FY20 Q1 FY21 FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 FY 18 FY 19 FY 20 Annual Quarterly 14.7 14.7 3.6 13.4 13.8 SALEABLE 12.4 11.9 STEEL 2.2 PRODUCION (5 ISPs) Q1 FY20 Q1 FY21 FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 FY 18 FY 19 FY 20 Production has been severely affected on account of COVID-19 impact during Q1 FY21 PRODUCTION PERFORMANCE : FY 20 0.8% 1.0% Ingot CRUDE STEEL BOF PRODUCTION Route BY PROCESS EAF CC Route No production 99.0% 99.2% through THF Route this financial year SALEABLE STEEL Commodity PRODUCTION 47.6% 52.4% Value Added BY PROCESS PRODUCTION PERFORMANCE : FY 20 SAIL The percentage of semis has almost doubled while 32.7% PRODUCT MIX : both flat and long 39.6% finished products saw a 5 ISPs decline in share as the production was regulated 27.8% in line with the demand BSP 0.8% 63.4% 35.8% DSP 23.1% 76.9% Flats RSP 69.1% 30.9% Longs Semis BSL 93.6% ISP 38.8% 61.2% SALES PERFORMANCE All figures In Million Tonne 14.1 14.1 14.2 13.1 11.7 12.1 3.3 TOTAL SALES 2.3 (incl. SSPs) Q1 FY20 Q1 FY21 FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 FY 18 FY 19 FY 20 Annual Quarterly 13.8 13.8 13.9 12.7 11.2 11.7 SALES 3.3 OF 5 ISPs 2.3 Q1 FY20 Q1 FY21 FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 FY 18 FY 19 FY 20 Domestic demand was severely impacted on account of COVID-19. However, SAIL seized the opportunity available in the international market by exporting about 5.38 lakh tonnes during Q1 FY 21 as against 2.43 lakh tonnes during CPLY, a growth of 122%. Further, the domestic markets are also looking up quite positively now. SAIL has again led the market by notching up its best ever performance for the months of June, July and August. STEEL AUTHORITY OF INDIA LIMITED Efficiency & Sustainance Performance RECENTLY DEVELOPED PRODUCTS NARRROW PARALLEL FLANGE BEAM 750: USAGE IN CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY LINKE HOFMANN BUSCH (LHB) WHEELS: USAGE FOR RAILWAYS PRODUCT CUSTOMISATION FOR END USERS HYVA TIPLERS Main Frame Track Frame HSMP AND PMP GRADE: IS 2062E450, E600 Boom Front Frame Arm PRODUCT CUSTOMISATION FOR END USERS ASHOK LEYLAND U TRUCK U 2518T CAPTAIN 2518 HRC PMP GRADE: IS5986, ISH500, LAHFQ450 PRODUCT CUSTOMISATION FOR END USERS Rear Axle Beam developed using HRC SAILFORMING 410 / 450 grades Live Axle Beam Dummy Axle Beam TECHNO-ECONOMIC PARAMETERS Coke Rate: kg/thm CDI Rate: kg/thm 76 513 76 504 60 70 60 489 49 40 473 467 34 456 453 457 FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Q1 FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Q1 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 FY21 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 FY21 Reduction of 11% over FY14 Increase of 123% over FY14 Specific Energy Consumption:3 GCal/tcs BF Productivity: T/m3/Day1.80 6.94 6.59 6.52 6.51 6.60 6.49 6.50 6.47 1.70 1.67 1.65 1.67 1.58 1.56 1.58 FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Q1 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 FY 18 FY 19 FY 20Q1 FY21 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 FY21 Reduction of 2% over FY14 Improvement of 14% over FY14 Calculation done on considering performance during FY20.