BUHARIMETER MID-TERM REPORT May 29th, 2015 - May 28th 2017 © Centre for Democracy and Development, 2017 Buhatimeter Mid-term Report ISBN 978-978-961- 554-4 All Rights reserved, No part of this publication may be reproduced, store in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without prior permission of CDD Centre for Democracy and Development 16 A7 Street, CITEC Estate Jabi/Airport Rd. Abuja, Nigeria. E-mail:[email protected] www.cddwestafrica.org DISCLAIMER This document is a product of CDD. The views in this publication are completely ours and do not necessarily reflect those of our partners. ABOUT CDD The Centre for Democracy and Development (CDD) was established in the United Kingdom in 1997 as an independent, not-for-profit, research training, advocacy and capacity building organisation. The purpose was to mobilise global opinion and resources for democratic development and provide an independent space to reflect critically on the challenges posed to the democratisation and development processes in West Africa. CDD set out to generate dialogue on alternative pathways that are universally relevant and context sensitive. CDD activities have since grown not only in Nigeria but in the entire West African sub- region and the rest of the continent. The Centre remains focused on capacity building work, policy advocacy, and as a research reference point on democratic governance, human security, people-centred development and human rights. TABLE OF CONTENTS TABLE OF CONTENTS ....................................................................................................... 1 LIST OF FIGURES ................................................................................................................. 2 LIST OF TABLES ................................................................................................................... 4 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS .................................................................................................... 5 ACRONYMS ......................................................................................................................... 6 ABOUT BUHARIMETER .................................................................................................... 10 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ..................................................................................................... 11 METHODOLOGY .............................................................................................................. 13 PLEDGE PERFORMANCE OUTLOOK (PPO) .................................................................. 15 ANALYSIS OF SECTORIAL/ISSUE PERFORMANCE ......................................................... 17 1. CORRUPTION ............................................................................................................... 18 2. NATIONAL SECURITY AND DEFENCE ...................................................................... .32 3. ECONOMY ..................................................................................................................... 47 Agriculture .............................................................................................................. 50 Infrastructural Development .................................................................................. 57 Industrialisation ....................................................................................................... 70 Oil and Gas ............................................................................................................. 75 Social Safety Net ..................................................................................................... 79 Employment............................................................................................................ 83 4. FOREIGN POLICY .......................................................................................................... 87 5. POLITICS AND GOVERNANCE .................................................................................... 89 6. SOCIAL SECTOR ............................................................................................................ 97 Education ................................................................................................................ 97 Health.....................................................................................................................100 Housing ..................................................................................................................104 Water and Sanitation ..............................................................................................106 Sports and Culture .................................................................................................110 7. WOMEN AND YOUTH EMPOWERMENT ................................................................. 114 8. PERSONS WITH DISABILITIES (PWDs) ....................................................................... 119 9. ICT ................................................................................................................................. 121 10. ENVIRONMENT.......................................................................................................... 124 11. NIGER DELTA.............................................................................................................. 129 CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS ................................................................ 132 1 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1: Overall Performance Rating (Year1 Vs. Year2) ...................................................15 Figure 2: PMB Promises on Corruption ........................................................................... 19 Figure 3: Are you aware that President Buhari and Vice President Osinbajo publicly declared their assets at the beginning of their administration? ........................... .20 Figure 4: Performance Rating on Corruption ................................................................... 21 Figure 5: In your opinion, do you think FGN is genuinely cutting down on the cost of governance? ......................................................................................................... 26 Figure 6: Promises on Security ......................................................................................... 33 Figure 7: Do you feel this present government is doing enough to ensure that the girls kidnapped in Chibok are rescued and reunited with their families? ................... .35 Figure 8: Military-Police Security Operations across Nigeria ............................................ 37 Figure 9: In your view, what measures should be taken to address the issues of Boko Haram, Farmers and Pastoralists conicts and Militancy in Nigeria? .....................42 Figure 10: Do you support the plans for the creation of state police in Nigeria? ............. 46 Figure 11: Ination Rate Vs Interest Rate (Jan. 2015 – Apr. 2017) .................................... 48 Figure 12: In your opinion, how would you describe FGN approach in tackling the present economic recession in the country? ..................................................................... 49 Figure 13: Promises on Agriculture .................................................................................. .52 Figure 14: Ination Rate on Food Item (Jan. 2015 to April 2017) ..................................... 55 Figure 15: How/In what ways has the economic recession in Nigeria affected you or your household? ............................................................................................................ 56 Figure 16: Rating of Performance, Agriculture .................................................................. 51 Figure 17: Promises on Infrastructure................................................................................ 58 Figure 18: Licenses for Power Generation Granted the Government Since 2015 ............ 61 Figure 19: Objective of the Power Sector Recovery Programme (PSRP) ........................ 56 Figure 20: Trend Analysis of Electricity Generation in Nigeria (May, 2015 – May, 2017) . 62 Figure 21: Domestic Gas Supplied/Power Generated to Gas-red Power Plants (June 2015 – Feb., 2017) ........................................................................... 63 Figure 22: Ongoing Road Construction by PMB ............................................................... 65 Figure 23: Other Infrastructural development Intervention of PMB ................................ 66 Figure 24: Interventions in the Aviation Sector ................................................................ .68 Figure 25: Interventions in the Maritime Sector .............................................................. .69 2 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 26: Promises on Industrialization .............................................................................. 70 Figure 27: Reneries Combined Operational/Utilization Capacity (May 2015 to February 2017)............................................................................... 74 Figure 28: Campaign Promises on Oil & Gas .................................................................... 76 Figure 29: Promises on Social Safety Net ......................................................................... 80 Figure 30: Promises on Employment ................................................................................ 84 Figure 31: Number of Jobs Created Rate (2015 – 2016)